Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [6]. Core Insights - The company has established itself as a leading player in the consumer battery sector, leveraging innovation and resilience to expand into multiple fields [1]. - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the acceleration of AI penetration in consumer electronics, which is anticipated to drive new growth cycles [2]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its technological barriers through substantial R&D investments, particularly in solid-state batteries and steel-shell batteries [2]. - The company is also strategically positioning itself in the energy storage battery sector, which is expected to see increased demand due to the global green transition [3]. - Financial forecasts indicate robust revenue and profit growth, with projected revenues of 143.9 billion, 179.9 billion, and 221.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1998, the company has grown to become a global leader in lithium batteries, particularly in the consumer electronics sector, achieving a market share of 31.10% in notebook and tablet batteries and 8.18% in smartphone batteries by 2023 [15][17]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with significant ownership by its founder and management team, ensuring continuity and strategic direction [20]. Industry Dynamics - The global consumer electronics market is projected to grow from 810 billion USD in 2024 to 1.4 trillion USD by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.68% [2]. - The transition to high-quality development in the lithium battery industry is being driven by technological innovations, particularly in solid-state batteries and closed-loop supply chains [12]. Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 10.321 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.2%, with a net profit of 387 million yuan, up 44.4% year-on-year [1]. - Future revenue projections indicate a growth trajectory with expected revenues of 143.9 billion yuan in 2025, 179.9 billion yuan in 2026, and 221.9 billion yuan in 2027, alongside significant profit increases [4][10].

证券研究报告 | 行业策略 gszqdatemark 2025 12 29 年 月 日 电力 2026 电力行业年度策略：火绿重构，水核筑基，燃气优化 行情回顾：板块盈利稳健，市场表现跑输大盘。2025 年 1-9 月，公用事业 (SW) 板块上涨 0.92%，位列全行业第 27 名，跑输沪深 300 指数 17.02pcts。实现营业收入 13817.83 亿元，同比增长 0.02%，归母净利 1723.24 亿元，同比提高 8.43%。2025 前三季度火电业绩稳健，成本低位 支撑盈利，实现归母净利 711.23 亿元，同比增长 15.83%；新能源发电低 电价压力下业绩仍维持高增，风电板块实现归母净利润 220.31 亿元，同 比提高 31.67%；水电经营稳健但增速有所放缓，实现归母净利 513.22 亿 元，同比增长 3.30%；核电相对承压，实现归母净利 165.78 亿元，同比 下降 12.36%。 市场回顾：电力供需转向平衡，电改进一步推进。2025 年前三季度用电 量增速 4.6%，电力消费弹性系数明显下滑至 0.88。二产用电需求疲软拖 累整体用电，一、三产业及居民用电仍具韧性，信息类行业 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company is a leading player in chemical modular manufacturing with excellent profitability, benefiting from increased investments by core clients in China, leading to significant growth in contract signings and revenue [1][24]. - The industrial modularization penetration rate is continuously increasing, providing a stable order source for the company's main business [2]. - The company plans to raise 750 million yuan through convertible bonds to build a new base in Nantong, which will expand its capacity for large module manufacturing and tap into the nuclear power sector as a new growth point [3][4]. - The nuclear module business is projected to contribute an additional 460 million yuan in performance by 2025, driven by contracts with major nuclear power operators [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Chemical Modular Manufacturing Leader with Excellent Profitability - The company has established a full industry chain layout in chemical EPFCO, integrating design, procurement, modularization, construction, and maintenance [14]. - The company has seen rapid revenue growth due to increased investments from core clients like BASF and Invista, with a total contract amount of 4.2 billion yuan in 2022, doubling its total revenue from 2021 [24][25]. - The company's profitability is superior to its peers, with a gross margin consistently maintained between 15%-20% since 2021, and a projected gross margin of 16.1% for 2024 [30]. 2. Continuous Improvement in Industrial Modularization Penetration - Modular construction offers significant advantages over traditional methods in cost control, construction efficiency, and operational performance, leading to a stable demand for the company's main business [2]. - The company has successfully completed several benchmark large modular projects, enhancing its technical capabilities and establishing stable partnerships with multinational chemical giants [2]. 3. Fundraising for Nantong Base to Enter Nuclear Power Sector - The Nantong base is expected to significantly increase the company's large module manufacturing capacity, with an estimated annual output value of 2.1 billion yuan upon reaching full production [3]. - The nuclear power sector is projected to see substantial growth, with an average annual investment of approximately 160 billion yuan expected to be driven by the construction of new nuclear units [3]. 4. Earnings Forecast, Valuation, and Investment Recommendations - The company is forecasted to achieve net profits of 220 million yuan, 246 million yuan, and 356 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.49, 0.55, and 0.79 yuan per share [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 28, 25, and 17 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating potential for significant earnings growth from the nuclear business [4].

