Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong rating for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [5]. Core Insights - The chemical sector has shown resilience with the CITIC Basic Chemical Index rising by 5.73% and the Shenwan Chemical Index increasing by 7.29% this week [13][16]. - Key sub-industries such as soda ash, chlor-alkali, and dyeing chemicals have experienced significant price increases, with soda ash rising by 13.3% [16]. - The report highlights the competitive strength of domestic tire manufacturers and suggests focusing on companies like Sailun Tire and Linglong Tire as potential growth opportunities [4]. - The polyurethane project by Huide Technology, with an annual production capacity of 600,000 tons, has commenced, indicating strategic growth in the new materials sector [3]. - The report emphasizes the tightening supply-demand dynamics in the phosphate chemical sector due to environmental regulations and increasing demand from the new energy sector [4]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.84%, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.34% [13]. - The overall performance of the chemical sector is positive, with notable gains in various sub-industries [16]. Key Sub-Industry Developments - **Polyurethane**: The price of pure MDI in East China is reported at 17,600 RMB/ton, showing a week-on-week decline of 1.12% [28]. - **Tires**: The operating load for all-steel tires in Shandong is at 62.70%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.70% [49]. - **Fertilizers**: Urea prices are at 1,757.45 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.4% [63]. - **Vitamins**: The price of Vitamin A is reported at 61.5 RMB/kg, down 1.6% week-on-week [79]. Investment Themes - **Tire Sector**: Domestic tire companies are positioned strongly, with a focus on growth stocks [4]. - **Consumer Electronics**: Recovery in demand is anticipated, benefiting upstream material companies [4]. - **Phosphate Chemicals**: Supply constraints due to environmental policies are expected to tighten the market [4]. - **Vitamin Supply**: Supply disruptions in Vitamin A and E are noted, creating potential investment opportunities [4].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints - Despite large tax outflows in January and limited central bank injections, the funds remained loose. The influence of factors such as residents' foreign exchange settlement on the funds is likely limited, and the changes in exogenous disturbances and central bank injections can roughly explain the fluctuations in funds [5][37]. - Historically, there have been cases where funds remained loose under low excess reserve ratios. The central bank can maintain loose funds through open market operations or guiding bank lending. The current funds situation does not require excessive concern [42]. - Next week, the funds will face significant exogenous disturbances, especially a concentrated impact on Monday. However, considering the central bank's clear attitude of protecting the funds, it is expected that the funds rate will not continue to rise significantly compared to this week [11][68]. Summary by Relevant Catalog 1. Money Market 1.1 This Week's Funds Review - This week, the OMO had a net injection of 22.95 billion yuan. On Friday, there was a 150 - billion - yuan treasury cash deposit due, and the central bank conducted a 900 - billion - yuan 1 - year MLF operation, exceeding the monthly maturity by 700 billion yuan. After the MLF operation, DR001 fell back below 1.4% [3][18]. - The trading volume of pledged repurchase decreased slightly, and the overall scale fluctuated downward. The net lending of large - scale banks declined, while that of non - bank institutions' rigid lending first decreased and then increased [4][26]. - The cross - month progress of inter - bank institutions in January was slow, and the exchange - market cross - month progress was at the lowest level in the same period in recent years [32]. 1.2 Next Week's Funds Outlook - Next week, government bond net payment is expected to rise to 515 billion yuan, with 7 - day reverse repurchase maturities totaling 1181 billion yuan and 200 billion yuan of MLF maturing on Monday. The 26th is the reserve payment day [11][45][68]. - In January 2026, the government bond issuance scale was 2.08 trillion yuan, with a net financing scale of 1.18 trillion yuan, lower than expected. It is estimated that the government bond issuance scales in February and March will be 2.12 trillion and 2.63 trillion yuan respectively, with net financing scales of 1.36 trillion and 1.13 trillion yuan [56][62]. 2. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - This week, the 1Y Shibor rate declined by 0.6BP, and the 1 - year AAA - rated inter - bank certificate of deposit secondary rate declined by 3.0BP [69]. - The issuance scale of inter - bank certificates of deposit increased while the maturity scale decreased, with a net repayment scale of 9.06 billion yuan, a decrease of 19.04 billion yuan from last week. The issuance success rates of various banks increased, and the issuance spread between city commercial banks and joint - stock banks for 1Y certificates of deposit widened [74][75]. - The willingness of money market funds to reduce holdings of certificates of deposit in the secondary market continued to rise, while the willingness of other institutions to increase holdings in the primary market decreased. The relative strength index of certificates of deposit continued to decline seasonally [85]. 