银行 2025 年 2 季度经营数据： 净息差环比微降 1bp 至 1.42%；净利润增速边际向上 银行 证券研究报告/行业专题报告 2025 年 08 月 18 日 评级： 增持（维持） | | 简称 | 股价 | | | EPS | | | | | PE | | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分析师：戴志锋 | | （元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 | 江苏银行 渝农商行 | 10.98 | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.91 | 2.03 | 2.15 | 6.50 | 6.65 | 5.75 | 5.41 | 5.10 | 买入 买入 | | | | 6.55 | 0.94 | 0.99 | 1.07 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 6.97 | 6.62 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the light industry sector, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance in the next 6 to 12 months [4][6][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Baiya's offline performance has exceeded expectations, with a revenue of 1.764 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 188 million yuan, up 4.6% [6][7]. - The report emphasizes the strong growth in the e-commerce channel for 361 Degrees, which achieved a revenue of 5.7 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11%. The company also reported a significant improvement in operating cash flow, with a net inflow of 520 million yuan, up 227.2% [6][7]. - The report suggests that the light industry index has shown resilience, with a 1.56% increase, ranking 15th among 28 industries, while the textile and apparel index decreased by 1.37%, ranking 26th [6][11]. Summary by Sections Company Performance - Baiya's revenue from offline channels reached 1.13 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 39.8% increase, while e-commerce revenue was 590 million yuan, down 9.4% [6][7]. - 361 Degrees reported a revenue of 5.7 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 860 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9% [6][7]. Market Trends - The light industry index has shown a 1.56% increase, while the textile and apparel index has decreased by 1.37% [6][11]. - The report notes that the packaging and printing sector saw a 2.14% increase, while the paper industry experienced a slight decline of 0.28% [6][11]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong growth potential in the new materials sector, such as Fuchun Dyeing and Weaving, which is shifting towards semiconductor and medical device applications [6][7]. - It also highlights the potential of companies in the home textiles sector, recommending attention to leading brands like Luolai Home Textile and Fuanna [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry over the next 6 to 12 months [2]. Core Insights - The insurance sector's total investment balance reached 36.23 trillion yuan by the end of Q2 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 17.4%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of improvement [5]. - The asset allocation shows a continued increase in bond investments, with a slight slowdown in growth, while stock allocations have improved for five consecutive quarters [5][6]. - The report highlights that the insurance industry is not as negatively impacted as the market perceives, with valuations reflecting the pressures on both assets and liabilities [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The total market capitalization of the insurance industry is approximately 32,643.28 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 32,637.15 billion yuan [2]. Investment Allocation - By the end of Q2 2025, the allocation of insurance funds was as follows: bank deposits (8.6%), bonds (51.1%), stocks (8.8%), securities investment funds (4.8%), long-term equity investments (7.9%), and other non-standard assets (18.2%) [5][6]. - The bond allocation has increased, but the growth rate has shown signs of slowing down, while stock allocation has seen a consistent rise [5]. Performance Metrics - The year-on-year growth rates for original premiums, net assets, and total assets as of June 2025 were 5.3%, 23.4%, and 16.1%, respectively, indicating improved operational performance [5]. - The solvency ratios for property and life insurance companies were reported at 240.6% and 196.6%, respectively, showing a recovery trend [5][18]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as New China Life Insurance, Ping An Insurance, China Life Insurance, AIA, China Pacific Insurance, and China People’s Insurance, as they are expected to benefit from the current market conditions [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week (August 11 - 15), the capital interest rate increased, the average daily lending of large - scale banks rose month - on - month, and funds slightly reduced leverage. - The maturity of certificates of deposit (CDs) increased, and the maturity yields of most CDs with various tenors rose. - In the spot bond trading, the main buyers were money market funds, mainly increasing their holdings of CDs. Funds mainly