行 机械设备 2026 年 01 月 31 日 业 研 究 机械设备 超声脑机接口启新篇，中国方案破解脑病治疗困局 投资要点： "十五五"重点赛道，脑机接口市场规模有望快速增长 根据 precedence research，2024 年全球脑机接口市场规模约为 26.2 亿美元，预计 2025 年将达到 29.4 亿美元，到 2034 年有望增长至 124 亿美元，十年间复合年增长率为 17.35%；据工信微报，2024 年中国脑 机接口市场规模为 32.0 亿元，预计到 2028 年将达 61.4 亿元。《中共 中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》提出前 瞻布局未来产业，推动脑机接口等成为新的经济增长点。这些产业蓄 势发力，未来 10 年将再造一个中国高技术产业。 建议关注 岩山科技、汉威科技、三博脑科、创新医疗、东方中科、翔宇医 疗、熵基科技、诚益通、伟思医疗、麦澜德、爱朋医疗、倍益康等。 风险提示 证 市场竞争加剧、政策支持力度不及预期、技术研发及新产品开发 不利、脑机产品造成病患受伤等风险 技术突破创新，超声精准打开血脑屏障 行 业 定 期 报 告 近日，复旦大学联合华山医院在国家重 ...

行 机械设备 2026 年 01 月 31 日 中国机器人网表示，目前来看，发展足够智能的人形机器人把人 类社会的重复性体力劳动接管过去将会是一个造福全人类的科技大方 向。据高工移动机器人，英伟达 CEO 黄仁勋曾公开表示：机器人时代 已经来临，具身智能是人工智能的下一波浪潮，未来人形机器人将像 汽车般普及。GGII 预测，中国人形机器人市场规模到 2030 年将达到 近 380 亿元，2024-2030 年复合增长率将超过 61%，中国人形机器人销 量将从 0.4 万台左右增长至 27.12 万台。 建议关注 业 研 究 机械设备 具身智能产业爆发，90 亿订单引领赛道升级 投资要点： 市场格局明晰，多场景产品规模化落地 行 业 定 期 报 告 2025 年具身智能行业订单总额超 90 亿元，优必选、宇树科技等头 部企业领跑第一梯队，B 端工业制造、智慧物流为核心应用领域，占 比超 80%，消费级与教育科研类订单快速增长。产品形态呈现双足、 轮式、四足并行发展态势，适配汽车生产、电力巡检、商业服务等多 元场景，多地数据采集与训练中心的建设，推动行业从"卖硬件"向 "卖服务+解决方案"转型。 全球布局提速，产 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "stronger than the market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [13]. Core Insights - Major technology and new energy companies are entering the nuclear power sector, creating a diversified new landscape for nuclear energy in China. Companies like Alibaba and Geely are investing in coastal nuclear power projects, focusing on stable energy to support computing power demands [3][4]. - The policy environment is increasingly favorable for private investment in nuclear power, with the proportion of private capital expected to rise to 10% by 2024. This trend is supported by the integration of AI and nuclear energy, which is anticipated to deepen as the demand for computing power grows [4]. - Small Modular Reactors (SMR) are highlighted as a key solution to meet the energy demands of AI, with significant interest from technology giants. Companies are developing tailored energy solutions for data centers using SMR technology [5]. Company Summaries - **Jingye Intelligent**: Plans to establish a subsidiary focused on SMR technology for AI data center power supply [6]. - **Jia Electric**: Its main helium fan is the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor's primary circuit, leading in the nuclear power business segment [6]. - **Guoguang Electric**: Provides critical components for the ITER project, focusing on filter and cladding systems [6]. - **Lanshi Heavy Industry**: Covers the entire nuclear energy supply chain from upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [6]. - **Kexin Electromechanical**: Produces high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and has developed domestic alternatives for new fuel transport containers [6]. - **Hailu Heavy Industry**: Services various reactor types, including third and fourth-generation reactors and fusion reactors [6]. - **Jiangsu Shentong**: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and ball valves for new nuclear power projects in China [6].

