融资担保比例提高后，交易型资金如何反应？ ——资金行为研究双周报（2026/01/09-2026/1/22） 证券研究报告/策略定期报告 2026 年 01 月 23 日 分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740522050001 Email：wangyj09@zts.com.cn 1、《A H 股市场周度观察（1 月第 2 周）》2026-01-17 2、《从春节到两会，市场轮动的节奏 将如何演绎？》2026-01-17 3、《开年市场新高后或如何演绎？》 2026-01-11 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 策略定期报告 报告摘要 分析师：王永健 市场资金流向概览：机构流出动能阶段性收敛，市场共识重新凝聚。1 月 12 日后机构 资金流出一度加速，但于 20 日后趋于收敛；散户资金对全 A 及创业板的流入在高位 后亦于 14 日起斜率放缓。全 A 与创业板资金加速度在 13 日及 21 日前后出现剧烈波 动，显示存量博弈依然活跃。截至 1 月 22 日，三大指数散户与机构净流入率差额显 著收窄并向零轴收敛，市场进入力 ...

【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】医药祝嘉琦：政策打通手术机器人收费 瓶颈，临床应用有望加速落地 证券研究报告/晨会聚焦 2026 年 01 月 22 日 分析师：戴志锋 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 Email：daizf@zts.com.cn 欢迎关注中泰研究所订阅号 晨报内容回顾 1、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】地产 由子沛：美国次贷危机下的房地产市 场》2026-01-20 2、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】固收 吕品：商品行情"缩圈"，关注债市 长端品种走势分化》2026-01-19 3、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】固收 林莎：从星辰到算力，春季躁动基础 仍在？》2026-01-18 【医药】祝嘉琦：政策打通手术机器人收费瓶颈，临床应用有望加速落地 事件：近日，国家医保局正式发布《手术和治疗辅助操作类医疗服务价格项目立项指南（试行）》， 聚焦医疗技术前沿成果，围绕 3D 打印、示踪增强成像、能量器械、术中影像引导、机械臂与远程 手术等医疗科技创新成果，进行统一价格立项，规范形成 37 项价格项目、5 项加收项、1 项扩展 项。 分类规范机械臂辅助操作价格项目，聚焦临床价值进行差异化收费。立项指南聚焦手术机器人在 ...

| Email：chencheng07@zts.com.cn | | --- | | 基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(百万股) | 21,162.86 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 21,162.86 | | 市价(元) | 19.61 | | 市值(百万元) | 415,003.59 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 415,003.59 | 股份制银行Ⅱ 详解兴业银行 2025 业绩快报： 业绩表现持续改善，存贷规模稳步增长 兴业银行（601166.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2026 年 01 月 21 日 | 评级： | 增持（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：戴志锋 | | 营业收入（百万元） | 210,245 | | 211,818 | 212,651 | 215,121 | 218,820 | | 执业证书编 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Increase Holding" [2][5] Core Insights - The recent release of the "Guidelines for the Pricing of Surgical and Treatment Auxiliary Medical Services" by the National Medical Insurance Administration aims to standardize pricing for innovative medical technologies, including surgical robots, which is expected to accelerate clinical application [4] - The guidelines introduce a tiered pricing model based on the level of participation and clinical value of surgical robots, allowing for higher fees for more advanced functionalities [4] - The establishment of a new pricing project for "Remote Surgical Assistance" facilitates the practical application of remote surgery, enhancing access to quality medical resources across regions [4] - The guidelines clarify the boundaries between consumable costs and technical service fees, promoting transparency and reducing unreasonable price increases in the industry [4] - The inclusion of medical data storage and device operation records in the pricing structure is expected to support future technological iterations and application expansions [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The industry comprises 133 listed companies with a total market value of 14,628.56 billion and a circulating market value of 13,032.75 billion [2] Policy Impact - The new pricing guidelines are anticipated to break the commercialization bottleneck of surgical robots, emphasizing the need for continuous innovation among companies [4] - Companies with technological accumulation and high product maturity, such as Tianzhihang-U, Jingfeng Medical-B, and others, are expected to benefit from the inclusion of robotic-assisted surgery projects in local medical insurance directories [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [2] Core Views - The report highlights a rebound in sales on a month-on-month basis, supported by policies aimed at improving housing conditions for residents [7] - The overall market performance is weak, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index declining by 3.52% compared to a 0.57% drop in the CSI 300 Index, resulting in a relative return of -2.95% [4][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of financially stable real estate companies, suggesting a focus on leading firms that can effectively navigate market fluctuations [7] Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index decreased by 3.52%, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 0.57%, indicating underperformance of the sector relative to the broader market [4][12] Industry Fundamentals - For the week of January 9-15, 2026, the total number of new homes sold in 38 key cities was 21,770 units, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 14.7% but a month-on-month increase of 12.4%. The total area sold was 201.4 million square meters, down 25.3% year-on-year but up 12.8% month-on-month [5][22] - In the same week, the total number of second-hand homes sold in 16 key cities was 18,991 units, with a year-on-year decline of 11.5% and a month-on-month increase of 17.2%. The total area sold was 188 million square meters, down 11.6% year-on-year but up 18.3% month-on-month [5][40] Land Market Analysis - During the week of January 5-11, 2026, land supply was 2,198.8 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6%, with an average supply price of 858 yuan per square meter, down 42% year-on-year. Land transactions totaled 1,503.1 million square meters, down 41.4% year-on-year, with a transaction value of 18.91 billion yuan, down 49.5% year-on-year [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on financially sound leading real estate companies such as Yuexiu Property, China Merchants Shekou, Poly Developments, and others, which are expected to perform well in the current policy environment [7]

