丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 会有负债压力和兑现浮盈需求吗？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 今年年初以来市场关注银行的负债压力及其对债市影响，一是一季度非银存款流失、资金面偏 紧。一季度债市的大幅调整，也使得银行有卖出部分 AC 账户和 OCI 账户债券来兑现收益、平 衡利润表的需求。二季度以来银行的负债压力和机构行为又面临一些新变化，同时也伴随着央 行流动性投放态度的变化、政府债发行高峰过去后资产扩张速度的变化、季末月兑现浮盈的态 度变化、存款利率调降后负债结构的变化，这些变化对银行配债有何影响？ 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马月 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490125010043 SFC：BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 cjzqdt11111 2025-06-09 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 今年年初以来市场关注银行的负债压力及其对债市影响，一方面信贷企稳、政府债发行量高于 往年 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [10][12]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading one-stop brand for home meal products in China, offering a diverse product range including hot pot, barbecue, beverages, single-serving meals, ready-to-cook packages, fresh produce, Western cuisine, and snacks [6][18]. - The company experienced explosive revenue growth from 2020 to 2022, but saw a decline in 2023, with a slight recovery expected in 2024 [6][10]. - The gross margin initially decreased but is projected to improve by 2025 due to enhancements in core products [6][10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates a comprehensive product portfolio that caters to various dining scenarios, supported by a robust community store network and a strong digital supply chain [6][18]. - The company has developed online sales channels, including its app and partnerships with third-party delivery platforms [6][18]. Revenue and Growth - Revenue surged from 2.965 billion to 7.173 billion from 2020 to 2022, driven by the "stay-at-home economy" and rapid franchise expansion [25]. - In 2023, revenue fell by 15% to 6.094 billion, but is expected to rebound to 6.470 billion in 2024, marking a 6.2% year-on-year increase [25]. Store Network and Market Strategy - The company maintains a stable store count of over 10,000, with plans to add 1,000 more stores in 2025, focusing on lower-tier markets [40][41]. - The store structure has shown a trend towards higher-tier cities, but future strategies will emphasize expansion into lower-tier markets [40][41]. Supply Chain and Brand Strength - The company has established a complete supply chain from production to sales, with six controlled factories and a focus on a "single product, single factory" model [55][56]. - Membership numbers have grown significantly, from 22.4 million in April 2023 to 41.33 million by December 2024, indicating increased consumer loyalty [55][66]. Market Outlook - The market for home meal products is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 20.7% from 2022 to 2027, with the company well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [9][69]. - The company aims to double its scale over the next five years, with a focus on expanding its presence in rural markets [9][69].

分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SFC：BQT626 SFC：BUT918 丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨金属、非金属与采矿 [Table_Title] 稀土战略价值凸显，关注白银股补涨机遇 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 衰退叙事阶段性受阻，强就业数据削弱降息预期压制金价。商品端，短期将继续步入宽幅震荡 格局；权益侧，整体低估背景下依旧保持乐观。值得重视的是，白银补涨趋势较强，银金比弱 势格局下，其补涨弹性可期。美国补库及美元走弱，工业金属企稳。在美国补库及美元走弱的 双重带动下，本周工业金属商品价格企稳：1）受美国再次提高钢铝关税影响，美国补库预期导 致美铜强势上涨，进而带动全球铜价反弹；2）美国 PMI 等经济数据走弱，压制美元表现，进 而也有助大宗走强。贸易关税反复，国际局势动荡，稀土战略配置价值再起。 王鹤涛 肖勇 叶如祯 王筱茜 肖百桓 SAC：S0490512070002 SAC：S0490516080003 SAC：S0490517070008 SAC：S0490519080004 SAC：S0490522080001 1 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% % ...

激浊扬清，周观军工 第122期： 军贸有望引领军工产能价值重估 长江证券研究所国防军工研究小组 2025-06-08 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 分析师及联系人 分析师 王贺嘉 分析师 王清 分析师 杨继虎 分析师 张晨晨 SAC执业证书编号：S0490520110004 SAC执业证书编号：S0490524050001 SAC执业证书编号：S0490525040001 SAC执业证书编号：S0490524080007 SFC执业证书编号：BUX462 联系人 张飞 联系人 李麟君 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 1 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • 评级 看好 维持 01 印尼宣布考虑采购中国J-10战机， 印巴冲突刺激中国装备加速出口 02 下一代战机有弹性：美国宣布F-47 项目，首推中航沈飞、中航高科 03 火炸药及弹药安全生产：含能材 料事故频发，升级改造迫在眉睫 04 十四五务期必成：甄选产品力提 升/渗透率提升/客单价提升标的 目 录 %% research.95579.com 3 01 印尼宣布考虑采购中国J-10战机， 印 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Summary] 本篇报告我们通过统计分析山东、广东、宁夏、江西、广西、贵州、河北、云南、福建 9 个省 份发布的危险废物利用处置设施投资建设引导性公告来分析国内危废行业的产能负荷率情况。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 徐科 任楠 贾少波 李博文 盛意 SAC：S0490517090001 SAC：S0490518070001 SAC：S0490520070003 SAC：S0490524080004 SFC：BUV415 SFC：BUZ393 行业研究丨专题报告丨环保 [Table_Title] 再生资源跟踪：见微知著，危废项目负荷率如 何？ 报告要点 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 再生资源跟踪：见微知著，危废项目负荷率如 2] 何？ [Table_Summary2] 危废供需：官方统计 2023 年产生量超 1 亿吨，核发资质产能增速快 根据生态环境统计年报，2023 年全国工业危险废物产生量 10546.5 万吨，利用处置量为 10502.9 万吨；其中产生量排名前 ...

