丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨建材 [Table_Title] 关注建材涨价品种，双碳政策迎来新机遇 ——建材周专题 2026W4 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 从涨价角度如何看建材？ 基本面：水泥出货季节性回落，玻璃库存环比下降 展望 2026 年：把握存量链、非洲链、AI 链三条主线 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SFC：BQK473 SFC：BVZ972 范超 张佩 李金宝 李浩 董超 SAC：S0490513080001 SAC：S0490518080002 SAC：S0490516040002 SAC：S0490520080026 SAC：S0490523030002 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 关注建材涨价品种，双碳政策迎来新机遇 2] ——建材周专题 2026W4 [Table_Summary2] 从涨价角度如何看建材？ 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2025 年下半年以来部分周期品价格修复，虽相较于部分化工等周期品，建材地产敞口更大， 但盈利同样具备修复机会：一是供需改善（电子布供给受限，防水供 ...

[Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨燕京啤酒（000729.SZ） 丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Author] 董思远 冯萱 SAC：S0490517070016 SAC：S0490524060001 SFC：BQK487 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% [Table_Title] 燕京啤酒跟踪点评：重看改革路，书写新篇章 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 历经内部改革，燕京啤酒迎来新生。作为老牌北京啤酒企业，燕京啤酒曾因淘汰过剩产能及高 端化转型速度落后于其他公司，产品销量持续下滑，2021 年公司归母净利率仅 1.9%，与行业 有较大差距。2021 年，燕京啤酒在耿董事长的带领下正式开启了蜕变之旅，几年间实现了收 入、利润快速增长，通过 U8 大单品战略、内部改革提效，公司实现了收入、利润快速增长， 盈利能力实现质的跨越。 分析师及联系人 %% %% research.95579.com 丨证券研究报告丨 2026-01-27 公司研究丨点评报告 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 燕京啤酒（000729.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Titl ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨银行 [Table_Title] 再议指数基金波动对银行股的影响 ——银行业周度追踪 2026 年第 3 周 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 本周银行板块继续调整，相对沪深 300 及创业板指均跑输，核心影响因素依然是沪深 300 和上 证 50 等宽基 ETF 指数基金大规模净流出，明显影响权重银行股。个股层面，青岛银行等基本 面预期向好且不在宽基指数内的中小银行股上涨，股份行和国有行明显领跌。考虑中期维度内 权益市场上行方向，以及银行基本面稳定，我们认为目前优质银行股估值已超跌，配置时点临 近。重点推荐浙江、江苏、山东区域优质城商行，杭州银行、宁波银行、江苏银行、南京银行、 齐鲁银行、青岛银行。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 马祥云 盛悦菲 SAC：S0490521120002 SAC：S0490524070002 SFC：BUT916 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com [Table_Title 再议指数基金波动对银行股的影响 2] ——银行业周度追踪 2026 年第 3 周 [Tab ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7] Core Insights - The non-bank sector has shown weak overall performance this week, but some companies have disclosed high profit growth forecasts for 2025. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued guidelines to promote the return to fundamentals in the public offering securities investment fund industry, which is expected to drive long-term stable development [2][4] - The market trading volume has decreased, yet remains at historically high levels. The report suggests monitoring the sector's future performance [4] - In the insurance sector, the third-quarter reports have confirmed the logic of deposit migration, increased equity allocation, and improved new policy costs. The certainty of ROE improvement has increased, and valuations are expected to accelerate recovery [4] - The report highlights the increasing cost-effectiveness of overall allocations and ongoing revaluation in the sector [4] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Sector Performance - The non-bank financial index decreased by 1.5% this week, with an underperformance of 0.8% relative to the CSI 300, ranking 29th out of 31 sectors [5] - Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index has decreased by 1.6%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 3.1% [5] Market Overview - The average daily trading volume in the two markets was 27,988.78 billion yuan, down 19.23% week-on-week, with a daily turnover rate of 2.68%, down 68.47 basis points [5] - The leverage capital scale has rebounded, with a margin balance of 2.72 trillion yuan, up 0.23% [5] Insurance Sector Insights - The cumulative insurance premium income for November 2025 reached 57,629 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.56% [23] - Life insurance income was 41,472 billion yuan, up 9.06% year-on-year, while property insurance income was 16,157 billion yuan, up 3.88% [24] Company Recommendations - The report recommends companies with stable profit growth and dividend rates, including Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, due to their strong business models and market positions [4] - Additional recommendations include New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Caifu, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on performance elasticity and valuation levels [4]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨煤炭与消费用燃料 [Table_Title] 如何看待年初以来煤炭板块内部行情分化？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 为何年初至今煤炭板块内部资金从"红利"向"弹性成长"轮动？我们认为，这主要和行业景 气有望筑底回暖、风险偏好提升、资金结构变化有关。考虑到 2026 年煤炭需求改善可期、反 内卷大背景下供给受限，供需改善下煤价中枢仍有望提升。因此一旦后续供给政策明朗化或需 求超预期，行情驱动将从"预期博弈"转向"基本面兑现"，弹性煤炭公司或因低估值高赔率获 得较优相对收益。与此同时，依旧需要重视红利投资价值，尤其是红利标的中煤能源 H+A、中 国神华 H+A、陕西煤业有望因稳步改善的绝对股息率的投资性价比而获得增配。