Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant investment activities in Xinjiang by central enterprises, with over 130 billion yuan expected to be invested in 54 projects across various sectors including energy and new energy storage [4][16]. - The first cross-regional green electricity transaction in China has been successfully completed, marking a milestone in the construction of a unified national electricity market [5][21]. - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has issued guidelines to promote voluntary disclosure of greenhouse gas emissions by enterprises, aiming to enhance the green transition and international cooperation [25][26]. Summary by Sections Market Review - From March 10 to March 14, the environmental, gas, water, and electricity sectors saw increases of 2.63%, 2.22%, 2.17%, and 1.80% respectively, while the CSI 300 index rose by 1.59% [3][10]. Industry Perspectives - **Investment in Xinjiang**: Central enterprises are heavily investing in Xinjiang, with projects covering energy, new energy storage, and equipment manufacturing, driven by the region's resource advantages and government support [4][16][17]. - **Green Electricity Trading**: The successful completion of the first cross-regional green electricity transaction involved 52.7 million kilowatt-hours, with wind power accounting for 78% and solar power for 22% of the total [5][21][22]. - **Voluntary Emission Disclosure**: The new guidelines aim to establish a comprehensive framework for voluntary greenhouse gas disclosure by 2027, promoting proactive climate responsibility among enterprises [25][26]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on various sectors: for thermal power, it recommends Jiangsu Guoxin and cautiously suggests Sheneng Shares and Zhejiang Energy; for nuclear power, it recommends China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power; for hydropower, it recommends Yangtze Power and cautiously suggests Huaneng Hydropower [6].

公 华福证券 运动服装 2025 年 03 月 14 日 司 研 究 公 司 财 报 点 361 度（01361.HK） 24 年业绩点评：全年派息比例提高，超品新店型 放量可期 事件：公司于 3.12 发布 24 年业绩，全年实现收入 100.7 亿元，同比+19.6%， 实现权益持有人应占溢利 11.5 亿元，同比+19.5%，业绩符合预期。公司派 发末期股息 10 港仙/股，全年派息比例为 45%，同比提升 4.8Pct。 经营分析： 技术赋能专业运动品类，童装延续亮眼表现 评 成人装中鞋/服于 2024 年分别实现营收 42.9/30.9 亿元，同比 +22%/15%，主要得益于量增拉动。公司持续夯实专业运动领域实力， 跑步品类加强对材料创新探索，推出飚速 2 等专业竞速碳板跑鞋强化 专业实力，并赞助多项马拉松赛事；篮球品类布局约基奇等核心球星 资源，期间 JOKER 1 全球首发带动品牌加速国际化进程。 童装 2024 年营收同增 19.5%至 23.4 亿元，其中鞋/服分别同比 +18%/23%，随着童装业务推出结合专业功能、健康科技以及儿童时尚 元素的产品满足青少年多元化需求，鞋服产品均呈现高景 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights that the restructuring of the global landscape in the AI era is expected to propel China into the ranks of high-income countries, driving long-term expansion in high-quality consumption and service industries [2][3] - China's globally competitive output system is anticipated to lead the current technological revolution and foster domestic consumption prosperity over the long term [3][4] - The structural reversal of high inflation in the US service sector and low inflation in goods, combined with economic recovery in Europe and China, is likely to usher in a prolonged upward cycle for global manufacturing [3][4] Group 2 - The report indicates a high market sentiment of "East Rising, West Falling," emphasizing the need to focus on the realization of fundamentals [4][43] - Short-term growth industries continue to show high-low cuts, with military industry being a focus, while mid-term preferences lean towards cyclical dividend assets, particularly in electrolytic aluminum, high-quality consumption, and service consumption [4][43] - Long-term prospects are favorable for the AI application industry chain and related Chinese advantages, including scarce manufacturing capabilities, with a positive outlook on Hong Kong stocks, central state-owned enterprises, leading advanced semiconductor firms, traditional manufacturing leaders, the Belt and Road Initiative, and military industry [4][43] Group 3 - The report notes that the US inflation structure may benefit the recovery of global manufacturing, with February's US CPI inflation unexpectedly falling to 2.8% year-on-year, compared to an expected 2.9% [9] - The report also mentions that the Hong Kong stock market saw a decline, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping by 2.59% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index falling by 0.4% [14] - In the A-share market, the report indicates a divergence in performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.39% while the Sci-Tech 50 Index fell by 1.76% [20]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the market is experiencing an upward trend, with the overall A-share market rising by 1.49%. The leading sectors include consumption and financial real estate, while technology is experiencing a downturn [2][11]. - The report highlights that the stock-bond yield spread has decreased to 1.3%, which is below the +1 standard deviation, indicating a decline in valuation differentiation [3][19]. - The report notes that the market sentiment has adjusted, with a decrease in industry rotation intensity, and the five-dimensional market sentiment index has dropped by 5.8% to 47.9 [3][21]. Group 2 - The report discusses the introduction of a childcare subsidy in Hohhot, which is expected to boost birth rates and consumer spending in the maternal and infant product sectors [4][40]. - Manus has announced a strategic partnership with Alibaba's Tongyi Qianwen team, which is expected to accelerate the commercialization of AI Agent technologies [4][41]. - The upcoming NVIDIA GTC conference is anticipated to showcase new products and technologies, which may positively impact NVIDIA's supply chain [4][42]. Group 3 - The report suggests a focus on cyclical sectors, emerging consumption, and low-positioned technology as the market enters a phase of style rebalancing [5][45]. - It emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand, particularly in new retail, e-commerce, and IP industries, to drive incremental consumer demand [5][45]. - The report highlights the potential for mergers and acquisitions, debt reduction, and sustained demand growth as key areas of focus for medium to long-term investment strategies [5][46].

