Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) with a target price of HKD 105, corresponding to a 25x P/E for 2026 [3][5]. Core Views - Sunny Optical's revenue for H1 2025 reached HKD 196.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%. The mobile segment generated HKD 132.5 billion, up 1.7%, while the automotive segment saw a significant growth of 18.2% to HKD 34 billion, and the XR segment grew by 21.1% to HKD 12 billion [1][2]. - The company's gross profit for H1 2025 was HKD 38.9 billion, reflecting a 20% increase, with the gross margin improving from 17.2% to 19.8% due to faster growth in high-margin automotive business and improved margins in mobile lenses and modules [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 was approximately HKD 16.5 billion, marking a substantial year-on-year increase of 52.6% [1]. Summary by Sections Mobile Optical - The demand for mobile optical products is driven by the need for extreme miniaturization due to foldable and ultra-thin devices, as well as innovations in video stabilization and all-focus experiences. The revenue from mobile lenses with six or more elements grew by over 9%, and the revenue from glass-plastic hybrid lenses more than doubled [2]. Automotive Optical - Sunny Optical holds the leading global market share in automotive lenses, with a focus on pixel upgrades and advanced cleaning technologies. The company also maintains the top market share for 8MP automotive modules and has secured over HKD 1.5 billion in designated projects for L3 and above intelligent driving [2]. XR and IoT - The company has achieved full-link optical product coverage in the XR sector, including interaction modules, display modules, and complete machine ODM. In the broader IoT space, there is a growing demand for handheld imaging devices, and the company is expanding its scale in robotics, particularly in navigation and AI recognition [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Sunny Optical are estimated at HKD 409 billion, HKD 476 billion, and HKD 559 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be HKD 35.3 billion, HKD 42.0 billion, and HKD 52.4 billion for the same years [3][4].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Core Viewpoints - The bond market is affected by the stock market, but the adjustment space is limited. Attention should be paid to stock market changes and fund duration to select the timing for increasing bond allocation [59] - Overall, during stock market rallies, government bond yields tend to move in sync with funds. If funds are generally loose, government bond yields show a long - term downward trend, with the term spread widening and the credit spread narrowing. In terms of fund diversion, household deposits often decrease year - on - year, bond fund shares may decline periodically but will recover in the later stage of the stock market growth. The scale of wealth management transferred to the stock market may be relatively limited, and the scale and proportion of insurance bond investment are expected to rise [4][58] Summary by Different Stock Market Rally Periods 2006 - 2007 Stock Market Rally - **Bond Market Performance**: Government bond yields rose significantly, fund prices increased, the term spread first narrowed, then widened, and then narrowed again, and the credit spread first narrowed and then widened. The Shanghai Composite Index rose from 1181 points at the beginning of 2006 to 6092 points in mid - October 2007. The 10 - year government bond yield rose from 3.1% to 4.5%, an increase of 139bps. R007 rose from 1.5% to a maximum of 7.1%. The government bond term spread first dropped from 140bp to 85bp in November 2006, then rose to 180bp at the end of June 2007, and then dropped to 122bp in mid - October 2007. The 1 - year medium - term note credit spread dropped from 138bp at the end of 2006 to 59bp in mid - August 2007 and then rose to 118bp in mid - October 2007 [1][8] - **Fund Diversion**: Household deposits decreased year - on - year, the shares of both stock - type and bond - type funds increased, and the balance of insurance bond investment rose. From the second quarter of 2006 to the third quarter of 2007, household deposits decreased by a cumulative 12857 billion yuan year - on - year. Stock - type fund shares increased from 1279 billion shares in January 2006 to 10112 billion shares in October 2007, an increase of 8833 billion shares. Bond - type fund shares increased by a cumulative 187 billion shares from 243 billion shares. The balance of insurance bond investment increased from 6600 billion yuan in December 2005 to 10420 billion yuan in June 2007, an increase of 3820 billion yuan [2][14][18] 2014 - 2015 Stock Market Rally - **Bond Market Performance**: Government bond yields decreased significantly, funds were generally loose, the term spread first narrowed and then widened, and the credit spread narrowed after fluctuations. The Shanghai Composite Index rose from 2024 points in mid - June 2014 to 5166 points in mid - June 2015. The 10 - year government bond yield dropped from 4.0% to about 3.6%, a decrease of 42bps. R007 first rose from 3.2% to 6.4% in late December 2014 and then dropped to 2.1%. The government bond term spread first narrowed from 63bp to 19bp in mid - October 2014 and then widened to 194bp in mid - June 2015. The 3 - year medium - term note credit spread narrowed from 136bp to 116bp overall [2][25] - **Fund Diversion**: Household deposits decreased year - on - year, the shares of stock - type and bond - type funds changed in opposite directions, the balance and proportion of insurance bond investment decreased, and the scale of wealth management increased. From July 2014 to June 2015, household