Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [3][32]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the growth logic of the energy drink industry from both macro and micro perspectives, highlighting the importance of channel strategies and operational expenses in driving market share and profitability [5][6]. - The analysis of Monster's historical performance indicates that significant increases in operational expenses often correlate with substantial profit growth in subsequent years, driven by channel transformations [5][9]. - The report suggests that Eastroc Beverage's investment in freezer displays is expected to enhance market share and sales efficiency in the long term, despite short-term cost increases [6][28]. Summary by Sections Review of Monster - Monster experienced four instances of over 50% year-on-year growth in operational expenses since 2000, with subsequent profit growth typically exceeding revenue growth [5][9]. - In 2006, Monster's market share in the U.S. energy drink market reached 23.4%, with a significant increase in sales driven by strategic partnerships and product offerings [10][17]. - By 2008, Monster surpassed Red Bull in market share, achieving a 29.2% share in convenience stores and gas stations, leading to a 93.21% increase in net profit the following year [15][20]. Eastroc Beverage - In the first half of 2025, Eastroc Beverage's sales expenses increased by 37.27% to 1.682 billion yuan, primarily due to a 61.20% rise in channel promotion expenses from freezer investments [28][29]. - The report anticipates that the freezer investments will enhance product visibility and sales efficiency, potentially increasing market share by 20-30% [31][32]. - The long-term outlook for Eastroc is positive, with expectations of improved profitability and market share through strategic channel enhancements [6][28].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.664 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 45.21%. In Q2 2025, revenue reached 3.064 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 41.15%. The demand for domestic high-end chips continues to rise, and the company is deepening collaborations with OEMs and ecosystem partners in key industries [5] - As of the end of Q2 2025, the company's contract liabilities stood at 3.091 billion yuan, indicating sustained strong downstream demand [5] - The company's gross margin in Q2 2025 was 59.33%, attributed to product structure adjustments and an increase in the proportion of new products [5] - The company is focusing on expanding its market presence and enhancing its sales team, with a sales expense ratio of 3.72% in H1 2025, up by 1.83 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 2.920 billion yuan, 4.258 billion yuan, and 5.841 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 6.012 billion yuan in 2023 to 24.443 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30% [2] - The net profit is expected to increase from 1.263 billion yuan in 2023 to 5.841 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth rate [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.54 yuan in 2023 to 2.51 yuan in 2027 [2] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 262.1 in 2023 to 56.7 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [2] Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from the accelerating growth in the intelligent computing and AI markets, with a focus on enhancing customer acquisition efficiency [5] - The company has a robust inventory level of 6.013 billion yuan as of the end of Q2 2025, ensuring sufficient supply capacity [5] - The company is leveraging its unique x86 architecture licensing and core technology to maintain a competitive edge in the general computing market [5]

债市"褪色"之后 证券研究报告/固收专题报告 2025 年 08 月 06 日 执业证书编号：S0740525060003 Email：lvpin@zts.com.cn 分析师：游勇 执业证书编号：S0740524070004 Email：youyong@zts.com.cn 1、《股债比价视角看 A 股行情的起 点与终点——负债驱动资金之二》 2025-08-05 2、《利率策略|利率窄幅修复的三条 主线》2025-08-03 3、《主动权益重返黄金时代——负 债驱动资金之一》2025-07-29 报告摘要 从六月开始，利率开始盘整震荡，基金久期逐步增加，开始酝酿 7 月份的利率下 行。 当时市场逻辑是：虽然看到 Q2 的 GDP 数据不错，但高频数据跟踪下来，依旧对经 济的成色心存疑虑。 分析师：吕品 如果再考虑经济韧性带来的政策定力，那么定下半年经济基调的 7 月政治局会议大 概率表述中性。市场将会重演往年 7 月债市易涨难跌的剧本。 相关报告 所以我们在 7 月初可以看到基金久期整体上行，同时伴随着大量的信用债类 ETF 的 扩容。 然而，基于往年剧情的老剧本并未如期展开，商品和权益市场出现了新的插曲 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The summer box office has shown improvement, with total box office exceeding 7 billion yuan, driven by the release of popular films [3] - The report highlights the potential for investment opportunities in companies related to quality film content, cinema chains, online ticketing platforms, and film copyright operations [3] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - As of August 4, 2025, the total box office for the summer season reached 70.54 billion yuan, with 186 million viewers and an average ticket price of 37.9 yuan [3] - The summer box office saw a significant increase in the second half, with total box office doubling in just two weeks due to the release of films like "Nanjing Photo Studio" and "Longan's Lychee" [3] Key Companies - Shanghai Film: Stock price at 36.39 yuan, EPS for 2023A at 0.28, PE at 128.45 [2] - Wanda Film: Stock price at 11.56 yuan, EPS for 2023A at 0.42, PE at 27.62 [2] - Hengdian Film: Stock price at 16.85 yuan, EPS for 2023A at 0.26, PE