Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [7][14] Core Insights - SK Hynix plans to launch HBF1 samples as early as this year, collaborating with SanDisk to establish HBF standards, with the product expected to utilize 16-layer NAND flash stacking [2] - TSMC's capital expenditure plan for 2026 is projected to reach a maximum of $56 billion, a significant increase of 37% from the actual expenditure of $40.9 billion in 2025, driven by strong AI demand and global advanced process capacity expansion [3] - The global average utilization rate for 8-inch wafers is expected to rise to 85-90% in 2026, up from 75-80% in 2025, with some foundries planning to increase foundry prices by 5-20% due to tightening capacity [4] Recommendations - Focus on Taiwanese semiconductor industry chain companies such as Shenghui Integrated, Yaxiang Integrated, and Hanzhong Precision [5] - Pay attention to domestic companies with significant potential in the measurement segment, including Jingce Electronics, Zhongke Feimeasure, and Saiteng Co., Ltd. [5] - Consider companies involved in clean rooms and medium systems, such as Zhengfan Technology, Shengjian Technology, and Meier Technology [5] - Look into testing probe companies like Helin Weina and Qiangyi Co., Ltd. [5] - Key process equipment firms include Northern Huachuang, Zhongwei Company, and Tuo Jing Technology [5] - Advanced packaging companies such as Quick Intelligent and Chip Micro-Assembly are also recommended [5] - Third-party testing firms like Su Shi Testing and Shengke Nano are worth monitoring [5]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - A breakthrough in Alzheimer's treatment was observed when a focused ultrasound surgery unexpectedly improved the cognitive function of a patient, challenging the traditional belief that Alzheimer's is irreversible. This condition affects nearly 17 million patients in China, leading to significant caregiving burdens [4][5]. - The research team led by Professor Sun Bomin is exploring a new approach using high-energy ultrasound to directly stimulate brain neural circuits, with initial clinical trials showing an average improvement rate of about 50% among seven moderate to severe patients [5]. - The global brain-computer interface (BCI) market is projected to grow rapidly, with an estimated size of approximately $2.62 billion in 2024, reaching $2.94 billion in 2025, and potentially growing to $12.4 billion by 2034, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 17.35% over the next decade [6]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights the significant unmet medical need in Alzheimer's treatment and the potential for innovative therapies to emerge from recent clinical findings [4][5]. Market Potential - The brain-computer interface market is expected to see substantial growth, with specific projections for both global and Chinese markets, indicating a strategic focus on high-tech industries as outlined in national economic plans [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Yanshan Technology, Hanwei Technology, Sanbo Brain Science, and others, which are positioned to benefit from advancements in the BCI and related technologies [6].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [13]. Core Insights - The upgrade of Yongxiu Station, a key station in the northern Jiangxi region, enhances travel experience with a design inspired by nature and culture, increasing passenger capacity and adding amenities [3][4]. - The implementation of a new train schedule has increased train frequency to major cities, facilitating regional cultural and tourism development [4]. - The Chinese government's "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to expand the railway operating mileage to 165,000 kilometers by 2025, with a long-term goal of 200,000 kilometers by 2035, creating significant market opportunities for the rail transit equipment industry [5]. Company Summaries - China CNR Corporation: A leading global supplier of rail transit equipment, maintaining a strong position in the industry [5]. - China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation: A global leader in rail transit control technology [5]. - Times Electric: A leading supplier of traction and conversion systems, consistently leading the domestic market [5]. - Sifang Control: A specialized company in railway safety equipment, becoming a core supplier in the high-speed rail monitoring field [5]. - Shenzhou High-speed Railway: A leading enterprise in intelligent operation and maintenance equipment for rail transit, serving a wide range of clients [5]. - Huizhou Technology: Focused on rail transit services, providing operation and maintenance equipment and integrated solutions with rich experience [5].

