- The report highlights the performance of the A-share market, with the CSI A50 leading the gains and the ChiNext Index showing strong performance[1][6] - The Dividend Enhanced Portfolio outperformed the CSI Dividend Total Return Index, with the Central SOE High Dividend 30 Portfolio and the Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio achieving weekly excess returns of approximately 0.41% and 0.75%, respectively[6][21] - The Electronic Enhanced Portfolio also outperformed the Electronic Total Return Index, with the Electronic Balanced Allocation Enhanced Portfolio and the Electronic Sector Preferred Enhanced Portfolio achieving weekly excess returns of approximately 1.78% and 1.53%, respectively[6][29]

丨证券研究报告丨 中国经济丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 12 月出口有承压风险，但明年韧性仍强 ——11 月外贸数据点评 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 对欧盟、非洲、拉丁美洲出口走强带动 11 月出口同比回升，整体表现不弱。11 月 9 日以来， 全球、美国进口、中国赴美集装箱订舱量各周同比增速持续下滑，或预示 12 月出口承压概率 较大。更长维度看，降息对全球制造业周期的提振效果仍在延续，叠加我国出口商品的价格优 势、对一带一路国家投资带动的出口需求，或将持续支撑我国出口韧性增长。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于博 黄帅 SAC：S0490520090001 SAC：S0490525070005 SFC：BUX667 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 12 月出口有承压风险，但明年韧性仍强 2] ——11 月外贸数据点评 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 2025 年 12 月 8 日，海关总署发布 11 月外贸数据：以美元计，我国 11 月出口 3303.5 亿美元， ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The current "shortening receipt and lengthening issuance" by the central bank does not necessarily mean an increase in liability costs. The central bank's "shortening receipt and lengthening issuance" in terms of quantity is more significant, and the large - scale long - end issuance is more effective in alleviating the liability pressure of financial institutions, especially banks [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Funds - In December 2025, the central bank conducted a 3 - month buy - out reverse repurchase operation of 100 billion yuan at the same volume. From December 1st - 5th, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net withdrawal of 84.8 billion yuan, and from December 8th - 12th, 66.38 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases will mature. In November, the central bank's net purchase of treasury bonds was 5 billion yuan [6]. - From December 1st - 5th, the average values of DR001 and R001 were 1.30% and 1.36% respectively, down 1.2 basis points and 2.3 basis points compared with November 24th - 28th. The average values of DR007 and R007 were 1.44% and 1.49% respectively, down 1.9 basis points and 3.9 basis points compared with November 24th - 28th [6]. - From December 1st - 7th, the net government bond payment was about 18.66 billion yuan, about 14.23 billion yuan less than November 24th - 30th. From December 8th - 14th, the net government bond payment is expected to be - 79.52 billion yuan [7]. 2. Negotiable Certificates of Deposit (NCDs) - As of December 5th, 2025, the maturity yields of 1 - month and 3 - month NCDs were 1.5793% and 1.6150% respectively, up 13.4 basis points and 4.0 basis points compared with November 28th. The 1 - year NCD maturity yield was 1.6550%, up 1.5 basis points compared with November 28th [8]. - From December 1st - 7th, the net financing of NCDs was about 4.71 billion yuan. From December 8th - 14th, the expected maturity repayment amount of NCDs is 106.24 billion yuan, with a significant increase in the pressure of maturity renewal [8]. 3. Institutional Behavior - From December 1st - 5th, the average leverage ratio of the inter - bank bond market was 107.56%, up from 107.32% in November 24th - 28th [9]. - On December 5th, 2025, the median duration of medium - long - term interest - rate style pure bond funds (MA5) was 4.47 years, a weekly increase of 0.79 years, at the 84.1% quantile since early 2022. The median duration of short - term interest - rate style pure bond funds (MA5) was 1.80 years, a weekly increase of 0.24 years, at the 51.2% quantile since early 2022 [9].

