Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the food and beverage industry, particularly highlighting the attractiveness of dividend yields from leading companies [2]. Core Insights - The report indicates a decrease in the holding value of the top twenty stocks in the food and beverage sector, with a ratio of 16.23% in Q4 2024, down 0.07 percentage points from Q3 2024 [3][5]. - The food and beverage sector remains overweight, with a holding value ratio of 10.64% for heavy-weight stocks, despite a decline of 0.66 percentage points [25]. - The report notes a decline in the market value share of major liquor companies, with Kweichow Moutai at 2.05% and Wuliangye at 0.82%, both showing a decrease compared to previous quarters [7][18]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Analysis - In Q4 2024, the top ten food and beverage stocks included five liquor companies and five consumer goods companies, with Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye being the most significant [18]. - The number of funds holding Kweichow Moutai decreased by 117 to 1,125, while Wuliangye saw a reduction of 54 funds to 652 [18]. Sector Performance - The food and beverage sector's market value share in the A-share market is 6.12%, down 0.71 percentage points, but still at a high level historically [25]. - The liquor sector's market value share is 4.29%, also showing a decline of 0.73 percentage points [25]. Individual Stock Performance - Kweichow Moutai's market value share decreased by 0.25 percentage points to 2.05%, while Wuliangye's share fell by 0.12 percentage points to 0.82% in Q4 2024 [7][39]. - Yili's market value share increased by 0.10 percentage points to 0.20%, indicating a positive trend [7]. Northbound Capital Changes - In Q4 2024, the northbound capital holding ratios for major food and beverage stocks showed an increase for Yili and slight changes for others, with Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye experiencing declines [39][40].

Investment Rating - The textile and apparel industry is rated as "Overweight" indicating it is expected to outperform the overall market [3][10]. Core Views - Domestic demand is showing signs of recovery, while external demand is benefiting from a "export rush" effect. Retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles in China for 2024 are projected at 1.47 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.3%. The fourth quarter of 2024 shows a cumulative year-on-year improvement of 0.6% compared to a decline of 2.3% in the third quarter [3][4]. - The total export value of China's textile and apparel for 2024 is estimated at 301.1 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.8%. December exports reached 28.1 billion USD, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 11.4% [3][4]. - The performance of major brands in the fourth quarter of 2024 indicates a recovery in sales and improved inventory health, with notable growth in outdoor brands [3][4]. Summary by Sections Domestic Demand - Retail sales in Q4 2024 show a recovery trend with a cumulative year-on-year growth of 0.6%, improving from a decline of 2.3% in Q3 [3]. - The retail sales figures for clothing, shoes, and textiles reflect the impact of domestic economic policies [3]. External Demand - The textile and apparel export value for 2024 is projected at 301.1 billion USD, with a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [3]. - The "export rush" effect and depreciation of the yuan have contributed to a significant increase in export growth in December [3]. Brand Performance - Major brands like Anta and FILA have shown strong recovery in sales, with FILA experiencing high single-digit growth in Q4 2024 [3][4]. - Li Ning has regained its status as the official apparel partner of the Chinese Olympic Committee, enhancing its brand influence [3]. Market Outlook - The report suggests a positive outlook for the industry, with recommendations for investment in outdoor sports brands and domestic brands [3][4]. - The textile manufacturing sector is expected to benefit from global market share growth, with companies like Huayi and Shenzhou projected to see significant revenue growth in 2024 [3][4].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the transportation sector [20]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in airline holdings, while shipping and shipbuilding sector holdings have decreased. The total market value of transportation industry funds reached 28.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 18% quarter-on-quarter [3][4]. - The report notes that the transportation sector's fund holdings account for 2.06% of all fund heavy holdings, down 0.11 percentage points from the previous quarter [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the airline transportation, express delivery, raw material supply chain services, and highway sectors, which have seen increased proportions in fund holdings [10]. Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Fund Holdings in the Transportation Industry - The total market value of transportation industry funds reached 28.4 billion yuan, down 18% quarter-on-quarter, ranking 14th among 31 industries [4]. - The market value of the transportation industry accounts for 3.38% of the total A-share market value, with an underweight of 1.32% [4][10]. 2. Changes in Fund Holdings by Sub-sectors - The proportion of airline transportation, express delivery, raw material supply chain services, and highway sectors has increased, now accounting for 42%, 22%, 5%, and 7% respectively, with significant quarter-on-quarter increases [10]. - The market values for these sectors are 11.9 billion, 6.3 billion, 2.9 billion, and 2.4 billion yuan respectively, with varying changes in holdings [10]. 