Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of local government bond issuance, including issuance forecasts, historical reviews, special bond issuance progress, regional issuance plans and actual issuance, and weighted average issuance terms [1][5][6]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Local Government Bond Issuance Forecast and Review - **2/9 - 2/15 Forecast**: Local government bonds are expected to issue 32.2136 billion yuan, including 25.6607 billion yuan of new bonds (6.1593 billion yuan of new general bonds and 19.5014 billion yuan of new special bonds) and 6.5529 billion yuan of refinancing bonds (2.0884 billion yuan of refinancing general bonds and 4.4645 billion yuan of refinancing special bonds) [1][5]. - **2/2 - 2/8 Review**: A total of 57.9673 billion yuan of local government bonds were issued, including 20.9811 billion yuan of new bonds (7.5535 billion yuan of new general bonds and 13.4276 billion yuan of new special bonds) and 36.9861 billion yuan of refinancing bonds (4.4282 billion yuan of refinancing general bonds and 32.5579 billion yuan of refinancing special bonds) [1][6]. 2. Special Bond Issuance Progress - **Special Refinancing Bonds**: As of February 8, the fifth - round second - batch special refinancing bonds totaled 200 billion yuan, and the fifth - round third - batch totaled 58.3985 billion yuan, with an additional 3.3291 billion yuan disclosed next week. The top three regions in the fifth - round third - batch are Jiangsu (8 billion yuan), Zhejiang (5.64 billion yuan), and Henan (4.8295 billion yuan) [7]. - **Special New Special Bonds**: As of February 8, 2026 special new special bonds totaled 6.9406 billion yuan, and since 2023, they totaled 255.4672 billion yuan. The top three regions in total disclosure are Jiangsu (24.4035 billion yuan), Hubei (13.7769 billion yuan), and Henan (13.2534 billion yuan). In 2026, the top three regions are Zhejiang (1.17 billion yuan), Guangdong (1.096 billion yuan), and Liaoning (0.8914 billion yuan) [7]. 3. Regional Issuance Plans and Actual Issuance - **February 2026**: The expected issuance is 85.89 billion yuan, an increase of 29.53 billion yuan compared to the same period in 2025. The actual disclosed issuance is 90.18 billion yuan, with an expected repayment of 8.49 billion yuan and a net financing of 69.27 billion yuan. - **March 2026**: The expected issuance is 85.89 billion yuan, a decrease of 33.01 billion yuan compared to the same period in 2025. The expected repayment is 16.62 billion yuan, and the net financing is 69.27 billion yuan [8]. 4. Weighted Average Issuance Term - This week, the weighted average issuance term of local government bonds is 16.12 years, and next week it is 15.48 years. As of February 6, the weighted average issuance term in February is 16.12 years, a 20.5% decrease compared to the same period in 2025. As of February 6, 2026, it is 17.04 years, a 0.8% decrease compared to the same period in 2025 [9].

Market Overview - The A-share market exhibited a pattern of reduced volume and mixed fluctuations, with essential consumer and industrial sectors leading weekly gains[1] - The growth style's congestion level has decreased over the past two weeks, but remains lower than that of high-quality and growth stocks in absolute terms[1] Industry Insights - Congestion levels for agricultural products and banks have increased, while transportation and telecommunications sectors lag behind in weekly trading congestion[1] - Essential consumer and industrial sectors showed strong weekly performance, indicating a potential shift in market focus[4] Investment Trends - Institutional funds generally experienced a pullback as growth stocks declined, reflecting a broader trend of profit-taking among funds[4] - The Longjiang Manufacturing Champions and Low-Carbon Leaders indices performed well, highlighting specific thematic investment opportunities[4] Performance Metrics - The growth style indices showed a notable decline, with the Longjiang Growth Index down by 4.08% and the Longjiang High Valuation Index down by 6.20%[21] - In contrast, the Longjiang Low Valuation Index recorded a modest gain of 0.56%, indicating a preference for value-oriented investments during this period[31]

