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中国中免(601888):需求仍是核心变量,观察25年收入情况
中泰证券· 2025-03-31 12:56
旅游零售Ⅱ 执业证书编号:S0740524040004 Email:zhangji01@zts.com.cn Email:zhengch@zts.com.cn 基本状况 执业证书编号:S0740523060001 | 总股本(百万股) | 2,068.86 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(百万股) | 2,068.86 | | 市价(元) | 61.61 | | 市值(百万元) | 127,462.41 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 127,462.41 | 交易预期》2024-11-11 2、《23 年业绩符合预期,需求承压 下估值或不低》2024-04-09 中国中免(601888.SH) 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | 评级: | 买入(维持) | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师:郑澄怀 | | 营业收入(百万元 ...
生益科技(600183):24年业绩高增,新品进展顺利成长性强
中泰证券· 2025-03-31 12:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [1][4][10] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth driven by the recovery in demand for traditional consumer electronics and high-end products related to AI servers [6][7] - The company has successfully developed and certified multiple products for advanced end customers, which are widely used in various high-tech applications [9] - The forecasted net profit for the company is projected to be 2.704 billion, 3.455 billion, and 4.120 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating strong growth potential [10] Financial Summary - Total shares outstanding: 2,429.36 million [2] - Market price: 27.75 yuan [2] - Market capitalization: 67,414.75 million yuan [2] - Revenue forecast for 2023A: 16,586 million yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of -8% [4] - Revenue forecast for 2024A: 20,388 million yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 23% [4] - Net profit forecast for 2024A: 1,739 million yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 49% [4] - Projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 24.9, 19.5, and 16.4 respectively [4][10] Market Performance - The company reported a revenue of 20.388 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 22.92% [6] - The gross margin for 2024 was 22.04%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points year-over-year [6] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 9.16%, an increase of 2.23 percentage points year-over-year [6] Product Development and R&D - The company is actively engaged in R&D for new products, including low-loss copper-clad laminates for next-generation server platforms and high thermal conductivity copper-clad laminates for 5G communication power supplies [9] - The company’s product technology planning is forward-looking, ensuring a strong foundation for future growth [8][9]
详细拆解国有大型银行(六家)2024年报:业绩增速边际改善,资产质量保持稳健,四大行增资方案落地
中泰证券· 2025-03-31 12:55
专题 | 详细拆解国有大型银行(六家)2024 年报: 业绩增速边际改善,资产质量保持稳健,四大行增资方案落地 银行 证券研究报告/行业专题报告 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | | 执业证书编号:S0740517030004 Email:daizf@zts.com.cn 分析师:邓美君 执业证书编号:S0740519050002 Email:dengmj@zts.com.cn 联系人:乔丹 Email:qiaodan@zts.com.cn | 上市公司数 | 42 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 134,935.34 | 同比 -1.8% | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 133,825.82 | | 1、《银行角度看 2 月社融:政府债发 行提速,信贷受置换+透支影响》 2025-03-15 资产质量稳中向好》2025-02-26 宽松继续,节奏审慎》2025-02-17 | 评级: | 增持(维持) | | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...
中泰金工行业量价资金流周观点-2025-03-30
中泰证券· 2025-03-30 15:09
中泰金工行业量价资金流周观点 中 泰 证 券 研 究 所 专 业 | 领 先 | 深 度 | 诚 信 | 证 券 研 究 报 告 | 万图师AI模型较为看好的ETF 2 0 2 5 . 3 . 3 0 汤伟杰 证券分析师执业证书编号: S0740523050001 联系电话:18217397163 邮 箱:tangwj02@zts.com.cn | P泰证券 研究所 | | | --- | --- | | 20250330量价资金流周观点 | | | -- 中泰金融工程团队 | | | 万图师AI观点 | | | 行业 看涨概率 行业 | 看涨概率 | | 医药生物 79% 教育 | 65% | | 非银金融 67% 轻工制造 | 61% | | 龙虎榜资金流观点 | | | 行业 当期净流入 累计净流入变化 | 综合排名 | | 基础化工 1 2 | 1 | | 公募基金权益仓位变化 | | | 基金 本周仓位 上周仓位 | 周度变化 | | 主动权益类 90.2% 90.1% | | | 公募基金持仓申万行业变化 | | | 加仓行业 仓位变化 减仓行业 | 仓位变化 | | 汽车 4.6%>4.8% 通 ...
