Stellantis(STLA.US)盘前跌超3.5%，报9.36美元。消息面上，Stellantis公布上半年初步数据，净营收同比 下降13%至743亿欧元，主要受累于北美及欧洲销售下跌；较去年同期由盈转亏，录得净亏损23亿欧 元。公司已重新制定财务指引，预计下半年财报将继续按半年录得改善，预计收入将有所增加，经调整 经营溢利率呈低单位数，工业自由现金流表现会有改善。另外，Stellantis预计今年关税净冲击约为15亿 欧元，当中3亿欧元会在上半年入账。(格隆汇) ...

Core Insights - Stellantis has reinstated its financial guidance and anticipates a gradual recovery in the coming months despite reporting a significant net loss in the first half of the year [1][3][4] Financial Performance - The company reported a first-half net loss of 2.3 billion euros ($2.65 billion), a stark contrast to a net profit of 5.6 billion euros in the same period of 2024 [1][2] - First-half net revenues were 74.3 billion euros, reflecting a 13% year-on-year decline, primarily due to decreases in North America and other regions [2] Future Outlook - Stellantis expects increased net revenues, low-single-digit adjusted operating income profitability, and improved industrial free cash flow in the second half of the year [3] - The CEO emphasized the importance of leveraging the strengths and ideas of the workforce to address current challenges and improve results [4][5]

Stellantis expects a €1.2 billion hit from tariffs in second half of this year as it restores guidance following the EU-US trade deal https://t.co/jUgiuUv4By ...

Stellantis上半年净营收743亿欧元 同比下降13% 智通财经7月29日电，Stellantis发布2025年上半年财报显示，净营收743亿欧元，同比下降13%，主要受 北美和欧洲地区同比下滑影响，部分被南美地区增长所抵消，上半年净亏损23亿欧元，去年同期为净利 润56亿欧元。 ...

Core Insights - Stellantis reported a challenging first half of 2025, with net revenues of €74.3 billion, down 13% compared to H1 2024, primarily due to declines in North America and Enlarged Europe, partially offset by growth in South America [6][8] - The company experienced a net loss of €2.3 billion in H1 2025, a significant decline from a net profit of €5.6 billion in H1 2024, reflecting the impact of external headwinds and strategic challenges [8][6] - A new leadership team, led by CEO Antonio Filosa, has been established to navigate the company through these challenges and focus on profitable growth [7][9] Financial Performance - Net revenues decreased from €85.0 billion in H1 2024 to €74.3 billion in H1 2025, marking a 13% decline [5][8] - Adjusted operating income fell to €0.5 billion with a margin of 0.7%, down from €8.5 billion and 10.0% in the previous year, indicating a 94% decrease in operating performance [5][8] - Industrial free cash flows were negative at €3.0 billion, worsening from a negative €0.4 billion in H1 2024, driven by high capital expenditures and R&D costs [5][8] Market Dynamics - The company faced significant external challenges, including foreign exchange headwinds, tariffs, and declines in European light commercial vehicle (LCV) industry volumes [6][8] - Despite these challenges, Stellantis reported sequential improvements in shipments, net revenues, and adjusted operating income compared to H2 2024, indicating a gradual recovery [2][8] Strategic Initiatives - Stellantis launched four new models in H1 2025 and plans to introduce ten new models throughout the year, aiming to enhance market share and customer engagement [10][11] - The company has re-established financial guidance for H2 2025, expecting increased net revenues and low-single digit adjusted operating income profitability [15][8] - Stellantis is actively engaging with policymakers regarding tariff impacts, estimating a net tariff impact of approximately €1.5 billion for 2025 [14][8] Segment Performance - North America reported a significant decline in shipments and net revenues, with a net loss of €951 million in H1 2025 compared to a profit of €4.4 billion in H1 2024 [18][20] - South America showed resilience with a 5% increase in net revenues, driven by higher shipments, particularly in Argentina [19][23] - The Enlarged Europe segment also faced challenges, with a decrease in shipments and net revenues, reflecting ongoing market pressures [18][20]

Group 1: Market Reaction and Expectations - Investors expect a rebound in European stock markets following the trade agreement between the US and EU, with automotive and luxury goods manufacturers leading the rise [1][3] - The Stoxx 600 index is currently 2.3% lower than its historical high in March, indicating potential for recovery in sectors heavily impacted by tariffs [3] - The agreement is seen as a significant boost for the European stock market, especially during the earnings season [3] Group 2: Key Sectors and Companies - The automotive sector, including companies like Stellantis, Volkswagen Group, Mercedes-Benz Group, and BMW, is expected to benefit significantly from the 15% tariff agreement [3][4] - Luxury goods manufacturers such as LVMH, Kering, and Ferragamo are also in focus, as North America is a crucial market for the luxury sector [3] - Beverage manufacturers and shipping companies, including Diageo, Remy Cointreau, and Maersk, are highlighted due to their sensitivity to freight business and tariffs [4] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Market sentiment is cautious, with some investors warning that the initial rise may be temporary until more details about the trade agreement are clarified [4][5] - Analysts suggest that while there may be a short-term rebound, long-term implications could suppress economic growth in Europe [5] - The automotive sector is identified as a major winner from the tariff agreement, with potential benefits also extending to US defense and energy sectors due to EU procurement commitments [5]