3. Bill Market This week, bill rates fluctuated within a narrow range. The 3 - month bill rate of state - owned and joint - stock banks increased by 2BP to 1.45%, and the 6 - month bill rate remained unchanged at 1.13% [93]. 4. Bond Trading Sentiment Tracking - Last week, the bond market recovered, the interest rate curve steeply declined, and the credit spreads of 3 - 7Y bonds were compressed across the board. Large banks tended to reduce their bond holdings overall [13][96]. - Trading - type institutions generally tended to increase their bond holdings, while the willingness of allocation - type institutions to increase their bond holdings decreased significantly [96].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [8][16]. Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the commercial aerospace sector, particularly highlighting opportunities in inter-satellite laser communication and mobile direct satellite connections [2][3]. - The successful recovery of reusable rockets in China is anticipated to lower launch costs, marking a pivotal point for accelerated industry development in 2026 [3]. - Inter-satellite laser communication is expected to enhance bandwidth by ten to nearly a thousand times compared to microwave communication, addressing engineering challenges related to energy and space on satellites, thus becoming a key technology for future integrated networks [3]. - The mobile direct satellite connection is seen as a crucial application for 6G communication, with major companies like Apple and Huawei already launching satellite communication-enabled phones, suggesting a significant improvement in user experience and industry growth [4]. Summary by Sections Commercial Aerospace - The report emphasizes the rapid progress in the commercial aerospace industry, particularly with the IPO process of key companies like Blue Arrow Aerospace, which has exceeded expectations [3]. - The focus on inter-satellite laser communication is highlighted as a core module for future satellites, driving the industry's growth [3]. Mobile Direct Satellite Communication - The integration of mobile direct satellite connections is projected to lead the development of 6G communication, with existing products from major tech companies enhancing the user experience [4]. Semiconductor and Storage - The report notes a continuous increase in storage prices, with DRAM contract prices expected to rise by 55%-60% in Q1 2026, indicating a positive outlook for the storage sector [5]. - The performance release in the storage sector is expected to occur in three phases: price increases benefiting module manufacturers, followed by equipment orders driven by capacity expansion, and finally, increased material usage due to higher operational rates [5]. - The report suggests investment opportunities in storage materials and equipment, particularly in the context of domestic manufacturers expanding their production capabilities [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in inter-satellite laser communication and mobile direct satellite communication, as well as those in the semiconductor sector, particularly in materials and equipment [6].

Economic Indicators - In the fourth week of January, the average new home sales in 42 cities improved from a year-on-year decline of -25.6% to -22.5%[3] - The year-on-year sales of second-hand homes in 19 cities turned positive at 13.1%, improving from a previous decline of -27.7%[3] - The average wholesale price index for agricultural products increased, with pork prices rising by 2.4% month-on-month[26] Consumer Behavior - Movie box office revenue decreased to approximately 280 million yuan, with a year-on-year decline of -23.1%[36] - The average daily visitor count at Shanghai Disneyland rose to 54,000, but the year-on-year growth turned negative at -10.8%[39] - The average daily coal consumption of six major power generation groups increased by 6.7% year-on-year, driven by colder weather in northern regions[105] Industrial Production - The operating rate of semi-steel tires remained high, while the production growth rate of sample steel mills turned positive[5] - The PTA industry chain saw most product prices rise, although the load rates generally declined[51] - The steel production growth rate for sample steel mills turned positive at 0.3% year-on-year, with inventory levels recovering[57] Transportation and Logistics - The container throughput at key ports showed a year-on-year decline, while the overall cargo throughput increased[94] - Domestic flight operations increased, indicating a recovery in air travel demand[99]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [15]. Core