%% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨行业深度 [Table_Title] 电裕求新变，煤紧风正帆 %% %% 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 张韦华 肖勇 赵超 SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490516080003 SAC：S0490519030001 SFC：BQT627 SFC：BUT918 SFC：BUY139 叶如祯 司旗 宋尚骞 SAC：S0490517070008 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 庄越 刘亚辉 韦思宇 SAC：S0490522090003 SAC：S0490523080003 SAC：S0490524120007 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 25 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年用电需求增速放缓，火电电量近 10 年首次负增长，风电、光伏、火电新增装机创新高 的同时利用小时加速恶化。展望 2026 年，虽然绿电建设降速，但电量过剩问题依然较为严峻， 火电利用小时压力较大，看好价格机制改革的推进落实。结合电力供需平衡表对煤电的预 ...

联合研究丨行业点评 [Table_Title] 氢能周度观察（11）：液氢储运产业进展如何？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年液氢储运技术加速突破，液氢储运正从示范走向规模化应用。液化能耗持续优化，规模 化建设是降本的关键，可显著降低单位能耗与成本。在长距离运输场景中，液氢已展现出比高 压气态方式更优的经济性，运输效率大幅提升，这成为推动氢能产业链加速降本与规模化的重 要动力。展望"十五五"，预计氢能产业将向规模化、商业化深度演进。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 徐科 司鸿历 贾少波 SAC：S0490517090001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490520070003 SFC：BUV415 SFC：BVD284 李博文 盛意 SAC：S0490524080004 SAC：S0490525070006 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 6 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 丨证券研究报告丨 cjzqdt11111 2026-02 ...

激浊扬清，周观军工 第157期： 全面拥抱军贸、军转民占优赛道 长江证券研究所军工研究小组 2026-02-24 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 分析师 王贺嘉 分析师 李麟君 SAC执业证书编号：S0490520110004 SAC执业证书编号：S0490525080002 SFC执业证书编号：BUX462 分析师及联系人 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • 评级 看好 维持 %% %% % research.95579.com 3 01 燃气轮机或为AIDC供电的最优解， 国内外需求共振带动长周期高景气 %% %% research.95579.com 2 01 燃气轮机或为AIDC供电的最优解， 国内外需求共振带动长周期高景气 02 我国复用火箭技术迈出实质性一步， 商业航天基建或进入低成本化时代 03 五部门联合发文加强信通能力建设， 低空经济基础设施建设有望再提速 04 中国高新装备密集亮相海外防务展， 坚定看好中国装备海外市场的拓展 目 录 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 4 01 人工智能导致用电量高增，燃气轮机或成为解决瓶颈的有效 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The banking index fell by 1.3% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices by 1.6% and 2.5% respectively, indicating a short-term style switch in the market [6][19] - H-shares of banks led the gains, while most A-shares declined, with notable performances from Huaxia Bank and Shanghai Bank due to improved earnings and strong expectations for convertible bond conversions [6][19] - The price-to-book (PB) ratio and return on equity (ROE) of bank stocks remain undervalued, with a continued recommendation for high-quality city commercial banks in Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Shandong provinces, including Hangzhou Bank, Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Nanjing Bank, Qingdao Bank, Qilu Bank, and Suzhou Bank [6][19] - The report also suggests focusing on low-valuation, high-dividend, and convertible bond opportunities, particularly in Industrial Bank [6][19] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The banking sector's trading activity has decreased, with turnover rates falling, although the transaction volume share for state-owned and rural commercial banks has rebounded [8][39] - The average dividend yield for the six major state-owned banks in A-shares is 4.28%, with a spread of 249 basis points over the 10-year government bond yield, while H-shares yield 5.21% [7][29] Profit Growth and Net Interest Margin - The overall asset growth rate for commercial banks reached 9.0% year-on-year by the end of Q4 2025, with major state-owned banks seeing a growth rate of 10.8% [9][44] - The net profit growth for commercial banks was 2.3% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend, particularly among city and rural commercial banks [9][44] - The net interest margin for 2025 is projected at 1.42%, with a marginal stabilization observed, and a further narrowing of the decline expected in 2026 [9][46] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios across various banks are stable or improving, attributed to increased write-off efforts, while the provision coverage ratio continues to decline [10][49] - Capital adequacy ratios remain stable, with attention on the potential impact of the second round of fiscal injections for state-owned banks and refinancing for smaller banks in 2026 [10][49]

市场策略丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 春节后如何"抄作业"？——解析春晚亮点、AI 疑虑、关税和地缘风波 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 大类资产层面，美股止跌回升，黄金、石油强劲反弹。美国最高法院裁定关键关税措施无效， 显著提振全球风险偏好，推动美股反弹、韩股领涨；美伊等地缘局势紧张与政策转向预期推动 黄金与原油等大宗商品价格显著上涨。中国股市层面，春节期间，富时中国 A50 指数期货录得 上涨，而港股恒生科技指数走低。或受美联储偏鹰派纪要及互联网巨头"红包大战"影响，恒 生科技指数整体走低，但 AI、机器人等主题概念股逆市走高。期间，富时中国 A50 指数期货走 高，或意味着全球资本对中国权益市场节后行情保持乐观。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 戴清 李巍东 SAC：S0490524010002 SFC：BTR264 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 24 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table_Summary2] 大类资产：美股止跌回升，黄金 ...

