Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company's performance in Q1 2025 met expectations, with revenue of 2.06 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 12.5% in core business revenue after excluding other businesses [1]. - The profitability indicators for Q1 2025 were strong, with a gross margin of 26.8% and a net margin of 14.0%, reflecting year-on-year increases of 4.2 percentage points and 2.9 percentage points, respectively [1]. - The company is benefiting from cost reduction and efficiency improvement initiatives, which are expected to continue driving performance [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 8.074 billion yuan in 2023 to 15.039 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17.8% [3]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 816 million yuan in 2023 to 1.868 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of about 20.4% [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.96 yuan in 2023 to 2.20 yuan in 2027 [3]. Business Development - The company is expanding its global footprint, particularly in the new energy transmission gear business, which is expected to enhance the value per vehicle significantly [2]. - Collaborations with leading domestic manufacturers in the smart home and automotive sectors are expected to drive growth in the smart actuator business [2]. - The company has established stable delivery of projects for international clients, which is anticipated to accelerate growth beyond the industry average [2].

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 09 年 月 日 宇通客车（600066.SH） 内需与出口共振，业绩增长突出 事件。公司发布财报，2024 年营业收入 372.2 亿元，同比增长 37.6%， 归母净利润为 41.2 亿元，同比增长 126.5%；2025Q1 营业收入 64.2 亿 元，同比减少 3%，归母净利润 7.55 亿元，同比增长 14.9%。 内需与出口共振，业绩增长突出。受益于国内旅游市场向好、以旧换新带 动及国产客车产品竞争力的提升，2024 年，宇通客车累计销售客车 4.69 万辆，同比+28.5%，对内和出口销售分别为 3.29 万辆/1.4 万辆，同比分 别+24.9%/+37.7%，内需及出口均实现较好增长，带动公司业绩表现超 预期，同比增长超 100%。2024 年归母净利润/Q4 单季度归母净利润分别 为 41.2/16.8 亿元，盈利靠近历史高点。2025Q1，公司客车销售 9011 台， 同比 16.6%，根据客车网数据，公司大中型客车出口 1329 台，同比 +35.5%，市场占比 21.09%，超行业 2 成，归母净利润实现 7. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue of 2.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.5% when excluding other businesses [1] - The profitability indicators showed a gross margin of 26.8% and a net margin of 14.0%, reflecting improvements compared to the previous year [1] - The company is benefiting from cost reduction and efficiency enhancement initiatives, which are expected to continue driving performance [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, the company reported revenue of 8,074 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 18.1% [3] - The projected net profit for 2025E is 1,259 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23.0% [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025E is estimated at 1.49 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.2 times [3] Business Segment Insights - The company's new energy transmission gear business is expected to see significant value increase per vehicle due to the rising penetration of coaxial reducers [2] - International projects with clients like Stellantis and Schaeffler are contributing to growth, with stable deliveries expected to exceed industry averages [2] - The smart actuator segment is expanding into various fields, including smart office and smart automotive applications, enhancing the company's growth trajectory [2]

