Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance, excluding share-based payment expenses, showed significant year-on-year growth, with interconnect chip revenue reaching a new high [7][11] - The company is positioned as a leader in memory interface chips, with rapid growth in AI and accelerated penetration of DDR5 technology expected to drive future growth [11] Financial Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.058 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.632 billion yuan, up 67% year-on-year [8] - In Q3 2025, revenue was 1.424 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 57%, while net profit was 470 million yuan, up 23% year-on-year [8] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 63.3%, an increase of 5 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company expects to achieve net profits of 2.1 billion yuan, 3.4 billion yuan, and 4.2 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 68, 43, and 35 [11] Product and Market Developments - Q3 2025 saw interconnect chip revenue reach 1.371 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62%, with a gross margin of 65.7% [9] - The company has transitioned its stock appreciation rights to restricted stock to mitigate the negative impact of share-based payments on profits [9] - The DDR5 memory interface chip continues to evolve, with the third generation RCD chip sales surpassing the second generation for the first time [9][10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Increase Holding" [2] Core Viewpoints - The tax adjustment for listed insurance companies has a limited overall impact, primarily affecting cash flow rather than profit and loss statements or balance sheets [5][10] - The new accounting standards provide insurance companies with an OCI option, which reduces the impact of interest rate fluctuations on net profit [5] - The average effective tax rate for listed insurance companies has been low, with rates of 10%, 8%, -1%, -6%, 12%, and 17% from 2020 to Q3 2025, indicating a disconnect between tax burdens and actual operating performance [5][12] - The estimated taxable profit difference for listed companies under the new and old standards is projected to be 42 billion in 2023 and 93 billion in 2024, with a significant portion of this difference being attributable to insurance contracts [5][18] Summary by Relevant Sections Tax Adjustment Impact - The tax adjustment is expected to have a minimal effect on operating cash flow, with an average impact of 2.27% across listed insurance companies [5][18] - Specific companies like New China Life and China Life may experience a more significant impact, estimated at around 14% for New China Life [5][18] Financial Performance - The listed insurance companies have seen record high pre-tax profits in the first three quarters of 2025, exceeding the total profits of 2024 [11] - The actual income tax paid has not kept pace with rising profits, indicating a potential for future tax liabilities [12] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as China Life (A/H), Ping An (A/H), China Pacific Insurance (A/H), New China Life (A/H), and China Property & Casualty Insurance (A/H) for investment opportunities [5]

证券研究报告 日期：2026年1月5日 【中泰电子】2026 CES前瞻 端侧AI蓄势待发 分析师： 王芳 S0740521120002，杨旭 S0740521120001，洪嘉琳 S0740524090003 1 主题演讲 | 厂 商 | 会议主题 | 亮 点 | | --- | --- | --- | | 英伟达 | NVIDIA CEO主旨演讲 | 英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋将介绍英伟达与合作伙伴的突破性技术进展 ，预计将介绍 | | | | Rubin平台最新进度以及NVLink与ASIC生态系合作进展 | | AMD | CES开幕主题演讲 | AMD首席执行官苏姿丰将将深入探讨AMD CPU、GPU、自行调适计算技术、AI软件与解决方案 | | | | 并揭露最新Zen 6架构及AI 等相关解决方案 ，预计将释出MI400系列最新信息 PC平台产品线 ， | | 英特尔 | 英特尔 CES 2026 主题演讲 | 主题演讲将由英特尔客户端计算事业部CCG总经理Jim Johnson主持 将重点阐述英特尔AI PC战 ， | | | 略 | Ultra "Panther ，预计将首发酷睿 第3代 ...