at 64.44 [2] - Maoyan Entertainment: Stock price at 7.99 yuan, EPS for 2023A at 0.79, PE at 10.11 [2] - Damai Entertainment: Stock price at 1.11 yuan, EPS for 2023A at -0.01, PE at -101.83 [2] Market Trends - The report notes that the domestic short drama market is rapidly growing, while overseas short drama revenues continue to increase [3] - The report anticipates a significant year-on-year improvement in box office performance compared to the previous summer, which had a total box office of 116.41 billion yuan [3] Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include Shanghai Film, Wanda Film, Hengdian Film, China Film, Maoyan Entertainment, Damai Entertainment, Jiecheng Co., and Zhongwen Online [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints - The extreme divergence between credit spreads and stock risk premiums led to the starting point of the current A-share valuation expansion. The current round of A-share market is driven by funds, and the logic has only reached the middle stage, with the upward trend unfinished [2]. - The fact that the risk premium has reached "mean - 1 standard deviation" does not mean the end of the market. Considering the intensity and duration of the current round of fund - driven, A - share valuations are expected to continue to expand, driving the risk premium to decline further, and the risk - compensation returns of stocks and bonds will eventually converge [2][5]. Summary by Directory 1. Historically, the stock market risk premium can stay below "mean - 1 standard deviation" for a long time - There were several historical periods when the stock market risk premium fell below "mean - 1 standard deviation", such as from December 2014 to August 2015, November 2017 to February 2018, and September 2020 to April 2021, with durations of 9 months, 2 months, and 8 months respectively. Except for the 2017 - 2018 period when the risk premium could not continue to decline due to rapid liquidity withdrawal, in other periods, it could fall to around "mean - 2 standard deviations" or even lower [3]. - These historical periods had similar macro - environments that did not support a bull market in stocks. The factors driving the significant expansion of A - share valuations were not fundamental but fund - driven, and there was no continuous expansion of corporate profits [3]. 2. In the current round of the market, the indexes have expanded to varying degrees, and there are no signs of an end - Since the beginning of the year, the stock market has priced in the decline of the risk - free rate. Different sectors have different repair progress. The repair of large - cap stocks is relatively large, with the ERP basically reaching "mean - 1 standard deviation", while the ERP of small - and medium - cap stocks is still above the historical mean [4]. - The current round of valuation expansion also starts from changes in the capital side. Since September 2024, the economic fundamentals and corporate profit growth have been weak, and the monetary policy has been relatively loose. The core factor determining the start and end of the market is the sustainability of fund - driving. The current round of fund - driven logic has only evolved to institutional - driven and allocation - driven (insurance funds taking the lead), and bank wealth management and public funds will take over in the second half of the year [4]. - With the expansion of A - share valuations, the risk premium of the Shanghai Composite Index has been below "mean - 1 standard deviation" since July 18, lasting for less than 1 month. "Mean - 1 standard deviation" cannot be a sign of the end of the market, especially since the risk premiums of some sectors are still above the mean [4]. 3. Valuation expansion space calculation under two scenario assumptions - Historically, the extreme situation of index valuation expansion is in the range of "mean - N standard deviations", where N is between 0.6 - 4.0, with a median of approximately 2.0. - Scenario 1 assumes that the stock market risk premium can fall to "mean - 2 standard deviations"; Scenario 2 assumes that it can fall to "mean - N standard deviations", where N corresponds to the lowest level previously reached by the index's ERP. - Based on these two assumptions, the ChiNext Index has the largest PE expansion space, followed by the Wind 300 (ex - banks), CSI 1000, and CSI 500. The PE expansion spaces of the SSE 50, Shanghai Composite Index, and Wind Dividend Index are relatively small, but there is still expansion space even in a conservative scenario [6][7].

【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】银行戴志锋：测算｜债券增值税新规对 上市银行影响：营收静态影响 0.4% 证券研究报告/晨会聚焦 2025 年 08 月 04 日 分析师：戴志锋 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 Email：daizf@zts.com.cn 欢迎关注中泰研究所订阅号 1、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】策略 徐驰：2025 年上半年 ETF 资金行为 复 盘 ： 政 策 驱 动 与 结 构 重 塑 》 2025-08-03 2、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】策略 徐驰：如何看待近期上游周期品价格 快速上涨？》2025-08-01 3、《【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】策略 徐驰：中共中央政治局会议或带来哪 些影响？》2025-07-30 今日预览 今日重点>> 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 【传媒互联网】康雅雯："线下体验+超级 IP"出圈，国产 IP 开启全 场景衍生宇宙-——IP 行业跟踪 【策略】徐驰：A H 股市场周度观察（8 月第 1 周） 【非银】葛玉翔：再战指数关键点位关口，复盘券商估值演绎：量能仍 是关键变量 晨报内容回顾 【银行】戴志锋：测算｜债券增值税新规对上市银行影响：营收静态影 响 0. ...

