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中科星图:多领域需求加速释放带动营收延续高增,加强回款管理保障长期高质量增长
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 01:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7] Core Views - The company's Q3 revenue reached a historical high for the same period, with full-year revenue expected to continue its strong growth trajectory [7] - The company is a core enterprise in the aerospace information sector, with four key growth drivers: 1) National team status in digital Earth and deep expertise in special fields, 2) Rapid development of digital Earth online business, 3) Continuous improvement of industry chain layout, 4) Accelerated capital operations of subsidiaries [7] - The company's revenue for 2024Q1-Q3 reached RMB 2,007 million, a YoY increase of 43.44%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 146 million, up 41.27% YoY [6] - The company's 2024Q3 revenue was RMB 903 million, a YoY increase of 33.29%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 82 million, up 21.07% YoY [6] Financial Performance - The company's 2024Q1-Q3 gross margin was 47.49%, a YoY decrease of 1.31 percentage points, while the Q3 gross margin was 46.86%, a YoY increase of 1.12 percentage points [7] - The company's 2024Q1-Q3 net margin was 11.44%, a YoY decrease of 0.46 percentage points, while the Q3 net margin was 13.58%, a YoY decrease of 1.40 percentage points [7] - The company's 2024Q1-Q3 credit impairment loss was RMB 118 million, compared to RMB 66 million in the same period last year [7] - The company's 2024Q1-Q3 operating expense ratio was 33.28%, a slight YoY increase of 0.02 percentage points [7] Future Projections - The company's 2024-2026E revenue is projected to be RMB 3,664 million, RMB 5,123 million, and RMB 7,155 million, with YoY growth rates of 45.7%, 39.8%, and 39.7% respectively [8] - The company's 2024-2026E net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 481 million, RMB 679 million, and RMB 950 million, with YoY growth rates of 40.5%, 41.2%, and 39.9% respectively [8] - The company's 2024-2026E EPS is projected to be RMB 0.89, RMB 1.25, and RMB 1.75 respectively [8] - The company's 2024-2026E PE ratios are projected to be 46x, 32x, and 23x respectively [7] Market Data - The company's closing price on October 28, 2024, was RMB 40.35, with a PB ratio of 6.2x and a dividend yield of 0.48% [3] - The company's market capitalization was RMB 21,923 million, with a total share capital of 543 million shares [3][4] - The company's net asset per share was RMB 6.63, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 43.42% [4]
罗莱生活:单季利润同比降幅收窄,存货回落至近年来较低位
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 01:44
纺织服饰 证 券 研 究 报 告 2024 年 10 月 29 日 罗莱生活 (002293) ——单季利润同比降幅收窄,存货回落至近年来较低位 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------|------------------------------------| | 市场数据: | 2024 年 10 月 28 日 | | 收盘价(元) | 7.26 | | 一年内最高 / 最低(元) | 10.29/6.12 | | 市净率 | 1.5 | | 息率(分红/股价) | 8.26 | | 流通 A 股市值(百万元) | 6,002 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,322.20/10,685.89 | | | 注:"息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | --- | --- | |-------------------------------|-------------------------------| | | | | | | | 基础数据 : | 2024 年 09 月 30 日 | | | 4.80 | | 每股净资产(元) | | | 资产负债率 % ...
金诚信:24Q3业绩超预期,资源放量成本改善
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 01:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][4]. Core Views - The company reported Q3 2024 earnings that exceeded expectations, with revenue of 6.97 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-over-year increase of 31.2%, and a net profit of 1.09 billion yuan, up 54.0% year-over-year [4][5]. - The increase in revenue and profit is attributed to rising copper prices and significant growth in copper sales [4]. - The mining services segment showed a slight increase in gross profit, while the resources segment experienced a nearly threefold increase in gross profit year-over-year [4][5]. - The company has ongoing projects and acquisitions, including the Lubambe copper mine, which is expected to contribute significantly to future production [4][5]. Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price: 41.51 yuan - One-year high/low: 61.00/33.56 yuan - Price-to-book ratio: 3.1 - Dividend yield: 0.48 - Market capitalization: 25,892 million yuan [2]. Financial Data - As of September 30, 2024, the company reported a net asset value per share of 13.31 yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 47.22% [3]. - Total shares: 624 million [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected total revenue for 2024 is 9.7 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 31.1% [5]. - Expected net profit for 2024 is 1.55 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 50.7% [5]. - Earnings per share are forecasted to be 2.49 yuan for 2024 [5]. Operational Highlights - The company plans to increase production in its mining projects, including copper and phosphate, with specific targets set for 2024 [4][5]. - The gross margin for the resources segment improved to 45.4% in Q3 2024, indicating cost improvements despite a decrease in copper prices [4].
