Core Viewpoint - Qualcomm and Xiaomi have signed a new multi-year cooperation agreement, celebrating 15 years of partnership, which will see Xiaomi's flagship smartphones continue to use the Snapdragon 8 series mobile platform [1] Group 1 - The new agreement will cover multiple product generations of Xiaomi's flagship smartphones [1] - Xiaomi will be one of the first manufacturers to adopt the next-generation Snapdragon 8 series flagship mobile platform later this year [1] - The collaboration will extend to both the Chinese and global markets for Xiaomi's products [1]

Core Insights - Qualcomm is undergoing a structural transformation, positioning itself as a foundational pillar of AI-native infrastructure, rather than just a cyclical phone chip vendor [1] Company Analysis - Leadership & Management: Qualcomm demonstrates a proven track record in scaling businesses, smart capital allocation, and insider ownership, alongside consistent revenue growth and credible guidance [1] - Financial Health: The company exhibits sustainable revenue growth with efficient cash flow, a strong balance sheet, and a long-term survival runway, while avoiding excessive dilution and financial weakness [1] Market Positioning - Competitive Positioning: Qualcomm benefits from a strong technology moat and first-mover advantage, with network effects driving exponential growth and market penetration in high-growth industries [1] Investment Methodology - Valuation: The company is analyzed through revenue multiples compared to peers and DCF modeling, ensuring downside protection with significant upside potential [1] - Portfolio Construction: Qualcomm's investment strategy includes core positions (50-70%) in high-confidence, stable plays, growth bets (20-40%) in high-risk, high-reward opportunities, and speculative investments (5-10%) in moonshot disruptors with massive potential [1]

Group 1 - Qualcomm Incorporated is a leading semiconductor company that recently reported Q1 2025 earnings that exceeded expectations [1] - Despite beating earnings expectations, management's guidance disappointed analysts, resulting in a decline in Qualcomm's stock price to $135 per share [1] - The stock has been identified as potentially undervalued, with corrective forces expected to realign its valuation to intrinsic value [1] Group 2 - The company focuses on identifying strong companies that are mispriced by the market, with the aim of capitalizing on stock return overperformance [1]

