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京东方A(000725):业绩稳健增长,“AI+制造”引领显示行业
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-01 23:45
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨京东方 A(000725.SZ) [Table_Title] 业绩稳健增长,"AI+制造"引领显示行业 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年三季度报告,报告期内公司实现营业收入 1545.48 亿元,同比增长 7.53%; 归母净利润 46.01 亿元,同比增长 39.03%;经营性现金流量净额 367.7 亿元,同比增长 8.58%, 扣除资本开支后自由现金流 67.4 亿元,在成都 8.6 代线项目支出高峰期依然展现了强大的造血 能力。公司重视 AI+制造,将运用人工智能、大数据、物联网等重新定义显示制造体系,在生 产设备、工业软件、工艺控制、品质管理、能源管理、生产环境等多维度全面提升生产制造与 运营管理的智能化水平。同时公司联合 Intel 发布下一代 AI 技术显示产品,引领行业趋势。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 谢尔曼 SAC:S0490517070012 SAC:S0490518070003 SFC:BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% re ...
方正科技(600601):2025年三季报点评:业绩环比高增,AI助力成长
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-01 07:22
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in performance for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving operating revenue of 3.398 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 38.71%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 317 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.81% [2][4]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.258 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 44.34% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 5.83%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 144 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 139.04% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 53.08% [2][4]. - The company maintains a strong gross margin of 23.06% and a net margin of 9.32% for the first three quarters, with Q3 margins improving to 24.38% and 11.45% respectively [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 3.398 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 23.06% and a net margin of 9.32% [2][4]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.258 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 24.38% and a net margin of 11.45% [2][4]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its high-end product operations, with plans to raise up to 1.98 billion yuan for investment in AI and high-density interconnect circuit board projects, which will significantly enhance its production capacity [11]. - The company has established itself as a leader in HDI products and is well-positioned to meet the growing demands of high-end server markets, particularly in AI and GPU acceleration [11]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 471 million yuan, 764 million yuan, and 1.078 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 117.17, 72.24, and 51.17 [11].
奥飞数据(300738):毛利率持续提升,固定资产快速扩张
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-31 14:41
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨奥飞数据(300738.SZ) [Table_Title] 奥飞数据 2025 三季报点评: 毛利率持续提升,固定资产快速扩张 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025Q3,公司业绩表现符合预期,营收、利润同环比均实现亮眼增长。单季度毛利率环比进一 步提升至 37.55%,或主要受益于交付项目的上架率快速爬升。公司固定资产规模实现快速扩 张,今年为公司 IDC 交付大年,从目前交付节奏来看,与年初规划基本符合。公司抓住此轮 AI 需求爆发,努力实现"保交付、促上架",新项目建设及交付将成为未来核心增长点。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于海宁 温筱婷 SAC:S0490517110002 SAC:S0490524100002 SFC:BUX641 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 奥飞数据(300738.SZ) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 奥飞数据 2025 2] 三季报点评: 毛利率持续提升 ...
中国核电(601985):短期因素限制表观业绩,内资价值安全边际突出
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-31 13:49
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨中国核电(601985.SH) [Table_Title] 短期因素限制表观业绩,内资价值安全边际突出 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 前三季度公司核电业务归母净利润同比增长 2.81%,与上半年公司控股核电子公司净利润同比 增长 10.72%相比,单季度核电业绩增速由正转负,盈利下滑主因系增值税退返结算节奏以及 所得税增加影响。新能源业务方面,由于市场化电价下降叠加股比下降影响,公司前三季度新 能源贡献归母净利润同比下降 67.96%。受此影响,公司三季度归母净利润为 23.36 亿元,同 比下降 23.45%;前三季度归母净利润为 80.02 亿元,同比下降 10.42%。虽然公司业绩短期承 压,但其更多系非经常性税收及资源偏弱影响,我们认为公司长期价值依然稳固。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490517080003 SAC:S0490520120001 SAC:S0490520110001 SAC:S0490523080003 SFC:BQT627 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 请阅读最后评 ...
交运行业2025Q3基金持仓分析:持仓比例创四年新低,物流航空减配明显
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-31 12:47
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨运输 [Table_Title] 持仓比例创四年新低,物流航空减配明显 ——交运行业 2025Q3 基金持仓分析 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025Q3,交运行业在所选口径公募基金重仓占比环比下跌 0.94pct 至 1.06%,主要由于物流及 供应链和航空板块减持明显,海运板块配置环比提升。个股来看,持仓随行业景气波动,招商 轮船关注度提升,顺丰控股重仓基金数明显回落。Q3 末北向资金持股环比下降,其中持股市值 最大板块为快递。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] SFC:BQK468 SFC:BWN875 SAC:S0490512020001 SAC:S0490520020001 SAC:S0490519060002 SAC:S0490520080027 SAC:S0490524120001 韩轶超 赵超 鲁斯嘉 张银晗 胡俊文 [Table_Title 持仓比例创四年新低,物流航空减配明显 2] ——交运行业 2025Q3 基金持仓分析 [Tab ...
