Group 1 - The food and beverage sector is showing signs of recovery after a prolonged adjustment period, with macroeconomic indicators stabilizing and the restaurant industry experiencing a rebound in daily operations [2][14][15] - The report suggests that investment opportunities in 2026 should focus on three main directions: capturing the recovery rhythm, identifying growth opportunities within existing markets, and leveraging emotional consumption trends [2][3][4] - The restaurant industry is expected to lead the recovery, with a projected annual revenue of 5.7 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 3.3% year-on-year growth [20][26] Group 2 - The report highlights the importance of focusing on demand-driven scenarios, channels, and product innovations, particularly in the snack and beverage sectors, which are expected to continue their growth trajectories [3][4][66] - The snack retail sector is experiencing significant growth, with a projected GMV of 600 billion yuan by 2029, driven by the expansion of major players like Wanchen Group and Mingming Hen Mang [68][74] - The beverage and low-alcohol sectors are also identified as areas of growth, with companies like Kuaijishan and Nongfu Spring expected to benefit from ongoing market expansion [4][66] Group 3 - The beer sector is anticipated to benefit directly from the recovery of the restaurant industry, with a notable trend towards premiumization and a shift in consumer preferences towards higher-priced products [40][41] - The white wine industry is undergoing a rebalancing, with demand expected to show weak recovery in 2026, characterized by a concentration of high-priced products and minor innovations in mid-priced segments [48][49][64] - The report emphasizes the need for companies to manage supply effectively in response to weak demand, with a focus on optimizing product offerings and enhancing operational efficiency [49][53][64]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [12]. Core Insights - "鹅鸭杀" (Goose Duck Kill) has become a phenomenon in the gaming industry, particularly on the Steam platform, gaining immense popularity in China due to the influence of top gaming streamers [2][3]. - The mobile version of "鹅鸭杀," co-published by Kingsoft and Huya, saw over 5 million new registered users within 24 hours of its public launch on January 7, and surpassed 10 million new users within 6 days [3]. - The game features over 30 different roles, enhancing its gameplay beyond traditional social deduction games like Werewolf, allowing up to 16 players to participate simultaneously [4]. - The mobile version has optimized network access and connection delays, addressing issues faced by the Steam version, and introduced innovative gameplay modes to enhance user experience [5]. Company Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on several gaming companies, including Kingsoft, 37 Interactive Entertainment, Kying Network, Shenzhou Taiyue, Giant Network, G-bits, Perfect World, Yaoji Technology, and Zhangqu Technology, as potential investment opportunities in the gaming sector [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [12]. Core Insights - The AI comic industry is experiencing explosive growth, with a focus on quality becoming a key competitive factor. By 2025, the cumulative viewership of comic dramas on Douyin is projected to exceed 75.772 billion [2]. - The initial phase of the industry shows a significant "head effect," with over 30,000 comic dramas, where approximately 80% have annual viewership below 1 million, while only about 69 dramas have surpassed 100 million views, with just one exceeding 500 million [3]. - There remains potential in the female market, as evidenced by the viewership of female-oriented tags. Despite only 6 female dramas in the top 100 for 2025, the "sweet pet" tag has over 2.8 billion views, indicating room for growth in female content [4]. - Major platforms are entering the market, with IP becoming a crucial competitive asset. Companies like Baidu and Douyin are launching their own comic drama platforms, while established platforms are leveraging vast IP resources to attract viewers [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Growth - The AI comic drama sector is projected to see significant growth, with a cumulative viewership of over 75.772 billion expected by 2025 on Douyin [2]. Viewership Distribution - A substantial portion of comic dramas (approximately 80%) has low viewership, while a small fraction achieves high viewership, highlighting the competitive landscape [3]. Female Market Potential - The female-oriented content market shows promising engagement, with specific tags achieving high viewership despite a limited number of female dramas [4]. Competitive Landscape - The entry of major players and the strategic use of IP resources are shaping the competitive dynamics of the industry, with platforms offering incentives for content creators [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Zhongwen Online, Rongxin Culture, Kunlun Wanwei, and others for potential investment opportunities in this growing sector [5].