net sold 7 - 10Y and 20 - 30Y interest - rate bonds, rural commercial banks increased their holdings of 7 - 10Y interest - rate bonds, insurance companies increased their holdings of ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds, and large - scale banks increased their purchases of 1 - 3Y interest - rate bonds. [5] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Monetary Capital - **Open - market operations**: A total of 1.1267 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases matured this week. The central bank cumulatively injected 711.8 billion yuan of reverse repurchases from Monday to Friday, and 50 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchases on Friday, with a net liquidity injection of 85.1 billion yuan for the whole week. [5][8] - **Capital price**: As of August 15, R001, R007, DR001, and DR007 were 1.44%, 1.49%, 1.4%, and 1.48% respectively, up 9.78BP, 3.2BP, 9.03BP, and 5.47BP from August 8, and were at the 19%, 8%, 17%, and 3% historical percentiles respectively. [5][11] - **Large - scale bank lending**: From August 11 to 15, the total lending scale of large - scale banks was 24.54 trillion yuan, with a daily maximum of 5 trillion yuan and an average daily lending of 4.9 trillion yuan, an increase of 140 billion yuan from the previous week's average. [5][14] - **Pledged repurchase**: The trading volume of pledged repurchase increased, with an average daily trading volume of 8.15 trillion yuan and a daily maximum of 8.36 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.52% from the previous week's average. The proportion of overnight repurchase transactions decreased, with an average daily proportion of 89.8%, a daily maximum of 90.6%, and a decrease of 0.05 percentage points from the previous week's average. As of August 15, it was at the 88.6% percentile. [5][16] 3.2 Certificates of Deposit and Bills - **Issuance and financing**: The issuance scale of CDs this week was basically the same as last week, but the net financing decreased. The total issuance was 774.73 billion yuan, a decrease of 300 million yuan from the previous week; the net financing was - 130.91 billion yuan, a decrease of 307.67 billion yuan from the previous week. [5][18] - **Maturity scale**: The maturity volume of CDs increased this week, with a total of 905.64 billion yuan, an increase of 307.37 billion yuan from the previous week. Next week (August 18 - 22), 794.72 billion yuan of CDs will mature. [18][23] - **Maturity yield**: As of August 15, the maturity yields of 1M, 3M, 6M, 9M, and 1Y CDs of AAA - rated commercial banks were 1.46%, 1.53%, 1.6%, 1.64%, and 1.64% respectively, up 1.1BP, - 0.5BP, 1.26BP, 1.76BP, and 2.25BP from August 8. [5][31] - **Bill interest rate**: As of August 15, the 3M direct - discount rate, 3M transfer - discount rate, 6M direct - discount rate, and 6M transfer - discount rate of national - owned stocks were 1.13%, 0.95%, 0.7%, and 0.63% respectively, down 11BP, 12BP, 7BP, and 7BP from August 8. [5][33] 3.3 Institutional Behavior Tracking - **Leverage ratio**: The inter - bank leverage ratio and the broad - based fund leverage ratio decreased slightly. As of August 15, the inter - bank total leverage ratio in the bond market decreased by 0.20 percentage points to 106.71% from August 8, at the 39.40% historical percentile since 2021. The bank, securities, insurance, and broad - based fund leverage ratios were 103.9%, 187.8%, 129.3%, and 104.9% respectively, with month - on - month changes of 0.26BP, - 10.62BP, 1.16BP, and - 0.19BP from August 8, and were at the 43%, 1%, 76%, and 20% historical percentiles respectively. [36][38] - **Duration adjustment**: Funds reduced duration, while rural commercial banks and insurance companies increased duration. As of August 15, the weighted average net - purchase duration (MA = 10) of funds was 0 years, a significant decrease from 4.23 years on August 8, at the 23% historical percentile; that of rural commercial banks was 3.26 years, turning positive from August 8, at the 82% historical percentile; that of insurance companies was 10.58 years, an increase from August 8, at the 77% historical percentile. [5][40]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight (Maintain)" [2] Core Viewpoints - The innovative pharmaceutical and medical device market continues to thrive, with an increase in the prosperity of segmented tracks. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.37%, while the pharmaceutical and biological sector increased by 3.08%, ranking 10th among 31 primary sub-industries. The pharmaceutical sector has shown strong recovery and continuity, aligning with previous predictions that declines would be short-lived and shallow [4][8][5]. - The market remains focused on innovative pharmaceuticals and medical devices, with significant events catalyzing the sector. Key highlights include a price increase of up to 170% for Eli Lilly's weight loss drug Mounjaro in the UK and the announcement of pivotal clinical trial results for a dual-target antibody by CanSino Biologics [4][8][5]. - Recommendations for investment focus on specific segments such as GLP-1 drugs, second-generation IO companies, and innovative medical devices, with notable companies identified for potential growth [4][8][5]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the pharmaceutical and biological industry [2]. Market Dynamics - The pharmaceutical sector has shown a year-to-date return of 25.02%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 18.22 percentage points. The sector's valuation is currently at 27.0 times PE, with a premium of 32.9% compared to the overall A-share market [5][16][8]. Key Company Performance - Notable companies recommended for investment include WuXi Biologics, 3SBio, Changchun High-tech, and others, with their respective stock performances highlighted [2][26][25]. Sector Trends - The report emphasizes the ongoing trend of innovation in pharmaceuticals and medical devices, with specific attention to the GLP-1 drug market and second-generation IO companies, suggesting a rotation of investment opportunities within these segments [4][8][5].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautious stance on the bond market. It suggests that if there is a significant adjustment, one can use a small position to bet on an oversold rebound (not for buying at high prices) [3][41]. Core Viewpoints - The bond market has experienced a steep decline this week despite weak fundamental data, and the problem lies in the bond itself, as it lacks the conditions to rise from both the asset and liability sides [3]. - The current trading main - line of the bond market may not be data, and single - month data may not confirm trends. The re - inflation trading brought by anti - involution may be in the first stage, with signs possibly appearing at the price level by the end of the year at the earliest [3][16]. - The view that the stock - bond seesaw causes the bond market to fall has logical flaws. The bond market's potential positives mainly rely on other assets and central bank actions, indicating insufficient internal positives [3][21]. - This year, the incremental funds of traditional bond market allocators such as banks and insurance in the bond market have significantly decreased, and it is hard to say that it is still an asset - shortage pattern [3][33]. - Mid - to long - term pure bond funds with shorter durations and earlier duration - reduction timings have achieved better returns this year [35]. Summary by Directory 1. Bond Market Weekly Review (2025.8.11 - 8.15) - This week, the bond market sentiment was suppressed by equities. Despite negative credit growth and economic data falling short of expectations, the bond market continued to be weak. By August 15, the 10Y Treasury yield rose 5.74BP to 1.75% compared to August 8, and the 30Y Treasury yield reached 2.05%. The 10Y - 1Y spread widened [6]. 2. Why Isn't There Weak - Data Trading Despite Weak Data? - There are differences in the bond market from multiple perspectives: - Inflation: There is a divergence between the limited price - pulling effect of anti - involution and the view that inflation has bottomed out. The bulls focus on the limited improvement in PPI and the time lag in price transmission, while the bears focus on the phased stabilization of PPI and the super - seasonal improvement of CPI. In July, PPI was - 3.6% year - on - year and - 0.2% month - on - month, with the month - on - month decline narrowing for the first time since March. CPI increased 0.4% month - on - month [3][9]. - Financial data: There are divergences between social financing and credit, and between negative credit growth and M1 growth. The bulls note that the rise in social financing is mainly driven by government bond financing, and credit was unexpectedly weak in July, with a rare negative growth of 50 billion yuan. The bears point out that M1 growth continued to rise to 5.60% in July, indicating active capital activation [3][11]. - Economic data: There is a divergence between trends and single - month fluctuations in production, investment, and consumption growth. The bulls see a slowdown in July's economic data, while the bears believe that the annual economic target is likely to be achieved, and consumption will support the economy in the second half of the year [3][13]. - The bond market's trading main - line may not be data, and single - month data may not confirm trends. The re - inflation trading brought by anti - involution may be in the first stage, with signs possibly appearing at the price level by the end of the year at the earliest [3][16]. 