上一轮锂电周期的价格和 股价是如何演绎 2025-12-08 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • 评级 看好 维持 长江证券研究所电力设备与新能源研究小组 分析师及联系人 分析师 邬博华 分析师 曹海花 分析师 叶之楠 联系人 王晓振 SAC执业证书编号：S0490514040001 SAC执业证书编号：S0490522030001 SAC执业证书编号：S0490520090003 SFC执业证书编号：BQK482 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 01 景气复盘：6F先行，碳酸锂持续，材料依次 02 股价复盘：景气周期看弹性，中期格局为先 目 录 %% research.95579.com 3 01 景气复盘：6F先行，碳酸锂 持续，材料依次 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 4 01 复盘丨6F：20Q4-22Q1大涨，报表有长单平滑 ➢ 上一轮6F从2020年中的7万开始上涨，2020年底散单价格达到10-12万；2021年8月底在碳酸锂温和上涨至10万的背景下，6F散单大 幅上 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨医疗保健 [Table_Title] 创新链系列——中国创新药研发投入景气度指 标 11 月跟踪 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 伴随着创新药企业 A/H 上市和增发充沛资金，二级市场创新药估值重塑和一级退出通道打通带 来中国生物医药投融资生态逐渐走向正循环，创新药对外 BD 涌现为研发投入注入新的资金来 源并拉动行业整体研发投入意愿，中国创新药研发投入景气度或渐趋改善，随之带来创新药产 业链进入新一轮景气周期。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 彭英骐 万梦蝶 SAC：S0490524030005 SAC：S0490525050001 SFC：BUZ392 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 医疗保健 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 创新链系列2] ——中国创新药研发投入景气度指 标 11 月跟踪 [Table_Summary2] 创新药上市通道变宽，IPO 募集资金充沛研发投入 创新药企业港股 IPO 热潮重现且在持续升温，未盈利企业科创板上市通道打开，创新药上市通 道 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 12 月 1 日，豆包手机助手以技术预览版正式亮相，搭载该功能的努比亚（nubia）M153 工程 样机同步开售。当前时点，以字节为代表的国产大模型企业，正持续布局手机、耳机等端侧流 量入口，希望通过将大模型能力、超级 App 与硬件终端结合，推动 AI 时代的交互模式变革。 在此背景下，我们认为端侧 AI 或将成为 AI 在日常使用中重要的落地场景，推动 AI Agents 能 力持续提升，进而加速国产 AI 的商业化。建议关注：1）国产大模型厂商；2）AI Infra：AI Infra 有望核心受益；3）AI Agent 相关厂商；4）中国推理算力产业链。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 陈耀文 SAC：S0490520030004 SAC：S0490525070002 SFC：BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 行业研究丨点评报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] 豆包手机助手发布，关注端侧 AI 产业进展 软件与服务 cjzqdt11111 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong overall performance this week, with brokerages expected to maintain high growth trends in 2025. The report suggests focusing on the sector's future allocation value [2][4]. - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) has issued a notice adjusting risk factors related to insurance companies' business, which is expected to enhance the certainty of ROE improvement and accelerate valuation recovery in the medium to long term [4][6]. - The report recommends companies with stable profit growth and dividend rates, including Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, as well as those with significant advantages in business models and market positions [4]. Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 2.3% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.0%. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up 5.9%, but underperformed the CSI 300 by 10.6% [5][17]. - The average daily trading volume in the market decreased to 16,961.78 billion yuan, down 2.35% week-on-week, while the margin financing balance rose to 2.48 trillion yuan, up 0.48% [5][39]. Key Industry News & Company Announcements - The CBIRC has adjusted risk factors for insurance companies, which is expected to support the growth of patient capital and enhance service quality to the real economy [6][64]. - Companies such as Zhongtai Securities and New China Life have announced their respective stock issuance and dividend distribution plans for the first half of 2025 [6].

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨银行 [Table_Title] 保险长钱入市，聚焦红利与科创 ——银行业周度追踪 2025 年第 48 周 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本周银行板块连续第三周回调，主要市场风险偏好继续回升，前期寻求防御的活跃资金流出， 同时债市进一步调整，扰动投资收益。个股层面，前期领涨的国有行 A 股、光大银行 H 股领 跌，南京银行周中成为四季度以来首家创历史新高的中小银行。当前位置我们依然强调短期风 格变化不影响银行股重估方向，调整后继续看好交通银行/招商银行等大型银行，以及南京银行 /江苏银行/杭州银行等大市值的头部城商行。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 马祥云 盛悦菲 SAC：S0490521120002 SAC：S0490524070002 SFC：BUT916 1 [Table_Title 保险长钱入市，聚焦红利与科创 2] ——银行业周度追踪 2025 年第 48 周 [Table_Summary2] 保险风险因子再松绑，鼓励长期配置红利低波与科创方向。 国家金融监督管理总局调整保险公司相关业务风险因子：1）持仓时间超过三年的沪深 300 ...

联合研究丨行业点评 [Table_Title] 氢能周度观察：氢氨醇政策逐步形成"制度建设 -资金扶持-产业规划等"体系 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本周我们重点梳理氢氨醇政策、产业端进展。近期国家发改委、能源局等核心部门密集出台涉 及氢氨醇产业链发展的政策文件，政策覆盖范围从制度建设、资金保障延伸至产业规划等全环 节。项目端：大项目投产/技术验证标志着绿色氢氨醇从示范探索迈入规模化商业运营的新阶段。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 徐科 司鸿历 贾少波 SAC：S0490517090001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490520070003 SFC：BUV415 SFC：BVD284 李博文 盛意 SAC：S0490524080004 SAC：S0490525070006 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 8 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 cjzqdt11111 2025-12-08 联合研究丨行业点评 更多研报请访问 长江研究小程序 ...

行业研究丨行业周报丨钢铁 [Table_Title] 为何钢铁的需求侧具有韧性？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 回顾 2025 年钢铁需求侧表现， 1~10 月粗钢、钢材产量同比分别-3.9%、+4.7%。钢材产量由 于涉及冷轧、钢管等二次材重复计算的问题，伴随钢铁产品结构升级和二次材占比的提升，或 对实际产量有所高估。粗钢产量由于系钢企自行上报，缺乏严格监督机制，不涉及流转税数据 的检验，导致实际的产量或有所低估。由此，实际钢铁产量或介于统计局粗钢产量和钢材产量 之间。结合钢材库存整体去化至低位，当前库存水平和年初库存水平差异也不大，表明 2025 年 钢铁总需求相对 2024 年是较为平稳的。为何钢铁的需求侧具有韧性？ 丨证券研究报告丨 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王鹤涛 赵超 易轰 吕士诚 SAC：S0490512070002 SAC：S0490519030001 SAC：S0490520080012 SAC：S0490525080005 SFC：BQT626 SFC：BUY139 SFC：BUZ394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research ...