Insights - Rolls-Royce SMR collaborates with Skanska to advance the prototype development of seismic bearings, which will be installed beneath the reactor building to ensure structural safety and functional integrity. This project aims to validate seismic technology and modular construction methods, thereby reducing the risks associated with fleet deployment. The 470 MW small modular reactor (SMR) has 90% of its components prefabricated in factories, and the standardized seismic bearing design has passed multiple seismic profile pre-certifications, allowing for global deployment without the need for customized redesigns [4]. - X-energy has signed a ten-year framework agreement with SGL Carbon to secure the supply of graphite materials necessary for the deployment of the Xe-100 small modular reactor. This agreement covers component support for the first four-unit project at the Seadrift site in Texas and capacity reservation for 12 units in Washington state. The Xe-100 is based on high-temperature gas-cooled reactor technology, with graphite being a critical component [5]. - The small modular reactor (SMR) is seen as a key solution to meet the growing energy demands of artificial intelligence (AI). Tech giants are collaborating with SMR and nuclear fusion companies to create tailored energy solutions for data centers. The commercialization of fission is expected to occur earlier than fusion. Domestic company Jingye Intelligent is advancing its key technology development for SMR, with a clear technical route and an initial core R&D team established [6]. Company Summaries - Jingye Intelligent plans to establish a subsidiary, Jinghan Energy, focusing on power supply for AI data centers [6]. - Jiadian Co., Ltd. produces the main helium fan, which is the only power device in the primary circuit of fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactors, and its subsidiary, Harbin Electric Machinery, leads in nuclear main pump products within the nuclear power business segment [6]. - Guoguang Electric's filter and cladding systems are key components of the ITER project [6]. - Lansi Heavy Industry covers upstream nuclear fuel systems, midstream nuclear power plant equipment, and downstream spent fuel reprocessing [6]. - Kexin Electromechanical has manufactured high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products, achieving import substitution for new fuel transport containers [6]. - Haili Heavy Industry services third and fourth-generation reactors as well as thermonuclear fusion reactors (ITER) [6]. - Jiangsu Shentong has secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and nuclear-grade ball valves for newly constructed nuclear power projects in China [6].

行 华福证券 机械设备 2026 年 01 月 25 日 业 研 究 机械设备 马斯克力推 Optimus，2027 年底拟向公众开售 行 业 定 特斯拉 CEO 马斯克将发展重心投向 Optimus 人形机器人，旨在推 动公司转型为估值 25 万亿美元的机器人企业，该业务价值预计将远超 现有汽车业务。这一战略布局也是其千亿薪资方案的核心，彰显了对 机器人赛道未来潜力的坚定信心。 定下宏大愿景，人形机器人发展蓝图清晰 期 报 告 马斯克公开表示，2027 年底将开始向公众销售 Optimus 人形机器 人，同时大胆预言 2026 年将实现通用人工智能，未来三年内该类 AI 机器人可能在外科手术等领域超越人类专家，2040 年全球机器人数量 或将达到 100 亿台甚至更多。特斯拉已筹备扩建得克萨斯超级工厂， 规划建设人形机器人专用量产设施，目标实现年产能 1000 万台，且已 在机器人动态平衡、灵巧手升级等技术方面取得突破。 人形机器人造福全人类，未来有望像汽车般普及 中国机器人网表示，目前来看，发展足够智能的人形机器人把人 类社会的重复性体力劳动接管过去将会是一个造福全人类的科技大方 向。据高工移动机器人，英 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [13]. Core Insights - Apple's AI glasses project has made significant progress and is expected to officially debut in Q2 2026, utilizing magnesium alloy materials and special lenses to enhance the wearing experience, relying on integration with the iPhone for core functionalities [2]. - Meta is shifting its core strategy from the metaverse to AI wearable devices, with plans to double the annual production capacity of its AI smart glasses to 20 million units by the end of 2026, potentially increasing to 30 million based on market conditions [3]. - The smart glasses market is becoming increasingly competitive with major players like Apple, Samsung, and Xiaomi entering the field, leading to strong sales performance for products like the Ray-Ban Meta series, which saw a year-on-year sales increase of over 200% [4]. Summary by Relevant Sections - **Apple's AI Glasses**: Expected to launch in Q2 2026, focusing on a design that does not include an integrated screen and enhances user experience through its pairing with iPhones [2]. - **Meta's Strategy**: Transitioning to AI wearable devices, with a significant increase in production capacity planned for its smart glasses [3]. - **Market Dynamics**: The entry of major hardware manufacturers into the smart glasses market is intensifying competition, with notable sales growth reported for existing products [4]. - **Investment Opportunities**: Suggested focus on companies involved in smart glasses (e.g., Deep Science, Quick Intelligent), silicon-based OLED screens (e.g., Yirui Technology), and automation equipment [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [11] Core Insights - The PCB industry is experiencing high prosperity, with strong performance in equipment earnings [2] - Major companies such as Dazhu CNC, Chipbond, Dongwei Technology, and Dingtai High-Tech are