3. Did the Bond Market Fall Due to Anti - Involution and Stock Market Suppression? - Many market views believe that anti - involution and the stock market's suppression led to the bond market adjustment. However, this week, the commodity performance was average, and there were cases where stocks fell but bonds did not rise, accelerating market doubts about bond assets themselves [18][20]. - Using high - volatility assets to judge the trend of low - volatility assets has logical flaws. The view that the stock - bond seesaw causes the bond market to fall implies that the bond market's opportunities mainly rely on other assets' weakness, indicating limited long - term opportunities [3][21]. 4. The Problem of Bonds Lies in Themselves - Asset side: Since July, policies related to anti - involution have increased market expectations of rising inflation. At the same time, the good performance of the equity market has driven up market risk appetite. From the perspective of insurance institutions, the cost - effectiveness of bond assets is insufficient. The average net investment yield of five major insurance companies has declined from 5.35% in 2017 to 3.6% in 2024 [23][26]. - Liability side: The allocation funds of insurance and banks are limited. Insurance has shifted to equity assets, and the incremental funds for bond allocation have not increased significantly compared to last year. Banks' liability sides have suffered serious losses due to factors such as deposit rate cuts and resident deposit migration. In July, the growth of wealth management scale was weak, with a monthly incremental of only 26 billion yuan, far lower than the seasonal level of 1.8 trillion yuan in the past four years [3][29]. - Asset - shortage pattern: The incremental funds of banks and insurance in the bond market have significantly decreased this year. Banks' bond investment increments are close to zero, and insurance's incremental funds for bond investment have dropped to 66.98 billion yuan [33]. 5. Should Bond Market Investment "Focus on Trading"? - Mid - to long - term pure bond funds with better performance have shorter durations, around 3 - 4 years, while the median duration of mid - performance funds is around 4 - 5 years [35]. - The top - performing bond funds reduced their durations earlier. As of August 15, the median duration of mid - to long - term pure bond funds generally increased compared to the beginning of the year, but the duration of the bottom 20% of funds changed little. The median duration of top - performing funds reached its maximum in late April, and the duration reduction was more significant compared to other funds [35]. - Technically, the long - end varieties of Treasury bond futures have shown oversold signals. Attention can be paid to short - term oversold trading opportunities [37].

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the REITs industry [2]. Core Insights - The REITs index experienced a decline of 1.49% this week, with operational rights down 1.45% and property rights down 2.01%. In contrast, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.37% and the CSI 500 Index increased by 3.88% [5][17]. - The report highlights significant events, including the announcement of the issuance of fund shares for the CICC Vipshop Outlet REIT, which was oversubscribed by 253.26 times, and the completion of a targeted expansion for the Guotai Junan Lingang Innovation Industrial Park REIT [10][12]. - The report emphasizes the strong allocation attributes of REITs in the long term, suggesting investors pay attention to sector rotation and expansion opportunities while being mindful of macroeconomic and policy environments [5][12]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The total number of listed companies in the REITs sector is 73, with a total market capitalization of 217.78 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 102.88 billion yuan [2]. - The trading volume for the week was 3.27 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 10.9% compared to the previous week, with an average daily turnover rate of 0.6% [10]. Key Events - The CICC Vipshop Outlet REIT announced a fund share issuance at a price of 3.480 yuan per share, with a total effective subscription amounting to 53,184,400 thousand shares [10]. - The Guotai Junan Lingang Innovation Industrial Park REIT completed a targeted expansion, issuing 388,788,630 shares at a price of 4.433 yuan per share [12]. Market Performance - The report notes that 7 REITs increased in value, while 66 declined, resulting in an overall drop of 1.49% for the REITs sector [21]. - The correlation of REITs with the 10-year government bonds, 1-year government bonds, and convertible bonds is reported as 0.08, -0.12, and 0.69, respectively, indicating a differentiated performance compared to the stock market [17][21].