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490516080003 SAC：S0490519030001 SAC：S0490517070008 SAC：S0490522090003 SAC：S0490524120007 SFC：BUT91 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - December orders for sports footwear and apparel showed a month-on-month decline, indicating that the overall industry has not yet reached an inflection point. Retail performance in the US and UK remains resilient, while demand in other regions is stagnant. The decline in the US consumer confidence index has not yet impacted brand and upstream performance, primarily due to growth being driven by high-end consumption, with mass apparel consumption still expected to recover [2][4][21] - Vietnam's footwear and apparel exports improved significantly in December, while China continues to face pressure. The upstream manufacturing sector is expected to have stronger earnings certainty in the first half of 2026, with a clear direction for recovery in the downstream sports supply chain. Brand apparel revenues are expected to fluctuate in Q4 2025, with profitability anticipated to recover in 2026 [2][5][29] Summary by Sections Manufacturing Performance - In December, the revenue performance of footwear manufacturers showed a year-on-year decline, with specific companies reporting: - Yuanyuan Group: -3.7% YoY, -1.3 percentage points MoM - Fengtai: -0.6% YoY, +11.2 percentage points MoM - Zhijiang International: -2.8% YoY, -5.9% MoM - Yuchi-KY: -2.2% YoY, -8.8% MoM - For apparel manufacturers: - Ruhong: -3.6% YoY, -5.1% MoM - Juyang Industrial: -9.2% YoY, -9.7% MoM - Guangyue: +9.7% YoY, -22.1% MoM [4][16][29] Demand Analysis - Retail performance in December showed resilience in the US and UK, while other regions experienced stagnation. The US consumer confidence index continues to decline, which has not yet reflected in brand and upstream performance. The growth is mainly driven by high-end consumption, with mass apparel consumption still expected to recover [2][21][26] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on upstream manufacturing, as the performance in the first half of 2026 is expected to be more certain. The recovery direction of the sports supply chain is clear. Key recommended stocks include: - New Australia Holdings, Crystal International, Shenzhou International, and Yuanyuan Group - Attention should also be given to high-elasticity stocks like Nobon and Jeya, as well as undervalued stocks with strong safety margins like Taihua New Materials and Lutai A [5][29][30]

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨安踏体育（02020.HK） [Table_Title] 零售持续承压，后续指引谨慎 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 安踏体育发布 2025Q4 零售数据，安踏品牌零售流水同比低单下滑，FILA 品牌零售流水同比中 单增长，其他品牌零售流水同比增长 35%-40%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490518020002 SAC：S0490524110001 SFC：BUU942 于旭辉 柯睿 陈信志 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 安踏体育（02020.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 零售持续承压，后续指引谨慎 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 安踏体育发布 2025Q4 零售数据，安踏品牌零售流水同比低单下滑，FILA 品牌零售流水同比 中单增长，其他品牌零售流水同比增长 35%-40%。 事件评论 丨证券研究报告丨 2026-01-26 港股研究丨公司点评 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the aerospace and defense industry [4] Core Insights - The domestic commercial aircraft market in China is projected to reach approximately 10 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with an expected demand of over 400 aircraft per year by 2029 [15][18] - The C919 aircraft family has expanded with the introduction of the C919-600 highland variant, which is designed for high-altitude operations, marking a significant step in China's civil aviation equipment development [14] - The report highlights the trend towards self-sufficiency in domestic commercial aircraft engines, indicating a potential to break the existing monopoly in the market [41] Summary by Sections Section 1: C919 Aircraft Development - The C919-600 highland variant has been publicly unveiled, designed specifically for high-altitude routes, enhancing adaptability for challenging environments [14] - The C919 family now includes basic, extended, and highland variants, with a steady progression towards a comprehensive product matrix [14] Section 2: Market Demand and Projections - The domestic commercial aircraft market is expected to be 2.5 times larger than the current military aircraft market, with a forecasted demand of 9,856 aircraft and a market size of 103.53 billion yuan over the next 20 years [15][17] - By 2029, the demand for new commercial aircraft in China's civil aviation fleet is projected to exceed 400 units annually, with specific annual requirements outlined for the years 2025 to 2029 [18][19] Section 3: Engine Market Dynamics - The global commercial aircraft engine market is anticipated to exceed 13 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with China's market expected to surpass 2.9 trillion yuan [43][45] - The report indicates a significant mismatch in supply and demand for commercial aircraft engines globally, with a strong push for domestic development of aviation power systems [52][59] Section 4: Commercial Aerospace Developments - Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO status has changed to "under inquiry," indicating a rapid acceleration in the commercial space sector [71] - The report outlines plans for multiple rocket launches in 2026, with a focus on both near-Earth and deep-space exploration, highlighting