3. Top Ten Heavy Holdings in the Transportation Industry - The top ten heavy holdings in the transportation industry include SF Holding, Juneyao Airlines, Spring Airlines, Air China, China Southern Airlines, Huaxia Airlines, YTO Express, Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway, Jianfa Co., and COSCO Shipping Holdings [16]. - New additions to the top ten holdings include Huaxia Airlines, Jianfa Co., and COSCO Shipping Holdings, with significant growth rates for SF Holding, Huaxia Airlines, and Jianfa Co. [16]. 4. Recommendations for Oil Tankers - The report suggests continued recommendations for COSCO Shipping Energy, China Merchants Energy Shipping, China Merchants South Oil, and Xingtong Co. due to improved operational efficiency and demand recovery post-holiday [3][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiangsu Bank [1] Core Views - Jiangsu Bank's revenue and profit have accelerated, with a reported revenue of 80.8 billion yuan for 2024, representing an 8.8% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 31.8 billion yuan, up 10.8% year-on-year [4][6] - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio holding steady at 0.89% in Q4 2024, and a provision coverage ratio of 350% [6][7] - The report highlights a focus on optimizing loan structures and improving cost efficiency, with a projected loan growth of 10.7% for 2024 [6][7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue and profit forecasts for Jiangsu Bank are as follows: - Total revenue for 2024 is estimated at 80.8 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 8.8% - Net profit for 2024 is projected at 31.8 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 10.8% - The bank's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.65 yuan in 2024, increasing to 1.77 yuan in 2025 and 1.91 yuan in 2026 [5][9] - The report anticipates a gradual increase in total loans, reaching approximately 2.1 trillion yuan in 2024, with a continued upward trend in deposits [9][11] Market Data - As of January 23, 2025, Jiangsu Bank's closing price is 9.59 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 175.99 billion yuan [1] - The bank's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected at 5.81 for 2024, and the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to be 0.75 [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [8][15]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.381 to 1.491 billion yuan for the year 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 55.7% to 68.1% [2]. - The growth in 2024 is primarily driven by the improvement in profit margins of core gaming products, stable growth in AI ICT business, and contributions from non-recurring gains [2]. - The company has initiated a "2+2" new product strategy, focusing on two SLG and two non-SLG games, with new titles already launched for testing [8]. - The computer business is expected to continue its steady growth, and the company is actively exploring AI-related opportunities [8]. - The revenue forecast for 2024-2026 has been adjusted, with expected revenues of 6.38 billion, 7.69 billion, and 8.83 billion yuan respectively [8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 5.962 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 6.377 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 6.9% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.439 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 62.2% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected to be 0.73 yuan, with a slight increase to 0.74 yuan in 2025 [4]. - The gross profit margin is expected to be around 60.5% in 2024, slightly decreasing in subsequent years [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the remote rocket artillery industry, indicating a favorable investment opportunity due to increasing domestic demand and military trade expansion [5][6]. Core Insights - The remote rocket artillery system is identified as a critical component of modern warfare, effectively bridging the gap between traditional artillery and ballistic missiles, offering advantages in range, precision, and cost-effectiveness [4][6]. - Domestic demand is expected to rise alongside military trade opportunities, creating a broad market space for remote artillery systems [4][5]. - The remote rocket artillery supply chain is highlighted, with a focus on key components such as guidance systems, propulsion modules, and complete assembly manufacturers [5][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Remote Rocket Artillery System - The remote rocket artillery system integrates long-range suppression and precision strike capabilities, essential for complex battlefield environments [4][13]. - The system consists of multiple components, including the rocket launcher and the rockets themselves, which are designed for effective firepower delivery [4][13]. 2. Domestic Demand and Military Trade Expansion - The report notes that the expansion of the U.S. rocket artillery units and upgrades in weaponry are driving demand for remote artillery systems [4][23]. - The significance of remote artillery in modern conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine war, has increased its visibility in the global military trade market [4][29]. 3. Remote Rocket Artillery Supply Chain - The supply chain is categorized into three main segments: guidance systems, propulsion modules, and complete assembly manufacturers, with specific companies recommended for investment [5][7]. - The guidance system is identified as the core component, with a significant value contribution, primarily utilizing inertial guidance technology [4][6]. 