浪潮软件：数字政府解决方案领先厂商，多领域数字化业务布局 IT 服务Ⅱ 浪潮软件（600756.SH） 证券研究报告/公司深度报告 2026 年 01 月 05 日 | 公司盈利预测及估值 | 增持（首次） | 评级： | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 2,553 | 1,870 | 1,645 | 1,567 | 1,540 | 分析师：苏仪 | 增长率 | 23% | -27% | -12% | -5% | -2% | yoy% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 91 | 14 | -22 | 1 | 22 | 执业证书编号：S0740520060001 | 增长率 | 43% | -85% | -262% | 104% | 2,146% | yoy% | | Email：suyi@zts.com.cn | 每股收益（元） | 0 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The report predicts that the Producer Price Index (PPI) will slowly rebound to near zero in the first half of 2026, with the AR-gap and Phillips curve models indicating a mild recovery in PPI year-on-year, although the support from macro variables is weaker than the momentum of inflation itself [7][19]. - Beneficiary sectors during the historical periods when PPI rises from negative to positive include non-ferrous metals, real estate, building materials, machinery, electricity, home appliances, agriculture, coal, electronics, food and beverage, and pharmaceuticals [7][21]. - The liquidity-sensitive mode of major assets indicates that market sentiment has reached the upper range of historical thresholds, leading to a decrease in the explanatory power of sentiment on equity asset gains, suggesting a potential decline in momentum driven by sentiment [7][39]. Group 2: Inflation and Beneficiary Sectors - The report highlights that the "anti-involution" policy has led to market expectations of "price recovery," which helps to change the deflationary mindset, although the upward space for inflation is constrained by demand [19]. - Historical analysis shows that during periods when PPI rises from the bottom to near zero, sectors such as non-ferrous metals, real estate, building materials, machinery, steel, electricity, and public utilities exhibit significant positive marginal impacts on overall equity markets [21][27]. - The report identifies that the structural opportunities in the consumer sector are present, while the dividend sector faces both profit and valuation pressures [7][27]. Group 3: Macro and Funding Perspectives - The macro liquidity environment is characterized by a "price soft and volume stable" pattern, with marginal recovery in base currency issuance but still relying on rapid declines in interest rates to improve the overall funding situation [46]. - Global macro liquidity is also showing marginal recovery, primarily driven by strong expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to significant capital inflows into the Hong Kong stock market [46][48]. - The report notes that the recent surge in new applications for equity funds indicates a warming market sentiment, with expectations that major funds will concentrate their investments around the end of the first quarter of 2026 [53][60]. Group 4: Style Allocation - The report indicates that the information ratio for dividend and consumer sectors continues to decline, with no reversal signals currently, while the information ratio for cyclical sectors is rapidly strengthening, suggesting a shift in focus towards growth sectors to capture momentum gains [74]. - The growth sector's net value is approaching previous highs, but there is still significant room for the information ratio to rise, indicating a potential for better performance in this area [74].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the AI computing demand, with its comprehensive layout in copper, optical, thermal, and power management solutions [5][6] - The company's communication business is projected to grow robustly, with a revenue forecast of 183.6 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 19.6% from 2022 to 2024 [5][22] - The company is well-positioned to capture growth opportunities in the AI sector, particularly in data centers, where demand for high-speed interconnects is increasing [6][11] Summary by Sections Communication Business Overview - The company has a strong technical foundation and a full-stack layout in the data center business, covering high-speed interconnects, thermal management, power management, and complete machine manufacturing [15] - The communication business revenue was 128.3 billion yuan in 2022, with a significant increase attributed to the consolidation of Huiju Technology [22] Copper Interconnect - The demand for high-speed copper cables and connectors is expected to grow, driven by increasing bandwidth requirements from platforms like NVIDIA's NVLink [25] - The company has developed advanced copper cable solutions, including 224G and 448G products, which are in mass production and pre-research stages with major clients [47][48] Optical Interconnect - The company has a complete product line for optical modules and is actively advancing LPO/CPO technologies, which are expected to drive growth in the optical interconnect market [57] - The demand for optical modules is projected to increase significantly, with the market for 800G and 1.6T modules expected to reach 166 billion and 248 billion USD by 2026 and 2027, respectively [61] Thermal Management - The company has launched a complete set of liquid cooling solutions, with products already in mass production, and is exploring advanced technologies like microchannel cooling [10][11] Power Management - The company has achieved comprehensive power management solutions for intelligent computing centers, with products including cabinet power supplies and modular power supplies entering large-scale production [17]

Core Insights - The report discusses the potential continuation of the technology sector as a market focus at the beginning of the year, highlighting a mixed performance in the A-share market during the last trading week of 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing a slight increase of 0.13% while other indices experienced declines [3][4] - The technology sector demonstrated strong performance throughout 2025, with an annual increase of 43.57%, significantly outperforming other indices such as the CSI 300 (17.66%) and advanced manufacturing (36.56%) [4] - Despite a slowdown in momentum during the fourth quarter, the technology sector is expected to maintain some level of continuity due to high market risk appetite, reasonable valuation levels, strong performance in the US AI sector, and expectations of global liquidity easing [4] Market Analysis - The A-share market showed a weak overall trend with increased trading volume but a decline in the number of profitable stocks, indicating a structural adjustment phase as the year-end approached [3] - The technology index led the market in performance for six out of twelve months, with specific themes like optical modules, aerospace technology, AI computing, nuclear fusion, humanoid robots, and 6G showing