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名创优品:海外扩张提质增收,IP战略加速出海-20250325
申万宏源· 2025-03-25 10:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for MINISO [4][15] Core Insights - MINISO's overseas expansion and IP strategy are accelerating, contributing to revenue growth and improved profitability [3][15] - The company reported slightly below expectations for its 4Q24 and FY24 results, with a revenue of Rmb4.71 billion, a gross margin of 47.0%, and an adjusted net profit of Rmb793 million [7][9] Financial Performance Summary - For FY24, MINISO achieved a revenue of Rmb16.99 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, and an adjusted net profit of Rmb2.72 billion, up 15.4% [7][9] - The company forecasts revenue growth to Rmb21.13 billion in 2025, with a projected adjusted net profit of Rmb3.11 billion [8][15] Revenue Growth Drivers - Domestic store expansion and TOP TOY's strong sales contributed to revenue growth, with MINISO's domestic revenue reaching Rmb2.30 billion, a 6.5% increase year-on-year [10] - Overseas store count reached 3,118, with a revenue increase of 65.5% year-on-year in 4Q24, contributing significantly to overall revenue [11][12] Gross Margin and Profitability - The gross margin reached a record high of 47.0%, driven by an increased proportion of direct-operated stores and improved execution of the IP strategy [12][15] - Adjusted net margin for 4Q24 was 16.8%, reflecting healthy profitability despite increased selling expenses [12] Strategic Partnerships and Future Outlook - MINISO is enhancing its partnership with Yonghui to accelerate retail transformation and is collaborating with IPs to support global brand expansion [13][14] - The company aims to assist 100 Chinese IPs in going global over the next decade, which is expected to drive long-term sales growth [14]
电子行业2025年一季度业绩前瞻:1Q25业绩整体向好,重点关注算力国产化及存储涨价
申万宏源· 2025-03-25 08:49
行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 证券分析师 杨海晏 A0230518070003 yanghy@swsresearch.com 袁航 A0230521100002 yuanhang@swsresearch.com 李天奇 A0230522080001 litq@swsresearch.com 杨紫璇 A0230524070005 yangzx@swsresearch.com 联系人 李天奇 (8621)23297818× litq@swsresearch.com 2025 年 03 月 24 日 1Q25 业绩整体向好,重点关注算 力国产化及存储涨价 看好 ——电子行业 2025 年一季度业绩前瞻 本期投资提示: ⚫ 风险提示:研发进展不及预期;行业复苏程度不及预期;创新和渗透提升不及预期等。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 行 业 及 产 业 报 告 | | | | 营业收入 | 营业收入 | 归母净利润 | 归母净利润 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 细分板块 | 代码 | 公司 | (百万元) ...
计算机行业周报:物理AI全球加速!华为终端发布&合作伙伴大会!
申万宏源· 2025-03-23 12:21
业 及 产 业 2025 年 03 月 22 日 物理 AI 全球加速!华为终端发布 崔航 A0230524080005 cuihang@swsresearch.com 徐平平 A0230123060004 xupp@swsresearch.com 曹峥 A0230123040004 caozheng@swsresearch.com 陈晴华 A0230123090010 chenqh@swsresearch.com 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 《云计算 20 年复盘与 AI 展望——计算机 行业周报 20250310-20250314》 2025/03/15 《Manus Agent、物理 AI,两大前沿领域 解析——计算机行业周报 20250303- 20250307》 2025/03/08 证券分析师 黄忠煌 A0230519110001 huangzh@swsresearch.com 洪依真 A0230519060003 hongyz@swsresearch.com 胡雪飞 A0230522120002 huxf@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 li ...