Export Performance - In December, China's export year-on-year growth rate recorded 6.6%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, with a two-year average growth rate rising[3] - The main drivers of export growth were the electronics industry and high-tech products, with significant increases in exports to neighboring regions, while other regions saw declines[3] - Automotive exports continued to grow significantly, benefiting from a low base, while electronic exports also strengthened due to a decrease in the base[4] Import Trends - December's import year-on-year growth rate was 5.7%, up 3.8 percentage points from the previous month, with the growth rate exceeding the average of the past five years[5] - The increase in imports was primarily driven by higher energy imports and a significant rise in electronic product imports, particularly from the EU and Latin America[5] - Notably, imports from the EU surged by 17.9%, a rise of 16.2 percentage points, while imports from the US fell by 28.6%[5] Future Outlook - Exports are expected to maintain resilience in 2026, with a slight decrease in the growth rate center, influenced by a low base in January and February[4] - The "reciprocal tariff" policy is anticipated to lead to a significant decline in exports to the US starting April 2025, but the decline is expected to narrow after April 2026[4] - Recent agreements between China and the EU regarding electric vehicle exports are expected to boost automotive exports to Europe[4] Risks - Potential risks include slower-than-expected domestic economic recovery, weaker demand from developing countries, and unexpected declines in demand from Europe and the US[7] - Changes in import and export policies, particularly regarding tariffs, pose additional uncertainties for future trade performance[7]

传媒 2026 年 01 月 14 日 AI Agent 的 C 端新标杆：Claude Skills 投资要点： 行 业 研 究 一、Anthropic 再发 Agent 新开放标准：Claude Skills 行 业 动 态 跟 踪 2025 年 10 月 16 日，Anthropic 官网宣布推出 Claude Skills 功能， 是一种通过文件夹结构赋予 AI Agent 专业能力的创新方式。2025 年 12 月 18 日，Anthropic 将 Agent Skills 规范发布至 agentskills.io，使其 成为跨平台可移植的开放标准。微软已在 VS Code 和 GitHub 中采纳该 标准，Cursor、Goose、Amp 等主流编程 Agent 也已支持。Anthropic 在 GitHub 上的 Skills 仓库星标数已接近 4 万，社区创建和分享的 skills 数以万计。 二、Skills 搭建个性化复杂工作流，让 Agent 真正可得。 产品层面，Claude Skills 已展现出覆盖办公、设计、开发、企业 协作等场景的强大能力。 文档处理方面，Skills 可自动生 ...

行 业 研 究 传媒 2026 年 01 月 14 日 AI Agent 的 C 端新标杆：Claude Skills 投资要点： 一、Anthropic 再发 Agent 新开放标准：Claude Skills 行 业 动 态 跟 踪 2025 年 10 月 16 日，Anthropic 官网宣布推出 Claude Skills 功能， 是一种通过文件夹结构赋予 AI Agent 专业能力的创新方式。2025 年 12 月 18 日，Anthropic 将 Agent Skills 规范发布至 agentskills.io，使其 成为跨平台可移植的开放标准。微软已在 VS Code 和 GitHub 中采纳该 标准，Cursor、Goose、Amp 等主流编程 Agent 也已支持。Anthropic 在 GitHub 上的 Skills 仓库星标数已接近 4 万，社区创建和分享的 skills 数以万计。 二、Skills 搭建个性化复杂工作流，让 Agent 真正可得。 产品层面，Claude Skills 已展现出覆盖办公、设计、开发、企业 协作等场景的强大能力。 文档处理方面，Skills 可自动生 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of right-side trends in various sectors, including online gaming, Kuaishou platform, and GEO, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][10] - It also identifies sectors showing signs of bottoming out, particularly blood products, suggesting a stabilization in these areas [3][16] Thematic Analysis Outputs Right-Side Trends - Newly identified right-side trend sectors include: - Online gaming index with a 5-day increase of 11% and a year-to-date (YTD) increase of 12% [10] - Kuaishou platform index showing a 5-day increase of 20% and a YTD increase of 21% [10] - GEO index with a remarkable 5-day increase of 35% and a YTD increase of 36% [10] Bottoming Out - The blood products index has shown a 5-day increase of 2% and a YTD increase of 5%, indicating a potential recovery phase [16] - Other sectors showing signs of bottoming out include: - Pig industry index with a 5-day decrease of 1% and a YTD increase of 1% [16] - Express delivery index with a 5-day increase of 0% and a YTD increase of 1% [16] Right-Side Breakthrough Opportunities - Various indices have been identified as right-side breakthroughs, including: - Financial technology index with a 5-day increase of 3% and a YTD increase of 13% [8] - E-SIM card index with a 5-day increase of 8% and a YTD increase of 15% [8] - AIGC index with a 5-day increase of 16% and a YTD increase of 24% [8] Bottom Reversal Opportunities - Indices showing potential for bottom reversal include: - Methanol index with a 5-day increase of 1% and a YTD increase of 4% [20] - Eye medical index with a 5-day increase of 2% and a YTD increase of 6% [20] - Industrial software index with a 5-day increase of 14% and a YTD increase of 22% [20]