行业研究丨深度报告丨媒体Ⅱ %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 受过去一年业绩增长、政策优化和 AI 应用落地的共同推动，游戏板块整体估值已回升至历史中 枢附近。长线产品和丰富产品储备对增强游戏公司业绩确定性和提振板块估值具有关键作用， 从海外游戏厂商估值来看，优质 IP 和平台化能力为高估值的核心支撑。从国内游戏板块历史来 看，技术革新、政策支持和业绩提升多周期共振，使行业迎来估值中枢的持续上修。展望未来， AI 和玩法创新将带来持续增量，中国市场成长确定性强，行业中长期估值有望进一步向海外龙 头靠拢。 [Table_Title] 如何看待游戏板块估值天花板：历史复盘和未来 展望 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高超 杨云祺 SAC：S0490516080001 SAC：S0490524090002 SFC：BUX177 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 32 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table_Title 如何看待游戏板块 2] 估值天花板：历史复盘和未 ...

联合研究丨行业深度 [Table_Title] 商业航天产业链观察系列一 太空算力：以星辰为节点，筑算力新接口 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 太空算力是在地球轨道部署计算设施的新范式，通过构建分布式轨道计算集群，将"天数地算" 转变为"天数天算"。其核心优势在于利用太空中持续的太阳能和接近绝对零度的环境，实现近 乎零能耗供能和零水耗散热，有效应对地面数据中心面临的能源与散热瓶颈。中美正加速布局： 美国由科技企业主导推进，中国则通过政府引领、产学研协同发展。建议关注太空算力产业链 上下游核心环节，重点关注 1）火箭及卫星制造核心供应商；2）激光通讯相关企业；3）太空 光伏供应商；4）太空算力运营商；5）SpaceX 供应商；6）太空算力芯片供应商。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490520030004 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490517110002 SFC：BUX668 SFC：BUX641 陈耀文 SAC：S0490525070002 宗建树 曹海花 于海宁 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [8][10]. Core Insights - The company, relying on the Long White Mountain as a premium water source, is positioned to enhance its brand influence as the region's mineral water representative. The company is expected to improve its profitability following the divestiture of loss-making assets starting January 2026 [3][5][6]. - The mineral water market in China is projected to grow, with the company aiming to expand its market share in Northeast China, particularly in Liaoning and Heilongjiang provinces, where significant sales growth is anticipated [7][8][84]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1998, the company originally focused on timber-related industries before transitioning to mineral water production. It underwent significant restructuring in 2017, integrating its mineral water and landscaping businesses, and officially rebranded in 2020 [6][18][24]. Market Position - The company holds a leading position in the mineral water market in Jilin Province, with a projected market share of 30% by 2025. Approximately 76% of its revenue is generated from the Northeast market, indicating strong regional dominance [7][8][84]. Growth Strategy - The company is actively developing markets in Liaoning and Heilongjiang, with expected sales growth rates of 26% and 101% respectively by 2024. The expansion strategy includes enhancing brand visibility through advertising and partnerships with e-commerce platforms [8][84]. Financial Projections - The company anticipates a net profit of 0.15 billion, 0.8 billion, and 1.9 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.02, 0.12, and 0.27 yuan [8][84]. Product Quality and Competitive Edge - The company benefits from high-quality water sourced from five locations in Long White Mountain, which is recognized as one of the world's premier natural water sources. Its product offerings emphasize affordability and quality, appealing to consumer preferences [62][67].

世界经济与海外市场丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 关税，美伊与再通胀 ——2026 年春节假期海外市场那些事 报告要点 丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Summary] 春节假期期间，海外市场主要受到关税风波、美伊冲突、再通胀担忧的影响：美最高法裁定 IEEPA 关税违法令美欧股指领涨，但特朗普援引 122 条款加征关税和美伊冲突升温引发金油同 涨，而 FOMC 会议纪要对再通胀的担忧则令美元和美债利率双双上行。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490520090001 SAC：S0490525070005 SFC：BUX667 于博 黄帅 敬成宇 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 风险提示 1、中东地缘政治风险反复或持续冲击能源市场；2、美国外贸政策的法律博弈或加剧跨境资本 波动。 丨证券研究报告丨 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 关税，美伊与再通胀 2] ——2026 年春节假期海外市场那些事 [Table_Summary2] ⚫ 市场表现：美欧股指领涨，金价油价回升，美元和美债利率上行。 cjzqdt11111 2 ...

- The report analyzes the post-Spring Festival performance of various indices from 2007 to 2025, highlighting structural differences in returns and win rates between small/micro-cap indices and large-cap indices. Specifically, the Wind Micro-Cap Index and CSI 2000 Index showed the highest win rates (89.5%) and median returns (11.22% and 8.47%, respectively) over 20 days post-festival, outperforming indices like CSI 300 and Wind All A Index[2][8][13] - Liquidity recovery post-festival is identified as a key driver for the outperformance of small/micro-cap indices. The Wind Micro-Cap Index exhibited the highest increases in average daily turnover over T+5, T+10, and T+20 intervals (30.7%, 42.7%, and 52.9%, respectively), followed by the CSI 2000 Index (26.4%, 37.0%, and 51.7%). In contrast, the CSI 300 Index showed relatively lower turnover growth (18.9%, 23.1%, and 30.5%)[8][17][18] - Industry-wise, growth and cyclical sectors performed better post-festival, while financial sectors underperformed. The electronics sector had the highest median return over 20 days (9.10%) with a win rate of 84.2%, followed by the environmental protection sector with a win rate of 94.7% and a median return of 7.02%. Other strong-performing sectors included textiles and apparel, paper and packaging, and non-metallic materials, all with win rates above 80% and median returns exceeding 5%[2][19][24]