Group 1: Currency and Policy Changes - The offshore RMB exchange rate surpassed the 7 mark for the first time in 15 months on December 25, 2025, indicating a continuous appreciation since mid-October[1] - The central bank is expected to implement a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut and interest rate reduction in Q1 2026, alongside the introduction of more structural tools[1] Group 2: Real Estate and Sales Trends - The average weekly land transaction area in 100 cities increased by 102.8% month-on-month in December, although it remains at a five-year low with a year-on-year decline of 3.4%[1] - New home sales in 30 major cities saw a month-on-month increase of 45.8%, with a year-on-year decline narrowing to 25.6%[3] - Second-hand home sales in 18 key cities increased by 13.7% month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline of 22.7%[3] Group 3: Supply Chain and Production - The operating rate of blast furnaces decreased by 1.0 percentage points to 78.4%, while the operating rate of coking enterprises fell by 2.4 percentage points to 66.1%[2] - The operating rate of asphalt plants increased by 1.6 percentage points to 29.5%, and cement dispatch rates rose by 0.3 percentage points to 31.6%[2] Group 4: Commodity Prices - Prices for copper, rebar, and coking coal have risen, with LME copper prices increasing by 2.7% month-on-month and a year-on-year increase of 33.8%[5] - Brent crude oil prices fell by 2.7% month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline of 17.2%[4] Group 5: Inventory and Logistics - Energy inventories, including coal at coastal power plants, decreased by 1.8% month-on-month, while U.S. crude oil and petroleum product inventories fell by 525,000 barrels to 1.687 billion barrels[6] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell by 20.6% month-on-month, while the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) rose by 1.7%[7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhejiang Rongtai [5] Core Views - Zhejiang Rongtai plans to establish a joint venture with Weichuang Electric in Thailand to develop key components for robotics, aiming to enhance its product layout in the mechatronics market [1] - The company has made significant progress in its robotics strategy, with steady delivery of lead screws and successful collaborations with major robotics firms [1] - The financial outlook remains strong, with projected revenue growth and high profitability levels, particularly in the mica insulation materials sector [2] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: 800 million - 2024: 1,135 million - 2025: 1,518 million - 2026: 2,059 million - 2027: 2,805 million - Year-over-year growth rates are expected to be 19.9% in 2023, 41.8% in 2024, 33.7% in 2025, 35.7% in 2026, and 36.2% in 2027 [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are: - 2023: 172 million - 2024: 230 million - 2025: 308 million - 2026: 415 million - 2027: 576 million - Year-over-year growth rates for net profit are projected at 28.4% in 2023, 34.0% in 2024, 34.0% in 2025, 34.5% in 2026, and 38.9% in 2027 [4][2] - The expected P/E ratios for 2025 to 2027 are 122, 91, and 65, respectively [2][4]

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report highlights that since 2000, there have been five rounds of PPI recovery, with A-shares generally trending upwards during these periods, particularly in the first phase when PPI shows a month-on-month bottom, leading to a valuation recovery in A-shares, especially in small and mid-cap growth stocks, TMT, and media sectors [4] - In the second phase, as PPI rises year-on-year from the bottom to positive territory, the market continues to rise with a more balanced style, benefiting growth, consumption, and cyclical sectors such as electronics, communications, and power equipment [4] - The report anticipates that in 2026, PPI will be in the second phase, suggesting investment opportunities in growth, consumption, and cyclical sectors [4] Group 2: Financial Engineering - The market is expected to confirm its direction before the holiday, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.88% over the week, indicating a potential upward trend in sectors like small-cap, electronics, and machinery [6] - The report notes that while some indices are confirming downtrends, half of the industries are still showing upward trends, particularly in sectors like non-bank financials and energy [6] - A500 Index is projected to have a 12.9% expected return over the next year, supported by strong earnings and valuation growth, making it a suitable asset for risk diversification [12] Group 3: Coal Industry - The