泡泡玛特(09992):海外市场增长迅速,IP商业化体系更为多元
中泰证券· 2025-03-30 12:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [48]. Core Insights - The company achieved a significant revenue growth of 106.9% in 2024, reaching 13.04 billion RMB, driven by strong IP operations and product diversification [11][19]. - The gross profit for 2024 was 8.71 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 66.8%, reflecting a 5.5 percentage point increase from the previous year [16][19]. - The company is expanding its IP matrix and product offerings, with artist IP and licensed IP revenues growing by 130.6% and 54.5% respectively, contributing to 97.6% of total revenue [7][19]. - The overseas market is rapidly expanding, with revenue reaching 5.07 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 375.2% [31][39]. - The company has a robust membership base of 46.08 million registered members, with a contribution of 92.7% to sales and a repurchase rate of 49.4% [41]. Financial Performance - The company's operating income for 2024 was 13.04 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 105% projected for 2025 [2][11]. - The net profit for 2024 reached 3.31 billion RMB, marking a 203.9% increase compared to the previous year [16][19]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 2.33 RMB, with further growth expected in subsequent years [2][45]. Market Expansion - The company has opened its first physical stores in five countries, including Vietnam and Indonesia, contributing to a significant increase in overseas revenue [31][39]. - The domestic market remains stable, with retail store revenue growing by 43.9% in 2024 [7][31]. Product Development - The company continues to innovate its product lines, with core product categories such as figurines and plush toys showing substantial growth [24][26]. - The launch of the new accessory brand "POPOP" aims to enhance the emotional connection with IP and diversify product offerings [8][24].
兖矿能源(600188):煤价下行拖累业绩增长,煤炭产量增长空间广阔
中泰证券· 2025-03-30 12:39
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report indicates that the coal chemical and overseas operations are improving, leading to a sequential improvement in performance [2] - The company is expected to maintain a growth trend in coal production and sales, while implementing cost reduction measures to mitigate the impact of declining coal prices [4] - The company plans to start construction on new coal mines, which will significantly increase production capacity in the coming years [4][5] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 139.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.29%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.425 billion yuan, down 28.39% year-on-year [4] - The company forecasts operating revenues of 119.305 billion yuan for 2025, with a net profit of 11.658 billion yuan, reflecting a continued decline in profitability due to falling coal prices [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.16 yuan for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.7 [5] Production and Cost Analysis - In 2024, the company produced 142.493 million tons of self-produced coal, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year, while the unit price decreased by 16.4% to 656.2 yuan per ton [4] - The company has implemented measures to reduce production costs, achieving a unit cost of 369.4 yuan per ton, down 3.5% year-on-year [4] - Future projects include the construction of the Hohlin River No. 1 coal mine, expected to start in 2025, which will add significant production capacity [4][5] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.77 yuan per share for 2024, resulting in a total cash dividend of 7.73 billion yuan [5] - The projected dividend yield is 5.66% before the mid-term dividend and 3.97% after [5]
关注业绩期+市场高切低布局机会
中泰证券· 2025-03-30 12:37
关注业绩期+市场高切低布局机会 | 分析师:曾彪 | | --- | 执业证书编号:S0740522020001 Email:zengbiao@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号:S0740522040004 Email:wupeng@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号:S0740522080002 Email:zhubr@zts.com.cn | 上市公司数 | 385 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 58,197.89 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 50,509.70 | 苏重点海风项目开工》2025-03-02 2、《阿里巴巴加大 AI 领域投入,固 态电池催化不断》2025-02-24 3、《宁德启动港股二次上市,新能 源上网新政发布》2025-02-16 电力设备 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2025 年 03 月 30 日 执业证书编号:S0740522100005 Email:zhaoyp02@zts.com.cn 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 分析师:朱柏睿 基本状况 锂电:1)科达利子公司科盟创新针对人形机器人高精密减速器发布三款新产品。2) 璞泰来拟授出 ...
