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当升科技(300073):2025年一季报分析:量增利稳盈利稳健,关注海外放量及新技术进展
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-23 08:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.908 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.7%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 111 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.22% and a significant quarter-on-quarter increase. The non-recurring net profit was 67 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 36.13% but a quarter-on-quarter turnaround [2][4]. - The company is expected to see further growth in shipments of positive electrode products, particularly from overseas clients, with iron-lithium positive electrode shipments anticipated to increase significantly. The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 10.93%, down 3.96 percentage points year-on-year but up 0.57 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [11]. - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to the parent company of 500 million yuan in 2025, driven by the growth of overseas clients and rising metal prices, which are expected to enhance profitability [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 1.908 billion yuan, a 25.8% increase year-on-year, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 111 million yuan, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 0.22% [2][4]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 10.93%, with a year-on-year decline of 3.96 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.57 percentage points [11]. Business Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in its ternary positive electrode business, with contributions expected from overseas clients such as SK and LG. The iron-lithium business is also expected to grow as domestic and international energy storage clients ramp up [11]. - New technology developments, including high-nickel ternary and sodium batteries, are progressing well, which may further enhance the company's market position [11].
泰胜风能(300129):2024年经营短暂承压,订单充裕奠定交付景气基础
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-23 08:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 4.84 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.5%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to decline by 37.8% to 180 million yuan, with a non-recurring net profit also decreasing by 29.1% to 180 million yuan [2][4]. Revenue Analysis - In 2024, the company's revenue from land towers is expected to be 4.026 billion yuan, an increase of 15.2% year-on-year. Steel tower shipments are projected to reach 480,000 tons, reflecting a growth of approximately 10%. The revenue from mixed towers is anticipated to surge to 440 million yuan, a significant increase of 822% year-on-year. Conversely, revenue from offshore wind equipment is expected to decline by 37.8% to 672 million yuan, with offshore shipments dropping by 37% to 80,000 tons due to slower domestic offshore wind project initiation [8]. Profitability Insights - The overall gross margin for the company in 2024 is projected to be 13.8%, a decrease of 4.2 percentage points year-on-year. Both land and offshore wind gross margins are expected to decline, with overseas gross margins experiencing a more significant drop due to changes in customer structure [8]. Order Backlog - As of the end of 2024, the company has a total of approximately 4.917 billion yuan in executed and pending orders, which is a year-on-year increase of 28%. This includes 3.62 billion yuan from land towers (up 21%) and 1.27 billion yuan from offshore wind orders (up 61%). Domestic orders are around 3.72 billion yuan (up 48%), while foreign orders are 1.19 billion yuan (down 10%) [8]. Future Outlook - Looking ahead, the company is expected to benefit from a rapid increase in domestic wind power installations in 2025, which should lead to a significant rise in shipments and deliveries. The company is also actively expanding its overseas market presence, with production capacity in Yangzhou expected to contribute positively to its performance. The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is approximately 320 million yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of about 19 times [8].
泰胜风能(300129):Q1盈利短暂承压,订单同比高增有望支撑业绩释放
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-23 08:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company achieved approximately 790 million yuan in revenue for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.0%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was about 50 million yuan, a decrease of 17.5% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was approximately 40 million yuan, down 16.1% year-on-year [2][4] Revenue Analysis - The revenue growth in Q1 2025 is primarily attributed to an increase in offshore wind product shipments. The onshore wind orders completed were approximately 610 million yuan, a slight year-on-year decrease, while offshore wind orders completed were about 210 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 239%. Domestic orders reached approximately 440 million yuan, up 29% year-on-year, and overseas orders were about 400 million yuan, an increase of 14% year-on-year [10] Profitability Analysis - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 13.94%, a decrease of 6.06 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to changes in the customer structure for overseas sales. The operating expense ratio for Q1 2025 was 8.29%, down 2.99 percentage points year-on-year, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios showing respective declines [10] Order Backlog - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company had a total of approximately 5.014 billion yuan in executed and pending orders, a year-on-year increase of 21%. This includes 3.76 billion yuan in onshore tower orders (up 18% year-on-year) and 1.23 billion yuan in offshore wind orders (up 42% year-on-year). Domestic orders were about 3.79 billion yuan (up 44% year-on-year), while foreign orders were 1.23 billion yuan (down 18% year-on-year) [10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from rapid growth in domestic wind power installations in 2025, leading to increased shipment and delivery volumes. Additionally, the company is actively expanding into overseas markets, with production capacity in Yangzhou expected to contribute to performance flexibility. The estimated net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is approximately 320 million yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 19 times [10]
日内瓦中美联合声明点评:加征关税缓和,关注纺织制造板块修复
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-23 04:45
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨纺织品、服装与奢侈品 [Table_Title] 日内瓦中美联合声明点评:加征关税缓和,关注 纺织制造板块修复 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 短期,关税压制下优质制造企业或存低位布局机会,建议关注相关超跌标的;长期,仍利好格 局优、利润厚的优质龙头。建议重点关注白马龙头公司:华利集团、伟星股份、申洲国际,关 注强安全边际标的:健盛集团、鲁泰 A,高弹α标的:浙江自然、开润股份、兴业科技等公司。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于旭辉 魏杏梓 SAC:S0490518020002 SAC:S0490524020003 SFC:BUU942 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 纺织品、服装与奢侈品 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 日内瓦中美联合声明点评:加征关税缓和,关注 2] 纺织制造板块修复 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 ⚫ 短期,关税压制下优质制造企业或存低位布局机会,建议关注相关超跌标的;长期,仍利 好格局优、利润厚的优质龙头。建议重点关注白马龙头公司 ...