the increasing activity in China's commercial space industry [77][86] Section 5: Satellite Manufacturing and Launch Capabilities - The report notes that domestic satellite manufacturing capacity is robust, with several companies capable of producing hundreds of satellites annually, which is expected to drive down costs [99][100] - The establishment of new liquid rocket launch facilities at the Hainan commercial launch site is set to enhance China's capabilities in commercial space launches [108]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the aerospace and defense industry [4] Core Insights - The domestic commercial aircraft market is projected to reach approximately 10 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with an expected demand of over 400 aircraft per year by 2029 [13][16] - The C919 aircraft family has expanded with the introduction of the C919-600 high-altitude variant, which is designed for high-altitude routes and has already secured orders from Xizang Airlines for 40 units [12][26] - The report highlights the trend towards self-sufficiency in domestic commercial aircraft engines, with a significant market opportunity as the industry aims to break the existing monopolies [35][41] Summary by Sections Section 1: C919 Aircraft Development - The C919-600 high-altitude variant has been unveiled, enhancing the C919 family and addressing the needs of high-altitude airports [12] - The C919 family now includes basic, extended, and high-altitude variants, with ongoing development of an extended version [26] Section 2: Market Demand for Commercial Aircraft - The domestic commercial aircraft market is expected to be 2.5 times larger than the current military aircraft market, with a forecasted demand of 9,856 aircraft over the next 20 years [13][15] - By 2029, the domestic civil aviation fleet is projected to require over 400 new commercial aircraft annually [16] Section 3: Domestic Engine Development - The domestic commercial aircraft engine market is anticipated to exceed 2.9 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with a demand for over 900 engines per year by 2029 [35][38] - The report emphasizes the ongoing efforts to achieve self-sufficiency in commercial aircraft engines, with a focus on breaking the existing supply chain monopolies [41][49] Section 4: Commercial Space Industry - The report notes that the commercial space industry is entering a rapid growth phase, with multiple companies, including Blue Arrow Aerospace, preparing for IPOs and expanding their operational capabilities [60][62] - By 2026, the number of rocket launches is expected to exceed 100, marking a significant increase in launch frequency [66] Section 5: Satellite Manufacturing and Launch Capabilities - The report highlights the robust satellite manufacturing capacity in China, with multiple factories capable of producing thousands of satellites annually [87] - The development of reusable rockets is expected to drive down costs and enhance launch capabilities for satellite constellations [92]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [8] Core Insights - The company disclosed its 2025 earnings forecast, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 150 million and 200 million yuan, a significant turnaround from a loss of 710.95 million yuan in the previous year [2][6] - The net profit, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, is projected to be between 146 million and 196 million yuan [2][6] - The company received significant subsidies for coalbed methane production, contributing positively to profits [13] - The production projects are progressing steadily, with a projected production increase of 98% year-on-year in 2025 [13] - The rapid growth in gas production is expected to lead to a decrease in production costs [13] - Coalbed methane and other unconventional gas sources are becoming important growth drivers for natural gas supply in China [13] Summary by Sections Earnings Forecast - The company anticipates a net profit of 150 million to 200 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 710.95 million yuan in the previous year [2][6] - The expected net profit after excluding non-recurring items is between 146 million and 196 million yuan [2][6] Production and Cost Insights - The company is set to experience a 98% year-on-year increase in production volume in 2025, with daily gas production expected to exceed 3 million cubic meters by the end of the year [13] - The cost of gas production is projected to decrease due to advancements in technology and operational efficiencies [13] Market Outlook - Unconventional gas sources, particularly coalbed methane, are expected to play a crucial role in enhancing China's natural gas supply security [13] - The company’s projects are strategically located near significant gas fields, which may provide further production guidance and economic benefits [13] Financial Projections - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.57 yuan, 1.41 yuan, and 2.56 yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 30.14X, 12.13X, and 6.70X [13]