deposits decreased by a cumulative 22655 billion yuan year - on - year. Bond - type fund shares increased by a cumulative 456 billion shares, while stock - type fund shares increased by a cumulative 1605 billion shares. The balance of insurance bond investment decreased from 35636 billion yuan in June 2014 to 35532 billion yuan in June 2015, and the proportion of bond investment dropped from 41.48% to 34.27%. The scale of bank wealth management products increased from 12.65 trillion yuan in June 2014 to 18.52 trillion yuan in June 2015 [2][33] 2024 - 2025 Stock Market Rally - **Bond Market Performance**: Government bond yields rose, funds were generally loose, and both the term spread and credit spread widened. The Shanghai Composite Index rose from 2863 points on September 24, 2024, to 3490 points on October 8, 2024, and then continued to fluctuate. From July 2025 to August 18, 2025, it rose from 3458 points to 3728 points. The 10 - year government bond yield first rose from 2.07% to 2.25%, then dropped rapidly to 1.60%, and since July 2025, it has been rising. R007 dropped from 2.03% on September 24, 2024, to 1.50% on August 18, 2025. During the two stock market rallies, the term spread widened by 16.5bp and 9.5bp respectively, and the 3 - year medium - term note credit spread widened by 21.5bp and 6.7bp respectively [2][42] - **Fund Diversion**: Household deposits decreased year - on - year, bond - type fund shares decreased, stock - type fund shares increased, the balance and proportion of insurance bond investment rose, and the balance of wealth management bond investment increased. In September 2024, household deposits decreased by 3257 billion yuan year - on - year, and in July 2025, they decreased by 7818 billion yuan year - on - year. Bond - type fund shares decreased by 7002 billion shares in October 2024, while stock - type fund shares increased by a cumulative 1319 billion shares in September and October 2024. The balance of life insurance company bond investment increased from 14.23 trillion yuan in September 2024 to 16.92 trillion yuan in June 2025, and the proportion increased from 49.18% to 51.90%. The balance of bank wealth management increased from 28.52 trillion yuan in June 2024 to 30.67 trillion yuan in June 2025, and the bond investment scale increased from 16.98 trillion yuan to 18.33 trillion yuan [3][50]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4][6]. Core Views - The company achieved record high revenue and profit in Q2 2025, with revenue of 2.046 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64%, and a net profit of 531 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 191% [1]. - The growth is driven by flagship products like RK3588 and new products such as RK3576, particularly in the AIoT sector, with significant expansion in automotive electronics, industrial applications, machine vision, and robotics [1]. - The gross margin reached 43.3%, up 6.5 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin improved to 27.7%, up 11.4 percentage points year-on-year, indicating stable profitability driven by improved product mix [1]. Product Development - The company launched the RK182X edge computing co-processor, designed to meet diverse computing needs with high neural network performance and bandwidth [2]. - The new AI visual processor RV1126B was released in May 2025, enhancing the company's visual chip product matrix [3]. - The audio processor RK2116 was introduced in July 2025, completing the audio product lineup [3]. - Ongoing development of mid-range AIoT processors and next-generation flagship chips is aimed at expanding the product portfolio and improving design efficiency [3]. Financial Forecast and Recommendations - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are set at 43.1 billion yuan, 55.9 billion yuan, and 69.7 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 37.5%, 29.7%, and 24.6% [4]. - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 1.14 billion yuan, 1.49 billion yuan, and 1.92 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 92.2%, 30.8%, and 28.7% [4]. - The strong performance and expanding product range support the "Buy" rating [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.518 billion in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 645 million, up 24.50% year-on-year [1] - The successful launch of three self-developed games in H1 2025 contributed significantly to revenue and profit growth, with "杖剑传说" performing exceptionally well in overseas markets [2][4] - The company is expected to see continued revenue growth, with projections of 5.063 billion, 6.076 billion, and 6.744 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 37.0%, 20.0%, and 11.0% [4] Financial Overview - In H1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 2.518 billion, with a net profit of 645 million, and a non-recurring net profit of 648 million, marking a 40.02% increase year-on-year [1] - The average ranking of "问剑长生" in the App Store was 63, peaking at 14, while "杖剑传说" maintained an average ranking of 18, reaching a high of 10 [2] - The company's overseas revenue in H1 2025 was 201 million, down 21.01% year-on-year, primarily due to the performance of previous titles [3] Profit Forecast - The report adjusts profit forecasts upwards, expecting net profits of 1.453 billion, 1.745 billion, and 1.929 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 53.8%, 20.1%, and 10.5% [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported significant revenue growth driven by its performance in effect advertising, with a 59.95% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 1.737 billion yuan [1]. - The company's AI-driven programmatic