expected to see significant profit growth by 2025, with net profits projected to increase by 160.64% to 193.84%, 71.13% to 83.58%, 73.23% to 102.10%, and 80.72% to 102.76% respectively [2] - The glass substrate industry is transitioning from technology validation to early-stage mass production, with expectations for small-scale commercial shipments by 2026 and a compound annual growth rate of over 10% from 2025 to 2030 for semiconductor glass wafers [3] - The demand for AI-driven servers, data storage, and high-speed network infrastructure is creating new growth opportunities in the PCB market, necessitating more complex and high-performance HDI PCB products [3] Summary by Sections Company Performance - Dazhu CNC is expected to achieve a net profit of 785 million to 885 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 160.64% to 193.84% [2] - Chipbond's projected net profit for 2025 is between 275 million to 295 million yuan, with a growth rate of 71.13% to 83.58% [2] - Dongwei Technology anticipates a net profit of 120 million to 140 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 73.23% to 102.10% [2] - Dingtai High-Tech expects a net profit of 410 million to 460 million yuan, with a growth of 80.72% to 102.76% [2] Industry Trends - The glass substrate industry is on the verge of commercialization, with major companies like SK, LG, and Samsung expanding partnerships with material and process suppliers [3] - The growth of AI and network infrastructure is driving the need for advanced PCB products, presenting new opportunities for the PCB market [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on PCB equipment and consumables companies such as Dazhu CNC, Dingtai High-Tech, Chipbond, Dongwei Technology, Zhengye Technology, and Rilian Technology [4] - Consider PCBA equipment companies like Kaige Precision Machinery, Jintuo Co., Bojie Co., Oat Technology, Juzi Technology, and Sitake [4]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [7][14] Core Insights - SK Hynix plans to launch HBF1 samples as early as this year, collaborating with SanDisk to establish HBF standards, with the product expected to utilize 16-layer NAND flash stacking [2] - TSMC's capital expenditure plan for 2026 is projected to reach a maximum of $56 billion, a significant increase of 37% from the actual expenditure of $40.9 billion in 2025, driven by strong AI demand and global advanced process capacity expansion [3] - The global average utilization rate for 8-inch wafers is expected to rise to 85-90% in 2026, up from 75-80% in 2025, with some foundries planning to increase foundry prices by 5-20% due to tightening capacity [4] Recommendations - Focus on Taiwanese semiconductor industry chain companies such as Shenghui Integrated, Yaxiang Integrated, and Hanzhong Precision [5] - Pay attention to domestic companies with significant potential in the measurement segment, including Jingce Electronics, Zhongke Feimeasure, and Saiteng Co., Ltd. [5] - Consider companies involved in clean rooms and medium systems, such as Zhengfan Technology, Shengjian Technology, and Meier Technology [5] - Look into testing probe companies like Helin Weina and Qiangyi Co., Ltd. [5] - Key process equipment firms include Northern Huachuang, Zhongwei Company, and Tuo Jing Technology [5] - Advanced packaging companies such as Quick Intelligent and Chip Micro-Assembly are also recommended [5] - Third-party testing firms like Su Shi Testing and Shengke Nano are worth monitoring [5]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - A breakthrough in Alzheimer's treatment was observed when a focused ultrasound surgery unexpectedly improved the cognitive function of a patient, challenging the traditional belief that Alzheimer's is irreversible. This condition affects nearly 17 million patients in China, leading to significant caregiving burdens [4][5]. - The research team led by Professor Sun Bomin is exploring a new approach using high-energy ultrasound to directly stimulate brain neural circuits, with initial clinical trials showing an average improvement rate of about 50% among seven moderate to severe patients [5]. - The global brain-computer interface (BCI) market is projected to grow rapidly, with an estimated size of approximately $2.62 billion in 2024, reaching $2.94 billion in 2025, and potentially growing to $12.4 billion by 2034, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 17.35% over the next decade [6]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights the significant unmet medical need in Alzheimer's treatment and the potential for innovative therapies to emerge from recent clinical findings [4][5]. Market Potential - The brain-computer interface market is expected to see substantial growth, with specific projections for both global and Chinese markets, indicating a strategic focus on high-tech industries as outlined in national economic plans [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Yanshan Technology, Hanwei Technology, Sanbo Brain Science, and others, which are positioned to benefit from advancements in the BCI and related technologies [6].