华福证券 宏 观 研 究 通胀上行压力不大 ——2025 年 12 月美国通胀数据点评 投资要点： 宏 核心 CPI 同比低位走平。12 月 CPI 同比持平至 2.7%，与预期一致； 核心 CPI 同比 2.6%，低于预期的 2.7%，继续处于 2021 年 4 月以来的最低 水平。环比 0.2%，也低于预期 0.3%。从分项同比上看，能源通胀继续走低 对冲食品项反弹，核心商品和核心服务均延续低位持平，整体分项数据也 大都保持平稳。 观 点 评 能源通胀走低。12 月 CPI 能源项同比增速继续降至 2.3%，较上月下行 1.9 个百分点。油价方面，下半年以来油价中枢延续稳步回落的趋势，逐步 向 60 美元附近靠拢，主要与目前原油市场大背景还是供给过剩有关。根据 EIA 的数据，2026 年进一步过剩至 226 万桶/日，指向 2026 年原油价格大 概率依旧承压，对应能源通胀继续在低位震荡，不会对整体 CPI 形成较大 的拉动。但需注意地缘政治局部升温（俄乌冲突、巴以冲突等）或驱动油 价短期波动率加剧。 汽车通胀继续下滑。12 月核心商品同比增速录得 1.4%，与上月持平。 本月新车和二手车同比增速均继续 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% over the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - GEO (Generative Engine Optimization) is a new method for enhancing the visibility of advertisements in AI models, with research showing that optimized content can increase visibility in AI-generated answers by 40% [3][4]. - The transition from traditional SEO (Search Engine Optimization) to GEO reflects a shift in focus from webpage ranking to content that is referenced and output by generative AI models [4]. - Different AI models have varying preferences for content, emphasizing authority, quality, and timeliness, which necessitates targeted content optimization for advertisers [5]. Summary by Sections Concept of GEO - GEO is defined as a method to enhance the likelihood of advertisements being selected by AI models for optimization [2]. Comparison of SEO and GEO - SEO focuses on webpage ranking in search engines, while GEO targets content visibility in generative AI outputs [4]. - The optimization methods differ, with SEO using keywords and backlinks, whereas GEO emphasizes the influence of AI-generated answers on decision-making [4]. AI Model Preferences - Various AI models prioritize different aspects of content, such as relevance, quality, and structure, which impacts how advertisers should approach content creation [5][6]. Representative Companies in GEO - Semrush, a traditional SEO service provider, is transitioning to GEO services, with projected revenue of $380 million in 2024 [6]. - Profound, a new player in the GEO space, focuses on AI-driven SEO and has raised $35 million in funding [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring the transition of the AI advertising industry towards GEO optimization [7].

Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of new investment themes, including AIGC index, photolithography, phosphor chemical industry, vehicle networking, and brain-computer interfaces, indicating a right-side breakout in these sectors [3][4] - It identifies trends in sectors such as intelligent AI, mobile payments, aluminum, and low-altitude economy, suggesting a right-side trend formation [3][4] - The report also notes stabilization at the bottom for industries like pig farming, insurance capital stakes, yellow wine, and innovative pharmaceuticals, indicating potential recovery [3][4] - Additionally, it points out bottom reversal opportunities in sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals, methanol, and industrial software, suggesting a shift in market dynamics [3][4] Right-Side Breakout Opportunities - New indices showing right-side breakout include cloud office index, big data index, and photolithography index, with respective 5-day gains of 8%, 10%, and 12% [8] - The phosphor chemical index has shown a 4% increase over 5 days, indicating a potential investment opportunity [8] - Other indices such as vehicle networking and brain-computer interface also show promising short-term performance [8] Right-Side Trend Opportunities - The report lists indices like intelligent AI and mobile payment with 5-day gains of 11% and 5% respectively, indicating a positive trend [10] - The aluminum industry index has shown a 15% increase over 20 days, suggesting strong momentum [10] - The low-altitude economy index has also demonstrated a 22% increase over 20 days, highlighting its growth potential [10] Bottom Stabilization Opportunities - The pig farming index has stabilized with a 1% gain over 5 days, indicating potential for recovery [14] - The insurance capital stake index has shown a similar trend with a 1% increase, suggesting investor confidence [14] - Other sectors like yellow wine and innovative pharmaceuticals also show signs of stabilization, with respective gains of 1% and 12% [14] Bottom Reversal Opportunities - The methanol index has shown a 6% increase over 5 days, indicating a potential reversal in market sentiment [18] - The industrial software index has demonstrated a 13% gain, suggesting a strong recovery signal [18] - The innovative pharmaceuticals index has also shown a 12% increase, indicating a positive shift in market dynamics [18]