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current ETF market has 1,262 products with a total scale of 4,773.495 billion yuan. Stock - type ETFs are the most numerous, accounting for 67.23% of the market scale. In the A - share market, the technology and high - end manufacturing sector has the highest trading heat, while the consumer sector has the most capital inflow. In the Hong Kong and global markets, the financial sector in the Hong Kong market has the highest trading heat, and the consumer sector in the Shanghai - Hong Kong - Shenzhen market has the most capital inflow [6]. 3. Summary by Directory I. ETF Market Overview 1.1 ETF Quantity Distribution - There are 1,262 ETFs in the current market, with a total scale of 4,773.495 billion yuan. Stock - type ETFs are the most numerous, with 1,005 products and a scale of 3,209.249 billion yuan, accounting for 67.23% of the market scale. Among stock - type ETFs, theme - index ETFs are the most numerous [10]. 1.2 ETF Tracking Index - This week, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 had respective price changes of 2.37%, 3.88%, and 4.09%. Among the indices with corresponding ETFs, the Financial Technology index had the highest increase of 11.57%, while the 800 Bank index had the highest decline of 3.25% [13]. II. Equity ETF Valuation 2.1 A - share Market ETF Valuation Overview - Among the 30 indices with the highest tracking scale of ETFs in the A - share market, the current highest - valued indices are the Science and Technology Innovation 100, Science and Technology Innovation Chip, and Science and Technology Innovation 50. The CSI 1000, CSI 500, and Robot indices are at historically high valuations [19]. 2.2 Hong Kong and Global Market ETF Valuation Overview - Among the 20 indices with the highest tracking scale of ETFs in the Hong Kong and global markets, the current highest - valued indices are the Hong Kong Stock Innovation Drug (CNY), Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovation Drug, and Nasdaq Technology Market - Cap Weighted. The Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect High - Dividend Low - Volatility Index are at historically high valuations [21]. III. A - share Market ETF 3.1 A - share Market ETF Sector Overview - In the A - share market, the technology and high - end manufacturing sector has the highest trading heat, with a daily average trading volume of 23.267 billion yuan. The consumer sector has the most capital inflow of 1.695 billion yuan, while the technology and high - end manufacturing sector has the most capital outflow of 14.517 billion yuan [26]. 3.2 A - share Market ETF Trading Heat - The most actively traded ETF in the A - share market is the Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF, with a daily average trading volume of 4.927 billion yuan. The top - ten ETFs in terms of daily average trading volume involve sectors such as science and technology innovation & entrepreneurship, finance, large - cap, technology and high - end manufacturing, and small - cap [30]. 3.3 A - share Market ETF Capital Flow - The A - share market ETF with the most capital inflow is the Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF, with an inflow of 2.302 billion yuan. The top - ten ETFs in terms of capital inflow involve multiple sectors. The ETF with the most capital outflow is the Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF, with an outflow of 6.556 billion yuan [35]. 3.4 A - share Market ETF Share Growth - By sector, the chemical sector has a relatively high share growth rate, while the media sector has a relatively high share reduction rate [37]. IV. Hong Kong and Global Market ETF 4.1 Hong Kong and Global Market ETF Overview - In the Hong Kong and global markets, the financial sector in the Hong Kong market has the highest trading heat, with a daily average trading volume of 26.458 billion yuan. The consumer sector in the Shanghai - Hong Kong - Shenzhen market has the most capital inflow, while the technology sector in the global market has the most capital outflow [41]. 4.2 Hong Kong and Global Market ETF Trading Heat - The most actively traded ETF in the Hong Kong and global markets is the E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF, with a daily average trading volume of 23.764 billion yuan. The top - ten ETFs in terms of daily average trading volume involve sectors such as finance, large - scale medical, and technology [43]. 4.3 Hong Kong and Global Market ETF Capital Flow - The Hong Kong and global market ETF with the most capital inflow is the GF CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non - Bank Financial Theme ETF, with an inflow of 294.9 million yuan. The top - ten ETFs in terms of capital inflow involve multiple sectors. The ETF with the most capital outflow is the E Fund CSI Overseas Internet ETF, with an outflow of 451 million yuan [50]. V. Industry Congestion Tracking - This week, the transportation industry has the highest congestion, followed by non - bank finance, petroleum and petrochemicals, and light manufacturing. Compared with last week, the congestion of the steel industry has increased significantly, while that of the comprehensive industry has decreased. The congestion of the steel industry is at a one - year high, while that of the comprehensive, coal, and machinery industries is historically low [55]. VI. WTS ETF Recommendation - The screening rule is to use the WTS AI model to score indices, select those with scores above 0.8, find the corresponding ETFs, select those with a daily average trading volume of over 30 million yuan in the past 30 days, and choose the ones with a lower IOPV premium rate for the same index [59].