Group 1: Report Highlights - The widening spread between special-purpose bonds and general bonds was mainly driven by supply shocks and the differentiated risk weights of commercial banks. The relative relationship of spreads between 20Y and 30Y local government bonds was driven by changes in Treasury yields. There were regional differentiations in the primary spread levels of local government bonds, and the difference between primary and secondary spreads verified the differences in the marketization degree of issuance in each region. The liquidity level of local government bonds affected the historical spread changes. There were certain differences in the number of market quotes from brokers in each region, reflecting the differences in liquidity. Moreover, there were regular differentiations in the trading preferences of each province and various institutional entities [3]. Group 2: Core Views - The report systematically analyzed the investment value of local government bonds from two core dimensions: the changes in local government bond spreads and their influencing factors, and the trading and buying situations in the local government bond market. It provided in - depth analyses of the driving factors behind the widening of the spread between special - purpose bonds and general bonds from late 2024 to early 2025 and the change in the relative relationship between 20Y and 30Y local government bonds around Q4 2024. It also focused on the regional differentiations in primary and secondary spreads and their causes, and summarized the regular characteristics in trading and net - buying preferences in the market [78]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Exploration of Factors Affecting Local Government Bond Spreads 1.1 Widening of Spread between Special - Purpose Bonds and General Bonds - From 2020 to early 2024, the spread between special - purpose bonds and general bonds remained stable within the range of - 4 to 4bp. However, from late 2024 to early 2025, the spread widened significantly, reaching a peak of 8bp in early May 2025 and then gradually falling back to around 2bp. The main reasons were the concentrated supply shock of special - purpose bonds and the differentiated risk weights of commercial banks. In November and December 2024, over 2 trillion yuan of special - purpose bonds were issued, which exceeded the market demand and broke the supply - demand balance. The "Commercial Bank Capital Management Measures" implemented on January 1, 2024, differentiated the risk exposure weights of general bonds (10%) and special - purpose bonds (20%), which increased the capital occupation cost of commercial banks for special - purpose bonds and reduced their allocation demand [14][18]. 1.2 Changes in Spreads of 20Y and 30Y Local Government Bonds - The spread between 20Y and 30Y local government bonds changed around Q4 2024, with the spread of 30Y local government bonds minus that of 20Y local government bonds turning from negative to positive. This change was mainly due to the change in the relative level of 20Y and 30Y Treasury yields, as the change point of Treasury yields coincided with that of local government bond spreads [32]. 1.3 Difference between Primary and Secondary Spreads - From 2015 - 2025, the primary spreads of local government bonds showed significant regional differentiations and term - related characteristics. Regionally, the primary spreads were inversely related to the regional economic development level, with higher spreads in the central, western, and northeastern regions. In terms of term, the primary spread of 1Y local government bonds was relatively low, while those of 2 - 10Y bonds were generally over 20bp, and the spread of 5Y bonds was the highest at 23.21bp. The spreads of 15 - 30Y long - term local government bonds fluctuated around 18bp. The difference between primary and secondary spreads reflected the regional differentiations in the marketization degree of local government bond issuance. Some provinces had a small difference between primary and secondary spreads, while in some areas such as Ningbo, Shanghai, and Shenzhen, the non - marketization of issuance was more serious [35][40]. 1.4 Factors Affecting Spreads - The offensive and defensive characteristics of local government bonds changed significantly around August 2023. Before August 2023, local government bonds had stronger defensive attributes than Treasury bonds, and their spread changes were mainly passive. After August 2023, their offensive attributes became prominent, and the active widening and narrowing of spreads were obvious. The main reasons were the change in the participation of trading desks and the impact of policies on the supply term structure of local government bonds. The increase in the supply of special - purpose bonds also led to the widening of spreads in some stages [45][49][52]. 2. Analysis of Local Government Bond Trading and Buying 2.1 Bid/Ofr Quote Quantity and Spread - According to the sampling data of 10Y new local government bonds issued after August 8, 2025, in the broker market, there were significant differences in the liquidity of local government bonds in each region. Some regions had high broker - market activity, with sufficient bid and ofr quotes and active trading, while some regions had poor liquidity. The average bid - ofr difference of the sampled provinces was about 1.68bp, and the ChinaBond valuation price was generally 1 - 2bp higher than the ofr price [58]. 