行 轨交设备Ⅱ 2026 年 01 月 31 日 业 研 究 轨交设备Ⅱ 宜兴高铁全线隧道贯通，350 时速联通区域发展 投资要点： 工程关键突破，技术攻关破解地质难题 路网枢纽成型，缩短时空助力协同发展 宜兴高铁承担着衔接郑渝高铁与沪渝蓉沿江高铁的重要功能，其 开通运营将带来显著出行变革。兴山至宜昌的旅行时间将压缩至 20 分 钟左右，宜昌至重庆的通行时长也将大幅缩短，这一线路的投用将有 效完善长江经济带综合立体交通体系，为区域资源流动与协同发展注 入强劲动力。 营业里程持续增长，20 万公里目标创造广阔市场空间 2022 年国务院印发《"十四五"现代综合交通运输体系发展规划》， 明确提出到 2025 年，铁路营业里程达到 16.5 万公里，其中高速铁路营 业里程达到 5 万公里；2020 年国铁集团出台《新时代交通强国铁路先 行规划纲要》，2021 年国务院印发《国家综合立体交通网规划纲要》， 两个文件均对 2035 年我国铁路网规模提出了一致要求：到 2035 年， 全国铁路网达 20 万公里左右，其中高铁 7 万公里左右。结合"十四五" 铁路网规模，若想达到 2035 年的目标，2026 年至 203 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The entry of technology and new energy giants into the nuclear power sector is creating a diversified new landscape, with companies like Alibaba and Geely participating in coastal nuclear power projects in China [3][4]. - The policy environment is supportive, with increasing participation of private capital in nuclear projects, projected to reach a 10% stake by 2024, and further support for private enterprises by 2026 [4]. - The integration of AI and nuclear energy is anticipated to deepen, with a focus on "computing power + nuclear energy" and the implementation of a "wind-solar-nuclear-storage integration" model in coastal bases [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Participation - Major technology companies are investing in nuclear power through equity stakes, focusing on stable energy to support computing needs, while new energy firms are providing storage solutions and core equipment manufacturing [3][4]. - The domestic nuclear equipment localization rate has reached 93.4%, establishing an ecosystem led by state-owned enterprises, empowered by private capital, and supported by technology [3]. Future Outlook - The demand for AI computing power is expected to drive the development of small modular reactors (SMR) as a key solution for energy needs, with significant interest from technology giants [5]. - Companies like Jingye Intelligent are advancing SMR technology, with plans to establish a subsidiary focused on powering AI data centers [6]. Recommended Companies - Jingye Intelligent: Plans to establish a subsidiary focused on SMR for AI data centers [6]. - Jiadian Co.: Leading position in the nuclear power sector with its helium fan products [6]. - Guoguang Electric: Key components for the ITER project [6]. - Lanshi Heavy Industry: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [6]. - Kexin Electromechanical: Producing high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [6]. - Hailu Heavy Industry: Services for various reactor types including third and fourth generation [6]. - Jiangsu Shentong: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear projects [6].

行 华福证券 市场格局明晰，多场景产品规模化落地 行 业 定 期 报 告 2025 年具身智能行业订单总额超 90 亿元，优必选、宇树科技等头 部企业领跑第一梯队，B 端工业制造、智慧物流为核心应用领域，占 比超 80%，消费级与教育科研类订单快速增长。产品形态呈现双足、 轮式、四足并行发展态势，适配汽车生产、电力巡检、商业服务等多 元场景，多地数据采集与训练中心的建设，推动行业从"卖硬件"向 "卖服务+解决方案"转型。 全球布局提速，产业链协同释放动能 中国具身智能企业加速全球化拓展，越疆、星动纪元等海外订单 占比达 50%，东南亚、欧洲成为主要市场，技术优势与性价比成出海 核心竞争力。国内产业链上下游协同发力，核心零部件需求激增，"本 体+集成"模式成主流，叠加资本市场加持，多家企业启动 IPO 或完成 融资，2026 年行业将聚焦技术突破、成本下降与场景深化，持续释放 发展潜力。 人形机器人造福全人类，未来有望像汽车般普及 机械设备 2026 年 01 月 31 日 业 研 究 机械设备 具身智能产业爆发，90 亿订单引领赛道升级 投资要点： 中国机器人网表示，目前来看，发展足够智能的人形机器人把人 类 ...

行 机械设备 2026 年 01 月 31 日 业 研 究 机械设备 超声脑机接口启新篇，中国方案破解脑病治疗困局 投资要点： 技术突破创新，超声精准打开血脑屏障 行 业 定 期 报 告 近日，复旦大学联合华山医院在国家重点研发计划项目启动会上， 发布国内首例采用自主研制超声诊疗一体化装置"UltraBrainPad"的临 床试验成果。该半侵入式技术为全球第三种方案，通过手持式探头结 合 AI 图像识别，3 分钟即可打开胶质母细胞瘤患者血脑屏障，药物浓 度平均提升 8 倍，6 小时后屏障自动关闭，操作便捷、成本可控且安全 性优于国际水平，成功破解传统技术感染风险高、精度不足等难题。 赛道拓展赋能，惠及多种脑病治疗场景 作为国家重点研发计划项目，该技术已启动复发胶质母细胞瘤临 床研究，未来将打造超声脑机接口新赛道。除脑肿瘤药物治疗外，其 科研成果还将向神经调控、脑机融合方向转化，有望为阿尔兹海默病、 头痛、失眠等多种脑病提供全新治疗路径，凭借基层可及的优势，让 更多患者受益于这一"中国方案"。 岩山科技、汉威科技、三博脑科、创新医疗、东方中科、翔宇医 疗、熵基科技、诚益通、伟思医疗、麦澜德、爱朋医疗、倍益康等。 ...