理想汽车-W:25年重点:纯电陆续登场,继续深耕智驾,开启海外拓展-20250323
申万宏源· 2025-03-23 09:06
2025 年 03 月 22 日 理想汽车-W (02015) 证券分析师 樊夏沛 A0230523080004 fanxp@swsresearch.com ——25 年重点:纯电陆续登场,继续深耕智驾,开启海外 拓展 报告原因:有业绩公布需要点评 增持(维持) | 市场数据: | 2025 年 03 月 21 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(港币) | 101.30 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 8742.44 | | 52 周最高/最低(港币) | 138.30/68.65 | | H 股市值(亿港币) | 2,168.71 | | 流通 H 股(百万股) | 1,785.07 | | 汇率(人民币/港币) | 1.0831 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势: -49% 1% 51% 101% HSCEI 理想汽车-W 资料来源:Bloomberg 联系人 樊夏沛 (8621)23297818× fanxp@swsresearch.com 投资要点:公司发布 2024 年年报,公司全年实现营收 1444.6 亿元,同比+16.64%;实现归 母净利润80.32亿元,同比-31.37%。24 ...
腾讯控股:24Q4业绩与资本开支均超预期,AI生态加速建设-20250323
申万宏源· 2025-03-23 08:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings [5][7] Core Views - Tencent's Q4 2024 performance exceeded expectations with revenue of 174.2 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 11%, and adjusted net profit of 55.3 billion RMB, up 30% year-on-year [7] - The company is accelerating its AI ecosystem development, with significant contributions from gaming, advertising, and financial technology sectors [7] - The target price is set at 684 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 34% [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Tencent are as follows: - 2023: 609 billion RMB - 2024: 660.3 billion RMB - 2025E: 719.9 billion RMB - 2026E: 779.4 billion RMB - 2027E: 833.3 billion RMB - Adjusted net profit forecasts: - 2023: 157.7 billion RMB - 2024: 222.7 billion RMB - 2025E: 251.3 billion RMB - 2026E: 282.2 billion RMB - 2027E: 311.3 billion RMB - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates: - 2023: 16.68 RMB - 2024: 24.03 RMB - 2025E: 27.32 RMB - 2026E: 30.69 RMB - 2027E: 33.85 RMB - Return on equity (ROE) projections: - 2023: 19.5% - 2024: 22.4% - 2025E: 20.9% - 2026E: 19.73% - 2027E: 18.49% [4][10] Company Commentary - The gaming segment showed strong performance with domestic and overseas revenues growing by 23% and 15% respectively in Q4 2024, with new titles contributing significantly [7] - Advertising revenue in Q4 2024 grew by 17%, driven by AI enhancements, with video account advertising increasing over 60% [7] - Financial technology and enterprise services revenue grew by 3% in Q4 2024, with notable growth in enterprise WeChat and AI cloud services [7] - Capital expenditures for 2024 were 76.8 billion RMB, representing 12% of revenue, with plans for lower double-digit capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue in 2025 [7]
稳健医疗:公司回应315事件,多举措并行维护消费者利益-20250323
申万宏源· 2025-03-22 21:18
== > | The 2025 年 03 月 21 日 輝医疗 (300888 -公司回应 315 事件,多举措并行维护消费者利益 报告原因: 有新的信息需要补充 ST N (维持) | 市场数据: | 2025 年 03 月 20 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 43.52 | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 48.00/23.31 | | 市净率 | 2.2 | | 息率(分红/股价) | 2.07 | | 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) | 7,638 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,408.95/10,879.49 | | 注:"息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2024年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产(元) | 19.32 | | 资产负债率% | 32.29 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 582/176 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | -/- | 年内股价与大盛对比走势: 稳健医疗 证券分析师 协成 公司书 联系人 ● 刘侗 (8621)23297818× liupei@swsresear ...
安踏体育:业绩表现符合预期,25年指引稳健增长-20250321
申万宏源· 2025-03-21 14:27
上 市 公 司 公 司 点 评 / 公 司 点 纺织服饰 2025 年 03 月 21 日 安踏体育 (02020) ——业绩表现符合预期,25 年指引稳健增长 刘佩 (8621)23297818× liupei@swsresearch.com 投资要点: 报告原因:有业绩公布需要点评 买入(维持) | 市场数据: | 2025 年 03 月 20 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(港币) | 93.15 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 8950.18 | | 52 周最高/最低(港币) | 107.50/65.55 | | H 股市值(亿港币) | 2,614.92 | | 流通 H 股(百万股) | 2,807.21 | | 汇率(人民币/港币) | 1.0828 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势: -16% 34% 84% HSCEI 安踏体育 资料来源:Bloomberg 证券分析师 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 刘佩 A0230523070002 liupei@swsresearch.com 联系人 财务数据及盈利预测 货币单位:人民 ...