2.2 Regional Trading Patterns - By comparing the trading volume and trading value of local government bonds in 2024 and 2025, it was found that some regions had obvious trading preferences for certain - term local government bonds. For example, 1 - 3Y bonds were more actively traded in Zhejiang, 5 - 7Y bonds were more popular in Shenzhen, Chongqing, and Jiangsu, and long - term bonds with a term of over 20Y were actively traded in Fujian, Shandong, and Sichuan. The weighted average trading terms calculated by trading volume and trading value were consistent with the above - mentioned trading preferences [63]. 2.3 Net Buying - Based on the data from 2021 - 2025, different institutional entities had different net - buying preferences for local government bonds of different terms. Large - scale banks mainly focused on local government bonds with a term of less than seven years, rural commercial banks had a more diverse range of term preferences, city commercial banks' net - buying characteristics were similar to those of rural commercial banks, securities firms' self - operation mainly concentrated on 1 - 5Y local government bonds, funds' net - buying terms were more dispersed, and insurance companies showed an increasing preference for long - term local government bonds and were the largest net - buying entities for 15 - 30Y local government bonds [68]. 2.4 Cross - Market Trading Comparison - After the optimization of the local government bond transfer - custody business, it became more convenient to transfer local government bonds between the inter - bank market and the exchange market. The inter - bank market had the largest trading volume of local government bonds, and the absolute values of the differences between the trading prices in the inter - bank and broker markets and the ChinaBond valuation were smaller. The Shanghai Stock Exchange had a larger trading volume than the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, with higher trading yields [73][76].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 410 to 500 million yuan in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from losses [3][9]. - The company is benefiting from rapid growth in its seating business and ongoing overseas operational integration, which is expected to lead to substantial profit elasticity in the future [9]. - The company has a rich order backlog and is poised for increased profitability as orders materialize [9]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of 2.0 billion yuan in Q4 2025, representing a year-on-year turnaround and a 107.1% increase [9]. - For the first half of 2025, the seating business generated revenue of 1.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 121.2% [9]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 450 million, 900 million, and 1.25 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 42.4X, 21.2X, and 15.4X [9]. Business Development - The company is expanding its seating business and has made significant progress in global integration, with 24 projects currently in hand as of July 31, 2025 [9]. - The company is also diversifying into air conditioning vents and vehicle refrigerators, which have already secured multiple orders, enhancing future growth prospects [9]. Market Position - The company is leveraging its production and R&D efficiency, along with a high self-manufacturing rate, to penetrate major global automotive manufacturers [9]. - The integration of Grammer is expected to enhance decision-making and management, further driving the company's global seating business [9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [8] Core Insights - The liquor sector is currently experiencing a phase of "supply optimization and weak demand recovery," with inventory reduction ongoing during the Spring Festival cycle. Moutai's performance in terms of volume and price has shown continuous improvement before the festival, and the trend of exchanging price for volume is expected to accelerate inventory reduction [2][7] - The demand for consumer goods is expected to gradually recover, with the Spring Festival stocking period potentially leading to a strong start to the year. Recommended companies include Ganhe Weiye, Guizhou Moutai, Guoquan, Mengniu Dairy, Angel Yeast, Wuliangye, Wancheng Group, Anjixin Food, Qiaqia Food, Babi Food, Ruoyu Chen, Dongpeng Beverage, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Kuaijishan [2][7] Summary by Sections Dairy Products Supply and Demand Trends - The deep processing and low-temperature liquid milk sectors are driving structural prosperity in the dairy industry. The price of raw milk has stabilized, indicating an approaching supply-demand