风险提示 新能源金属：电动车及储能需求不及预期；基本金属：中国消费 修复不及预期；贵金属：美联储降息不及预期。 强于大市（维持评级） 有色金属 2026 年 01 月 24 日 行 业 研 究 有色金属 20260124 周报：贵金属价格创历史新高，基本面 推动锂价上涨 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 贵金属：美债遭遇抛售,贵金属加速上涨。本周贵金属再度加速上涨， 突破历史新高，其中COMEX黄金接近5000美元/盎司，COMEX白银突破100 美元/盎司大关。1月20日，全球债市遭遇集体抛售，美债和日债领跌，日 债收益率历史性突破4%关口，为三十余年首次。欧洲多国宣布抛售美债， 10年期美国国债收益率攀升引发市场避险情绪并导致对于贵金属的配置需 求激增。丹麦表示将在月底前清仓所持全部1亿美国国债，引发多国连锁反 应。短期而言，美联储降息预期摇摆，整体呈现易涨难跌格局；中长期而 言，全球关税政策和地缘政治的不确定性背景下，避险和滞涨交易仍是黄 金交易的核心，长期配置价值不改。个股：黄金关注招金灵宝万国紫金黄 金，A股关注紫金、中金、赤峰及西金等；H股关注潼关、山金、招矿及集 海等。银铂钯均为黄金的贝塔，个 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided about the industry investment rating in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The bond market has recovered, and credit has followed the decline in interest rates. The credit spreads in the 3 - 7Y period have all converged. The yields of various - term credit bonds have also significantly declined, and the credit spreads of different - term and - grade bonds have shown different changes [3][10] - The spreads of urban investment bonds have generally decreased by 2BP, with spreads of different - rated and - level platforms showing varying degrees of decline [4][15][19] - The spreads of real - estate bonds have generally continued to widen, but the spread of Vanke has been significantly compressed. The spreads of other industrial bonds have slightly declined [4][25] - The yields of secondary - tier and perpetual bonds have continued to decline, with the largest decline in spreads in the 3Y period [5][33] - The excess spreads of industrial perpetual bonds have widened, while the excess spreads of urban investment perpetual bonds have shown differentiation [5][36] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Bond Market and Credit Spreads Convergence - This week, the bond market recovered, and the interest - rate curve steeply declined. The yields of 1Y, 3Y, 5Y, 7Y, and 10Y CDB bonds decreased by 2BP, 1BP, 2BP, 3BP, and 4BP respectively. The yields of various - term credit bonds also dropped significantly. From the perspective of credit spreads, the 3 - 7Y credit spreads all narrowed [3][10] 3.2 Urban Investment Bond Spreads - The spreads of urban investment bonds decreased by 2BP overall. The credit spreads of external - rated AAA, AA +, and AA platforms all decreased by 2BP compared to last week. By administrative level, the credit spreads of provincial, municipal, and district - county platforms decreased by 2BP compared to last week [4][15][19] 3.3 Real - Estate and Other Industrial Bond Spreads - The spreads of real - estate bonds continued to widen overall, but the spread of Vanke was greatly compressed. The spreads of other industrial bonds slightly declined. The spreads of central - state - owned real - estate bonds widened by 4BP, state - owned real - estate bonds by 1BP, private real - estate bonds by 17BP, and mixed - ownership real - estate bonds converged by 103BP [4][25] 3.4 Secondary - Tier and Perpetual Bond Yields and Spreads - This week, the yields of secondary - tier and perpetual bonds continued to decline, with the largest decline in spreads in the 3Y period. The yields of different - grade 1Y secondary - tier capital bonds decreased by 1 - 2BP, and perpetual bonds by 2BP; 3Y secondary - tier capital bonds by 3BP, and perpetual bonds by 4BP; 5Y secondary - tier capital bonds by 2 - 4BP, and perpetual bonds by 1 - 2BP; 10Y secondary - tier capital bonds by 5BP, and perpetual bonds by 4BP [5][33] 3.5 Excess Spreads of Industrial and Urban Investment Perpetual Bonds - This week, the excess spread of 3Y industrial AAA - grade perpetual bonds widened by 0.26BP to 14.67BP, and the 5Y by 0.01BP to 13.21BP. The 3Y urban - investment AAA - grade perpetual - bond excess spread decreased by 0.48BP to 4.03BP, and the 5Y increased by 3.21BP to 13.34BP [5][36] 3.6 Credit Spread Database Compilation Instructions - The overall market credit spreads, commercial - bank secondary - tier spreads, and urban - investment/industrial perpetual - bond credit spreads are based on ChinaBond medium - and short - term note and ChinaBond perpetual - bond data. The historical quantiles are since the beginning of 2015. The credit spreads related to urban - investment and industrial bonds are compiled and statistically analyzed by the Huafu Securities Research Institute, and the historical quantiles are also since the beginning of 2015 [38][40]

行 业 煤炭 2026 年 01 月 24 日 研 究 12 月原煤产量同环比下降，重视权益配置价值 投资要点： 动力煤 行 业 定 期 报 告 截至 1 月 23 日，秦港 5500K 动力末煤平仓价 685 元/吨，周环比- 10 元/吨，内蒙产地价小跌、山西产地价微跌、陕西产地价小跌。截 至 1 月 23 日，动力煤 462 家样本矿山日均产量 541 万吨，环比-5.7 万 吨，年同比-0.9%。本周电厂日耗大涨，电厂库存微跌，秦港库存大 涨，截至 1 月 19 日，动力煤库存指数为 185.4（-1.2pct）。非电方面， 甲醇、尿素开工率分别为 89.9%（-1.2pct）和 86.4%（+1.1pct），仍处 于历史同期偏高水平。 焦煤 截至 1 月 23 日，京唐港主焦煤库提价 1800 元/吨，周环比 +1.7%，山西、河南、安徽产地价格持平。截至 1 月 23 日，523 家样 本矿山精煤日均产量 77 万吨（+0.2 万吨），年同比+4.9%，523 家样 本矿山精煤库存 274.4 万吨（+2 万吨），年同比-33.5%；截至 1 月 23 日，中国日均铁水产量 228.2 万吨（+0 ...

华福证券 成品家居 公 司 研 究 敏华控股（01999.HK） 关注内外销积极的边际变化 投资要点： 究 报 风险提示 告 国内外宏观环境风险，市场竞争加剧风险，外贸政策变化风险 | 财务数据和估值 | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E 2028E | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入（百万港 | 18,411 | 16,903 | 16,392 | 16,757 | 17,424 | | 元） | | | | | | | 增长率 | 6% | -8% | -3% | 2% | 4% | | 归母净利润（百万港 | 2,302 | 2,063 | 2,067 | 2,120 | 2,208 | | 元） | | | | | | | 增长率 | 20% | -10% | 0% | 3% | 4% | | EPS（港元/股） | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.57 | | 市盈率（P/E） | 7.8 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.2 | | 市净率（P/B） | 1.5 | 1.4 ...