advertising has improved reasoning efficiency by seven times, reducing task execution time by over 30% and cutting computational resource costs by approximately 25% [3]. - The company has expanded its client base, particularly in the e-commerce sector, where revenue from e-commerce clients grew by 102.22% year-on-year, accounting for 31.34% of total revenue [2]. Financial Overview - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 144 million yuan, reflecting an 8.81% increase year-on-year [1]. - The company's overseas revenue reached 1.435 billion yuan, a 54.72% increase, making up 82.64% of total revenue, while domestic revenue grew by 90.59% to 301 million yuan [2]. - The company expects net profits of 253 million yuan, 293 million yuan, and 321 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 59.8, 51.5, and 47.1 [5][6]. Business Developments - The company became the first-level agent for AppLovin in the Greater China region, enhancing its capabilities in user behavior analysis and advertising material optimization [4]. - The launch of the AI Drive 2.0 smart marketing solution aims to create a comprehensive marketing automation loop, integrating creative material generation, intelligent ad management, and product insight analysis [4]. Revenue Breakdown - In the first half of 2025, effect advertising revenue reached 1.678 billion yuan, a 60.20% increase, constituting 96.62% of total revenue [2]. - Advertising agency revenue grew by 43.93% to 50 million yuan, representing 2.89% of total revenue [2]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 3.413 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 34% [6]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.54 yuan, with a projected net profit margin of 7.4% [6].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - In July 2025, fiscal revenue improved marginally, and fiscal expenditure maintained a relatively high growth rate. However, there is a risk of a decline in fiscal expenditure in the future [1][4]. - Fiscal revenue improvement mainly came from tax revenue, with VAT and corporate income tax contributing more to tax growth. Fiscal expenditure relied more on government debt, and the broad fiscal deficit rate was at a relatively high level [2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Revenue Side - **General Public Budget Revenue**: In July 2025, the monthly general public budget revenue increased by 2.65% year - on - year (previous value: - 0.3%), with tax revenue up 5.0% (previous value: 1.0%) and non - tax revenue down 12.93% (previous value: - 3.7%), showing an improved revenue structure [1][11]. - **Tax Revenue Composition**: In July, the four major taxes all performed well. Domestic VAT increased by 4.3% year - on - year, consumption tax by 5.4%, corporate income tax by 6.4%, and individual income tax by 13.9%. VAT and corporate income tax contributed more to the year - on - year tax growth. Export tax rebates decreased by 5.6% year - on - year, and real - estate - related taxes decreased by 3.8%. Vehicle purchase tax decreased by 13.8%. In June, stamp duty and securities trading stamp duty increased by 24.2% and 125.4% respectively [2][13]. - **Government Fund Revenue**: In July, government fund revenue increased by 8.9% year - on - year (previous value: 20.8%). Considering the time lag between land transactions and government fund revenue and the weak real - estate investment growth, its sustainability needs further observation [1][17]. - **Accumulated Revenue**: From January to July, the accumulated general public budget revenue increased by 0.1% year - on - year, in line with the annual budget, but the structure was poor. Tax revenue growth was - 0.3%, lower than the budgeted 3.7%, while non - tax revenue growth was 2.0%, higher than the budgeted - 14.2%. Government bond fund revenue decreased by 0.7% year - on - year, with the narrowing decline's sustainability to be observed [23]. Expenditure Side - **General Public Budget Expenditure**: In July, general public budget expenditure increased by 3.04% year - on - year (previous value: 0.38%), showing a rebound in expenditure growth [2][19]. - **Government Fund Expenditure**: In July, government fund expenditure increased by 42.4% year - on - year, maintaining a high growth rate. This may be related to the positive growth of government fund revenue in July and the accelerated issuance of new special bonds since the end of June [2][19]. - **Expenditure Structure**: In July, traditional infrastructure expenditure continued to contract, with an overall infrastructure - related fiscal expenditure growth rate of - 3.8% (previous value: - 8.8%). Expenditure on social security increased by 13.1%, health by 14.2%, and debt service by 8.9% [3][19]. - **Accumulated Expenditure**: From January to July, fiscal expenditure growth was 3.4%, slightly lower than the annual budgeted 4.4%. Government fund expenditure growth was 31.7%, higher than the budgeted 23.1%, indicating relatively front - loaded spending [23]. Fiscal Deficit - As of July, fiscal expenditure relied more on government debt, and the broad fiscal deficit rate was at a relatively high level. From January to July, the general budget fiscal deficit was 2.49 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of about 0.5 trillion yuan. The accumulated broad fiscal deficit was 5.61 trillion yuan, and assuming a nominal GDP growth rate of 4% this year, the current accumulated broad fiscal deficit rate was 4.0%, close to that in 2022 [3][22]. Future Outlook - There is a risk of a decline in fiscal expenditure. After August, the year - on - year increase in government bond net financing is expected to turn negative. The scale of special bonds for project expenditure in the second half of the year is also expected to decline. Without incremental fiscal policies, fiscal expenditure intensity may decrease [4][25].