北京人力:核心优势稳固,降本增效持续释放利润
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 01:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Beijing Renli (600861) [5] Core Views - The company reported a robust performance in Q3 2024, with revenue of 33.179 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 641 million yuan, up 84.8% year-on-year [5][6] - The significant profit growth is attributed to the impact of asset disposals in the previous year and the ongoing cost reduction and efficiency improvement initiatives [5] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from macroeconomic improvements and policy effects, leading to a gradual increase in performance [5] Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price as of October 28, 2024: 20.11 yuan - One-year high/low: 24.01/12.92 yuan - Market capitalization: 7,372 million yuan [2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 331.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.46%, and a net profit of 6.41 billion yuan, up 84.75% year-on-year [5] - Q3 2024 revenue reached 113.13 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.39%, with a net profit of 2.07 billion yuan, up 52.30% year-on-year [5] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are 46.337 billion yuan, 55.231 billion yuan, and 65.094 billion yuan respectively, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 20.9%, 19.2%, and 17.9% [6] - Net profit projections for the same years are 870 million yuan, 998 million yuan, and 1.132 billion yuan, with growth rates of 58.7%, 14.8%, and 13.4% respectively [6] Operational Efficiency - The company has implemented measures to reduce costs and improve operational efficiency, including establishing a regional shared service center to enhance collaboration and resource optimization [5] - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 5.88%, a slight decrease from the previous year [5]
九华旅游:三季度业绩短期承压,高铁开通带动客流提升
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 01:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiuhua Tourism (603199) [4][6] Core Views - The company's third-quarter performance is under short-term pressure, but the opening of high-speed rail is expected to boost visitor traffic [4][5] - For the first three quarters of 2024, Jiuhua Tourism achieved operating revenue of 569 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 154 million yuan, up 1.18% year-on-year [4][6] - The third quarter saw a decline in operating revenue to 174 million yuan, down 4.15% year-on-year, and a net profit of 39.29 million yuan, down 2.85% year-on-year [4][6] Financial Summary - The company reported a gross profit margin of 46.3% in the third quarter, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The number of visitors to Jiuhua Mountain Scenic Area reached 7.988 million in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 14.2%, with 2.512 million visitors in the third quarter, up 23.7% year-on-year [5] - The scenic area generated tourism revenue of 4.27 billion yuan in the third quarter, a year-on-year increase of 44%, with an average spending per visitor of 1,699 yuan, up 16.3% [5] - The company has ongoing projects, including the Jiuhua Mountain Traffic Conversion Center, which can accommodate 5,207 vehicles and handle over 5,000 visitors per hour during peak times [5][6] Growth Drivers - The opening of the high-speed rail and the expansion of Jiuhua Mountain Airport are expected to enhance the network effect and increase visitor traffic [6] - The operation of Wenzong Ancient Village, which began in 2023, aims to improve leisure and vacation reception capabilities [6] - The company is also advancing the construction of the Lion Peak cable car project, which is expected to enhance visitor conversion rates [6] Profit Forecast - The report slightly lowers the profit forecast for 2024-2026, expecting net profits of 184 million, 206 million, and 228 million yuan respectively [6][8] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 22, 20, and 18 times for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [6][8]
南方航空:经营持续改善,三季度旺季实现盈利31.93亿元
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 01:14
交通运输 证 券 研 究 报 告 2024 年 10 月 29 日 南方航空 (600029) ——经营持续改善,三季度旺季实现盈利 31.93 亿元 报告原因:有业绩公布需要点评 增持(维持)投资要点: ⚫ 事件:南方航空公告 2024 年第三季度业绩,实现归母净利润 31.93 亿元,同比下降 23.89%。公司 2024 年第三季度归属于母公司所有者的净利润 31.93 亿元,同比下降 23.89%,前三季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润 19.65 亿元,同比增长 48.86%;三季度 营业收入 498.71 亿元,同比增长 4.64%,前三季度实现营业收入 1346.61 亿元,同比增 长 12.70%。 ⚫ 运营数据:2024Q3 为航空市场旺季,出行需求旺盛,南方航空经营数据持续提升。根据 公司公告,公司 Q3 整体 ASK 同比 19 年+8%,整体 RPK 同比 19 年+11%,客座率同比 19 年+1.9 pct。国内:公司运量增长高于运力,国内客座率恢复明显。2024Q3 国内 ASK 恢复至 2019 年同期的 119%,同比 23 年+1%;国内 RPK 恢复至 19 年同期的 122 ...