annual gains exceeding 80% [4] - The report suggests that the current market environment presents opportunities for strategic investments in technology, particularly in sectors with strong narratives and catalysts [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors with strong fundamentals and potential for growth, such as robotics, sports, and non-bank financials, while advising caution in crowded sectors like commercial aerospace [5] - The robotics sector is highlighted as a priority for investment due to its clear long-term narrative, low crowding, and high elasticity, making it a core focus for the upcoming spring market [5] - The sports sector is identified as having significant potential for consumer spending growth leading up to the Spring Festival [5]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The technology sector was the clear mainline in the A - share market in 2025, but its momentum slowed down in the fourth quarter. The technology index had a 43.57% annual increase, significantly outperforming other style indices such as the CSI 300 (17.66%). However, there were signs of weakening in the fourth quarter [4]. - The technology mainline still has some continuity. The market risk - preference is high, the valuation is not in a frenzy, the strong performance of the US AI sector supports A - share counterparts, and the expected global liquidity easing is favorable for high - valuation technology assets [4]. - The report is cautiously optimistic about the technology mainline and suggests focusing on sub - sectors with strong logic. There are opportunities to lay out the technology market on dips in January due to potential short - term tightening of the capital market. The robot and sports sectors, as well as the non - bank financial sector, are recommended for investment, while high - congestion sectors like commercial aerospace should be treated with caution [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Performance - Most major market indices rose last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index having the largest increase of 0.13%. Among the large - scale industry indices, the Telecommunication Services Index and the Energy Index performed relatively well, with weekly increases of 2.13% and 1.54% respectively, while the Utilities Index and the Healthcare Index were weaker, with decreases of 2.64% and 1.99% respectively [8][16]. - Among the 30 Shenwan primary industries, 12 industries rose. The Petroleum & Petrochemical, National Defense & Military Industry, and Media industries had relatively large increases of 3.92%, 3.05%, and 2.13% respectively, while the Utilities, Food & Beverage, and Power Equipment industries had relatively large decreases of 2.72%, 2.26%, and 2.18% respectively [19]. - The average daily trading volume of the Wind All - A Index last week was 2.128335 trillion yuan, up from the previous week and at a relatively high historical level (90.80% in the three - year historical quantile) [22]. Valuation Tracking - As of December 31, 2025, the valuation (PE_TTM) of the Wind All - A Index was 22.32, up 0.20 from the previous week and at the 94.60% quantile in the past five - year history. Among the 30 Shenwan primary industries, 11 industries' valuations (PE_TTM) recovered [26]. Investment Suggestions - In the context of the index's high - level oscillation and the weakening of the profit - making effect, the allocation strategy should emphasize direction selection and rhythm control. - The robot sector has a clear long - term industrial narrative and event - catalyzing expectations, meeting the allocation characteristics of "low congestion, continuous capital inflow, and high elasticity", and is considered the core direction for early deployment in the spring market [7]. - The sports sector may be the theme direction with the greatest elasticity in the consumer field before the Spring Festival [7]. - The non - bank financial sector of securities firms has certain allocation value at the current stage [7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [5][15]. Core Insights - The company has successfully transitioned from vacuum cleaner manufacturing to becoming a leader in domestic automotive EPS motor production, with a projected revenue of 4 billion yuan from automotive parts in 2024 [7]. - The company is also strategically investing in humanoid robotics, which is anticipated to become a significant growth driver alongside its automotive components business [7]. - The household appliance segment is expected to grow steadily, with revenues projected at 21 billion yuan in 2024, driven by new product categories despite short-term profit pressures from tariffs [7][12]. - The automotive parts segment is experiencing rapid growth, with revenues expected to reach 4 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a significant increase from previous years [7][12]. - The company is diversifying its product offerings to reduce reliance on major clients, with the share of vacuum cleaner revenue decreasing from 71% in 2022 to an expected 52% in 2024 [7]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2,775 million yuan in 2023, 4,095 million yuan in 2024, 4,715 million yuan in 2025, 5,486 million yuan in 2026, and 6,478 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 43%, 48%, 15%, 16%, and 18% respectively [5][9]. - The net profit is forecasted to be 322 million yuan in 2023, 411 million yuan in 2024, 220 million yuan in 2025, 397 million yuan in 2026, and 632 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 8%, 28%, -47%, 81%, and 59% respectively [5][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.87 yuan in 2023, 1.10 yuan in 2024, 0.45 yuan in 2025, 0.82 yuan in 2026, and 1.31 yuan in 2027 [5][9]. Valuation and Comparables - The company is compared with peers in the vacuum cleaner and small household appliance sectors, with an average P/E ratio of 30x for 2025, 24x for 2026, and 21x for 2027, indicating that the company has a favorable growth outlook with lower projected valuation multiples [10][11]. - The report highlights that the company's growth potential is significant, with a projected P/E of 40x for 2025, 22x for 2026, and 14x for 2027, which is lower than comparable companies, suggesting a margin of safety for investors [10][11].

执业证书编号：S0740522100005 光伏设备 | 评级： | 增持（维持） | | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指标 | | | | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：赵宇鹏 | | | 营业收入（百万元） | | 18,657 | 9,952 | 7,965 | 12,374 | 15,354 | | 增长率 | | | yoy% | | 61% | -47% | -20% | 55% | 24% | | 执业证书编号：S0740522100005 | | | 归母净利润（百万元） | | 816 | -591 | -582 | 633 | 1,054 | | 增长率 | | | yoy% | | 14% | -172% | 2% | 209% | 66% | | Email：zhaoyp02@zts.com.cn | | | 每股收益（元） | | 2.79 | -2.02 | -1.99 ...