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黄金ETF增持及央行购金支撑下,贵金属上行趋势不变
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-09 02:03
黄金 ETF 增持及央行购金支撑下,贵金属上行趋势不变 行业-市场走势对比 行业评级:增持(维持) 投资要点 分析师:郭中伟 执业证书编号:S0740521110004 Email:guozw@zts.com.cn 分析师:谢鸿鹤 执业证书编号:S0740517080003 Email:xiehh@zts.com.cn 分析师:刘耀齐 执业证书编号:S0740523080004 Email:liuyq@zts.com.cn 分析师:陈沁一 执业证书编号:S0740523090001 Email:chenqy01@zts.com.cn 基本状况 | --- | --- | |-----------------------|-----------| | | | | 上市公司数 | 131 | | 行业总市值 ( 亿元 ) | 23,603.05 | | 行业流通市值 ( 亿元 ) | 20,900.94 | -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 有色金属(申万) 沪深300 2023-092023-102023-112023-122024-012024-022024-0320 ...
皓元医药:收入快速增长,前端业务恢复显著
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-09 02:03
收入快速增长,前端业务恢复显著 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] 评级:买入(维持) 市场价格:24.03 [Table_Finance] 公司盈利预测及估值 指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 营业收入(百万元) 1358.05 1880.05 2256.09 2792.34 3523.00 增长率 yoy% 40.12% 38.44% 20.00% 23.77% 26.17% 净利润(百万元) 193.64 127.45 162.33 220.92 296.22 增长率 yoy% 1.39% -34.18% 27.37% 36.09% 34.09% 每股收益(元) 0.92 0.61 0.77 1.05 1.41 每股现金流量 -1.14 -0.30 0.43 -0.18 0.04 净资产收益率 8.35% 5.08% 6.15% 7.72% 9.38% P/E 26.13 39.70 31.17 22.90 17.08 PEG 18.73 -1.16 1.14 0.63 0.50 P/B 2.18 2.02 1.92 1.77 1.60 备注:截 ...
数据库专题系列一:挑战与机遇并存,数据库行业渐成百家争鸣之势
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-06 12:00
中 泰 证 券 研 究 所 专 业 | 领 先 | 深 度 | 诚 信 | 证 券 研 究 报 告 | 数据库专题系列一: 挑战与机遇并存,数据库行业渐成百家争鸣之势 2024 . 9 . 6 | --- | --- | |----------------|----------------| | | | | 分析师:闻学臣 | | | 执业证书编号: | S0740519090007 | | 分析师:苏仪 | | | 执业证书编号: | S0740520060001 | 研究助理:王雪晴 Email:wangxq03@zts.com.cn 摘 要 ◼ 从全球视角来看,目前全球数据库产品数量整体分布以非关系型及混合型数据库为主;在流行程度方面,关系型数据 库占据主导地位,根据DB-engines的数据显示,Oracle、MySQL、Microsoft SQL Server稳居前三,同时随着业务的 多样化,多模数据库将成为新趋势;在市场份额方面,"云+数据库"战略成为技术发展新趋势,AWS以及微软占领市 场前二。 ◼ 从国内视角来看,我国数据库产品数量呈现以关系型为主,非关系型数据库为辅的局面;在流行程度方面, ...
大众品2024年中报总结:需求仍有压力,分化中寻找机遇
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-06 12:00
食品饮料 证券研究报告/行业季度报告 2024 年 9 月 6 日 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------| | 评级:增持( 维持 ) \n分析师:熊欣慰 \n执业证书编号: S0740519080002 | [Table_Finance] 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | 电话: 021-20315733 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Email : xiongxw@zts.com.cn | | | | | | | | | | ...
开立医疗:政策扰动下短期业绩承压,多项目高研发投入助力长期发展
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-06 06:34
开立医疗(300633.SZ)/医疗 器械 证券研究报告/公司点评 2024 年 9 月 1 日 评级:买入(维持) 分析师:祝嘉琦 市场价格:30.60 元 执业证书编号:S0740519040001 电话:021-20315150 Email:zhujq@zts.com.cn 分析师:谢木青 执业证书编号:S0740518010004 电话:021-20315895 Email:xiemq@zts.com.cn 分析师:于佳喜 执业证书编号:S0740523080002 Email:yujx03@zts.com.cn | --- | --- | |---------------------|--------| | | | | 基本状况 | | | 总股本 ( 百万股 ) | 433 | | 流通股本 ( 百万股 ) | 433 | | 市价 ( 元 ) | 30.60 | | 市值 ( 百万元 ) | 13,241 | | 流通市值 ( 百万元 ) | 13,241 | 股价与行业-市场走势对比 -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 2023-082023-092023-10202 ...
欧派家居:收入整体承压,毛利率持续提升
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-06 06:34
短期业绩承压,毛利率进一步提升 欧派家居(603833.SH)/轻工 证券研究报告/公司点评 2024 年 09 月 02 日 [Table_Industry] 分析师:张潇 执业证书编号:S0740523030001 Email:zhangxiao06@zts.com.cn 分析师:郭美鑫 执业证书编号:S0740520090002 Email:guomx@zts.com.cn 分析师:邹文婕 执业证书编号:S0740523070001 [Table_Title] 评级:买入(维持) 市场价格:44.35 元 Email:zouwj@zts.com.cn 分析师:吴思涵 执业证书编号:S0740523090002 Email:wush@zts.com.cn | --- | --- | |---------------------------|-----------| | | | | [Table_Profit] 基本状况 | | | 总股本 ( 百万股 ) | 609.15 | | 流通股本 ( 百万股 ) | 609.15 | | 市价 ( 元 ) | 44.35 | | 市值 ( 百万元 ) | 27, ...
