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食品饮料行业周思考(第15周):假期旅游数据向好,白酒淡季紧抓确定性
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-07 16:00
、 假期旅游数据向好,白酒淡季紧抓确定性 -周思考(第15周) 食品饮料 证券研究报告/行业周报 2024年4月7日 评级:增持(维持) [重Ta点bl公e_司Fi基na本nc状e]况 分析师:范劲松 股价(元) EPS PE 简称 PEG 评级 执业证书编号:S0740517030001 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 贵州茅台 1715.11 49.9 58.2 68.28 78.37 34.3 29.46 25.12 21.88 1.82 买入 电话:021-20315138 五粮液 154.60 6.38 8 7.17 5 8.89 10.07 225. 4 19.95 17.39 15.35 1.47 买入 Email:fanjs@zts.com.cn 燕京啤酒 9.40 0.12 0.21 0.34 0.44 787. 3 44.76 27.65 21.36 0.83 买入 分析师:晏诗雨 山西汾酒 253.68 2.55 8.42 10.35 12.31 99 3. 4 30.13 24.51 20.61 0.44 买入 执业证书编号: ...
电子行业周报:三星上调存储产品SSD报价,关注AI带来的增量需求
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-07 16:00
、 三星上调存储产品 SSD 报价,关注 AI 带来的增量需求 电子 证券研究报告/行业周报 2024年4月6日 评级:增持(维持) 重点公司基本状况 分析师:王芳 股价 EPS PE PEG 简称 评级 执业证书编号:S0740521120002 (元) 2021A 2022A 2023E 2024E 2021A 2022A 2023E 2024E (2024E) 寒武纪-U 162 -2.1 -3.1 -2.0 -1.3 -79 -52 -81 -121 - NA Email:wangfang02@zts.com.cn 工业富联 22 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.6 22 22 18 14 0.6 买入 分析师:杨旭 华勤技术 77 2.9 3.9 3.7 4.1 26 20 21 19 1.8 买入 执业证书编号:S0740521120001 德明利 134 1.6 0.8 0.2 3.3 82 160 607 40 0.4 NA 香农芯创 42 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 79 57 54 43 2.1 买入 Email:yangxu01@zts.com.cn 备注:股价为2024年4月6日收盘价 ...
轻工制造及纺织服装行业周报:浆价上行推荐太阳纸业,品牌服饰关注安踏
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-07 16:00
、 浆价上行推荐太阳纸业,品牌服饰关注安踏 -轻工制造及纺织服装行业周报 轻工纺服 证券研究报告/行业周报 2024年4月7日 评级:增持(维持) [重Ta点bl公e_司Fin基an本ce状] 况 分析师:张潇 股价 EPS PE 简称 PEG 评级 执业证书编号:S0740523030001 (元) 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 百亚股份 17.13 0.44 0.55 0.70 0.89 38.93 31.15 24.47 19.25 1.34 买入 Email:zhangxiao06@zts.com.cn 欧派家居 67.75 4.41 5.08 5.87 6.73 15.36 13.34 11.54 10.07 0.84 买入 分析师:郭美鑫 顾家家居 38.08 2.20 2.52 2.93 3.41 17.31 15.11 13.00 11.17 0.99 买入 执业证书编号:S0740520090002 索菲亚 15.90 1.17 1.47 1.72 2.00 13.59 10.82 9.24 7.95 0.42 买入 志邦家居 1 ...
通信行业周报:中移动管理交换机集采开标,海外巨头持续加码AI
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-07 16:00
、 中移动管理交换机集采开标,海外巨头持续加码AI -中泰通信行业周报(0401-0407) 通信 证券研究报告/行业周报 2024年4月7日 评级:增持(维持) [重Ta点ble公_F司in基anc本e]状 况 分析师:陈宁玉 股价 EPS PE 简称 PEG 评级 执业证书编号:S0740517020004 (元) 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 2022 2023E 2024E 2025E 菲菱科思 84.11 2.82 2.48 4.62 5.80 29.83 33.92 18.21 14.50 1.07 买入 电话:021-20315728 中际旭创 156.1 1.52 2.52 5.01 6.89 102.70 61.94 31.16 22.66 1.26 买入 Email:chenny@zts.com.cn 天孚通信 153.6 1.02 1.78 3.07 4.11 150.59 86.29 50.03 37.37 2.05 买入 研究助理:杨雷 润泽科技 26.53 0.70 1.04 1.35 1.87 37.90 25.51 19.65 14.19 0.97 买入 源杰科 ...