inflection point. The total sales scale of various dairy products in China for 2024 is estimated to be approximately 653.5 billion yuan, with liquid milk at 355 billion yuan, milk powder at 176.6 billion yuan, and other dairy products at 121.9 billion yuan. While liquid milk and milk powder are expected to decline year-on-year, other dairy products (such as cheese and cream) are projected to continue growing, with growth in other dairy products expected to outpace that of liquid milk and milk powder over the next five years [4][18] - The per capita consumption of dairy products in China for 2024 is estimated to be about 40.5 kg per person per year, indicating significant room for improvement compared to the world average and other developed economies [20] - The consumption scale of chilled and ambient liquid milk in 2024 is projected to be 265.3 billion yuan and 89.7 billion yuan, respectively. The penetration rate of chilled milk is expected to rise to over 30% by 2029, up from 25% in 2024 [22] Market Review - Since the beginning of 2026, the Food and Beverage (Yangtze River) Index has risen by 4.88%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which has increased by 0.29%. This performance is primarily driven by the liquor, seasoning, and soft drink sectors due to the stocking effect of the Spring Festival [6][35] - The white liquor sector continues to show improvement in sales dynamics, with high-end liquor performing the best. The overall market is expected to benefit from the ongoing inventory reduction and the gradual recovery of demand [7][35]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - The report highlights that the online demand for Moutai has shown strong explosive growth, supporting the price stability of Moutai. Additionally, some inventory replenishment demand has amplified the price fluctuations of Moutai. On the supply side, changes in the delivery rhythm have also caused certain disturbances to Moutai's wholesale prices [2][7] Summary by Sections Moutai Price Fluctuations - Since the beginning of 2026, Moutai's wholesale prices have experienced volatility. The price of original Moutai bottles dropped to around 1505 CNY per bottle at the start of 2026 but subsequently broke through the 1600 CNY and 1700 CNY thresholds by the end of January. As of February 5, 2026, the price rose to 1660 CNY per bottle [6][17] - For bulk Moutai, the price initially fell to 1490 CNY per bottle, then rose to 1650 CNY by the end of January, before dropping to 1570 CNY in early February, and finally rebounding to 1610 CNY by February 5 [6][17] Demand and Supply Analysis - Demand: The "i Moutai" app had over 15.31 million active users in January 2026, with more than 1.45 million users purchasing desired products, resulting in over 2.12 million transactions. The explosive online demand has supported Moutai's strong price performance. Additionally, some channel replenishment and purchasing demand have further increased price volatility [7][18] - Supply: During the Spring Festival peak season, demand is favorable, but the overall supply of Moutai is tight, with limited channel inventory. Some regions have applied for additional quotas, and certain distributors have begun selling March quotas for Moutai [7][18] Short-term and Long-term Price Outlook - In the short term, Moutai is expected to achieve a narrow bottom fluctuation as supply is gradually controlled, and demand is recovering. The acceleration of pre-holiday supply will help control prices post-holiday. In the long term, Moutai's price fluctuations will be determined by economic growth and supply growth factors [8][21] - The report emphasizes that Moutai's price fluctuations are fundamentally driven by supply and demand relationships. Demand is closely related to residents' income and consumer confidence, while supply is influenced by Moutai's pricing strategy. Since 2009, the number of Moutai bottles that urban residents can purchase monthly has fluctuated around a historical average of 2 bottles [8][22]

[Table_Title] 四季度主动权益基金主动加仓前四大行业： 金属、化学品、保险和机械设备 金融工程丨深度报告 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 与 2025 年三季报相比，2025 年四季度主动权益基金增持最多的四个行业为电信业务（1.90 pct）、金属材料及矿业（1.90pct）、化学品（1.10 pct）和保险（0.94 pct）。从主动调仓角度来 看，主动加仓最多的四个行业分别是金属材料及矿业（0.99 pct）、化学品（0.86 pct）、保险（0.77 pct）和机械设备（0.59 pct）。剔除行业主题基金影响后，主动加仓最多的四个行业分别是保险 （1.03pct）、金属材料及矿业（0.90pct）、化学品（0.86pct）和机械设备（0.62pct）。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 覃川桃 杨凯杰 SAC：S0490513030001 SAC：S0490525080004 SFC：BUT353 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 31 %% %% %% %% research. ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨汽车与汽车零部件 [Table_Title] 2026 年 1 月重卡销量同比高增，新能源有所回 调，板块重点推荐 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 总量上，2026 年 1 月国内重卡批发销量预计为 10 万辆，同比+39%，环比基本持平；其中终 端销量为 3-3.2 万辆，同比减少 5%-10%；出口销量超 2.6 万辆，同比增长超 20%。