Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong performance in its two-wheeler business, with significant revenue growth and profitability in the first half of 2025 [1][2]. - The expansion of the product matrix, including self-balancing scooters and all-terrain vehicles, contributes to the company's growth trajectory [2]. - Future profit forecasts indicate continued growth, driven by the two-wheeler segment and the rollout of robotics [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 11.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 76.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.24 billion yuan, up 108.45% [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue reached 6.63 billion yuan, reflecting a 61.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 790 million yuan, up 70.8% [1]. - The electric two-wheeler segment generated revenue of 3.96 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.6%, with sales of 1.3887 million units, up 77.3% [1]. - The gross margin for the two-wheeler segment in H1 2025 was 23.7%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Product Expansion Summary - The self-balancing scooter segment generated revenue of 929 million yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27.6%, with sales of 383,800 units, up 4.7% [2]. - The all-terrain vehicle segment achieved revenue of 323 million yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.6%, with sales of 8,000 units, up 21% [2]. - The company has introduced multiple new products, enhancing its product matrix [2]. Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin in Q2 2025 was 30.9%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The net profit margin for Q2 2025 was 12%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.79 percentage points [2]. - The company’s operating expenses as a percentage of revenue showed a decrease in sales and management expenses, while R&D expenses increased slightly [2]. Future Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.85 billion yuan, 2.73 billion yuan, and 3.64 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 70.7%, 47.3%, and 33.6% [3].

出海：Q2 对美销售预计受关税影响，部分企业维持高增。我们预计， 受成本上升及需求变化两方面影响，出海板块公司 Q2 对美销售受到 不同程度影响，其中美国占比较高、原材料成本占比更高的公司，预 计受到影响更大。相关企业积极应对：1）一为渠道及品类持续扩 充，获得业务增量；2）二则通过提价及供应链部分转移、成本管 控，希望对冲部分影响。我们预计，部分企业如小商品城、安克创 新、焦点科技仍可维持高增，且部分附以新技术增收提效，苏美达业 绩相对稳健，部分企业受益库存清理完成增速拐点向上、但仍低于历 史增速中枢。 连锁潮玩：调改战报频发，预计名创优品近期国内同店转正。调改战报 频发，具体可分为胖改及非胖改两方面，其中：截至 2025H1，永辉 超市共计调改门店 124 家，截至 7 月 7 日步步高共计调改 18 家，其 中大多数调改门店日销、净利率水平显现成效；重庆百货 2025H1 超 市调改门店累计新增客流 53 万人次，POS（销售点终端系统）销售 额同比增长 15%，净毛利同比增幅达 24.4%，百货业态调改后客 流、销售额显著提升，其余连锁调改亦见成效。潮玩品类方面，泡泡 玛特 2025H1 维持高增，传 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the environmental protection sector, including Huicheng Environmental, GaoNeng Environment, and HongCheng Environment [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of ecological environment protection responsibility system construction and the rapid development of waste-free city initiatives, which directly benefit the environmental protection industry and green technology application sectors [1][20]. - The implementation of the "Waste-Free Island" initiative in Hainan Province aims to establish a comprehensive waste management system by 2030, significantly increasing demand in environmental governance, ecological restoration, and environmental monitoring industries [1][21]. Summary by Sections Investment Views - The issuance of the "Regulations on the Responsibility System for Ecological Environment Protection of Local Party and Government Leaders" is expected to enhance the integration of environmental protection into development planning, benefiting sectors such as ecological restoration and environmental monitoring [9][20]. - The "Waste-Free Island" initiative in Hainan outlines a comprehensive plan for solid waste management, including the construction of 105 new construction waste treatment facilities by 2030, which will boost demand in waste treatment services and high-precision environmental monitoring [21][23]. Market Performance - The environmental protection sector underperformed compared to the broader market, with a decline of 1.29% during the week, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.94% [3]. - Key stocks in the environmental sector showed varied performance, with Anchek Testing leading with a gain of 12.69%, while Huicheng Environmental faced a decline of 6.81% [3]. Industry News - The report notes significant developments in the waste management sector, including the establishment of a smart organic waste treatment system by ShenGao Environment and the central government's economic deployment for the second half of the year [2][3].