Report Title - "Science and Technology Sector Rallies, Fund Segments Rise Steadily - Fund Market Tracking 2025.08.15" [2] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The A-share market strengthened overall, with large, medium, and small-cap representative indices rising over 2%. The growth style was prominent, up 5.0%. Most sectors posted positive returns, with the science and technology sector surging significantly and the banking sector experiencing a notable pullback [6]. - In the fund market, the median return of common stock funds was the highest at 3.6% this week, while international (QDII) alternative investments had the lowest return at -0.5% [6]. - Active equity funds in various sectors rose sharply following the stock market. TMT sector funds led the gains, with a 6.2% increase this week, driving the year-to-date return above 20%. Small and medium-cap and high-valuation stocks showed obvious advantages [6]. - Event-driven private funds had the highest return this year, reaching 27.2% [4]. Summary by Directory 1. This Week's Market Fluctuations 1.1 Performance of Major Asset Classes - The A-share market strengthened, with the CSI 1000 rising 4.1%. The growth style led with a 5.0% increase. Bonds slightly declined, while convertible bonds rose 1.6% driven by the stock market. Hong Kong stocks rose 1.1%, and US stocks rose 0.9%. Gold declined, while other representative commodities rose [9][10]. 1.2 Performance of Industry Themes - Most sectors posted positive returns. The science and technology sector rallied, with sub - industries rising over 5%, and 5G communication and artificial intelligence up over 9%. The pharmaceutical and biological sector also had high gains, with biotech and innovative drugs approaching 4%. The banking sector pulled back 3.2%, and some sub - industries in the cyclical sector declined [13]. 1.3 Performance of Concept Indices - The top five rising concepts were stock trading software, PEEK materials, servers, optical modules (CPO), and liquid - cooled servers, with stock trading software rising 21%. The top five falling concepts were CSSC system, bank selection, central state - owned banks, gold and jewelry, and aircraft carriers, with the CSSC system falling 3.5% [16]. 1.4 Trading Heat Tracking - The top five concepts with the highest trading heat were state - owned enterprise comprehensive, fund heavy - holdings, core assets, specialized and sophisticated small and medium - sized enterprises, and Huijin holdings. The average daily trading volume of state - owned enterprise comprehensive reached 52.49 billion shares. Compared with last week, the top five concepts with rising heat were stock trading software, semiconductor equipment, servers, equal - weighted securities firms, and lithium mines; the top five with falling heat were CSSC system, aircraft carriers, dairy, three - child policy, and SPD [20][21]. 2. Active Equity Fund Tracking 2.1 Classification Returns and Rising Ratios - In the past week, the median return of common stock funds was the highest at 3.6%, and international (QDII) alternative investments had the lowest return at - 0.5%. In the past month, the median return of common stock funds was the highest at 8.3%, and international (QDII) alternative investments had the lowest return at - 0.4%. The highest rising ratio in the past month was for international (QDII) bond funds at 100.0%, and the lowest was for enhanced index bond funds at 0.0%. The lowest maximum drawdown in the past month was for short - term pure bond funds at - 0.1%, and the highest was for international (QDII) alternative investments at - 4.2% [26]. 2.2 Returns of Sub - Labels - From a sector perspective, TMT sector funds rose 6.2% this week, driving the year - to - date return above 20%. Mid - stream manufacturing and pharmaceutical sector funds also rose over 4%. From a style perspective, small - and medium - cap and high - valuation stocks had obvious advantages [28][29]. 2.3 Fund Differentiation within Sectors - In the past week, the Hong Kong stock sector had the lowest differentiation with a return range of 8.9%, and the mid - stream manufacturing sector had the highest with a return range of 21.7%. In the past month, the Hong Kong stock sector had the lowest differentiation with a return range of 18.2%, and the balanced sector had the highest with a return range of 34.9% [31]. 