三生制药(01530):2024年年报点评:业绩超预期,近上市管线将兑现,IO双抗出海预期
中泰证券· 2025-03-29 10:38
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3][9] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 9.11 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-over-year growth of 16.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.09 billion yuan, with a year-over-year increase of 34.9% [4][6] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 10.20 billion yuan, 11.49 billion yuan, and 13.15 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 12%, 13%, and 14% [6][8] - The adjusted net profit for 2024 was 2.32 billion yuan, exceeding expectations with a year-over-year growth of 18.8% [4][6] Financial Performance Summary - The company’s total revenue for 2023 was 7.84 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 14% year-over-year [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was 1.55 billion yuan, showing a decline of 19% year-over-year [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 was 0.65 yuan, projected to increase to 0.87 yuan in 2024 and further to 1.26 yuan by 2027 [3][8] Pipeline and Market Potential - The company has several upcoming product approvals, including a license-in product for gastric cancer and new indications for existing drugs, which are expected to drive future growth [6] - The company is focusing on expanding its international market presence, particularly with its dual-antibody products [6]
明源云:AI推动SaaS产品持续升级,海外市场加速破局-20250329
中泰证券· 2025-03-29 10:05
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Increase" [2][4] Core Views - The company is experiencing a decline in revenue due to a sluggish real estate market, with a projected revenue of 1.38 billion in 2025, down from 1.43 billion in 2024, reflecting a decrease of 4% [2][4] - The adjusted net profit is expected to improve significantly, moving from a loss of 190 million in 2024 to a profit of 30 million in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 85% [2][4] - The company is focusing on enhancing its SaaS products through AI technology and expanding its presence in overseas markets, which is expected to create new growth opportunities [3][4] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.38 billion, 1.43 billion, and 1.55 billion respectively, with growth rates of -4%, 3%, and 9% [2][4] - The company anticipates a net profit of -28 million in 2025, followed by a profit of 30 million in 2026 and 123 million in 2027, showing a significant recovery trajectory [2][4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -0.10 in 2024 to 0.06 in 2027 [2][4] Business Strategy - The company is shifting its focus towards asset management and operations in the real estate sector, which is expected to yield positive results despite the overall market downturn [3][4] - The introduction of AI-driven products is aimed at enhancing marketing capabilities in the real estate sector, with significant contracts already signed with major developers [3][4] - The company is actively expanding its international market presence, particularly in regions like Japan, Hong Kong, and Southeast Asia, to tap into diverse real estate opportunities [3][4]
淮河能源:收购电力资产稳步推进,75%现金分红承诺具吸引力-20250329
中泰证券· 2025-03-29 10:05
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" [4][7][10] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth driven by the acquisition of quality assets and the closure of outdated production capacity, with projected revenues of 30.6 billion, 41.99 billion, and 47.04 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of no less than 75% of the net profit attributable to shareholders from 2025 to 2027, with a minimum cash dividend of 0.19 yuan per share [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 30.021 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 858 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.17% [6][7] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities reached 2.757 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 181.64% [6] - The company’s power generation business reported revenue of 6.685 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross profit increase of 60.47% [6][7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.137 billion, 2.022 billion, and 2.711 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.29, 0.52, and 0.70 yuan [7][9] - The current stock price of 3.33 yuan corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.4X for 2025, 6.4X for 2026, and 4.8X for 2027 [7][9]