T Table_First|Table_Summary 华福证券 固收定期研究 2025 年 3 月 16 日 美 CPI 数据出炉，降息预期交易较弱 ——海外宏观周报 ➢ 利率：美国CPI走弱但对债市刺激有限。 【美债】本周（20250308-20250314）周三，美国CPI数据公布，2 月CPI同比增长2.8%，预估为2.9%，前值为3%；核心 CPI当月上涨 0.2%，同比上涨 3.1%，低于预期的月度涨幅 0.3% 和年度涨幅 3.2%。但本次温和通胀数据对债市刺激作用小于预期，当日，10年 期国债利率在短暂下行再次回到消息前水平，股市走势亦大致相似， 短暂反弹后午后重新走低。这意味着投资者对贸易战的担忧要更有持 续性，高频数据受其滞后性对交易的推动作用进一步弱化，后续应更 侧重于对关税边际变动的交易。【英国10年期国债】利率上升 14.65bp，欧洲主要经济体仍延续上周抛售格局，德法债券长升短 降，降息预期持续，曲线继续走陡。 ➢ 权益： 主要经济体周五均有所反弹，或受左侧布局美股资金扰动。 关税反复下【美股】几乎全周下跌，11日在特朗普在社交媒体上称， 将对加拿大进口的钢铝产品加征25%关税，令 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the market is experiencing an upward trend, with the overall A-share market rising by 1.49%. The leading sectors include consumption and financial real estate, while technology is experiencing a downturn [2][11]. - The report highlights that the stock-bond yield spread has decreased to 1.3%, which is below the +1 standard deviation, indicating a decline in valuation differentiation [3][19]. - The report notes that market sentiment has adjusted, with a decrease in industry rotation intensity, and the five-dimensional market sentiment index has dropped by 5.8% to 47.9 [3][21]. Group 2 - The report discusses the introduction of a childcare subsidy in Hohhot, which is expected to boost birth rates and consumer spending in the maternal and infant product sectors [4][40]. - The report mentions that Manus has announced a strategic partnership with Alibaba's Tongyi Qianwen team, which is expected to accelerate the commercialization of AI technologies [4][41]. - The report emphasizes the upcoming NVIDIA GTC conference, where new products and technologies are anticipated, potentially impacting NVIDIA's supply chain positively [4][42]. Group 3 - The report suggests a focus on cyclical sectors, emerging consumption, and low-positioned technology as the market enters a phase of style rebalancing [5][45]. - It highlights the importance of expanding domestic demand, particularly in new retail, e-commerce, and IP industries, to drive incremental consumer demand [5][45]. - The report advises attention to mergers and acquisitions, debt reduction, sustained demand growth, and certainty in growth as key long-term investment directions [5][46].

投资要点： 近期观点 1、 AI 时代全球化格局重构有望推动中国跻身高收入国家行列， 并长期推动高品质消费和服务业消费扩张。 略 定 期 2、 中国拥有全球竞争优势的产出体系将引领本轮科技革命并长 期推动国内消费走向繁荣。 3、 美国服务业高通胀和商品低通胀的结构逆转，叠加欧洲和中 国经济复苏，全球制造业有望进入较长上升周期。 4、 美国逆全球化经济政策或将长期推动商品通胀，中短期注意 美国经济失速风险。 报 告 5、 当前"东升西落"的市场情绪较高，重点关注基本面兑现情 况。 策 略 研 究 策 华福证券 2025 年 03 月 16 日 关注情绪与基本面的分歧——产业经济周观点 团队成员 6、 短期成长行业延续高低切可关注军工，中期结构上更倾向顺 周期红利资产，看好电解铝，高品质消费和服务消费。港股价值板块 估值有望重估。 7、 长期看好 AI 应用产业链链长及相关中国优势和稀缺制造能 力。长期看好港股央国企恒生科技和消费，先进半导体龙头，传统制 造业龙头，一带一路，军工。 分析师： 李浩(S0210524050003) lh30530@hfzq.com.cn 分析师： 李刘魁(S021052405000 ...