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 09 年 月 日 事件。公司发布财报，2024 年营业收入 372.2 亿元，同比增长 37.6%， 归母净利润为 41.2 亿元，同比增长 126.5%；2025Q1 营业收入 64.2 亿 元，同比减少 3%，归母净利润 7.55 亿元，同比增长 14.9%。 内需与出口共振，业绩增长突出。受益于国内旅游市场向好、以旧换新带 动及国产客车产品竞争力的提升，2024 年，宇通客车累计销售客车 4.69 万辆，同比+28.5%，对内和出口销售分别为 3.29 万辆/1.4 万辆，同比分 别+24.9%/+37.7%，内需及出口均实现较好增长，带动公司业绩表现超 预期，同比增长超 100%。2024 年归母净利润/Q4 单季度归母净利润分别 为 41.2/16.8 亿元，盈利靠近历史高点。2025Q1，公司客车销售 9011 台， 同比 16.6%，根据客车网数据，公司大中型客车出口 1329 台，同比 +35.5%，市场占比 21.09%，超行业 2 成，归母净利润实现 7.55 亿元， 同比增长 14.9%。 会计调整影响毛利率，盈利 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the coal mining industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The current coal price adjustment has been ongoing for nearly four years since the peak in Q4 2021, and the market is well aware of the price decline. The industry is at a critical stage of price bottoming, and the report emphasizes the importance of understanding the industry's fundamental attributes and maintaining confidence [7][63] - Key recommendations include major coal enterprises such as China Shenhua (H+A) and China Coal Energy (H+A), as well as companies showing signs of recovery like Qinfa [8][64] Summary by Sections Cash King - Since the supply-side reform in 2016, the historical burden on coal companies has significantly decreased. Despite the continuous decline in coal prices since early 2024, some companies have cash balances (cash and cash equivalents + trading financial assets) far exceeding their interest-bearing debts. As of Q1 2025, the top five companies with the highest cash balances are China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Jinkong Coal, China Coal Energy, and Lu'an Environmental Energy [1][17] Low Debt - As of Q1 2025, the asset-liability ratio for large coal enterprises is 60.3%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year. Most sampled coal companies have asset-liability ratios lower than the industry average. The companies with the lowest asset-liability ratios are China Shenhua, Jinkong Coal, Electric Power Investment Energy, Yitai B, and Shanghai Energy [20][21] Strong Foundation - Special reserves are funds set aside by coal companies for safety production and maintaining simple reproduction. The top five companies with the highest net increase in special reserves from the end of 2023 to Q1 2025 are China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Yitai B, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Gansu Energy [25][31] High Potential - Considering the cyclical nature of coal prices, coal companies may enhance cost control to ensure steady improvement in profitability. The report evaluates potential profit release using the ratio of operating cash flow minus net profit, depreciation, and financial expenses to net profit. The companies with the highest potential for profit release are Haohua Energy, Yitai B, Huabei Mining, China Coal Energy, and Shanmei International [2][51] Dividend King - The top five companies in terms of cumulative cash dividends over the past three years are China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, Yunkang Energy, China Coal Energy, and Lu'an Environmental Energy. The report highlights the high dividend attributes of coal companies, driven by reduced historical burdens and a cautious approach to reinvesting in traditional businesses [3][55]