天奈科技(688116):出货保持增长,单壁管放量增厚盈利
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-22 13:11
丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨天奈科技(688116.SH) [Table_Title] 出货保持增长,单壁管放量增厚盈利 报告要点 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% [Table_Summary] 公司 2024 年全年营业收入 14.5 亿元,同比增长 3.1%;归母净利润 2.5 亿元,同比下降 15.8%; 扣非净利润 2.4 亿元,同比增长 13.6%。单季度看,公司 2024Q4 营业收入 4.1 亿元,同比增 长 17.9%,环比增长 3.6%;归母净利润 0.7 亿元,同比下降 50.2%,环比增长 0.7%;扣非净 利润 0.6 亿元,同比下降 8.9%,环比下降 5.6%。公司 2025Q1 营业收入 3.3 亿元,同比增长 9.0%,环比下降 17.9%;归母净利润 0.6 亿元,同比增长 8.1%,环比下降 14.0%;扣非净利 润 0.5 亿元,同比增长 0.1%,环比下降 15.5%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 叶之楠 SAC:S0490514040001 SAC:S0490522030001 SAC:S0490520 ...
数读基建深度2025M4:基建投资增速波动,关注后续资金落地
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-22 12:13
%% %% research.95579.com 行业研究丨深度报告丨建筑与工程 [Table_Title] 数读基建深度 2025M4:基建投资增速波动,关 注后续资金落地 %% %% 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 1)投资&订单:固定投资增速下滑,PMI 回落;2)实物工作量:水泥出库同比下滑,基建水 泥需求相对平稳;3)项目资金:政府债逐步下发,关注项目资金后续改善。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 张弛 张智杰 袁志芃 SAC:S0490520080022 SAC:S0490522060005 SFC:BUT917 龚子逸 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 21 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 建筑与工程 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 数读基建深度2] 2025M4:基建投资增速波动,关 注后续资金落地 [Table_Summary2] 投资&订单:固定投资增速下滑,PMI 回落 4 月制造业 PMI 环比回落至 50 以下,建筑业 PMI 环比亦有下降,建筑业细分项中,各项指标 均有下降,其中新 ...
难有趋势行情,关注曲线交易机会
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-22 12:13
丨证券研究报告丨 research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 难有趋势行情,关注曲线交易机会 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2021 年以来债市延续的"资产荒"的逻辑在今年并不适用,债市整体呈现"负债荒",负债缺 口和负债结构是今年债市交易的主线,当前市场缺少负债稳定的配置盘力量。债市难以趋势性 上行,在基本面稳定但仍有潜在不确定性的情况下,持续的负 carry 才能推动长端利率趋势性 回调,而二季度资金价格收紧概率不高。但债市近期缺乏赔率,模型显示 10bp 的正 carry 可拉 动银行间债市杠杆率抬升 0.1-0.2 个百分点左右。建议 10 年期国债收益率在 1.65%以上、30 年国债收益率在 1.9%以上逢调配置,负债稳定的机构可适当关注 3 年以上信用债票息机会。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 SAC:S0490524080003 SFC:BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% cjzqdt11111 2025-05-22 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title2 ...
