Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is leading growth, with smart devices supporting "new quality productivity" as a clear example of China's economic transition towards high-quality development. The growth in these sectors is driven by technological innovation and improvements in total factor productivity [27][30] - The demand for high-performance memory, particularly in AI servers and data centers, is driving a strong upward trend in DRAM prices, indicating a new cycle of prosperity in the storage chip industry [24][29] Industry Data Tracking - Global smartphone shipments reached 336 million units in Q4 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.28% [2][18] - Global semiconductor sales amounted to $75.3 billion in November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.8% [21][22] - The storage chip industry is experiencing a significant upturn, with DRAM prices rising sharply since June 2025 due to strong demand from AI applications and data centers [24][29] Investment Recommendations - Focus on technology-intensive sectors such as smart consumer devices and semiconductors, which are becoming core drivers of economic growth in China. The domestic semiconductor industry is making significant strides in design, manufacturing, and equipment, which supports the development of strategic emerging industries like electronic information and artificial intelligence [27][30] - Attention should be given to domestic equipment and materials companies that have entered the mainstream chip manufacturing supply chain, as they are crucial to China's self-sufficiency strategy in the semiconductor sector [27][30]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is leading growth, with smart devices supporting "new quality productivity" as a clear example of China's economic transition towards high-quality development. The growth in these sectors is driven by technological innovation and improvements in total factor productivity [27][30]. - The report highlights the strong demand for high-performance memory driven by AI servers and new generation PCs, indicating that the storage chip industry is entering a new upcycle [24][29]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44% to 4117.95 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.62% to 14205.89 points during the week of January 26 to February 1, 2026. The three major indices showed slight fluctuations but remained above the 10-day moving average, indicating strong short-term support [1][7]. Industry Data Tracking - Global smartphone shipments reached 336 million units in Q4 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.28%. However, China's smartphone shipments saw a significant decline of 29.4% year-on-year in December 2025 [18]. - Global semiconductor sales reached $75.3 billion in November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.8% [21][22]. - The storage chip industry is experiencing a strong upward trend in DRAM prices since June 2025, driven by robust demand from AI servers and data centers [24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on technology-intensive sectors like smart consumer devices and semiconductors, which are becoming core drivers of economic growth. It emphasizes the importance of domestic semiconductor companies that have made breakthroughs in design, manufacturing, and equipment [27][30]. - The report recommends paying attention to domestic equipment and materials companies that have entered the mainstream chip manufacturing supply chain, as they are crucial to China's self-sufficiency strategy in the semiconductor industry [30][29]. Industry News - Alibaba's Tsinghua Unigroup launched its high-end AI chip "Zhenwu 810E," which has been deployed in various applications, showcasing advancements in domestic chip technology [30][31]. - Two semiconductor companies announced price increases for their chips due to supply constraints and rising costs, indicating a tightening market [32][33]. - The semiconductor industry chain achieved significant profit growth, with integrated circuit manufacturing profits increasing by 172.6% in 2025 [34].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the equity market and commodity market experienced a surge followed by a decline, with significant emotional amplification observed. The resource sector became the main focus of the market, leading to increased trading volume, but a subsequent profit-taking wave caused a sharp drop in precious and base metals, impacting the equity market as well [1][8][11] - The report highlights that the A-share market is experiencing increased volatility, with resource sectors like non-ferrous metals and gold taking over as the short-term market leaders. However, the market is cautioned against high-level risks due to the lack of performance support in low-performing sectors like liquor and real estate [2][12][11] - The report suggests a "barbell strategy" for asset allocation, recommending a focus on sectors that have undergone sufficient corrections, such as innovative pharmaceuticals and communications for the offensive side, while defensive opportunities may be found in dividend-paying sectors like banks [4][13] Group 2 - The bond market is showing signs of recovery, driven by expectations of increased liquidity and a shift of funds seeking safety from the equity market's volatility. This trend is expected to continue in the short term, although long-term challenges remain due to competition for capital from the commodity and equity markets [5][36] - The commodity market is under pressure after a period of rapid growth, with significant corrections observed in precious metals and other commodities. The report warns of potential volatility in the short term but notes that long-term demand for gold and industrial metals remains strong due to technological advancements [6][45][44] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the dual innovation narrative in the equity market, as it is expected to drive future growth amid ongoing liquidity support and a global easing cycle [12][11][13]

证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 建筑业 PMI 下降，板块跑输沪深 300 【2026.1.26-2026.2.1】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.2.3 建筑装饰行情走势图 大同证券研究中心 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑输指数。A 股主要指数涨跌互 现，贵金属市场剧烈波动，受美联储主席提名凯文·沃什（被 视为鹰派）影响，纽约黄金单日暴跌超 9%，白银跌幅达 26%， 引发全球杠杆多头集中平仓，国内交易所同步上调交易保证金 比例，短期情绪剧烈震荡。ETF 资金显著分流，周期与商品类 ETF 单周净流入超 600 亿元，沪港深黄金 ETF 领涨；而 A 股大 盘与中小盘 ETF 遭遇巨额赎回，单周净流出近 3000 亿元，显 示资金从宽基指数向主题性资源资产集中。保险板块估值修 复，在"报行合一"政策推动下， ...

