Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [2][82] Core Viewpoints - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to continue, potentially driving sales by over 1.4 million vehicles in 2024, with 1 million from scrapping and 400,000 from local replacements [10][11] - The policy is anticipated to stabilize the automotive market and stimulate consumer demand, providing new momentum for the industry's transformation and upgrade [11] - The automotive sector has shown resilience, outperforming the broader market index, with a year-to-date increase of 14%, ranking 6th among 31 sectors [12][18] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Topic: Continuation of the Old-for-New Policy - The old-for-new policy is projected to significantly boost vehicle sales in 2024, with key officials indicating ongoing support and evaluation of the policy's effectiveness [10][11] 2. Market Performance - From November 18 to 22, the automotive sector declined by 2.2%, while the CSI 300 index fell by 2.6%, indicating a slight outperformance of the automotive sector [12][18] - Year-to-date, the automotive sector has increased by 14%, placing it 6th among 31 sectors [12][18] 3. Key Industry Data 3.1 Vehicle Sales Data - From November 1 to 17, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 1.106 million units, a 30% year-on-year increase, while wholesale sales were 1.271 million units, up 37% year-on-year [33][36] - New energy vehicle retail sales during the same period were 581,000 units, reflecting a 66% year-on-year growth [33][36] 3.2 Inventory Situation - The comprehensive inventory coefficient for automotive dealers in October was 1.1, indicating a decrease of 14.7% month-on-month and 35.3% year-on-year, suggesting improved market conditions [37][39] 4. Industry News - Recent discussions regarding potential collaborations between major automotive companies and technology firms have been reported, indicating ongoing innovation and strategic partnerships within the industry [64][70][72] 5. Key New Vehicles - The report highlights the launch of new models, such as the small SUV from Geely, which is priced between 93,900 to 99,900 RMB [75][78]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Insights - The humanoid robot Figure 02 from Figure AI has shown a remarkable performance leap on BMW's production line, achieving a 400% increase in operational speed and a sevenfold improvement in task success rate. The deployment of more robots will generate vast amounts of data, driving continuous optimization of AI models in humanoid robotics [1] - Tesla's Optimus robot model, priced at $40, sold out within a day, with resale prices on platforms like eBay reaching up to $1,300. This model closely resembles Tesla's second-generation humanoid robot, featuring over 40 independent parts and 20 joints [1] - The humanoid robot market in China is projected to reach 2.158 billion yuan in 2024 and nearly 38 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 61% from 2024 to 2030. Sales are expected to grow from approximately 4,000 units to 271,200 units during this period [1] Summary by Sections - **Investment Rating**: The industry is rated as "Outperform the Market" [2] - **Performance of Humanoid Robots**: Figure 02 has demonstrated significant advancements in speed and task execution, indicating strong potential for future growth in the humanoid robotics sector [1] - **Market Potential**: The humanoid robot market in China is expected to experience substantial growth, with significant increases in both market size and unit sales projected for the coming years [1] - **Product Popularity**: The rapid sell-out of Tesla's Optimus model highlights strong consumer interest and market demand for humanoid robots [1] - **Key Players and Components**: The report suggests monitoring various companies involved in sensors, suppliers, dexterous hands, tendons, motors, lead screws, reducers, and machine vision, indicating a broad ecosystem supporting the humanoid robotics industry [1]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The report highlights the significant growth in the data center market, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24% for global data volume from 2023 to 2028, and a 16% CAGR for the global server market [3][4] - The demand for AI servers is expected to drive the increase in GPU density in server cabinets, with projections indicating a rise from 36 GPUs in 2024 to 576 GPUs by 2028-2029 [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of high-speed interconnect technology and liquid cooling solutions in addressing the challenges faced by data centers [4] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The global data center market is expected to add 100GW of capacity from 2023 to 2029, averaging 13-20GW per year [3] - The market value reachable by the company in traditional computing is estimated at $2.5-3 million per MW, while in high-density computing, it is projected at $3-3.5 million per MW [3] AI Server Development - The peak power consumption of AI server cabinets is anticipated to increase from 130kW in Blackwell to over 1000kW in Rubin Ultra [4] - The report notes that the growth in AI model parameters and the need for higher computational power will continue to drive demand for advanced server technologies [4] Company Performance - NVIDIA's FY25Q3 revenue reached $35.1 billion, a 94% year-over-year increase, with data center revenue growing by 112% [5][10] - The company expects FY25Q4 revenue to be around $37.5 billion, reflecting optimism based on the trends in AI server demand [10]

华福证券 नार 研 工程机械 10 月中国工程机械出口同比增长 23.8%，挖掘机 国内销量同比增长 21.6% 投资要点： 中国 10 月工程机械出口同比增长 23.8%；挖机需求持续修复，10 月 挖掘机销量 16791台（国内 8266 台_yoy+21.6%，国外 8525台_yoy+9.46%）。 据中国工程机械工业协会转引海关数据，2024 年 10 月我国工程机 械进出口贸易额为 48.41 亿美元，同比增长 24.2%。其中：进口额 2.33 亿美元，同比增长 33.1%；出口额 46.08 亿美元，同比增长 23.8%。据 中国工程机械工业协会对挖掘机主要制造企业统计，2024 年 10 月销售 各类挖掘机 16791 台，同比增长 15.1%。其中国内销量 8266 台，同比 增长 21.6%；出口量 8525 台，同比增长 9.46%。2024 年 10 月销售各 类装载机 8355 台，同比增长 11.1%。其中国内销量 4032 台，同比下 降 7.08%；出口量 4323 台，同比增长 36%。 加大财政政策逆周期调节力度，地产企稳基建有望迎来刺激。 团队成员 分析师： 俞能飞( ...