鸿蒙PC正式发布,关注鸿蒙投资机遇
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-22 11:28
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] 鸿蒙 PC 正式发布,关注鸿蒙投资机遇 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 5 月 19 日,华为 nova 14 系列及鸿蒙电脑新品发布会如期举行,搭载 HarmonyOS 5 操作系 统的鸿蒙 PC 正式发布。此次搭载完全自研的 HarmonyOS 5 操作系统的鸿蒙电脑正式发布, 或将代表着鸿蒙正式进入国产操作系统市场,在国产化替代加速的背景下,有望凭借其加速建 设的鸿蒙生态,逐步提升其市场份额,从而惠及相关产业链。建议关注 1)华为鸿蒙 PC 产业 链,2)开源鸿蒙操作系统开发厂商。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 SAC:S0490520030004 SFC:BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 事件评论 丨证券研究报告丨 2025-05-22 行业研究丨点评报告 [Table_Rank]投资评级 看好丨维持 软件与服务 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 鸿蒙 PC 正式发布,关注鸿蒙投资机遇 [Tabl ...
光环新网(300383):老牌IDC厂商再启程
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-22 11:27
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10][12]. Core Insights - In 2024, driven by the AI wave, major internet companies are increasing their capital expenditures, leading to a resurgence in large-scale IDC tenders. By 2025, tighter national controls will further reduce supply, accelerating the improvement of the IDC supply-demand landscape, indicating an industry turning point. The company, as a veteran IDC provider, adheres to a dual-engine strategy of IDC and cloud computing, with cloud computing contributing core revenue growth and IDC business contributing core profit growth. The company has a stable cloud computing business tied to AWS and is set to secure major client orders in 2024, with ample resource reserves and potential for growth in Southeast Asia. Additionally, the company's debt ratio is significantly lower than its peers, providing ample financing space to benefit from the current IDC industry reversal [4][10][24]. Company Overview - The company was established in 1999, initially focusing on internet broadband access, and began IDC operations in Beijing in 2001. It has expanded its data center business through acquisitions and self-construction. In 2016, the company partnered with Amazon to operate AWS in China, marking its entry into the cloud computing sector. The company operates under a dual-engine model of "IDC + Cloud Computing," providing comprehensive digital infrastructure services [7][19]. IDC Market Dynamics - The IDC demand primarily stems from data storage and computing, with the internet being the main demand source. The IDC industry has experienced a supply-demand imbalance since 2020 due to increased supply from the "new infrastructure" policy and a slowdown in demand from major internet companies. However, in 2024, the AI wave is expected to drive renewed capital expenditures from internet giants, leading to a recovery in the IDC supply-demand balance and stabilization of prices [8][40]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue has remained stable, with a gradual recovery in performance since 2022. In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 7.28 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 7.31%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 381 million, down 1.68% year-on-year. The IDC business revenue was 2.09 billion, down 5.9%, while cloud computing revenue was 5.1 billion, down 8.0% [24][26][27]. Business Strategy - The company maintains a dual-engine strategy with cloud computing contributing over 70% of revenue and IDC business accounting for 25%-30%. The IDC business is the core profit contributor, with a gross margin of over 60%. The cloud computing business has been stable, leveraging its long-term partnership with AWS to provide comprehensive services [26][27][38]. Growth Potential - The company is well-positioned for future growth, with significant resource reserves and a strategic focus on expanding into Southeast Asia. The low debt ratio enhances its ability to finance rapid expansion in the capital-intensive IDC sector [10][9][24].
大小盘、成长价值维度看,海外主动基金能否跑赢基准?
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-22 09:16
战略数据研究丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 大小盘、成长价值维度看,海外主动基金能 否跑赢基准? %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 短期看,公募业绩考核一旦实施,或从边际资金定价上对低配行业有增量资金支撑效果,但是 中长期来看,考核结果是超额表现,挖掘个股板块机会仍是主动权益核心目标及跑赢基准的关 键。近阶段如今年 5 月 7 日至 16 日区间防御性风格向好,背后也有对贸易政策不确定性、新 兴产业缺乏新的催化剂等因素影响,无明确产业趋势和景气投资逻辑下,配置"不确定环境中 的相对安全性"或是短期共识。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈洁敏 SAC:S0490518120005 SFC:BUT348 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 23 %% %% 2 [Table_Title 大小盘、成长价值维度看,海外主动基金能否跑 2] 赢基准? [Table_Summary2] 理性对待锚定业绩基准考核的市场影响:不放大短期影响,不轻视长期效用 短期看,公募业绩考核一旦实施,或从边际资金定价上对低 ...