皖通高速:受改扩建影响业绩略低于预期,宣广高速通车在即
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 01:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company reported Q3 2024 revenue of 1.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.47%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 411 million yuan, down 19.57% year-on-year. For the first three quarters, revenue was 5.04 billion yuan, up 16.10% year-on-year, while net profit was 1.22 billion yuan, down 9.60% year-on-year, indicating performance slightly below expectations [4][5]. - The decline in traffic volume is significantly impacted by the ongoing expansion of the Xuanguang and Guangci highways, with average daily traffic volume for Xuanguang down 58.79% and toll revenue down 67.09% from July to September 2024. The expansion is expected to be completed by the end of the year, leading to a rapid recovery in traffic volume [5][6]. - The overall highway transportation sector showed steady growth in Q3, with slight increases in passenger and freight volumes. The investment in highway construction in Anhui province has increased, providing ample underlying assets for potential mergers and acquisitions [5][6]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue for 2023 is projected at 6.63 billion yuan, with a slight decrease expected in 2024 to 6.53 billion yuan, followed by growth in subsequent years. The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 1.64 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.4% [8][10]. - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 0.99 yuan for 2024, with a gradual increase to 1.15 yuan by 2026. The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 14, 13, and 12, respectively [8][10].
戈碧迦:24Q3业绩符合预期,关注纳米微晶+药玻新客户带来的业绩弹性
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 00:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform" for the company [8] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 performance met expectations, with a revenue of 447 million yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-over-year decline of 24.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 59 million yuan, down 31.9% year-over-year [5][6] - The end of the collaboration with a major client has cleared risks, and the company is actively expanding its customer base while increasing R&D expenses [6] - The market underestimates the long certification cycle and high barriers of entry for nano-microcrystalline glass, suggesting potential earnings elasticity for 2025 [6][7] - The company’s nano-microcrystalline glass, based on a sodium-aluminosilicate system, avoids patent risks and has significant growth potential as domestic smartphone brands expand internationally [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 125 million yuan, down 42.8% year-over-year and 8.1% quarter-over-quarter. The net profit was 11 million yuan, down 71.6% year-over-year and 28.6% quarter-over-quarter [5][6] - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 31.7%, an increase of 2.88 percentage points year-over-year, while the net margin was 13.12%, a decrease of 1.47 percentage points year-over-year [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2024-2026 to be 77 million, 99 million, and 129 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE multiples of 40X, 31X, and 24X [8][9] - The total revenue forecast for 2024 is 565 million yuan, with a year-over-year decline of 30.1%, followed by growth rates of 17.3% and 23.3% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [9]
中国海油:业绩符合预期,抗风险能力逐步显现
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 00:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [6] Core Views - The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2024 met expectations, with a revenue of 326.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 116.66 billion yuan, up 19.5% year-on-year [6][7] - The company has shown resilience against risks, with a gross margin of 56.14% in Q3, indicating structural improvement due to a focus on core business and reduced trading activities [6][5] - Future oil price trends are expected to remain volatile, with a downward expectation due to geopolitical factors, but demand recovery may provide some support [5][6] Financial Summary - For Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 99.25 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decline of 13.92%, and a net profit of 36.93 billion yuan, down 7.71% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The overall capital expenditure for the first three quarters reached 95.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, focusing on development to boost reserves and production [5][6] - The company achieved a historical high in oil and gas production, with a net production of 542.1 million barrels of oil equivalent, up 8.5% year-on-year [5][6] Cost and Profitability - The company's cost per barrel of oil equivalent was 28.14 USD, a decrease of 0.8% year-on-year, maintaining a competitive edge globally [6] - The report forecasts net profits for 2024-2026 at 150.6 billion, 155.6 billion, and 160.1 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9X, 8X, and 8X [6][7]
顺鑫农业:24Q3点评:白酒业务基本稳定,肉类业务减亏
申万宏源· 2024-10-30 00:39
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [4][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.317 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 16.92%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 382 million yuan, a significant increase of 230.72% [4][5]. - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.63 billion yuan, down 37.2% year-on-year, with a net loss of 41 million yuan, improving from a loss of 211 million yuan in the same period last year [4][5]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2024-2026, now predicting net profits of 352 million, 452 million, and 552 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 28% and 22% for 2025 and 2026 [5][6]. Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price: 18.89 yuan - Market capitalization: 14,012 million yuan - Price-to-book ratio: 1.9 [2][3]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2024E is projected at 9.702 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -8.4% [7]. - The gross profit margin is expected to be 34.8% in 2024E, with a return on equity (ROE) of 4.9% [7]. - The company aims to maintain stable performance in its liquor business while reducing losses in its meat segment [6][7]. Business Strategy - The liquor business remains stable, focusing on nurturing new growth points and maintaining market presence [6]. - The meat segment is undergoing structural adjustments to reduce losses, with a focus on optimizing the supply chain [6]. - The company has a strong brand presence in the liquor market, particularly with its flagship product, Niulan Mountain liquor [5][6].