Group 1 - The July Politburo meeting decided to hold the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee in October to discuss the formulation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][16] - The meeting emphasized the need for macro policies to focus on "implementation and detail," removing references to "timely reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions," indicating a shift from "quantity" to "quality" [1][16] - The "de-rolling" policy was officially included in the policy framework, with a focus on "key industries" and a shift away from price-related discussions [1][17] Group 2 - The manufacturing PMI for July was reported at 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points month-on-month, indicating a contraction [2][18] - Recent supply-demand policies have led to price increases in some commodities, which may boost PPI expectations, but historical data suggests that strong expectations do not always translate into strong realities [2][19] - The PPI's improvement will depend on both supply-side adjustments and demand stabilization [2][19] Group 3 - The recent China-US-Sweden trade talks resulted in a 90-day extension of tariff measures, indicating limited short-term impact from Trump's tariff policies [3][22] - Long-term risks from reciprocal tariffs should not be underestimated, as the outcomes of the trade talks did not exceed expectations and merely postponed risk points [3][24] - Historical experiences from the 2018 trade war suggest that Trump's stance can be unpredictable, which may affect future trade relations [3][24] Group 4 - The A-share market has seen a significant improvement in funding, with financing balances exceeding 2024 levels and creating a new high [4][26] - The relationship between the bond market and the stock market is characterized by a "see-saw" effect, where funds may shift from bonds to stocks, potentially driving A-share market performance [4][26] - However, the risk of diminishing incremental funding remains, and financing balances should be viewed as a synchronous indicator rather than a leading one [4][27] Group 5 - The overall profit expectations for A-shares in 2025 are likely to be weak, with a downward trend expected in the second and third quarters, followed by a potential rebound in the fourth quarter [5][29] - The A-share profit cycle showed improvement in the first quarter of this year, but the recovery may face constraints due to pressure on revenue growth [5][29] - The main driver of profit growth in Q1 2025 is expected to be the year-on-year increase in net profit margins, while revenue growth remains under pressure [5][29] Group 6 - The upcoming mid-year report disclosures in August are expected to increase the importance of performance trading [6][34] - Stocks with characteristics of "high growth in performance + high opening" are likely to yield good returns, especially when combined with relative performance growth screening [6][34] - Key industries for August include motorcycles, optical electronics, traditional Chinese medicine, lighting equipment, and agriculture [6][34]

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report outlines four main policy lines for the second half of the year, focusing on service consumption, urban renewal, and stabilizing the stock market, with an emphasis on implementation rather than strong stimulus [6] - The report highlights the need to monitor major changes and indicators closely, indicating that new policies may be introduced quickly if economic conditions worsen [6] - The report discusses the "anti-involution" policy, which may lead to stricter supply-side measures, including increased oversight and potential production cuts [6] Group 2: Employment and Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm employment data for July was significantly revised down, leading to heightened recession and interest rate cut expectations, with the probability of a rate cut in September rising from 40% to 87% [8] - The report notes that the downward revision of employment data is attributed to government layoffs, illegal immigration crackdowns, and natural disasters, suggesting that this may be a one-time adjustment rather than a sign of an impending recession [8] Group 3: Fixed Income Market - The restoration of value-added tax on interest income from bonds is expected to lead to a downward trend in interest rates, affecting the pricing of new and existing bonds differently [9][23] - The report indicates that the bond market has experienced increased volatility, influenced by stock market performance and liquidity conditions [9] Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - In the automotive sector, Feilong Co. is strategically positioning itself in robotics and AI, focusing on automotive and industrial applications, with significant production capacities for various components [26] - The report highlights the growth in demand for turbocharger components and electronic water pumps driven by the rise of hybrid and electric vehicles, projecting substantial increases in production capacity [27] - In the pharmaceutical sector, Heng Rui Medicine's collaboration with GSK is expected to enhance its revenue potential significantly, with a potential total payment of approximately $12 billion if all milestones are met [33][34] Group 5: Real Estate Market Trends - The report indicates a 19.6% year-on-year decline in new home sales, while second-hand home sales showed a slight increase of 0.2%, reflecting ongoing challenges in the real estate market [45]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The bond market's repair period will continue. In the first stage, interest rates will return to the pre - adjustment level. Whether they can break through new lows depends on the performance of other markets and fundamental pressures. It is expected that the 10 - year and 30 - year treasury bonds may return to around 1.65% and 1.85% in the short term. If other markets have moderate growth and demand continues to slow, interest rates may hit new lows [7][22]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Bond Market Repair Situation - This week, the bond market started a