城商行Ⅱ 详解宁波银行 2025 业绩快报：各项主要指标均保持稳健 | 总股本(百万股) | 6,603.59 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(百万股) | 6,599.89 | | 市价(元) | 28.55 | | 市值(百万元) | 188,532.52 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 188,426.78 | 宁波银行（002142.SZ） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2026 年 01 月 21 日 | 评级： 增持（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 指标 | 2023A | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：戴志锋 | 营业收入（百万元） | 61,572 | | 66,560 | 71,968 | 78,842 | 86,248 | | 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 | 增长率 yoy% | 6.40% | | 8.10% | 8.10% | 9.60% | 9.40% | | Email： ...

北交所本周量能放大，指数冲高回落 ——北交所周报（1.12-1.16） 评级： 增持（维持） 分析师：冯胜 执业证书编号：S0740519050004 Email：fengsheng@zts.com.cn 分析师：宋瀚清 执业证书编号：S0740524060001 报告摘要 北交所行情概览： 1）整体行情：截至 2026 年 1 月 16 日，北证成份股 288 个，平均市值 32.69 亿元。 本周（2026 年 1 月 12 日-2026 年 1 月 16 日，下同）北证 50 指数涨跌幅 1.58%，收 盘 1548.32 点；同期沪深 300 和上证指数涨跌幅分别为-0.57%和-0.45%。本周北交 所日均成交额为 409.81 亿元，较上周（2026 年 1 月 5 日-2025 年 1 月 9 日，下同） 上升 55.52%；本周日均换手率为 7.89%，较上周增加 2.82pcts。 Email：songhq01@zts.com.cn 北交所基本状况 | 上市公司数 | 288 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 9,285.86 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 5, ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The current preset interest rate for ordinary life insurance products is 1.89%, a slight decrease from the previous value of 1.90%, indicating a narrowing decline in the preset interest rate research values over recent quarters [4]. - The report highlights that the long-end interest rates have stabilized since 2025, with a gradual upward trend established in the second half of 2025, suggesting a positive outlook for the industry [4]. - The report emphasizes the implementation of a dynamic adjustment mechanism linking preset interest rates to market rates, which is expected to guide companies in prudent pricing and asset-liability management [4]. - The likelihood of a "buy-stop" season in 2026 is considered low, as the preset interest rate research value is close to the maximum allowable rate for current products, making significant adjustments unlikely [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report notes that the preset interest rate research values have shown a decreasing trend, with recent declines of 21bps, 14bps, 9bps, and 1bps, indicating a gradual stabilization [3]. - The financial regulatory authority has issued guidelines to link preset interest rates with market rates, which is expected to enhance the industry's pricing strategies [4]. Market Trends - The report indicates that the 5-year LPR remains at 3.5%, the 5-year fixed deposit benchmark rate at 1.3%, and the 10-year government bond yield at 1.85%, all showing stability compared to the previous quarter [4]. - The report suggests that the insurance sector has experienced a positive cyclical recovery since December of the previous year, with expectations for improved performance and valuation recovery [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends continued attention to key players in the insurance sector, including China Life, China Pacific Insurance, Ping An Insurance, New China Life, China Property & Casualty Insurance, and AIA Group, as they are expected to benefit from the anticipated market conditions [4].

北交所本周量能放大，指数冲高回落 ——北交所周报（1.12-1.16） 评级： 增持（维持） 分析师：冯胜 执业证书编号：S0740519050004 Email：fengsheng@zts.com.cn 分析师：宋瀚清 执业证书编号：S0740524060001 Email：songhq01@zts.com.cn 北交所基本状况 | 上市公司数 | 288 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 9,285.86 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 5,789.95 | 最近一年北证 50 VS 沪深 300 北交所 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2026 年 01 月 21 日 报告摘要 北交所行情概览： 1）整体行情：截至 2026 年 1 月 16 日，北证成份股 288 个，平均市值 32.69 亿元。 本周（2026 年 1 月 12 日-2026 年 1 月 16 日，下同）北证 50 指数涨跌幅 1.58%，收 盘 1548.32 点；同期沪深 300 和上证指数涨跌幅分别为-0.57%和-0.45%。本周北交 所日均成交额为 409.81 亿元，较上周（2026 年 1 月 ...

详解宁波银行 2025 业绩快报：各项主要指标均保持稳健 宁波银行（002142.SZ） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2026 年 01 月 21 日 | 评级： 增持（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 指标 | 2023A | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：戴志锋 | 营业收入（百万元） | 61,572 | | 66,560 | 71,968 | 78,842 | 86,248 | | 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 | 增长率 yoy% | 6.40% | | 8.10% | 8.10% | 9.60% | 9.40% | | Email：daizf@zts.com.cn | 归母净利润（百万元） | 25,535 | | 27,127 | 29,333 | 32,257 | 35,421 | | 分析师：邓美君 | 增长率 yoy% | 10.70% | | 6.20% | 8.10% | 10.00% | ...