- The report introduces a quantitative model for evaluating equity funds' performance. The model uses 22 benchmark indices as independent variables and fund returns as dependent variables. A univariate linear regression is conducted for each index, and the rolling window regression is applied with a 6-month window to calculate the R² matrix for each fund. The index with the highest average R² over the last six periods is selected as the performance benchmark for the fund. The corresponding regression equation result is used as the performance evaluation result[17][18][20] - The evaluation method for equity funds also incorporates a scoring system based on fund-manager performance. The scoring system considers both horizontal (market-wide win-rate percentile) and vertical (long-term and short-term performance trends) dimensions. This creates a comprehensive scoring framework for all active equity funds. Funds are categorized into four ratings: AAA, AA+, AA, and BB+, with each rating reflecting different alpha characteristics and performance stability[41][42][43] - The report highlights the performance of different fund styles in December 2025. Growth funds achieved the highest median return of 7.49%, followed by small- and mid-cap funds at 4.45%, large-cap funds at 4.25%, thematic funds at 2.67%, and value funds at 0.29%. Growth funds exhibited significant polarization, with the best performer achieving a 25.0% return and the worst performer at -0.9%[23][25][27] - Thematic funds are further analyzed by sector, including technology, cyclical, high-end manufacturing, and financials. Among these, technology funds performed the best, with an average return of 57.5% for active funds in 2025. The top-performing technology fund, "Yongying Technology Smart Selection A," achieved a return of 236.9%[24][27][28] - The report identifies the most tracked indices by active equity funds in December 2025. The CSI 500 index was the most followed, with 559 funds tracking it, accounting for 14.95% of the sample. The second most tracked index was the ChiNext Index, with 428 funds (11.44%). The CSI A50 index saw the largest increase in the number of funds tracking it, rising from 121 to 145 funds during the month[36][37] - The report also provides details on high-rated funds across different styles, such as small- and mid-cap, large-cap, value, growth, and thematic funds. For example, in the small- and mid-cap category, "Huatai-PineBridge Quantitative Wisdom A" achieved a recent score of 10 with an R² of 0.96, while in the growth category, "Bosera Smart Quantitative Multi-Factor A" scored 10 with an R² of 0.86[52][53][55][56]

业 研 究 社会服务 关注服务消费结构性机会，及春节旺季珠宝行情 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 文旅：元旦假期出行链数据超预期。海南离岛免税方面，元旦假期期 间，海口海关共监管离岛免税商品销售 44.2 万件，同比增长 52.4%；购物 人数 8.35 万人次，同比增长 60.6%；购物金额 7.12 亿元，同比增长 128.9%。 旅游出行方面，经文化和旅游部数据中心测算，元旦假期 3 天，全国国内 出游 1.42 亿人次，国内出游总花费 847.89 亿元，建议关注四季度冰雪游旺 季公司长白山、大连圣亚，寺庙游标的九华旅游、峨眉山 A 等。 美护：k 型消费趋势明显，关注高端美妆品牌第三空间社交与情绪溢 价继续承接高端消费复苏，年轻圈层轻医美妆械合一产品需求扩容与 OTC 即时零售渠道渗透率提升，专业护肤品牌或有结构性机会。据久谦平台数 据，2025 年 1-12 月美妆国内线上（天猫+抖音）销售额约为 2170.8 亿元， 同比增速 6.1%，其中 2025 年 12 月销售额约为 192.77 亿元，同比增速- 0.4%，环比增速为-30.2%。 行 社会服务 2026 年 01 月 23 日 ...

行 华福证券 社会服务 2026 年 01 月 23 日 业 研 究 社会服务 关注服务消费结构性机会，及春节旺季珠宝行情 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 文旅：元旦假期出行链数据超预期。海南离岛免税方面，元旦假期期 间，海口海关共监管离岛免税商品销售 44.2 万件，同比增长 52.4%；购物 人数 8.35 万人次，同比增长 60.6%；购物金额 7.12 亿元，同比增长 128.9%。 旅游出行方面，经文化和旅游部数据中心测算，元旦假期 3 天，全国国内 出游 1.42 亿人次，国内出游总花费 847.89 亿元，建议关注四季度冰雪游旺 季公司长白山、大连圣亚，寺庙游标的九华旅游、峨眉山 A 等。 黄金珠宝：金价高位走强，关注春节旺季销售。春节旺季金价走强， 民众基于"买涨"心理，旺季期间预计行业消费量下降有限，而金价同比 大幅上涨，主要品牌 1-2 月同店有望保持较快增长。建议关注一口价产品 占比高的潮宏基、老铺黄金、周大福，其他建议关注高股息的周大生、菜 百股份。 华福证券 风险提示 宏观经济波动；需求不及预期；行业竞争加剧。 强于大市（维持评级） 一年内行业相对大盘走势 团队成员 | 分析师： ...