4. Key Companies and Investment Opportunities - Companies such as Changying Technology in the upstream sector and Beifang Navigation in the midstream sector are highlighted as key players in the remote artillery supply chain [5][7]. - Downstream manufacturers like Zhongbing Hongjian are noted for their stringent qualifications and limited competition in the complete assembly of remote artillery systems [5][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the 2024 earnings forecast is in line with expectations, with a projected net profit of 725-745 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 53.6%-57.8% [6] - The company is expanding its production capacity and successfully acquiring new customers, which is expected to drive revenue growth [6] - The global trend towards the consumption of insulated cups is in its early stages, with significant potential for product line extensions in the medium to long term [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1,775 million yuan in 2023 to 2,856 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 60.9% [5] - The net profit is expected to increase from 472 million yuan in 2023 to 744 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 57.7% [5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 4.71 yuan in 2023 to 7.17 yuan in 2024 [5] Market and Competitive Landscape - The insulated cup market in the U.S. remains robust, with high demand driven by consumer habits, and the company is well-positioned to benefit from this trend [6] - The company has established a new production base in Vietnam, which is expected to enhance its supply chain efficiency and customer retention [6] - The marketing strategies employed by Stanley, a key client, have successfully transformed insulated cups into fashionable items, further expanding market opportunities [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of over 300 million yuan in 2024, aligning with market expectations [8] - The company has shown significant growth in its online and offline channels, with GMV from Douyin exceeding 500 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 80%, and nearly 800 million yuan from Taobao, with double-digit growth [6] - The company is expanding its product matrix, particularly in the infant care and mosquito repellent categories, and has successfully launched new products that resonate with market demand [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1,033 million yuan in 2023 to 2,175 million yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 26.2% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 226 million yuan in 2023 to 473 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a CAGR of about 21.6% [7] - The company's gross margin is forecasted to remain stable, increasing from 56.3% in 2023 to 59.1% in 2026 [7] Performance Comparison - The company's stock price has shown resilience, with a closing price of 25.63 yuan as of January 22, 2025, and a price-to-book ratio of 5.1 [2] - The stock has experienced a significant price range over the past year, with a high of 27.62 yuan and a low of 11.92 yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the overall market performance [2][11]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing strong demand driven by policy stimuli, with both production and sales showing year-on-year growth. In Q4 2024, total vehicle production and sales reached 9.799 million and 9.858 million units, respectively, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.7% and 4.5% [3]. - Domestic passenger vehicle sales are witnessing structural changes, with domestic brands performing exceptionally well. In December 2024, the retail sales share of domestic brands reached 62.3%, up by 9.3 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The report highlights a significant increase in discounts across the industry, particularly among luxury brands, as companies strive to meet annual sales targets [3]. - The cost of raw materials for new energy vehicles has risen, while shipping costs have decreased, positively impacting the profitability of supply chains [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The total automotive production and sales for 2024 are projected at 31.282 million and 31.436 million units, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 3.7% and 4.5% [3]. - The export of vehicles in Q4 2024 reached 1.536 million units, with a total of 5.859 million units exported for the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.3% [3]. Market Dynamics - The report notes a continued high growth rate in new energy vehicles, with wholesale sales in Q4 2024 reaching 4.322 million units [3]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with domestic brands gaining market share at the expense of joint ventures and luxury brands [3]. Financial Performance - The report provides detailed profit forecasts for key companies in the automotive sector for 2024, indicating significant year-on-year growth for several firms, including GAC Group and BYD [4]. - The profitability of component manufacturers is also expected to improve, with several companies projected to see net profit growth exceeding 100% in Q4 2024 [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic leading manufacturers such as BYD and Geely, as well as companies involved in smart technology and components with strong growth potential [3][4]. - Specific companies highlighted for investment include Fuyao Glass, New Spring, and Songyuan Shares, among others [3].

行 业 及 产 业 非银金融 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 相关研究 《"提振资本市场"射出第二支箭——国新 会后配套政策密集出台点评》 2024/09/29 《"提振资本市场"射出第一支箭——《关 于推动中长期资金入市的指导意见》的点 评》 2024/09/26 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 研究支持 金黎丹 A0230123060002 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 孙冀齐 (8621)23297818× sunjq@swsresearch.com 2025 年 01 月 23 日 中长期资金入市步入落地阶段，释 放三大超预期利好 看好 ——《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》点评 1 月 22 日，经中央金融委员会审议同意，中央金融办、中国证监会、财政部、人力资源社会 保障部、中国人民银行、金融监管总局联合印发《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》 （简称"《方案》"），标志着中长期资金入市即将从此前的"预热" ...