朝闻国盛 证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 杨业伟 2025 05 09 年 月 日 今日概览 唯一确定的是不确定性 重磅研报 【宏观】唯一确定的是不确定性——美联储 5 月议息会议点评—— 20250508 【金融工程】TMT 拥挤度偏高，市场或继续高切低——基本面量化系列 研究之四十三——20250508 【煤炭】"五宗最"之换个角度看财报——上市煤企全解析（二）—— 20250508 【煤炭】24 年报&25Q1 季报综述——上市煤企全解析（一） —— 20250508 【传媒】25Q1 整体业绩显著回暖，游戏、影视院线表现突出—— 20250508 【家用电器】两轮车系列之一：如何看待两轮车行业格局及未来发展？ ——20250508 研究视点 【传媒】博纳影业（001330.SZ）-主投影片表现不及预期，剧集业务实 现显著增长——20250508 【家电&计算机】萤石网络（688475.SH）-海外持续拓展，构建多元智 能产品矩阵——20250508 【建筑装饰】深圳瑞捷（300977.SZ）-客群结构持续优化，静待业绩修 复拐点——20250508 【电力设备】阳光电源（3002 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业专题研究 gszqdatemark 2025 05 08 年 月 日 传媒 25Q1 整体业绩显著回暖，游戏、影视院线表现突出 2024 年传媒板块业绩承压，2025Q1 业绩同比显著回暖。2024 年传媒板块营收 6106.4 亿 元，同比增长 0.51%；归母净利润 184.3 亿元，同比下滑 52.96%。从体量看，营收前三的 板块分别为广告营销、出版阅读和互联网，归母净利润前三的板块分别为出版阅读、广告营 销和游戏。2025Q1 传媒板块实现营业收入 1473.8 亿元（yoy+0.74%），归母净利润 111.1 亿元（yoy+41.58%）。从体量看，营收前三的板块分别为广告营销（391.09 亿元， yoy+0.21%）、出版阅读（332.55 亿元，yoy-3.99%）和互联网（251.49 亿元，yoy-20.00%）， 归母净利润前三的板块分别为出版阅读（35.21 亿元，yoy+34.48%）、游戏（31.04 亿元， yoy+45.95%）和广告营销（16.42 亿元，yoy+10.06%）。估值层面来看，传媒行业估值 27x 仍处于历史底部区间。 游戏：年度收入 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing a revenue decline of 4.4% in 2024, with total revenue expected to reach 470 million, showing a narrowing decline compared to 2023 [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be -26 million, a significant drop of 162.8% year-on-year [4] - The company is shifting its business focus from "engineering consulting" to "comprehensive technical services," aiming to optimize its customer structure and reduce reliance on real estate clients [3] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: In 2024, the company expects total revenue of 470 million, down 4.4% from 2023, with a quarterly breakdown showing a recovery in Q3 and Q4 [1] - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be -26 million in 2024, with a significant year-on-year decline [4] - **Gross Margin**: The overall gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 36.6%, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points, primarily due to competitive pressures in the real estate evaluation market [2] - **Cash Flow**: The company anticipates a net cash inflow from operating activities of 414 thousand in 2024, a decrease from the previous year [2] Business Strategy and Customer Structure - The company has reduced its reliance on real estate clients, with their revenue share dropping from 90% to 46% by the end of 2024 [3] - New business areas such as industry and insurance have seen revenue growth of over 100% and 30% respectively [3] - The company is exploring new application scenarios based on a "service + platform + data" model, collaborating with emerging clients in various sectors [3] Future Projections - The company projects net profits of 42 million, 63 million, and 77 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.28, 0.42, and 0.51 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [4]

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 08 年 月 日 博纳影业（001330.SZ） 主投影片表现不及预期，剧集业务实现显著增长 风险提示：电影票房不及预期，行业监管加剧，经营业绩季节性波动。 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 1,608 | 1,461 | 1,885 | 2,369 | 3,168 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -20.1 | -9.1 | 29.0 | 25.7 | 33.7 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | -553 | -867 | -780 | 151 | 295 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -631.9 | -56.9 | 10.0 | 119.3 | 95.4 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元/股） | -0.40 | -0.63 | -0.57 | 0.11 | 0.21 | | 净资产收益率（%） | -8.9 | -16.6 | -17.6 | 3.3 | 6.1 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业深度 gszqdatemark 2025 05 08 年 月 日 家用电器 两轮车系列之一：如何看待两轮车行业格局及未来发展？ 本篇报告聚焦国内电动两轮车市场，拟探讨以下几个问题：1）电动两轮 车行业特点是什么？2）行业格局如何演绎？3）电动两轮车品牌商利润率 能否提升？提升动力和提升幅度分别如何？ ➢ 行业特点：看似矛盾的头部化格局&低盈利现状。 国内电动两轮车呈头部化格局，2024 年 CR3 约 61%。其中龙头雅迪份额 约 26%。但同时，行业呈低盈利现状。雅迪、爱玛、新日、小牛和九号（定 位高端电动两轮车）2024 年实现毛利率 15%/18%/16%/15%/28%，净 利率 5%/9%/1%/-6%/8%，远低于格局集中度高的空调行业。我们认为 原因主要系：1）准入门槛较低：整车偏组装性质，行业竞争充分；2）供 需属性复杂：供给端原材料组成多单位成本高，需求端为代步基础功能溢 价能力偏弱；3）规模效应不强：生产端多 SKU 模式下规模效应较弱，龙 头毛利率和行业无明显差距。 ➢ 寡头竞争：渠道、产能&品牌为核心竞争要素，有望形成双寡头格局。 商业模式来看，我们认为渠道&品牌 ...