华福证券 宏 观 研 究 财政支出降幅收窄 ——2025 年 12 月财政数据解读 投资要点： 宏 观 点 评 全年收支未达目标。回顾 2025 年全年的财政收支，首先，税收收入明 显改善，尤其是增值税、个人所得税和企业所得税，是公共财政收入端的 重心；其次，财政支出侧重民生领域，基建类支出占比趋降；再次，支出 节奏前置，年末进度落后，全年预算短支；最后，土地财政持续低迷且波 动较大，对广义财政收入构成拖累。2025 年广义财政收入、支出增速分别 为-2.9%、3.7%，单独看 12 月当月的表现，2025 年 12 月广义财政收入较 上月回落 13.3 个百分点至-18.5%，广义支出增速较上月回升 1 个百分点至 -0.7%。收入端来看，12 月税收走弱受到高基数效应和经济放缓的影响，土 地出让收入对广义财政持续构成制约；支出端方面，融资前置导致年底后 劲略显不足，仅基建相关支出有明显改善。 财政依旧前置发力。展望 2026 年，一般公共预算赤字率或保持稳定， 同时，全国财政工作会议指出要"扩大财政支出盘子，确保必要支出力度"， 随着物价有望企稳回升，财政收入对于支出端的制约减弱，财政"增支" 的效果或更 ...

Investment Rating - The coal industry is rated as "stronger than the market" [7] Core Views - The report emphasizes that the fundamental goal is to reverse the Producer Price Index (PPI), with seasonal demand during the "peak winter" leading to a 1.3% increase in coal mining and washing prices, contributing to a 0.2% rise in PPI over three consecutive months [5][6] - The coal price is expected to stabilize due to its high correlation with PPI, with a potential low point for coal prices in 2025, influenced by policies aimed at reducing excessive competition [5] - The coal industry is undergoing a transformation driven by energy security demands, with limited supply elasticity due to strict capacity controls and increasing extraction difficulties, particularly in eastern regions [5][6] - Despite weak macroeconomic conditions affecting coal demand, the rigid supply and rising costs are expected to support coal prices, which are likely to maintain a volatile upward trend [5] Summary by Sections Coal Market Overview - As of January 30, the Qinhuangdao 5500K thermal coal price is 692 CNY/ton, up 7 CNY/ton week-on-week, with a year-on-year decline of 61 CNY/ton [3][31] - The average daily output of 462 sample coal mines is 5.329 million tons, down 81,000 tons week-on-week but up 1.77 million tons year-on-year [3][42] - The coal inventory index is slightly down to 180.4, indicating a minor decrease in coal stocks [3][53] Coking Coal - The main coking coal price at Jingtang Port is stable at 1800 CNY/ton, with a year-on-year increase of 340 CNY/ton [4][72] - The average daily output of 523 sample coking coal mines is 771,000 tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 64.2% [4][71] - The coking coal inventory stands at 2.672 million tons, down 7.2% week-on-week [4][71] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The daily consumption of the six major power plants has decreased to 847,000 tons, down 3.7% week-on-week but up 27.8% year-on-year [42][43] - The inventory of the six major power plants is 13.185 million tons, down 0.6% week-on-week [43][44] - The methanol and urea operating rates are at 91.2% and 88.3%, respectively, indicating a slight increase [47][48] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong resource endowments and stable operating performance, such as China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical [6] - Companies with production growth potential benefiting from the coal price cycle, such as Yanzhou Coal Mining, Huayang Co., and Gansu Energy, are also highlighted [6] - Firms with global resource scarcity attributes, like Huaibei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal, are recommended for investment [6]

固 定 收 益 2026 年 01 月 29 日 25 年 11-12 月城投债延续净融资 首次发债主体 数量继续放量——25 年 11-12 月城投债发行审批跟踪 25 年 11-12 月城投债延续净融资 首次发债主体数量明显增加 固 定 收 益 定 期 报 告 11、12 月城投债净融资规模分别为 307 亿元和 150 亿元，合计 457 亿元。其中，11 月交易所城投债由 10 月的净融资转为净偿还 82 亿元， 12 月再度转为净融资 73 亿元；11 月协会产品转为净融资 389 亿元， 12 月回落至 77 亿元。12 月广东、山东、北京、四川等 14 个省市城投 债净融资为正，江苏、浙江、陕西等 14 个省市 12 月城投债净偿还。 2025 年全年共 18 个省市城投债净融资规模为正，其中广东和山东的 净融资规模较大，其余 13 个城投债净偿还的省市中江苏、湖南、重庆 等地净偿还规模较大。相比于 2024 年，近一年内天津的城投债净偿还 规模大幅减少，广东的净融资规模大幅上升，浙江和甘肃由大规模净 偿还转为净融资，而福建、四川的净融资规模大幅减少，重庆、湖南 的净偿还规模大幅上升，江西、上海 ...