中泰证券【中泰研究丨晨会聚焦】策略徐驰:“新质生产力”有哪些投资机遇?
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-07 16:00
[b_Suy 今日预览 今日重点>> 【策略】徐驰:"新质生产力"有哪些投资机遇? 晨报内容回顾: 【地产】由子沛:房地产行业 2024 年 3 月销售数据点评:销售显著下滑,各 地持续放松调控政策 今日重点 ►【策略】徐驰:"新质生产力"有哪些投资机遇? 徐驰|中泰策略首席 S0740519080003 一、大国竞争视角,培育新质生产力的战略意义:当前新一轮科技革命和产业变革深入推进,世界 产业分工格局正处于深刻变革与调整中。新的国际产业发展环境和竞争态势要求我国抓住新一轮科 技革命和产业革命重塑全球经济结构的机遇,加快产业转型升级,力争形成系统完整、逻辑严密的 长期产业发展框架,发展新质生产力,推动传统制造业升级,加快构建现代化产业体系,为制造强 国建设提供新引擎,提高我国的国际竞争力。 二、新质生产力是构建现代化产业体系中重要推动力。新质生产力服务于推动生产力发展水平的跃 升。新质生产力以新技术新应用为主要特征,以新产业新业态为主要支撑,指明了我国经济高质量 发展的重要着力点,意味着我们要更快摆脱对传统增长路径的依赖,依靠科技创新驱动产业变革, 提高全要素生产率,有利于建设现代化产业体系,推动中国经济实 ...
详解中国银行2023年报:业绩优异;手续费正增;资产质量稳健


ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-07 16:00
Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious investment rating for the company, with a focus on maintaining attention due to its high dividend yield and low valuation [4][24]. Core Insights - The company's performance in 2023 was strong, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 3.7% and a net profit increase of 2.4% [4][9]. - The bank achieved a net fee income growth of 5.3%, driven by improvements in remittance, settlement, and custody services, despite a decline in agency services [4][17]. - Asset quality remained stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.27% and a provision coverage ratio that increased year-on-year [4][22]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 was 584,236 million, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [4]. - Net profit reached 231,904 million, reflecting a 2.4% increase compared to the previous year [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 was 0.76, with a projected EPS of 0.77 for 2024 [4]. Asset and Liability Management - Total assets increased by 13.7% year-on-year, with loans growing by 13.7% and deposits by 13.4% [4][11]. - The bank's loan-to-deposit ratio was stable, with a focus on corporate loans, which accounted for 91.6% of new loans [12][16]. - The proportion of corporate loans in total loans increased to 35.9%, while the share of real estate loans decreased to 7.4% [16][22]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income grew by 13.3% year-on-year, with net fee income contributing positively [4][18]. - The bank's net fee income was 78,865 million in 2023, with expectations for continued growth in the coming years [25]. Future Outlook - The forecast for net profit in 2024 and 2025 is adjusted to 2,319 million and 2,346 million, respectively [24]. - The bank is expected to maintain a strong capital position, with a core Tier 1 capital ratio that has improved [21].