中炬高新(600872):中炬高新2025年三季报点评:渠道调整致收入
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-31 12:47
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨中炬高新(600872.SH) [Table_Title] 中炬高新 2025 年三季报点评:渠道调整致收入 承压,费用率提升利润下滑 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 中炬高新 2025Q1~Q3 营业总收入 31.56 亿元(同比-20.01%);归母净利润 3.8 亿元(同比- 34.07%),扣非净利润 3.84 亿元(同比-30.45%)。单看 2025Q3 营业总收入 10.25 亿元(同 比-22.84%);归母净利润 1.23 亿元(同比-45.66%),扣非净利润 1.21 亿元(同比-43.09%)。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com [Table_Title 中炬高新 2025 2] 年三季报点评:渠道调整致收入 承压,费用率提升利润下滑 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 中炬高新 2025Q1~Q3 营业总收入 31.56 亿元(同比-20.01%);归母净利润 3.8 亿元(同比- 34.07%),扣非净利润 3.84 ...
望远镜系列23之DeckersFY2026Q2经营跟
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-31 12:47
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [5] Core Insights - Deckers reported revenue of $1.43 billion for FY2026Q2, a year-on-year increase of 9%, aligning with market expectations [3][4] - Gross margin improved by 0.3 percentage points to 56.2%, driven by product price increases, improved product mix, favorable currency fluctuations, and cost-sharing on tariffs [3][4] - Net profit margin increased by 0.3 percentage points to 18.7%, supported by a decrease in the effective tax rate [3][4] Revenue Breakdown - By brand, UGG and HOKA revenues grew by 10.1% and 11.1% respectively, while other brands saw a decline of 26.5% [4] - Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) and wholesale channel revenues were $3.9 billion and $10.4 billion respectively, with DTC showing a slight decline of 0.8% [4] - Revenue from the U.S. decreased by 1.7%, while international markets saw a growth of 29.3% [4] Inventory and Guidance - Inventory increased by 7% year-on-year to $840 million, attributed to proactive stockpiling before tariff hikes [4] - The company expects FY2026 revenue to reach $5.35 billion, a 7% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of approximately 56% [4]
债市“收官战”,无虑银行兑现浮盈
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-31 11:12
固定收益丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 债市"收官战",无虑银行兑现浮盈 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 银行作为债市重要的参与机构,其配债行为的变化对市场影响举足轻重。2025 年,银行同时面 临负债端"存款搬家"、净息差较低背景下业绩增长乏力等多重压力,银行是否会在负债压力背 景下选择"缩表"、在业绩压力下进一步加大浮盈兑现力度,进而影响债市供需和收益率走势? 同时在负债压力背景下,银行发行同业存单的需求如何变化?本文基于对上市银行业绩拆分、 信贷收支表跟踪,对银行 2025 年前三季度行为进行复盘,同时对四季度情况做出展望。 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 27 %% %% %% %% 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马月 SAC:S0490524080003 SAC:S0490525080001 SFC:BVN394 research.95579.com 2 [Table_Title2] 债市"收官战",无虑银行兑现浮盈 [Table_Summary2] 从 2025 年半 ...
航亚科技(688510):交付节奏导致短期业绩波动,内外贸高景气趋势延续
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-31 05:48
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨航亚科技(688510.SH) [Table_Title] 交付节奏导致短期业绩波动,内外贸高景气趋势 延续 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布三季报,25Q1-3 实现营收 5.3 亿,同比增长 1.95%;归母净利润 0.78 亿,同比减少 16.04%;扣非归母净利润 0.65 亿,同比减少 27.93%。25Q3 实现营收 1.61 亿,同比减少 10.87%,环比减少 17.68%;归母净利润 0.17 亿,同比减少 34.78%,环比减少 45.46%;扣 非归母净利润 0.11 亿,同比减少 53.72%,环比减少 59.77%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王贺嘉 杨继虎 SAC:S0490520110004 SAC:S0490525040001 SFC:BUX462 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 航亚科技(688510.SH) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 交付节奏 ...
常熟银行(601128):2025 年三季报点评:息差企稳,利息增速回升
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-31 05:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changshu Bank [2][8]. Core Views - Changshu Bank's Q3 revenue growth is 8.2%, with a net profit growth of 12.8%. Interest income has accelerated quarter-on-quarter, while non-interest income has increased significantly by 35.3% year-on-year, driving revenue growth. The net interest margin for Q3 stands at 2.57%, only down 1 basis point from the first half of the year, maintaining a leading position in the industry. The non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.76%, with a provision coverage ratio decreasing by 27 percentage points to 463%, indicating excellent asset quality. The integration of rural banks is progressing smoothly, and the bank is expanding its presence to create a second growth curve. As a pro-cyclical bank stock, Changshu Bank has a clear long-term development path. This year, it has implemented a mid-term dividend for the first time, with a payout ratio increased to 25.3%. Currently, the 2025 PB valuation is 0.73x and PE valuation is 5.4x, both at historical lows, indicating significant long-term value is undervalued [2][6][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3, Changshu Bank's operating revenue grew by 8.2% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 12.8%. The non-performing loan ratio remained flat at 0.76%, and the provision coverage ratio decreased by 27 percentage points to 463% [6][11]. Revenue Composition - The growth in operating revenue is driven by a 2.4% increase in net interest income and a substantial 35.3% rise in non-interest income. The bank's investment income has been affected by market fluctuations, leading to a 22.2% decline in Q3 investment income [11]. Asset Quality - The asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 463%. The bank has increased efforts in risk resolution and recovery of non-performing loans, leading to a stabilization in retail asset quality [11]. Growth Strategy - The integration of rural banks is advancing well, with several rural banks being restructured and opened this year. This expansion is aimed at creating a second growth curve for the bank [11]. Valuation Metrics - The current PB and PE valuations are at 0.73x and 5.4x respectively, indicating that the bank's long-term value is significantly undervalued compared to historical levels [2][11].