华福证券 轨交设备Ⅱ 2024 年 11 月 23 日 轨交设备Ⅱ 我国铁路首次大规模试运动力锂电池，中老铁路 老挝段单日旅客发送量创新高 投资要点： 首次大规模试运输动力电池，助力国产电池产品全球流通 11 月 19 日，三列运载动力锂电池的列车分别从重庆长寿渝巴专用 铁路、四川宜宾港、贵阳国际陆港缓缓开出，这是我国铁路首次大规 模试运输动力锂电池，将助力国产动力锂电池产品的全球流通。 中老铁路老挝段客流旺盛，11 月 17 日单日发送旅客人数创新高 今年 12 月 3 日，中老铁路将迎来开通运营 3 周年。连日来，中老 铁路老挝段客流旺盛，11 月 17 日单日发送旅客人数创新高，达 14912 人次。中老铁路老挝段自开通运营以来已累计发送旅客 721.4 万人次， 跨境货物运输量超 1050.84 万吨，为老挝乃至地区经济发展注入重要动 力。 营业里程持续增长，20 万公里目标创造广阔市场空间 2022 年国务院印发《"十四五"现代综合交通运输体系发展规划》， 明确提出到 2025 年，铁路营业里程达到 16.5 万公里，其中高速铁路营 业里程达到 5 万公里；2020 年国铁集团出台《新时代交通强国铁 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Strongly Outperform the Market" [4] Core Insights - The nuclear fusion industry is making significant progress, with China's first quasi-ring symmetric stellarator testing platform achieving major milestones, confirming the "quasi-ring symmetric" magnetic field configuration for the first time internationally [1][3] - The nuclear power sector is recognized for its clean, safe, and efficient characteristics, making it a crucial force in promoting green energy transition [3] - The China National Nuclear Corporation held a seminar on the integration of AI and nuclear energy, focusing on innovative applications of AI technology across the nuclear energy industry chain [1][3] Summary by Sections Industry Developments - China's first quasi-ring symmetric stellarator testing platform (CFQS-T) has achieved significant results, becoming the third country after the US and Germany to master high-precision manufacturing technology for three-dimensional non-planar modular coils [1] - The operation of CFQS-T has confirmed the "quasi-ring symmetric" magnetic field configuration, reducing classical transport losses and opening new pathways for optimizing magnetic field configurations in steady-state magnetic confinement fusion devices [1] Nuclear Power Advantages - Nuclear power plants maintain an annual utilization hour of over 7000 hours, the highest among all power sources, and do not emit sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, smoke, or carbon dioxide during production [3] - The nuclear energy sector is expected to play a larger role in seawater desalination, hydrogen production, and medical protection in the future [3] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: 1. Jiadian Co., Ltd.: Leading position in nuclear power business with its main helium fan for fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactors [3] 2. Guoguang Electric: Key components for the ITER project [3] 3. Lanshi Heavy Industry: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems, midstream nuclear power plant equipment, and downstream spent fuel processing [3] 4. Kexin Electromechanical: Produced high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products, replacing imports for new fuel transport containers [3] 5. Hailu Heavy Industry: Services for third and fourth-generation reactors and thermonuclear fusion reactors (ITER) [3] 6. Jiangsu Shentong: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and ball valves for new nuclear power projects in China [3] 7. Xianheng International: Products applied in the operation and maintenance of nuclear energy and nuclear power [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the consumer electronics industry [2][14]. Core Viewpoints - The consumer electronics sector is at a turning point driven by AI innovation and the continuous launch of new products by major players [4]. - AI applications are expected to first impact mature consumer electronics like smartphones, leading to an increase in both volume and price [4]. - The introduction of new hardware forms, such as AR and VR products, is anticipated to accelerate innovation in the consumer electronics space [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The consumer electronics index decreased by 5.0% during the week of November 18-22, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell by 2.6% and the electronics index by 3.3% [2]. - Notable gains were observed in AI terminal stocks, with Guoguang Electric rising by 45.79% [2]. Product Launches - Rokid launched AI+AR glasses, which will be available for sale in Q2 2025, featuring a stylish design, lightweight build (49g), and a price of 2499 yuan [3]. - The glasses support various AI functionalities, including voice-activated ordering and payment, enhancing user interaction [3]. Market Dynamics - The impact of tariffs on the Apple supply chain is deemed manageable, with domestic manufacturers already establishing production capacities in regions like Vietnam and Thailand [5]. - The weighted average selling price of iPhones in the U.S. market has reached $1018, with a significant increase in the proportion of Pro models sold [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the Apple supply chain, such as Luxshare Precision, Dongshan Precision, and others, as well as those involved in smart speakers and AIPC industry chains [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Insights - The report highlights the recent update of the Anhui Province Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) centralized procurement directory, which has reduced the number of products from 35 to 22, removing items like Ganmaoling [2][4] - The