Group 1 - Qualcomm, Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) experienced a significant stock decline of 35% from its peak of $230.63 [1] - The last coverage of Qualcomm was on October 7th, 2024, titled "Qualcomm: Buy The Drop" [1]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [9] Core Insights - The upcoming Computex 2025 will focus on AI-driven industry catalysts, showcasing the latest advancements in artificial intelligence and its applications [2][15] - The semiconductor industry is expected to continue its optimistic growth trajectory in 2025, driven by AI as a core growth engine [23][26] - The report highlights a structural growth in consumer electronics driven by AI innovations, with a stable growth outlook for smartphones and PCs [4][27] Summary by Sections Computex and AI Development - Computex 2025 will gather global tech giants to showcase AI advancements, focusing on AI & Robotics, Next-Gen Tech, and Future Mobility [2][15] - Key presentations will include NVIDIA's breakthroughs in AI and accelerated computing, and Qualcomm's vision on how AI will transform device experiences [3][19] 2025 Terminal Demand Forecast - Consumer Electronics: AI innovations are expected to boost demand, with major chip manufacturers anticipating increased orders in Q2 2025 [4][27] - Data Centers: There is a continued supply-demand imbalance for AI servers, with strong order growth expected for key chip manufacturers [6][35] - Industrial Control: The industrial market is showing signs of recovery, with strong demand in sectors like home appliances and power transmission [6][42] - New Energy Vehicles: The demand for smart vehicles is strong in China, driving growth in the CIS sector [6][44] - New Energy: Infineon anticipates a gradual recovery in demand for new energy-related products in the second half of 2025 [6][47] Semiconductor Market Outlook - The semiconductor market is projected to benefit from strong AI demand, with a focus on SoC, ASIC, storage, and CIS sectors [7][8] - The report suggests monitoring the performance of design sectors and the impact of domestic substitution trends [7][8] Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include those in SoC and ASIC sectors such as 恒玄科技, 泰凌微, and 瑞芯微, as well as semiconductor storage firms like 江波龙 and 朗科科技 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Qualcomm is officially entering the data center market and addressing the impact of Xiaomi's self-developed chips on its business [1][2]. Group 1: Data Center Market Entry - Qualcomm signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Saudi AI company Humain to develop next-generation AI data centers and cloud-edge services [2]. - The collaboration aims to leverage Qualcomm's advanced CPU and AI solutions to support Humain's AI cloud infrastructure [2]. - Qualcomm's CEO highlighted the company's capabilities in high-performance, low-power CPU architecture, indicating a strategic shift towards energy-efficient computing in data centers [2][4]. Group 2: Historical Context and Challenges - Qualcomm previously launched its first Arm server chip, Centriq 2400, in 2017 but faced challenges due to a weak Arm server ecosystem and legal issues with Apple [4]. - The company had to scale back its server CPU business after a series of financial cuts and layoffs in 2018 [4]. - Following the acquisition of Nuvia for $1.4 billion in 2021, Qualcomm began to re-enter the data center CPU market, focusing on high-performance Arm server chips [4]. Group 3: Upcoming Products and Specifications - Qualcomm is reportedly developing an Arm server processor codenamed "SD1," expected to utilize TSMC's 5nm process with 80 custom Oryon cores and a maximum frequency of 3.8GHz [5]. - The processor will support 16-channel DDR5 memory and include 70 PCIe 5.0 interfaces, indicating a robust design for data center applications [5]. Group 4: PC Market Challenges - Qualcomm aims to capture 30% to 50% of the non-x86 Windows PC market within five years but has faced disappointing sales, with only 720,000 units shipped in Q3 2024, representing 0.8% market share [7][8]. - The company has adjusted its expectations, targeting a 12% market share by 2029, contributing $4 billion in revenue [8]. - Qualcomm has launched or is developing over 85 PC designs and plans to expand its offerings to over 100 models by next year [8]. Group 5: Collaboration with Taiwanese Suppliers - Qualcomm maintains a strong partnership with TSMC, shipping approximately 40 billion chips annually, and is expanding its team in Taiwan to enhance collaboration in the PC ecosystem [11]. Group 6: Relationship with Xiaomi - Despite Xiaomi's development of its own 3nm flagship SoC, Qualcomm's CEO reaffirmed the long-term partnership with Xiaomi, stating that Qualcomm will continue to supply chips for Xiaomi's flagship devices [12]. Group 7: Future Market Expansion - Qualcomm is exploring opportunities in the robotics market, drawing parallels with its automotive sector, and has already partnered with several robotics companies [14].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or Qualcomm, but it discusses market share expectations and strategic positioning, indicating a cautious outlook on market penetration and competition [2][7]. Core Insights - Qualcomm is accelerating its AI PC ecosystem, challenging the x86 architecture with its Snapdragon X Elite/Plus platform, which boasts 45 TOPS NPU performance. Over 85 Windows 11 AI+ PC models are in production or development, with plans to reduce prices to $600 by 2026 to enhance mid-range market penetration [2][7]. - The company is focusing on a hybrid AI architecture that prioritizes on-device processing for privacy and efficiency while leveraging cloud capabilities for complex tasks. This includes transferring smartphone 5G and NPU capabilities to PCs and robotics [3][8]. - Qualcomm is responding to Xiaomi's self-developed chip strategy by emphasizing the coexistence of self-design and outsourcing, maintaining that Xiaomi will still rely on Qualcomm for critical components [4][9]. - The company is restarting its Arm-based server chip business, launching a data center CPU based on the Nuvia Oryon architecture, and collaborating with NVIDIA to enhance performance and efficiency [4][10]. Summary by Sections AI PC Ecosystem - Qualcomm's Snapdragon X Elite/Plus platform is set to challenge the x86 architecture, with over 85 AI+ PC models in development and a target price of $600 by 2026 to penetrate the mid-range market [2][7]. - The Snapdragon X series supports over 750 applications and 1,400 games, addressing previous concerns about the Arm ecosystem's limitations [2][7]. On-device AI and Hybrid Architecture - Qualcomm's hybrid AI architecture emphasizes local data processing for privacy, while cloud resources are utilized for more complex tasks. The company is also promoting its AI Hub with 75 pre-optimized models to facilitate on-device AI development [3][8]. Competitive Landscape - Qualcomm's response to Xiaomi's self-developed chip highlights the balance of cooperation and competition in the industry, asserting that Xiaomi will continue to depend on Qualcomm for essential components [4][9]. Diversification Strategy - Qualcomm is reviving its Arm server chip business with the Nuvia Oryon architecture and plans to integrate its CPUs with NVIDIA's GPUs for improved performance and efficiency in data centers [4][10].