coal price is expected to stabilize around 750 RMB/ton for thermal coal and 1550-1600 RMB/ton for coking coal in 2026, with a focus on domestic capacity exit and overseas demand driven by AI [28] - The report warns of potential supply shortages in coal for power plants due to the risk of coal mine shutdowns in Indonesia, which could impact the coal supply for Java Island [31] - Current market conditions show a complete inversion between spot and long-term coal prices, indicating a potential bottoming out, with expectations for policy intervention to stabilize prices [34] Group 4: Electronics Industry - The report emphasizes the promising outlook for high-speed optical chips, driven by AI demand and the expected growth of the global EML laser chip market from 3.71 billion RMB in 2024 to 7.41 billion RMB by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 12.23% [18] - The demand for silicon photonic modules is expected to rise significantly, driven by the need for higher transmission rates in data centers and networks, with major companies ramping up production to meet this demand [21] - Companies like Coherent and Lumentum are expanding their production capacities to meet the growing demand for optical components, with significant orders for high-speed products expected to drive revenue growth [23][24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The report highlights a collective price increase across the component segment, with three lithium iron phosphate cathode manufacturers announcing production line maintenance [4] - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing price increases in polysilicon, silicon wafers, and batteries, providing a bottom support for price stabilization and recovery across downstream segments [14][15] - The report identifies three key focus areas: supply-side reform price increase opportunities, long-term growth opportunities from new technologies, and industrialization opportunities from perovskite GW-level layouts [15] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The electric power equipment and new energy sector saw a 4.1% increase from December 22 to December 26, 2025, with a cumulative increase of 42.1% for the year [10] 2. Core Insights of the Week 2.1 New Energy Generation 2.1.1 Photovoltaics - Polysilicon prices increased, with the average transaction price for n-type polysilicon at 53,900 RMB/ton, up 1.32% week-on-week [14] - N-type battery prices rose to 0.34 RMB per watt, with a price range of 0.32-0.34 RMB per watt for various sizes [14][15] - Major component manufacturers have responded to industry self-discipline by raising component prices, with increases of 0.02-0.04 RMB per watt [15] 2.1.2 Wind Power & Grid - Poland successfully allocated 3.4GW of capacity in its first offshore wind auction, marking a milestone in its energy transition [16] - Jiangsu province approved 1.0536GW of offshore wind projects, expected to enter construction in 2026/2027 [17] - The report recommends focusing on key players in the wind turbine sector, including Goldwind Technology and Mingyang Smart Energy [18] 2.1.3 Hydrogen & Energy Storage - The first integrated photovoltaic hydrogen production project in Xinjiang was launched, showcasing a complete industrial chain from green electricity to green hydrogen [20] - The report suggests focusing on leading equipment manufacturers and hydrogen compressor companies [20] - Energy storage project bidding prices for December ranged from 0.6442 to 0.77 RMB/Wh, with a recommendation to focus on companies with high growth certainty in large storage [28] 3. Photovoltaic Industry Price Dynamics - The report provides detailed price dynamics for the photovoltaic industry, indicating significant price movements across various components [34] 4. Important News of the Week - The report summarizes key developments in the new energy vehicle sector, including production line maintenance announcements from lithium iron phosphate manufacturers [29] - It also highlights significant investments and project launches in the energy storage and battery sectors [35][36]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Maintain Buy" [3] Core Insights - The new long-term electricity trading regulations, revised for the first time in five years, aim to promote market pricing and the entry of new entities. The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued the "Basic Rules for Long-term Electricity Market," with local implementation details required by March 1, 2026. Long-term trading volume accounted for 95.9% of total market trading volume in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating the importance of