证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 建筑业 PMI 下降，板块跑输沪深 300 【2026.1.26-2026.2.1】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.2.3 建筑装饰行情走势图 大同证券研究中心 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑输指数。A 股主要指数涨跌互 现，贵金属市场剧烈波动，受美联储主席提名凯文·沃什（被 视为鹰派）影响，纽约黄金单日暴跌超 9%，白银跌幅达 26%， 引发全球杠杆多头集中平仓，国内交易所同步上调交易保证金 比例，短期情绪剧烈震荡。ETF 资金显著分流，周期与商品类 ETF 单周净流入超 600 亿元，沪港深黄金 ETF 领涨；而 A 股大 盘与中小盘 ETF 遭遇巨额赎回，单周净流出近 3000 亿元，显 示资金从宽基指数向主题性资源资产集中。保险板块估值修 复，在"报行合一"政策推动下， ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The construction and decoration sector outperformed the index, supported by both supply-demand dynamics and policy initiatives. The central bank injected a net of 812.8 billion yuan through reverse repos, and liquidity conditions improved with most funding rates declining [4][7] - The construction industry continues to show structural differentiation, with infrastructure investment improving seasonally under the support of policy financial tools. New infrastructure and renewable energy sectors are performing well, while the real estate market remains in a bottoming phase [5][6] - The fiscal policy for 2026 is expected to remain proactive, with significant issuance of special bonds to support major projects, enhancing funding security for project implementation [4][5] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction industry is experiencing a structural differentiation, with infrastructure investment showing seasonal improvement due to policy support. New infrastructure and renewable energy sectors are highlighted as bright spots, while the real estate market is still in a bottoming phase [5][6] - The construction site funding availability is weaker year-on-year, but there is an increase in major project initiations across various regions, indicating a potential marginal improvement in demand [5][6] Investment Recommendations - Focus on low-valuation, high-dividend stocks in a low-interest-rate environment, particularly those with strong performance and stable cash flow [6] - Pay attention to key projects supported by the government and companies with clear transformation directions and growth potential [6] Weekly Market Review - During the week of January 12-18, 2026, the construction and decoration sector rose by 0.27%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [8] - The sector saw a mix of project launches and collaborations, with significant progress in various infrastructure projects [8][9] Industry Valuation - As of January 16, 2026, the construction and decoration industry has a PE (TTM) of 13.58 times, ranking 29th out of 31 industries, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to other sectors [14] - The PB (LF) stands at 0.84 times, also ranking 29th out of 31, suggesting that the industry is undervalued [14] Industry Data Tracking - The construction PMI for December 2025 was 52.80%, indicating a slight increase in industry sentiment, with new orders showing signs of recovery [28] - The cement dispatch rate remained stable, while the price of ordinary bulk cement decreased slightly, reflecting a weak supply-demand balance in the market [33][37]

证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 板块跑赢指数，供需与政策双维发力 【2026.1.12-2026.1.18】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.1.20 建筑装饰行情走势图 数据来源：Wind 大同证券 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 地址：山西太原长治路 111 号山 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 风险提示 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑赢指数，央行通过逆回购净投 放 8128 亿元，重启 14 天逆回购呵护流动性，资金利率多数下 行，同业存单净融资为负且各期限利率分化，10 年期国债等 利率债收益率小幅下行。外汇市场上，美元指数受避险需求支 撑连升三周，人民币依托出口数据向好与结汇力量保持韧性。 股票市场多数指数上涨，科创 50 指数领涨 4.05%，计算机等 行业表现突出，国防军工等行业跌幅靠前。商品市场中黄金受 地缘风险支撑价格上涨。宏观层面，2025 年 12 月 ...