结构上， 新能源销量明显回落，2026 年 1 月销量低于 0.7 万辆，环比减少约 85%，新能源重卡渗透率 约 21%，环比降低约 33pct。以旧换新政策托底内需，出海助力销量增长，重卡企业业绩有望 保持高增长，叠加高股息，投资价值凸显；同时北美缺电大背景下，国内主+备电源需求景气度 持续，重点推荐：中国重汽、潍柴动力。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 吴优 SAC：S0490517060001 SFC：BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 2026 年 2 月 2 日，第一商用车网发 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the textile manufacturing sector [8] Core Insights - Egypt is emerging as a new hotspot for textile industry investment due to its multiple tariff benefits, attractive domestic industrial support policies, abundant and inexpensive labor resources, and high cost-effectiveness for factory establishment. The strategic location at the crossroads of Asia, Africa, and Europe, along with the logistical advantages provided by the Suez Canal, facilitates a comprehensive development of the textile industry from quality raw material self-sufficiency to mature garment manufacturing. This combination of advantages positions Egypt as a significant increment for many Chinese textile companies' global capacity layout [2][6] Summary by Sections Trend: Egypt as a New Hotspot for Textile Industry Transfer - In recent years, Egypt has become a new hotspot for the transfer of the Chinese textile industry, with companies like Crystal International, Jian Sheng Group, and New Feng Ming announcing substantial investments in factory construction in Egypt [4][14] Attractiveness of Egypt for Textile Companies - **Business Environment**: Egypt benefits from multiple trade agreements covering Europe, America, and Africa, significantly reducing export costs and compliance thresholds. The government provides comprehensive support for foreign textile companies, enhancing the attractiveness of Egypt as an investment destination [5][19] - **Endowments & Costs**: Egypt has a young, abundant, and inexpensive labor force, with manufacturing average monthly salaries at 1,353 yuan, significantly lower than many Southeast Asian countries. The costs for land, energy, and water are also competitive, allowing for lower overall factory establishment costs [27][33] - **Geographical Conditions**: Egypt's strategic location allows for shorter shipping times to major markets, meeting the demand for quick delivery from downstream brands. Shipping times to the U.S. East Coast are approximately 20-25 days, shorter than from China and other Southeast Asian countries [43] - **Industrial Cluster**: Egypt has a relatively complete textile industry chain, with some quality self-sufficiency in long-staple cotton. However, it relies on imports for upstream fabrics and synthetic fibers, indicating a need for foreign investment to strengthen the industry [5][6] Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies with multi-category OEM capabilities and those establishing scarce production capacity in Egypt to enhance long-term competitiveness, such as Crystal International and Shenzhou International. It also suggests focusing on companies like New Australia Co., which benefit from low inventory costs due to rising raw material prices [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Insights - The controlling shareholder of Shanghai Fuyou Xinghe Aerospace Technology Co., Ltd. has changed to Jun Da Co., which holds 60% of the shares. Shanghai Xuntian Qianhe Space Technology Co., Ltd. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Fuyou Xinghe [2][5]. - Xuntian Qianhe is a leading satellite manufacturer in China, located in the G60 Space Internet Industry Base in Songjiang District, Shanghai. The company focuses on high-quality commercial satellites through independent research and technological innovation [12]. - The company has a strong technical team with nearly a hundred commercial satellite development experiences and has developed six satellite platforms covering micro and small satellites from 10kg to 1000kg [12]. - Jun Da Co. has completed its H-share placement, raising a net amount of HKD 398 million, with 45% allocated for the research and production of space photovoltaic battery products, 45% for equity investment and cooperation in the commercial aerospace sector, and 10% for working capital [12]. - The company aims to solidify its position in the remote sensing satellite market, enhance data accuracy and timeliness, and expand into the communication satellite field [12]. Financial Data Summary - Current stock price is 97.83 CNY, with a total share capital of 31,127 million shares and a circulating A-share of 22,487 million shares [7]. - The projected total revenue for 2026 is 10,805 million CNY, with a net profit forecast of 488 million CNY [16]. - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 1,034 million CNY by 2027, with an EPS of 3.32 CNY [16].