Core Viewpoint - Qualcomm Shanghai has been recognized for its contributions to technological innovation and economic development in Pudong, receiving the "2024 Pudong New Area Technology Innovation Outstanding Contribution Award" and the "2024 Pudong New Area Outstanding Contribution Award" [1][7] Group 1: Qualcomm's Achievements - Qualcomm Shanghai has received the "2024 Pudong New Area Technology Innovation Outstanding Contribution Award" for the second consecutive year, highlighting its ongoing efforts in 5G and AI technologies [1][7] - The company is a leader in connectivity and computing, continuously advancing mobile communication technologies from 3G to 5G, and is now pushing towards the 5G-Advanced phase [3] Group 2: Collaboration and Innovation - Qualcomm collaborates with industry partners to promote the development of 5G-Advanced, as demonstrated during the F1 Shanghai event where it partnered with Shanghai Mobile and Nokia Bell to deliver an enhanced live streaming experience [3] - The company has over 15 years of experience in AI research and has launched leading hardware and software solutions across various devices, including smartphones and industrial IoT [5] Group 3: Future Prospects - In 2025, Qualcomm will celebrate its 40th anniversary and 30 years in China, during which it has established joint innovation centers in cities like Hangzhou and Suzhou to support local industry development in areas such as 5G and smart connected vehicles [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2] Core Insights - The year 2025 is expected to be a breakout year for AI glasses, with significant growth in sales and the emergence of domestic SoC (System on Chip) solutions [4][39] - The global AI glasses market is projected to reach 5.5 million units by 2025, with a CAGR of 97.4% over the next six years [26] - Major brands are entering the AI glasses market, leading to increased competition and innovation [4][39] Summary by Sections AI Glasses Market Overview - In Q1 2025, global AI glasses sales reached 600,000 units, a 216% increase year-on-year, driven primarily by the success of Ray-Ban Meta glasses [20] - The report highlights that over 60 manufacturers are currently developing AI glasses, indicating a highly competitive landscape [43] SoC and Component Analysis - The main control SoC accounts for approximately 30% of the total BOM (Bill of Materials) cost of AI glasses, significantly influencing product performance and user experience [5][29] - The report identifies three main SoC solutions: single-chip SoC, dual-chip SoC with a co-processor, and a main SoC with a separate ISP [6][50] Key Players and Products - Major companies such as Meta, Xiaomi, and various domestic brands are actively launching AI glasses, with Meta's Ray-Ban Meta leading in sales [39][40] - The report suggests monitoring companies in the AI glasses chip supply chain, including Hengxuan Technology, Aojie Technology, and others [6] Future Projections - The report anticipates that by 2025, Meta will release a new AI glasses model, Hypernova, which will include a heads-up display [32] - The competitive landscape is expected to intensify as more smartphone manufacturers and tech companies enter the AI glasses market [4][39]

Core Viewpoint - Qualcomm's CEO Cristiano Amon stated that Xiaomi's self-developed chips are not expected to impact Qualcomm's business, emphasizing that Qualcomm will continue to be a strategic supplier for Xiaomi's chip needs [1] Group 1 - Qualcomm's Snapdragon chips are currently used in Xiaomi's flagship devices and will continue to be utilized in future models [1]