Market Overview - The market indices mostly declined, with the CSI 100 experiencing a significant drop of -2.15%[28] - The average daily trading volume of the Wind All A index decreased to 18,096.34 billion CNY, down from 18,486.97 billion CNY, indicating a historical high position at the 93.40% percentile over the past three years[43][46] Economic Policy Insights - The Politburo meeting on July 30 conveyed a more optimistic economic outlook, emphasizing "steady progress" and the need for proactive fiscal policies[11] - The meeting highlighted the importance of enhancing the attractiveness and inclusivity of the domestic capital market, focusing on long-term competitiveness rather than short-term stability[11] Sector Performance - The healthcare index and information technology index showed relative strength, with weekly gains of 2.65% and 0.71%, respectively[31] - The real estate index and energy index underperformed, with declines of -3.57% and -3.49% respectively[31] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining investment in technology sectors (AI, robotics) and utility sectors, as well as brokerage firms, reflecting a shift from cyclical to innovation-driven market dynamics[18][21]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Accumulate (Maintain)" [2][11] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of domestic IPs in creating a full-scene derivative universe, driven by offline experiences and popular IPs [6][10] - The report emphasizes the continuous high growth of short drama revenues and the integration of AI in the IP industry, indicating a robust market potential [6][10] - The report suggests a positive outlook for the IP industry, recommending attention to companies such as Pop Mart, Damai Entertainment, Shanghai Film, and others [6][10] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - The industry comprises 131 listed companies with a total market value of approximately 16,535.41 billion and a circulating market value of about 15,121.43 billion [4] Key Company Performance - Pop Mart's stock price as of August 1, 2025, is 243.2 HKD, with an expected EPS of 3.9 for 2025 [2] - Damai Entertainment and Shanghai Film show varying performance metrics, with EPS forecasts of 0.0 and 0.6 respectively for 2025 [2] Market Events - The 2025 PTS Beijing International Trend Toy Exhibition, hosted by Pop Mart, attracted over 300,000 attendees and featured interactive experiences with popular IPs [6] - The "Wang Wang Mountain Little Monster" movie premiered on August 2, 2025, achieving a box office of 71.04 million on its first day and over 100 million by the second day [6][10] Product Launches - Pop Mart launched several new products in July 2025, including various collectible figures and blind boxes, indicating a strong product pipeline [7][9]

证券研究报告 信用业务周报 7月政治局会议后市场或如何演绎？ 2025年8月4日 【市场回顾】 图表：市场表现回顾 数据来源：Wind，中泰证券研究所 2 【市场观察】7月政治局会议对市场影响几何？ 3 中泰证券研究所 分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 分析师：张文宇 执业证书编号：S0740520120003 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和重要声明 • 一、7月政治局会议对市场影响几何？ • 经济形势判断更加积极务实。7月30日中共中央政治局会议顺利召开，释放了当前和未来中国经济发 展的关键政策信号。会议明确指出，"我国经济运行稳中有进，高质量发展取得新成效，主要经济指标 表现良好，新质生产力积极发展"，展现出"强大活力和韧性"。与4月底政治局会议当时仅表示"经济呈 现向好态势"相比，本次会议措辞更为乐观自信，传达出政策层对未来经济形势向好的坚定判断。同时 ，会议在肯定成绩的同时，也客观指出当前经济运行中存在的矛盾和挑战。反映出政策层对相关风险 挑战的深刻认识，也为下半年经济工作指明了基本方法论。 • 总量政策保持定力，资本市场功能定位聚焦长期生态建设。会议重申"稳中求进"总基调，明 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for BYD is "Buy" (maintained) [3][24]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that BYD is investing 5 billion yuan to build the world's first all-terrain professional racetrack, which is expected to enhance the brand's high-end image and product capabilities [4][8]. - The sales data for July shows strong performance for high-end brands, with Tengshi selling 11,375 units, Fangchengbao 14,180 units, and Yangwang 339 units, indicating a positive growth trend [4]. - The report highlights the technical capabilities of BYD's high-end models, showcasing their performance in various driving conditions during test drives at the racetrack [5][9]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for BYD are as follows: 602,315 million yuan in 2023, 777,102 million yuan in 2024, and expected to reach 905,668 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 42%, 29%, and 17% respectively [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 30,041 million yuan in 2023, 40,254 million yuan in 2024, and 52,233 million yuan in 2025, reflecting growth rates of 81%, 34%, and 30% respectively [3]. - Earnings per share are projected to increase from 3.29 yuan in 2023 to 5.73 yuan in 2025 [3]. Product Performance - The Tengshi N9 demonstrated superior maneuverability and stability during the slalom test, with a minimum turning radius of only 4.65 meters, outperforming many competitors [5][9]. - The Tengshi Z9 GT showcased impressive braking performance, achieving a maximum braking distance of 32.6 meters from 100 km/h, indicating strong safety features [9][16]. - The Yangwang U8 exhibited advanced off-road capabilities, including a unique water-sealing design that allows it to operate effectively in deep water conditions [13][16]. Strategic Insights - The report discusses the importance of high-end branding for BYD, drawing parallels with Toyota's Lexus strategy, emphasizing the need for high performance, comfort, and competitive pricing to succeed in the premium market [5][9]. - The ongoing development of new models like the Titanium 7 and N8L is expected to further enhance the sales of BYD's high-end brands [4][5].