证券研究报告 | 公司研究 gszqdatemark 2025 08 20 年 月 日 康缘药业（600557.SH） 三靶点有序推进，创新研发多点开花 在当前时点，我们认为公司创新药持续推进，对重点产品管线进行了更新 梳理。 收购中新医药，获【三靶点减肥药】在内四款创新产品。2024 年康缘药业 股收购中新医药 100%股权，对价 2.7 亿元，对手方为康缘集团、南京康 竹。中新医药已获取 4 个创新药的 6 个临床批件，均进入临床阶段。技术 平台：拥有分子设计技术平台，从细胞因子、融合蛋白、单克隆抗体类别 药物的分子发现和分子改造，形成具有可持续的创新型生物药分子发现能 力。 化药生物药有序推进，各领域多点开花。1）心脑血管领域：SIPI-2011 片 治疗室性心律失常，与上海医药工业研究院合作，处于Ⅱ期临床。2）心脑 血管领域：注射用 AAPB 治疗急性缺血性脑卒中，处于 I 期临床。3）神经 领域：氟诺哌齐治疗阿尔茨海默症。4）生物药拥抗体、溶瘤病毒、重组蛋 白和融合蛋白四个平台。自免领域 KYS202002A（CD38 单抗）针对骨髓瘤 和红斑狼疮，展开中美双报，KYS202004A（TNF-α/I ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 895 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 20.31%, with a net profit of 188 million yuan, up 4.16% year-over-year [1] - The growth in the baby care business is driven by new product launches and increased marketing efforts, with over 40 new products introduced in the first half of the year [2] - The company is expected to see a recovery in performance in the second half of the year due to new product launches and increased investment across all channels [2] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 655 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 13.46%, but a slight decline in net profit by 0.85% [1] - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 decreased by 0.63 percentage points to 58.01%, primarily due to increased sales and management expenses [1] - The company plans to distribute a mid-term dividend of 2.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 80.92 million yuan [1] Revenue Breakdown - For H1 2025, revenue from mosquito repellent, baby care, and essential oil products was 375 million yuan, 405 million yuan, and 92 million yuan, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 13.43%, 38.73%, and -14.60% [2] - The online and offline channels saw revenue growth of 20% and 21% respectively in H1 2025, with significant contributions from new partnerships and channel expansions [3] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.62 billion yuan, 1.97 billion yuan, and 2.41 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 22.5%, 22.2%, and 22.2% respectively [4] - Net profit is expected to reach 330 million yuan, 420 million yuan, and 519 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 10.5%, 26.0%, and 24.3% respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing its leading position in the special steel industry and improving capacity integration capabilities [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 54.715 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.02% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.798 billion yuan, an increase of 2.67% year-on-year [1]. - The company's profitability is gradually recovering, with a net profit of 1.414 billion yuan in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.58% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.21% [2]. - The demand for high-quality special steel is expected to continue growing due to the rapid development of new energy vehicles and the lightweight trend in traditional automobiles, as well as upgrades in high-end equipment manufacturing and energy sectors [2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved steel sales of 9.8226 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.23%, with specific product sales such as bearing steel increasing by 13.2% [3]. - The gross margin for special steel products was 14.37%, an increase of 2.07 percentage points year-on-year, with alloy steel bars and seamless steel pipes showing significant improvements in gross margins [3]. - The company aims to achieve an export volume of 2.65 million tons in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.3% [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 5.98 billion yuan, 6.5 billion yuan, and 6.86 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.6, 9.7, and 9.2 [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in quarterly profits, with a net profit of 1.463 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an 18.63% year-on-year growth [1] - The company has shown a strong improvement in profit margins, with a net profit margin increasing to 5.75% in Q2 2025, benefiting from optimized product structure and agile operational strategies [1][2] - The company is transitioning towards high-end products, with advanced steel material sales accounting for 29.77% of total sales, up 2.64 percentage points year-on-year [2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 28.944 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.06% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.463 billion yuan, an increase of 18.63% [1] - The company’s Q2 2025 net profit was 0.885 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.21% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 52.94% [1] - The company’s financial projections indicate a recovery in revenue, with expected operating income of 67.849 billion yuan in 2025, a 9.8% year-on-year increase [4] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.186 yuan per 10 shares for the second half of 2025, totaling approximately 731 million yuan, which is 50% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [3] Strategic Developments - The company has joined the CITIC Group, transitioning to a state-owned enterprise structure, which enhances resource sharing and operational synergies [3] - The company is focusing on high-end specialized plate and special steel long product manufacturing, which is expected to benefit from improvements in industry supply and demand dynamics [3]