procurement includes both non-exclusive and exclusive products, with significant implications for companies involved in OTC products and unique offerings [2][4] - The report suggests that the impact of centralized procurement on leading companies is limited, particularly for OTC products that have strong pricing power and low hospital sales ratios [4] Summary by Sections Centralized Procurement Update - The Anhui Province has announced a reduction in the centralized procurement directory for TCM, with 12 groups and 22 products now included, down from 35 [2] - Notable removals include the Ganmaoling procurement group, which directly affects companies like China Resources Sanjiu [2][4] Product Categories - The procurement directory consists of two categories: 1. Non-exclusive products, which include OTC items like Xiaorifei Kexiao Granules and Hepatoprotective Tablets, primarily sold outside hospitals [2][4] 2. Exclusive products, such as the He Shen Song Yang Xin Capsules from Yiling Pharmaceutical and the Wenxin Granules from Buchang Pharmaceutical [3][4] Investment Recommendations - For non-exclusive products, the report emphasizes the resilience of OTC products in the market, suggesting that the centralized procurement will have a minimal impact on leading companies [4] - For exclusive products, the report indicates that companies like Buchang Pharmaceutical and Yiling Pharmaceutical will experience manageable price reductions due to their unique market positions [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the home appliance industry [4]. Core Insights - October saw a significant improvement in both domestic and export sales of home appliances, driven by the "trade-in" policy and the Double 11 shopping festival, with retail sales increasing by 39% year-on-year [1][16]. - Home appliance exports also performed well, with a total export value of $8.576 billion in October, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.2% [16]. - The report anticipates strong production growth in the white goods sector for November and December, with production of air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines expected to increase by 42%, 9%, and 2% year-on-year, respectively [16]. Summary by Sections Data Highlights - In October, the retail sales of consumer goods improved, with a year-on-year growth of 4.8%, and the home appliance sector leading with a 39% increase in retail sales [1][13]. - The export volume of home appliances reached 388 million units in October, marking a 24.9% increase year-on-year [16]. Weekly Investment Perspective - The report suggests focusing on several key players in the home appliance sector, including Haier, Midea, and Gree, due to the positive impact of the trade-in policy and expected recovery in domestic demand [3][28]. - It also highlights the global competitiveness of Chinese robotic vacuum brands, recommending attention to companies like Roborock and Ecovacs [3][28]. Market Data - The home appliance sector experienced a decline of 2.3% this week, with specific segments showing varied performance: white goods down 2.9%, black goods down 0.8%, small appliances down 1.3%, and kitchen appliances up 2.2% [2][32]. - Raw material prices for copper and aluminum decreased by 2.50% and 1.97%, respectively, compared to the previous week [2][32].

Global Beauty and Personal Care Industry Overview - The global beauty and personal care market has shown fluctuating growth, with a strong recovery post-pandemic. The market size has been on an upward trend, with a year-on-year growth of 8.58% starting from 2021, indicating resilience and growth potential [3][7][8]. - Skincare products have been gaining market share, increasing from 31% in 2011 to 40% in 2023, while other categories like hair care and cosmetics have seen slight declines [11][12]. - The top 10 countries account for 63.11% of the global beauty market, with the US and China being the largest markets, holding 20.86% and 13.59% of the market share, respectively [16][18]. China Beauty and Personal Care Industry Review - The Chinese beauty and personal care market is gradually rebounding, achieving low single-digit growth in 2023, but still not reaching pre-pandemic levels. Skincare remains the largest category, but growth has been slow due to maturity and inventory issues [31][34]. - The market concentration is low, with only three domestic brands in the top 10, while multinational brands dominate the market share [35]. - Online channels have seen rapid growth, becoming the primary sales channel, with online retail sales increasing from 16.2% in 2014 to 43.6% in 2023 [43][44]. Germany Beauty and Personal Care Industry Review - The German beauty and personal care market has maintained steady growth, reaching a market size of €20.599 billion in 2023, with a significant increase in growth rate from 2022 to 2023 [61][63]. - Offline channels remain the primary sales channel, accounting for 80.6% of the market share in 2023, although online channels are providing opportunities for niche brands [65][67]. - The market concentration is relatively low, with the top 10 brands showing a growth of €9.29 million from 2014 to 2023, including two men's brands entering the top 10 [69].