证券研究报告——建筑装饰行业周报 板块跑赢指数，供需与政策双维发力 【2026.1.12-2026.1.18】 行业评级：看好 发布日期：2026.1.20 建筑装饰行情走势图 数据来源：Wind 大同证券 分析师：张坤飞 执业证书编号：S0770524020001 邮箱：zhangkf@dtsbc.com.cn 地址：山西太原长治路 111 号山 西世贸中心 A 座 F12、F13 网址:http://www.dtsbc.com.cn 风险提示 基建、地产等投资不及预期；宏观流动性收紧风险；地方融资 平台违约风险；关税影响增强的风险。 核心观点 权益市场涨跌互现，建筑装饰跑赢指数，央行通过逆回购净投 放 8128 亿元，重启 14 天逆回购呵护流动性，资金利率多数下 行，同业存单净融资为负且各期限利率分化，10 年期国债等 利率债收益率小幅下行。外汇市场上，美元指数受避险需求支 撑连升三周，人民币依托出口数据向好与结汇力量保持韧性。 股票市场多数指数上涨，科创 50 指数领涨 4.05%，计算机等 行业表现突出，国防军工等行业跌幅靠前。商品市场中黄金受 地缘风险支撑价格上涨。宏观层面，2025 年 12 月 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is optimistic [1] Core Viewpoints - The construction industry is experiencing a simultaneous contraction in total volume and structural differentiation, with infrastructure investment showing localized resilience under policy support, while the real estate market continues to drag down construction business [6] - The issuance of special bonds is expected to reach 4.5-5 trillion yuan, providing ample funding for major projects [5][6] - The demand in real estate and infrastructure is still at a bottoming stage, with significant projects being launched to expand domestic demand, particularly in water conservancy, new infrastructure, overseas business, and the western region [6] - The upstream building materials market is showing mixed performance, with cement supply and demand weak and prices declining, while rebar production is increasing but prices remain low [6][29] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction industry is facing a dual challenge of total contraction and structural differentiation, with infrastructure investment showing some resilience due to policy support [6] - The real estate market continues to struggle, impacting the construction business negatively [6] Market Performance - In the week of January 5-11, 2026, the construction decoration sector outperformed major indices, with a weekly increase of 5.72% [9] - The A-share market saw significant trading volume, with a total of 14.26 trillion yuan [5] Investment Recommendations - Focus on low-valuation, high-dividend stocks in a context of loose liquidity and low interest rates, particularly those with strong performance and stable cash flow [7] - Pay attention to key projects supported by the state and companies with clear transformation directions and growth potential [7] Financial Data - As of January 9, 2026, the construction decoration industry's PE (TTM) is 13.54 times, ranking 30 out of 31 industries, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to other sectors [10] - The PB (LF) is 0.84 times, also ranking 30 out of 31, suggesting a low position in terms of valuation [10] High-frequency Data - Cement shipment rates are seasonally declining, with prices for both bagged and bulk cement decreasing [29] - Rebar production is up, but prices are down, indicating a challenging market environment [29] Key Events - Major projects and policies are being implemented, such as the launch of 28 major transportation projects in Henan with a total investment of 800 billion yuan [9] - The construction of key infrastructure projects is being prioritized to enhance regional development [9]

Market Review - The equity market saw most major indices decline, with the North Certificate 50 experiencing the largest drop of 1.55%. The majority of industry indices underperformed compared to the Wind All A Index [5][6] - In the bond market, both short and long-term interest rates rose, with the 10-year government bond yield increasing by 0.97 basis points to 1.847% [9][10] - The commodity market also faced declines, with the South China Commodity Index down by 0.71% and COMEX gold dropping by 4.63% [13][14] Equity Product Allocation Strategy - Event-driven strategies include focusing on the upcoming CES 2026, with recommended funds such as Jiashi Technology Innovation (007343), Jiaoyin Technology Innovation A (519767), and Huaxia Innovation Frontier A (002980) [15][16] - The 2026 consumption upgrade policy suggests attention to funds like Jiashi New Consumption A (001044), ICBC New Generation Consumption (005526), and Huaxia Consumption Selection A (017719) [17] - With spot gold falling below $4500, funds such as Huazhong Gold ETF Link A (000216), Jiashi Shanghai Gold ETF Link A (016581), and Qianhai Kaiyuan Gold and Silver Jewelry A (001302) are recommended [18] Asset Allocation Strategy - The overall strategy emphasizes a balanced core with a barbell approach, focusing on dividend and technology stocks along with high-end manufacturing [19][20] - Recommended funds include Anxin Dividend Select A (018381), Huaxia Smart Pioneer (501219), and Boshi Military Industry Theme A (004698) [24] Stable Product Allocation Strategy - Key market analyses include the central bank's net injection of 737.4 billion yuan and the PMI returning to the expansion zone at 50.1% [26] - Recommended products for stable allocation include Nord Short Bond A (005350) and Guotai Lianan Medium and Short Bond A (016947) [27]