2.4 Fund Differentiation within Styles - In the past week, the low - profitability - quality style had the lowest differentiation with a return range of 17.0%, and the balanced - market - cap and low - growth styles had the highest with a return range of 22.8%. In the past month, the low - profitability - quality style had the lowest differentiation with a return range of 27.8%, and the high - growth and high - quality styles had the highest with a return range of 39.3% [34]. 2.5 Top - Performing Funds in Each Sector - The report lists the top five funds in each sector by return in the past month [38][39]. 2.6 Top - Performing Funds in Each Style - The report lists the top five funds in each style by return in the past month [41]. 3. Private Placement Market Performance 3.1 Overall Performance of the Private Placement Market - Event - driven private funds had the highest return this year, reaching 27.2% [45]. 3.2 Returns of Various Private Placement Types - Stock - strategy private funds: Most high - return products were stock subjective long - only, with year - to - date returns mostly in the 0% - 20% range [48]. - Bond - strategy private funds: Most high - return products were bond composites, with year - to - date returns mostly in the 0% - 5% range [51]. - Portfolio - fund - strategy private funds: All high - return products were FOFs, with year - to - date returns mostly in the 5% - 10% range [55]. - Money - market - strategy private funds: All high - return products were trust products, with year - to - date returns mostly in the 0% - 2% range [58]. - Managed - futures private funds: Most high - return products were based on program trading strategies, with year - to - date returns mostly above 10% [61]. - Relative - value - strategy private funds: Most high - return products were stock - market neutral, with year - to - date returns mostly in the 0% - 10% range [65]. - Macro - strategy private funds: Only three products announced net values this week, and the product of Kua Ke Asset Management had the highest return [69]. - Composite - strategy private funds: Most high - return products were trust products, with year - to - date returns mostly in the 10% - 20% range [72]. - Other - strategy private funds: Most high - return products were under foreign - trade trusts, with year - to - date returns mostly in the 0% - 10% range [75].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The lithium battery sector is expected to enter a 2-3 year upward cycle, with potential improvements in performance and valuation [6][11] - The energy storage sector is experiencing rapid growth, with significant revenue increases reported by key players [20] - The wind power sector is seeing orderly construction and project approvals, indicating a positive outlook for future installations [36][39] Lithium Battery Sector - The lithium battery industry index rose by 6.65%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 4.28 percentage points [11] - Key companies such as Hunan Youneng and Fulin Precision saw significant stock price increases of 14.9% and 21.8% respectively [11][12] - The sector is benefiting from rising lithium carbonate prices and inventory gains [13] Energy Storage Sector - Gansu's new policy allows for capacity compensation for new energy storage projects, enhancing market confidence [18] - Key player Kelu Electronics reported a 177.15% year-on-year revenue increase in its energy storage segment [20] - The sector is expected to see continued growth driven by both large-scale and household storage solutions [20] Power Equipment Sector - The "Qingqian DC" project is under research, aiming to enhance clean energy transmission [21] - Investment in energy projects exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, a 21.6% increase year-on-year, indicating strong growth in the sector [22] - Companies involved in ultra-high voltage projects are recommended for investment [22] Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing price stability in polysilicon and modules, but demand remains weak [25][28] - New technologies and companies reversing their fortunes are highlighted as key investment themes [53] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply chain dynamics and pricing trends [27][28] Wind Power Sector - Recent approvals for offshore wind projects in Liaoning signal a robust development pipeline [36] - The report suggests focusing on companies that will benefit from domestic and international offshore wind demand [53] - The sector is expected to see significant growth in both installation and project development [39]