行业研究丨深度报告丨纺织品、服装与奢侈品 [Table_Title] 海澜之家 V.S 优衣库：相同的性价比，不同的 发展路径 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 从定位来看，优衣库，品牌力领先和多元客群支撑下的大店和高店效；海澜之家，一定品牌力、 窄客群和广覆盖转化下的高坪效，均为一门性价比好生意。但扩张路径分化显著，成立初两者 均以低价代销和低成本开店跑通单店模型。而成长中，海澜基于国内广阔且分散的市场，利用 杠杆高效扩张，但在深挖门店效率方面抱憾。而优衣库在日本空间有限之下，通过产品升级、 品类扩容、直营大店实现了同店挖潜和效率升级。后期来看，海澜在主品牌国内遇扩张和效率 瓶颈，海外市场容量和适销性错配背景下，入局国内潜力巨大的城市奥莱新业态。优衣库在日 本本土空间趋于饱和下，借以 SAP 模式、较强的品牌和产品力加速全球扩张。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于旭辉 魏杏梓 SAC：S0490518020002 SAC：S0490524020003 SFC：BUU942 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 ...

行业研究丨深度报告丨建筑与工程 [Table_Title] 深度解析建筑板块并购重组 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本篇报告，我们梳理了建筑板块多家央企上市公司并购重组案例，包括：中材国际、深桑达 A、 中国能建、安徽建工、中交设计，这些企业公司通过并购重组整合了内外部优质资源，在业务 规模和竞争力方面，实现新的突破。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 张弛 张智杰 袁志芃 SAC：S0490520080022 SAC：S0490522060005 SFC：BUT917 龚子逸 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 27 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 建筑与工程 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 深度解析建筑板块并购重组 [Table_Summary2] 并购重组：央地政策频繁出台，建筑企业跨行业发展迎来机遇 2024 年新"国九条"发布，对活跃并购重组市场作出重要部署，2025 年 5 月，中国证监会发 布了《关于修改＜上市公司重大资产重组管理办 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [12] Core Views - The company is expected to experience rapid sales growth driven by its leading AI smart driving capabilities, enhanced marketing systems, and a strong new car cycle, with multiple new models anticipated to launch in 2025 [4][10] - The company is positioned to benefit from significant earnings elasticity due to scale improvements, cost reductions from platform and technology, and the expansion of software profitability models alongside continued growth in international markets [4][10] Summary by Sections Historical Review of New Energy Vehicles - The transition from policy-driven to consumer-driven demand for new energy vehicles has been marked by significant technological advancements and cost reductions, leading to a rapid increase in market penetration rates [20][21] - The report identifies three phases in the development of new energy vehicles: policy-driven (before 2019), product introduction (2020-2021), and hybrid power surge (post-2022) [20][21] Technological Advancements and Cost Reduction - The report highlights the continuous improvement in battery costs, which are projected to decrease significantly, enhancing the competitiveness of new energy vehicles [32][33] - The integration of advanced technologies in hybrid vehicles has led to improved fuel efficiency and reduced costs, making them more appealing to consumers [30][36] Smart Driving Capabilities - The company is leveraging its proprietary AI technology and cloud-based model training to enhance its smart driving features, which are expected to see significant advancements in the coming years [8][45] - The report emphasizes the importance of algorithms, computing power, and data in driving the evolution of smart driving technologies, positioning the company as a leader in this space [45][48] New Product Cycle - The company is set to launch a series of new models starting in Q3 2024, including the M03 and P7+, with additional strategic models planned for 2025, which will contribute to sustained sales growth [9][10] - The anticipated new product cycle is expected to significantly expand the company's market presence and sales volume [9][10] Investment Recommendations - The report projects the company's revenue to reach 99.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4x, reinforcing the investment thesis based on the company's strong positioning in the AI-driven automotive market [10]

行业研究丨深度报告丨纺织品、服装与奢侈品 [Table_Title] 海澜之家 V.S 优衣库：相同的性价比，不同的 发展路径 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 从定位来看，优衣库，品牌力领先和多元客群支撑下的大店和高店效；海澜之家，一定品牌力、 窄客群和广覆盖转化下的高坪效，均为一门性价比好生意。但扩张路径分化显著，成立初两者 均以低价代销和低成本开店跑通单店模型。而成长中，海澜基于国内广阔且分散的市场，利用 杠杆高效扩张，但在深挖门店效率方面抱憾。而优衣库在日本空间有限之下，通过产品升级、 品类扩容、直营大店实现了同店挖潜和效率升级。后期来看，海澜在主品牌国内遇扩张和效率 瓶颈，海外市场容量和适销性错配背景下，入局国内潜力巨大的城市奥莱新业态。优衣库在日 本本土空间趋于饱和下，借以 SAP 模式、较强的品牌和产品力加速全球扩张。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于旭辉 魏杏梓 SAC：S0490518020002 SAC：S0490524020003 SFC：BUU942 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 持续推荐板块优质红马，配置短期低估值寿 险股 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 二季度政策端与市场交投趋势稳中向好，我们认为优质的非银行业红马配置性价比仍较高，从盈利和分红 的稳定性维度出发，推荐江苏金租、中国平安及中国财险。寿险行业当前估值仍隐含了市场对于中长期较 为悲观的假设，我们认为在当前较为积极的政策环境和行业实际盈利情况来看，估值修复空间较大。推荐 新华保险、中国太保及中国人寿。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490521020001 SFC：BUV596 吴一凡 谢宇尘 盛晓双 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 2025-06-08 [Table_Title 持续推荐板块优质红马，配置短期低估值寿险 2] 股 [Table_Summary2] 核心观点： 1）二季度至今政策端与市场交投趋势稳中向好，展望后续，业绩基数有所上移，政策端维持 ...