春风动力:全地形车业务稳健发展,二轮摩托车领航破局
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-06 06:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][3] Core Views - The company's Q2 2024 performance showed steady improvement with revenue reaching 4,468 million yuan, up 23.2% YoY and 45.96% QoQ, driven by strong demand for two-wheel motorcycles both domestically and internationally [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 2024 was 431 million yuan, up 26.35% YoY and 55.40% QoQ, with a gross margin of 30.82% [2] - The company's all-terrain vehicle (ATV) business remains stable, maintaining a leading position in exports with a 71.75% market share in the industry [3] - The two-wheel motorcycle business saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 3,248 million yuan in H1 2024, up 41.95% YoY, driven by the company's focus on user-centric product development and strong performance in the domestic large-displacement motorcycle market [3] - The company's electric two-wheelers entered the high-end market with a 300% YoY revenue increase [3] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 14,500 million yuan in 2024E to 20,322 million yuan in 2026E, with a CAGR of 19.7% from 2024E to 2026E [1][3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 1,270 million yuan in 2024E to 1,942 million yuan in 2026E, with a CAGR of 23.4% [1][3] - EPS is forecasted to grow from 8.39 yuan in 2024E to 12.82 yuan in 2026E [1][3] - ROE is expected to remain stable at around 19% from 2024E to 2026E [1] Business Segments - The ATV business generated 3,532 million yuan in revenue in H1 2024, down 1.55% YoY, but maintained a strong export market share, particularly in the US and Europe [3] - The two-wheel motorcycle business achieved 3,248 million yuan in revenue in H1 2024, up 41.95% YoY, with the company leading the domestic market for motorcycles over 250cc [3] Valuation Metrics - The company's P/E ratio is expected to decline from 16.2x in 2024E to 10.6x in 2026E, indicating potential undervaluation [1] - The P/B ratio is projected to decrease from 3.2x in 2024E to 2.1x in 2026E [1] Financial Ratios - The company's gross margin is expected to remain stable at around 33% from 2024E to 2026E [5] - Net margin is forecasted to improve from 9.1% in 2024E to 10.0% in 2026E [5] - ROIC is projected to increase from 12.4% in 2024E to 13.7% in 2026E [5] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - Operating cash flow is expected to grow from 1,743 million yuan in 2024E to 2,491 million yuan in 2026E [6] - The company's total assets are projected to increase from 13,366 million yuan in 2024E to 18,448 million yuan in 2026E [5] - The debt-to-equity ratio is expected to decline from 61.9% in 2024E to 59.4% in 2026E [6]
旭升集团:下游需求阶段性承压,看好景气复苏促业绩修复
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-06 06:34
下游需求阶段性承压,看好景气复苏促业绩修复 旭升集团(603305.SH)/汽车 证券研究报告/公司点评 2024 年 9 月 4 日 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------|------------------------|------------------|----------------------------------------------------|-------------------|---------------| | [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] 评级:买入(维持) \n市场价格: 9.04 元 \n分析师:何俊艺 | [Table_Finance1] 公司盈利预测及估值 \n指标 | \n2022A | ...
【中泰电子】24Q2总结:Q2业绩亮眼,持续看好AI+国产化
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-06 06:00
证券研究报告 报告日期:2024年9月5日 【中泰电子】24Q2总结:Q2业绩亮眼,持续 看好AI+国产化 分析师: 王芳 S0740521120002,杨旭 S0740521120001,李雪峰 S0740522080004,游凡 S0740522120002,张琼 S0740523070004,王九鸿 S0740523110004,刘博文 S0740524030001 联系人:洪嘉琳 1 目 录 一、行业概述:Q2营收同环比增长,盈利持续改善 二、半导体:Q2景气度持续向上,财务数据改善显著 三、消费电子:Q2需求继续复苏,AI+有望开启新创新周期 四、PCB:AI带动产品结构调整,Q2需求修复明显 五、面板:Q2备货旺季稼动率高,Q3进一步控产价格有望恢复上涨 六:被动元件:Q2进一步复苏,盈利能力持续改善 七、投资建议&风险提示 2 1.1 行业概述:24Q2电子仓位抬升 ◼ 电子行业涨跌幅:24年以来电子(中信)指数累计下跌13%,跑输沪深300指数10%。 ◼ 年初以来电子细分板块涨跌幅(基于自选股票池计算):PCB+19%,面板-14%,消费电子-9%,被动元件-5%,LED-16%, 半导体- ...
银轮股份:业绩持续稳健兑现,第三曲线业务加速发展
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-09-06 05:30
[Table_Industry] [评Ta级ble:_T买itle入] (维持) 市场价格:16.07 元 分析师:何俊艺 执业证书编号:S0740523020004 分析师:刘欣畅 执业证书编号:S0740522120003 分析师:毛䶮玄 执业证书编号:S0740523020003 Email:hejunyi@zts.com.cn [公Ta司ble盈_F利in预anc测e1及] 估值 指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 营业收入(百万元) 8,480 11,018 13,139 16,539 19,493 增长率 yoy% 8% 30% 19% 26% 18% 净利润(百万元) 383 612 845 1,164 1,376 增长率 yoy% 74% 60% 38% 38% 18% 每股收益(元) 0.46 0.74 1.02 1.41 1.66 每股现金流量 0.67 1.11 1.55 1.97 2.31 净资产收益率 7% 10% 12% 15% 15% P/E 34.7 21.7 15.7 11.4 9.7 P/B 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.6 备注:数据统 ...