Group 1 - Multiple companies are scheduled to release their earnings reports throughout the week, indicating a busy earnings season [1] - On Monday, companies like 铿腾电子 are set to report their performance [1] - On Tuesday, Stellantis and AstraZeneca will release their earnings before the European market opens [1] Group 2 - Major U.S. companies such as Boeing, UnitedHealth, and Procter & Gamble are expected to report earnings before the U.S. market opens on Tuesday [1] - Following that, Visa, Booking, and Starbucks will report their earnings after the U.S. market closes on Tuesday [1] - On Wednesday, significant tech companies including Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Qualcomm, and Arm Holdings are scheduled to release their earnings after the U.S. market closes [1] Group 3 - Mastercard is set to report its earnings before the U.S. market opens on Thursday [1] - Apple, Amazon, MicroStrategy, Coinbase, and Coherent will report their earnings after the U.S. market closes on Thursday [1] - On Friday, ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals are expected to release their earnings before the U.S. market opens [1]

Stellantis hired Gilles Vidal, one of Renault’s top design executives, as the maker of Peugeot cars seeks a makeover under its new CEO https://t.co/5FoVVPNNS9 ...

Summary of U.S. Autos & Auto Parts Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the U.S. automotive industry, particularly the impact of tariffs on earnings and production for major Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) such as Ford, GM, and Stellantis [2][17][19]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Tariff Impact on Earnings**: The upcoming Q2 results will prominently display the costs associated with tariffs, with estimates suggesting an EBIT impact ranging from €1.8 billion to $5 billion for OEMs [3][19]. 2. **Demand Pull-Forward**: There has been a temporary boost in sales due to tariff-induced demand pull-forward in April and May, but this is not expected to be sustainable [4][25]. 3. **Production Cuts**: OEMs are expected to cut production in H2 2025, which may lead to disappointing sales and earnings as the market softens [2][6][19]. 4. **Consumer Environment**: A weakening consumer environment, driven by tariff-induced inflation and a shift towards lower-paying jobs, is likely to reduce discretionary spending on automobiles [6][19]. 5. **Electric Vehicle (EV) Market**: The demand for Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) has improved, but policy headwinds and the removal of tax credits may create challenges for OEMs, particularly the Detroit Three [5][19]. 6. **OEM Strategies**: Ford, GM, and Stellantis are increasing U.S. content and working with suppliers to comply with USMCA, but these strategies have not yet effectively mitigated costs [19][24]. 7. **Stellantis Positioning**: Stellantis is seen as better positioned among the Detroit Three due to its international operations, which reduce its tariff exposure [11][18]. 8. **Rivian and Polestar Challenges**: Rivian's tariff impact is delayed due to inventory management, while Polestar faces challenges from geopolitical tensions affecting its global production strategy [12][24]. Important but Overlooked Content 1. **Market Share Stability**: Despite the challenges, market share for GM and Stellantis has remained stable at approximately 17% and 7%, respectively, with Ford increasing its share to 14% [25]. 2. **Pricing Trends**: There has been no significant change in pricing or discounts across the sector, indicating that OEMs have absorbed tariff costs without passing them onto consumers [19][25]. 3. **Long-term Outlook**: The long-term growth plans for companies like Polestar may need to be reassessed due to the impact of U.S. tariffs and trade tensions [24]. Financial Metrics - **Ford**: Estimated gross EBIT impact of $2.5 billion for the remainder of 2025, with a total annual estimate of $3.75 billion [19]. - **GM**: Estimated EBIT drag from tariffs is between $4 billion and $5 billion, with a structural cost shift closer to $7 billion to $8 billion [19]. - **Stellantis**: Expected to manage a net tariff impact in the U.S. of approximately €1 billion to €1.5 billion [18]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the U.S. automotive industry's current state and future outlook, particularly in light of tariff impacts and changing consumer dynamics.

Group 1 - The recent US-Japan trade agreement is viewed as a significant victory by President Trump, but it raises concerns for American automakers who fear competitive disadvantages [1][2] - The agreement reduces the "reciprocal tariff" rate from 25% to 15%, with a 12.5% tariff on Japanese cars, leading to a total of 15% when combined with the previous 2.5% tariff [1] - American automakers, represented by a trade organization, argue that the agreement gives Japanese cars an advantage over those produced by the "Big Three" automakers in the US [1][2] Group 2 - The US automotive policy committee chairman states that American companies and workers are at a disadvantage due to high tariffs on steel, aluminum, and vehicle parts [2] - General Motors reported an $1.1 billion loss in the second quarter due to the tariffs, with expectations of worsening impacts in the third quarter [2] - The White House claims the agreement will create hundreds of thousands of jobs in the US and lead to a $550 billion investment from Japan [2] Group 3 - Concerns exist regarding the actual penetration of American cars in the Japanese market, which is known for being one of the most closed automotive markets globally [3] - Only 6% of cars sold in Japan are imported from other countries, and the market favors smaller vehicles over the larger American trucks and SUVs [3] - The US Treasury Secretary warned that higher tariffs would be reinstated if Japan does not comply with the trade agreement [3]