行 业 研 究 华福证券 农林牧渔 2025 年 03 月 16 日 白鸡出栏"断档" ，短期价格上行 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 生猪养殖：猪价震荡运行，2 月三方能繁环比转负/缓增。1）上周猪价 震荡上调。上旬养殖企业出栏节奏相对平缓，散户低价惜售，供应压力相 对缓和，猪价小幅上调，3 月 14 日全国生猪均价为 14.57 元/公斤，周环比 +0.12 元/公斤。2）冻品库存率继续回升。当前处于猪肉消费淡季，短期消 费端缺乏明显利好。上周样本屠企日均宰杀量为14.52万头，周环比+3.26%。 冻品市场方面，冻品出库缓慢，同时终端需求疲软导致分割品被动入库的 现象存在，冻品库存率继续上升。上周行业冻品库存率达 16.06%，周环比 +0.48pct。3）生猪均重继续回升。上周肥标价差高位回落，175/200 公斤生 猪与标猪价差 0.80/1.61 元/斤，周环比-0.16/-0.19 元/斤。市场大猪出栏积极 性提升，均重继续上移。上周生猪出栏均重 127.92kg，周环比+0.86kg。展 望后市，卓创/钢联样本企业 3 月出栏计划环比+13%/+11%，出栏继续增长， 叠加生猪均重上行，供 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% within the next six months [7][24]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 10.07 billion RMB for the fiscal year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.6%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.15 billion RMB, also up by 19.5%, meeting expectations [2][7]. - The company increased its dividend payout ratio to 45%, up by 4.8 percentage points year-on-year, signaling confidence in its financial health [2]. Financial Performance - The adult apparel segment generated revenues of 4.29 billion RMB and 3.09 billion RMB for footwear and apparel respectively in 2024, with growth rates of 22% and 15% year-on-year, driven by increased sales volume [4]. - The children's apparel segment saw a revenue increase of 19.5% to 2.34 billion RMB, with footwear and apparel growing by 18% and 23% respectively, indicating strong market demand [4]. - The company's gross margin improved by 0.4 percentage points to 41.5% in 2024, supported by effective cost control and pricing strategies [6]. Operational Insights - As of the end of 2024, the company operated 5,750 adult apparel stores and 2,548 children's apparel stores, with a 10% increase in sales for both segments in Q3 and Q4 [5]. - The company has introduced innovative retail formats, including 10th generation and super stores, which are expected to enhance brand image and inventory management [5]. - E-commerce revenue reached 2.61 billion RMB in 2024, growing by 12.2% year-on-year, with online exclusive products accounting for 83.6% of sales [5]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.30 billion RMB, 1.50 billion RMB, and 1.72 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 13%, 15%, and 15% [7][13]. - The current stock price corresponds to a 7x price-to-earnings ratio for 2025, reinforcing the "Buy" rating [7].

美 CPI 数据出炉，降息预期交易较弱 T Table_First|Table_Summary 华福证券 固收定期研究 2025 年 3 月 16 日 ——海外宏观周报 ➢ 利率：美国CPI走弱但对债市刺激有限。 【美债】本周（20250308-20250314）周三，美国CPI数据公布，2 月CPI同比增长2.8%，预估为2.9%，前值为3%；核心 CPI当月上涨 0.2%，同比上涨 3.1%，低于预期的月度涨幅 0.3% 和年度涨幅 3.2%。但本次温和通胀数据对债市刺激作用小于预期，当日，10年 期国债利率在短暂下行再次回到消息前水平，股市走势亦大致相似， 短暂反弹后午后重新走低。这意味着投资者对贸易战的担忧要更有持 续性，高频数据受其滞后性对交易的推动作用进一步弱化，后续应更 侧重于对关税边际变动的交易。【英国10年期国债】利率上升 14.65bp，欧洲主要经济体仍延续上周抛售格局，德法债券长升短 降，降息预期持续，曲线继续走陡。 ➢ 权益： 主要经济体周五均有所反弹，或受左侧布局美股资金扰动。 关税反复下【美股】几乎全周下跌，11日在特朗普在社交媒体上称， 将对加拿大进口的钢铝产品加征25%关税，令 ...