repair rally as expected, with yields across all tenors generally declining. The yields of 10 - year and 30 - year treasury bonds dropped by 2.7bps and 2.3bps to 1.71% and 1.95% respectively. The repair of credit bonds was more significant, with the yields of 3 - year and 5 - year secondary capital bonds falling by 7.8bps and 6.4bps to 1.85% and 1.95% respectively. The yield of 1 - year AAA certificates of deposit also dropped by 3.6bps to 1.64% [1][9]. - The direct trigger for the bond market repair was the cooling of supply contraction expectations and the correction in commodities and the stock market. The Politburo meeting's mild stance on over - capacity governance led to a 3.8% decline in the Nanhua Industrial Products Index this week, and the stock market also adjusted, reducing risk appetite [1][9]. Fundamental Factors Affecting the Bond Market - Fundamentally, there is an increasing downward pressure. The manufacturing PMI in July was 49.3%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, with a larger seasonal decline than in previous years. The new orders index dropped 0.8 percentage points to 49.4%. The service and construction PMIs also weakened, falling 0.1 and 2.2 percentage points to 50.0% and 50.6% respectively [2][10]. - Without sufficient demand, price increases are mostly structural, and terminal prices are unlikely to rise significantly. Rising upstream prices cannot be effectively transmitted to the mid - and downstream sectors, and the cost is often passed on to the mid - and downstream industries, compressing their profits. Supply contraction also reduces investment and financing demand, not directly pushing up interest rates [2][15]. Bond Market's Own Conditions - The overall asset shortage situation persists. In terms of capital demand, there is a slowdown pressure. The bill rate has weakened significantly, with the 6 - month state - owned bill re - discount rate reaching a new low of 0.4% this week, indicating weak credit demand. Government bond supply will also decrease, with the remaining net financing of government bonds in the next five months expected to be 4.26 trillion yuan, a year - on - year decrease [3][16]. - In terms of capital supply, it remains abundant. The scales of bank deposits, insurance assets, wealth management products, and bond funds are all steadily increasing. The central bank has stated that it will maintain ample liquidity, and the current loose money situation is expected to continue [3][16]. Impact of Treasury Tax Rate Adjustment - The adjustment of the treasury tax rate is mostly a one - time impact, increasing the tax burden on financial institutions such as banks. It benefits old bonds and is negative for financial bonds and new bonds. The new - old bond yield spread may widen by 5.6 - 10.8bps, and the estimated total tax increase is 31.55 billion yuan, mainly borne by banks. Public funds may gain a 3.08% tax advantage in interest income in the short term, but future tax adjustments for public funds need further observation [4][18]. Market Volatility and Fragility - Although the overall situation is favorable for the bond market, market volatility and fragility are increasing. As coupon rates decline, the proportion of trading positions is rising, and market institutions are extending durations to increase capital gains. In the second quarter, the average durations of medium - and long - term interest - rate bond funds and medium - and long - term credit - bond funds increased significantly by 0.81 years and 0.94 years respectively, the largest single - quarter increase on record [5][19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [3] Core Views - The sentiment of "anti-involution" is cooling down, and attention should be paid to changes in the fundamentals of the construction materials sector [2] - The construction materials sector experienced a decline of 2.30% from July 28 to August 1, 2025, with specific declines in sub-sectors such as cement (1.25%), glass manufacturing (4.55%), and fiberglass manufacturing (4.01%) [1][11] - The report highlights the importance of urban renewal as a key driver for real estate demand, while also emphasizing the need for regulatory compliance to curb disorderly competition among enterprises [2] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of August 1, 2025, the national cement price index is 337.69 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.76% from the previous week, with a total cement output of 2.754 million tons, up 1.07% week-on-week [15] - The utilization rate of cement clinker production capacity is 58.09%, down 0.01 percentage points from the previous week, and the cement inventory ratio is 62.21%, down 0.39 percentage points [15] - Infrastructure remains the core support for cement demand, with expectations of resilient demand in Q3 due to accelerated issuance of special bonds and the promotion of "dual-use" infrastructure projects [15] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass this week is 1295.28 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.58% from the previous week, with a total inventory of 51.78 million weight boxes, down 156,000 weight boxes week-on-week [28] - Market sentiment has weakened due to falling futures prices, leading to the release of speculative inventory and a decrease in shipments from float glass manufacturers [28] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali fiberglass has decreased, primarily due to previous price adjustments, while demand remains weak during the traditional off-season [6] - The price of G75 electronic yarn remains stable, supported by high-end product demand, while supply is expected to increase in the future [6] Consumer Building Materials - Consumer building materials are benefiting from improved second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with a focus on companies like Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials [2][8] - The report recommends monitoring companies with growth potential in the consumer building materials sector, such as Puyuan Co. and Yilong Co. [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold [6][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent cooling of U.S. non-farm employment data has raised expectations for interest rate cuts, which in turn has boosted precious metal prices. The U.S. GDP growth rate for Q2 was reported at 3.0%, exceeding expectations, but concerns about economic slowdown persist [1][37]. - In the industrial metals segment, copper prices are expected to be driven by demand in the short term, despite recent pressures from a strong dollar and tariff announcements. The report notes a significant increase in global copper inventories [1][2]. - For energy metals, lithium prices have seen a decline due to reduced market sentiment, with carbon lithium prices dropping by 13.3% to 69,000 yuan/ton. The report anticipates a volatile price environment until supply disruptions are fully assessed [2][25]. Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous Metals - Precious metals are experiencing price recovery due to market expectations of interest rate cuts following disappointing employment data. The long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact despite short-term fluctuations [1][37]. - Copper prices are under pressure from increased inventories and tariff announcements, but demand dynamics may provide support in the near term [1][2]. - Aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate due to mixed production and demand signals, with a slight increase in theoretical operating capacity in the industry [1][2]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices have decreased, with carbon lithium down 2.1% to 71,000 yuan/ton, while supply disruptions are expected to impact future pricing [2][25]. - The report indicates a slight increase in the production of silicon metal, but the overall supply-demand balance remains unchanged, leading to stable pricing expectations [2]. Key Companies to Watch - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and others in the non-ferrous metals sector for potential investment opportunities [1][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the coal mining sector, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Energy, and others [5][11]. Core Viewpoints - China Shenhua is initiating a large-scale asset acquisition, which is expected to enhance its coal resource strategic reserves and integrated operational capabilities, deepening its energy value chain layout [2][3]. - The coal mining industry is experiencing a tightening supply due to adverse weather conditions affecting production, leading to an upward trend in coal prices [8][17]. - The report highlights a trend of mergers and acquisitions in the coal sector, driven by government policies encouraging asset consolidation among state-owned enterprises [3][4]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The CITIC Coal Index decreased by 0.94% during the week of July 25 to August 1, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.81 percentage points [1][83]. - As of August 1, the price of thermal coal at North Port was reported at 657 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 7 CNY/ton [8][42]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply constraints are evident as rainfall has impacted production in key coal mining regions, leading to a decrease in coal output and a tightening market [8][17]. - The utilization rate of coal mines in the "Three West" regions is reported at 89.3%, down 2.1 percentage points week-on-week, indicating reduced production capacity [8][17]. Price Trends - The report notes that the price of thermal coal is expected to continue rising due to supply tightness, although future price increases may be limited by stagnant demand [8][42]. - The report also indicates that the price of coking coal has stabilized, with some fluctuations due to market sentiment and supply chain dynamics [12][45]. Key Company Announcements - China Shenhua is planning to acquire assets from the State Energy Group, which includes various coal and energy-related companies, totaling 13 entities [1][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of asset injection as a means for listed companies to optimize resource allocation and enhance competitiveness [2][3]. Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong performance metrics, such as China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal and Energy, while also highlighting potential opportunities in companies undergoing restructuring [12][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the C-REITs sector [6] Core Insights - The C-REITs market is expected to continue to thrive in a low interest rate environment and with ongoing macroeconomic recovery, making timing crucial for secondary market investments [5] - The C-REITs total market capitalization is approximately 212.84 billion, with an average market cap of about 3 billion per REIT [3][13] - The C-REITs full return index has increased by 13.74% year-to-date, ranking third among major indices [2][11] Summary by Sections REITs Index Performance - The C-REITs full return index rose by 1.25% this week, closing at 1100.9 points, while the C-REITs closing index also increased by 1.25%, closing at 870.8 points [1][11] - Year-to-date, the C-REITs closing index has increased by 10.29% [2][11] REITs Secondary Market Performance - The secondary market for C-REITs showed an upward trend, with 57 REITs rising and 12 falling this week, resulting in an average weekly increase of 2% [3][13] - The best-performing sectors this week included consumer infrastructure and municipal water conservancy REITs, with respective increases of 4% and 3.84% [3][13] REITs Valuation Performance - The internal rate of return (IRR) for listed REITs shows significant differentiation, with the top three being 华夏中国交建 REIT at 11.3%, 平安广州广河 REIT at 11.1%, and 中金安徽交控 REIT at 8.5% [5] - The price-to-net asset value (P/NAV) ratio for listed REITs ranges from 0.7 to 1.9, with the highest being 中金厦门安居 REIT at 1.9 [5] Trading Activity - The average daily trading volume for listed REITs was 2.968 million shares, with an average turnover rate of 1.5% [4][16] - The most actively traded REITs included 华夏华电清洁能源 REIT and 中银中外运仓储物流 REIT, with turnover rates of 29.4% and 15.7% respectively [4][16]