持续加强先进封装材料研发验证,GMC、底填胶等有望放量
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-07 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, expecting a relative increase of over 15% in stock price compared to the benchmark index over the next 6 to 12 months [13]. Core Insights - The company has shown resilience in a challenging market, with a slight revenue decline of 6.7% year-on-year in 2023, achieving approximately 283 million in revenue [11][12]. - The net profit for 2023 was approximately 31.64 million, reflecting a significant year-on-year decrease of 23.26% [11]. - The company is focusing on advanced packaging materials, with products like GMC and bottom filling glue expected to see increased production [11][12]. - The report highlights the company's strong R&D efforts, particularly in advanced packaging, which is anticipated to drive future growth [11]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 was approximately 283 million, with a projected increase to 345 million in 2024, representing a growth rate of 22% [11]. - The net profit is expected to recover to approximately 51.78 million in 2024, indicating a growth rate of 64% compared to 2023 [11]. - The gross margin for 2023 was reported at 26.88%, with a slight decrease of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year [11]. - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 1,230 million in 2023 to 1,320 million in 2024 [16]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a leader in epoxy encapsulation materials in China, with a focus on high-barrier and difficult-to-validate advanced packaging products, which are expected to provide growth elasticity and scarcity in the market [11].
3月经济数据前瞻:一季度GDP增速预计5.5
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-07 16:00
一季度 GDP 增速预计 5.5——3 月经济数据前瞻 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | 一、工业: 高基数下工增增速预计回落 . | | 二、围投: 基建、地产预计走强… | | 三、社零: 服务业、汽车零售恢复较快 . | | 四、外贸:预计出口回落、进口回升 | | 五、勒价: 预计 PPI 持平、CPI 增速放缓 | | 六、金融: 信贷、社融预计同比少增 | | 七、GDP: 基数正常化,一季度约 5.5%……………………………………………………………………………………………………- 14 - | - 2 - 证券研究报告/固定收益点评 2024 年 4 月 7 日 固定收益点评 图表目录 2024 年 3 月份开工率涨跌互现,其中 247 家高炉开工率由月初 75.2% 升至月末 76.6%,PTA 开工率由月初 73.7%降至月末 68.5%,共同点在 于 2023 年同期开工率绝对水平和增长斜率均较快, ...
关联方持续修复,第三方增长承压
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-06 16:00
关联方持续修复,第三方增长承压 颐海国际(1579.HK)/食品 证券研究报告/公司点评 2024年4月5日 加工 [Table_Industry] [评Ta级ble:_T买itle入] (维持) [公Ta司ble盈_F利in预anc测e]及 估值 市场价格:15.22 港元 指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 营业收入(百万元) 6,163 6,156 7,034 7,841 8,582 分析师:范劲松 增长率yoy% 3% 0% 14% 11% 9% 执业证书编号:S0740517030001 净利润(百万元) 742 853 994 1,105 1,211 电话:021-20315733 增长率yoy% -3% 15% 17% 11% 10% 每股收益(元) 0.72 0.82 0.96 1.07 1.17 Email:fanjs@zts.com.cn 每股现金流量 1.23 1.33 0.97 1.25 1.26 分析师:熊欣慰 净资产收益率 18% 19% 19% 18% 18% 执业证书编号:S0740519080002 P/E 19.3 16.8 14.4 12.9 ...
业绩超预期,龙年稳增长
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-04-06 16:00
请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 - 3 - | --- | --- | --- | |----------|-------|--------------------------------------------------------------| | | | 评级 说明 | | | 买入 | 预期未来 6~12 个月内相对同期基准指数涨幅在 15% 以上 | | | 增持 | 预期未来 6~12 个月内相对同期基准指数涨幅在 5%~15% 之间 | | 股票评级 | 持有 | 预期未来 6~12 个月内相对同期基准指数涨幅在 -10%~+5% 之间 | | | 减持 | 预期未来 6~12 个月内相对同期基准指数跌幅在 10% 以上 | | | 增持 | 预期未来 6~12 个月内对同期基准指数涨幅在 10% 以上 | | 行业评级 | 中性 | 预期未来 6~12 个月内对同期基准指数涨幅在 -10%~+10% 之间 | | | 减持 | 预期未来 6~12 个月内对同期基准指数跌幅在 10% 以上 | 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 - 4 - 公司点评 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。在任何情况下,本公 ...