中信特钢:2024年报点评:四季度业绩企稳回升,高端产品持续放量-20250321
申万宏源· 2025-03-21 14:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong performance relative to the market [7]. Core Insights - The company's 2024 annual report shows that revenue reached 109.203 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.22%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.126 billion yuan, down 10.41% year-on-year. However, the fourth quarter net profit was 1.29 billion yuan, reflecting a 16.09% increase from the previous quarter [7]. - The company's special steel business remains stable, with a production volume of 20.16 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.53%. The average selling price of special steel products was 5,117 yuan per ton, down 5.02% year-on-year [7]. - High-end product sales continue to grow, with 738,000 tons of "small giant" project steel sold, achieving 103% of the annual target and a year-on-year increase of 10% [7]. - The company has maintained a high level of R&D investment, with R&D expenses increasing by 3.39% to 4.602 billion yuan [7]. - The report forecasts net profits of 5.463 billion yuan for 2025 and 5.993 billion yuan for 2026, with a new estimate of 6.286 billion yuan for 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 12, 11, and 10 for 2025-2027 respectively [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (million yuan): 114,019 in 2023, 109,203 in 2024, projected 107,648 in 2025, 108,832 in 2026, and 109,051 in 2027 [2][9]. - Net profit (million yuan): 5,721 in 2023, 5,126 in 2024, projected 5,463 in 2025, 5,993 in 2026, and 6,286 in 2027 [2][9]. - Earnings per share (yuan/share): 1.13 in 2023, 1.02 in 2024, projected 1.08 in 2025, 1.19 in 2026, and 1.25 in 2027 [2][9]. - Gross margin (%): 13.1 in 2023, 12.8 in 2024, projected 13.4 in 2025, 13.5 in 2026, and 13.7 in 2027 [2][9].
金山办公:WPS 365带动B端新成长,AI带动C端付费率提升-20250321
申万宏源· 2025-03-21 14:01
上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 2025 年 03 月 21 日 金山办公 (688111) ——WPS 365 带动 B 端新成长,AI 带动 C 端付费率提升 报告原因:有业绩公布需要点评 买入(维持) | 市场数据: | 2025 年 03 月 20 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 323.60 | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 408.68/167.18 | | 市净率 | 13.2 | | 股息率%(分红/股价) | 0.27 | | 流通 A 股市值(百万元) | 149,721 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,408.95/10,879.49 | | 注:"股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2024 年 12 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产(元) | 24.55 | | 资产负债率% | 28.13 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 463/463 | | 流通 B 股/H 股(百万) | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势: 03-20 04-20 05-20 06-20 0 ...
莱克电气:近期经营情况点评:海外产能布局抵御贸易摩擦,有望进行新领域探索-20250321
申万宏源· 2025-03-21 13:58
上 市 公 司 家用电器 2025 年 03 月 21 日 莱克电气 (603355) 相关研究 ——近期经营情况点评:海外产能布局抵御贸易摩擦,有 望进行新领域探索 报告原因:调整投资评级 投资要点: | | 2023 | 2024Q1-3 | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 8,792 | 7,246 | 9,778 | 10,700 | 11,889 | | 同比增长率(%) | -11.5 | 12.0 | 11.2 | 9.4 | 11.1 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 1,117 | 879 | 1,194 | 1,304 | 1,426 | | 同比增长率(%) | 8.4 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 9.2 | 9.4 | | 每股收益(元/股) | 1.95 | 1.53 | 2.08 | 2.27 | 2.49 | | 毛利率(%) | 25.6 | 24.0 | 24.4 | 24.8 | 24.8 | | ROE(%) | 25.5 | 16.2 | 24.3 ...