this regulation in adapting to the full market entry of renewable energy and establishing a unified national electricity market [2][14] - The new regulations are expected to enhance revenue certainty for thermal and renewable energy companies. They allow for flexible pricing mechanisms linked to monthly coal price indices and spot market averages, reducing the impact of coal price fluctuations on thermal power profits. Green electricity trading is now integrated as a primary trading category, with clear pricing structures established [2][14] - The regulations expand the scope of trading participants to include new entities like virtual power plants and independent storage, defining their rights and obligations. They also eliminate the previously mandated time-of-use pricing for direct market participants, allowing for a more market-driven pricing mechanism [2][15] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The electricity market is undergoing significant regulatory changes aimed at enhancing market efficiency and stability. The new rules are designed to accommodate the increasing integration of renewable energy sources and to create a more flexible and responsive pricing environment [2][14] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3963.68 points, up 1.88%, while the CSI 300 Index closed at 4657.24 points, up 1.95%. The CITIC Power and Utilities Index closed at 3115.63 points, up 0.67%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.28 percentage points [62][63] Key Trading Data - In Jiangsu, the average price for centralized bidding in January 2026 was 324.71 yuan per megawatt-hour, down 19.9% year-on-year and 17% below the coal power benchmark price of 391 yuan per megawatt-hour. The total transaction volume was 60.92 billion kilowatt-hours, a decrease of 7.1% from January of the previous year [7][15][16] - In Guangdong, the average transaction price for 2026 was 372.14 cents per kilowatt-hour, reflecting a 5% decrease from the previous year and a 17.8% drop from the coal benchmark price of 453 cents per kilowatt-hour. The total transaction volume increased by 5.4% to 3594.37 billion kilowatt-hours [11][15]

证券研究报告 | 金融工程 gszqdatemark 2025 12 28 年 月 日 量化周报 市场有望节前确认方向 市场有望节前确认方向。本周（ 12.22-12.26），大盘震荡上行，上证指数 全周收涨 1.88%。在此背景下，中小 100、电子、机械、非银迎来日线级 别上涨。当下，我们认为市场震荡调整仍未结束的主要理由如下：1、目前 规模指数中只有上证指数、科创 50 确认日线级别下跌，从历史统计看， 其它规模指数跟随确认日线下跌的概率高；2、上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500、创业板指、深证成指已开始不创新高，M 头形态已现，未来下跌的 概率高；3、目前虽然有 14 个行业处于日线下跌中，但仍有二分之一的行 业处于日线上涨，而且有色、石油石化、化工、建材、轻工、电力设备及 新能源均处于超涨状态。不过由于近期中小 100、非银、电子、通信重新 确认了日线级别上涨，而且上证指数也处于确认日线上涨的边缘。因此， 我们认为市场有望节前确认方向：下周若继续上行，则日线上涨在节后得 以延续；若不能上行，则节后继续震荡调整。中期来看，上证指数、上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500、深证成指、创业板指、科创 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is maintained as "Add" [5] Core Insights - The C-REITs market is showing signs of recovery, with notable performance in the affordable housing and industrial park sectors, while municipal water conservancy and energy infrastructure sectors have seen declines [2][11] - The total market capitalization of listed REITs is approximately 215.53 billion yuan, with an average market cap of about 2.8 billion yuan per REIT [2][11] - The report highlights three main investment strategies: focusing on policy-driven themes, recognizing the market's acknowledgment of the benefits of affordable housing, and monitoring the expansion of REITs alongside new issuances [3] Summary by Sections REITs Index Performance - The CSI REITs total return index increased by 1.56% this week, closing at 1014.8 points, while the CSI REITs closing index rose by 1.39% to 783.9 points [1][9] - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs total return index has risen by 4.85%, while the closing index has decreased by 0.72% [1][9] C-REITs Secondary Market Performance - The secondary market for C-REITs has shown a recovery trend, with 67 out of 78 listed REITs experiencing price increases this week, averaging a weekly gain of 1.61% [2][11] - The best-performing sectors this week include warehousing logistics, industrial parks, and affordable housing, while municipal water conservancy and energy infrastructure sectors faced declines [2][11] REITs Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs shows significant differentiation, with the top three being Ping An Guangzhou Guanghe REIT (10.8%), Huaxia China Communications Construction REIT (10%), and E Fund Guangkai Industrial Park REIT (8.8%) [3] - Price-to-NAV ratios range from 0.7 to 1.7, with the highest being Huaxia Anbo Warehousing REIT, Zhongjin Xiamen Anju REIT, and Jiashi Wumei Consumption REIT, all at 1.7 [3]