行 华福证券 业 研 究 行 业 定 国防军工 军工本周观点：重视火箭产业链 投资要点： 本周核心观点： 本周（12.22-12.26）申万军工指数（801740）上升 6.00%，同期沪深 300 指数上升 1.95%，相对超额 4.05pct；仍主要系商业航天板块热度持续 带动，本周商业航天板块持续催化频发： 期 报 告 12 月 24 日，航天科技集团党组传达学习习近平总书记对中央企业工 作作出的重要指示精神。会议强调，要深刻理解航天科技在履行强军首责、 维护国家战略安全中的重要政治意义；为新时代新征程航天强国建设提供 坚强有力的支撑和保障。 12 月 25 日，上海市人民政府办公厅印发《关于支持长三角 G60 科创 走廊策源地建设的若干措施》的通知。通知提到，加速航空航天产业发展。 围绕卫星制造与商业运营等产业链关键环节，引育上下游重点项目；鼓励 卫星互联网技术规模化应用；支持卫星互联网星座建设。 12 月 26 日，上交所发布《上海证券交易所发行上市审核规则适用指 引第 9 号——商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准》（下称《指引》）， 旨在推进科创板第五套上市标准在商业航天等领域扩围工作，加快推进 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The year 2026 is expected to be a significant year for IO combined with ADC, with China leading the development of second-generation IO combined ADC therapies [5][24] - The immune therapy and ADC have a natural complementarity, enhancing efficacy and expanding the beneficiary population [17] - The report highlights the importance of innovative drugs, medical devices, and the focus on domestic demand in the pharmaceutical sector [5][48] Summary by Sections 1. IO+ADC: 2026 Catalyst Year - PD-1 combined with ADC has shown promising results in first-line NSCLC, with a global phase III trial expected to report results in 2026 [1.1][27] - Second-generation IO combined with ADC is progressing, with several global phase III studies initiated [1.2][39] 2. Weekly Market Review and Hotspot Tracking (Dec 22-26, 2025) - The CITIC Pharmaceutical Index fell by 0.2%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.1 percentage points [4][48] - The report notes a general decline in the pharmaceutical sector, with specific stocks like Hongyuan Pharmaceutical and Luyuan Pharmaceutical showing significant gains [4][63] 3. Investment Focus - The report suggests focusing on innovative drugs with commercial capabilities, potential blockbuster candidates, and cutting-edge technologies such as gene therapy and CAR-T [5][48] - Medical devices are highlighted as a sector with growth potential, particularly in areas like endoscopy and robotics [5][48]

华福证券 2025 年 12 月 28 日 3-5Y 中高等级利差收敛 二永债收益率大致平稳 —— 信用利差周度跟踪 20251228 投资要点： ➢ 利率债窄幅震荡短端偏强，3-5Y 中高等级信用利差收敛。本周利率债 继续震荡，中短端表现偏强，1Y 期国开债收益率较上周下行 4BP，3Y、5Y 和 7Y 期下行 1BP，10Y 期上行 2BP。信用债表现分化，3Y 和 5Y 期品种 多数跟随利率下行，中高等级品种表现略强。1Y 期 AA+及以上等级收益率 持平，AA 和 AA-级收益率上行 1BP；3Y 期 AA+及以上等级信用债收益率 下行 1-3BP，其余等级持平；5Y 期各等级信用债收益率下行 3-4BP；7Y、 10Y 期 AAA 信用债收益率下行 1-2BP，其余等级上行 2-3BP。信用利差同 样分化，1Y 期各等级信用利差上行 4-5BP；3Y 期 AA+及以上等级信用利 差下行 1-3BP，其余持平；5Y 期各等级信用债利差下行 2-3BP；7Y 期 AAA 级信用利差持平，其余等级上行 3BP；10Y 期 AAA 等级信用利差下行 4BP， 其余等级上行 0-1BP。 ➢ 本周城投债利差多 ...

行 华福证券 家用电器 2025 年 12 月 28 日 业 研 究 行 业 定 期 报 告 家用电器 多地部署 2026 年国补，关注政策落地进展—— 25W52 周观点 投资要点： 多地部署 2026 年国补，关注政策落地进展 2025 年国补政策效果显著，最后一轮补贴加速收尾。2025 年国家 通过超长期特别国债累计安排 3000 亿元专项资金，分四批次精准投放 消费品以旧换新市场。根据京九晚报，截至 12 月 24 日，补贴全国平 均消耗率超 90%，热门品类额度消耗速度持续加快。 多品类全面发力，带动消费规模超 2.5 万亿元。据商务部数据， 2025 年 1 月-11 月，消费品以旧换新带动相关商品销售额超 2.5 万亿元， 惠及超 3.6 亿人次，政策对消费的拉动作用充分释放。 中央统筹部署，优化政策实施，锚定内需与绿色发展。2025 年 12 月召开的中央经济工作会议明确要求，2026 年要优化大规模设备更新 和消费品以旧换新政策实施，核心目标包括扩大内需、促进消费升级 和绿色发展，清理消费领域不合理限制措施、释放服务消费潜力。 多地陆续部署 2026 年国补政策。截至 2025 年 12 月 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [3]. Core Insights - Cultural paper companies have announced a price increase of 200 CNY/ton starting January 1, 2026, indicating a potential recovery in paper prices. The appreciation of the RMB is favorable for raw material procurement [3]. - Despite recent fluctuations in the RMB affecting export sentiment, the report anticipates a recovery in external demand under a backdrop of interest rate cuts, with strong alpha companies expected to maintain growth trends [3]. - The State Tobacco Monopoly Administration has issued a notice to regulate the electronic cigarette industry, which is expected to enhance the competitive edge of leading companies [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The light industry manufacturing sector underperformed the market, with the industry index increasing by 1.69% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 1.95% [12]. - The packaging and printing index rose by 3.8%, while the home goods index increased by 0.21%, and the paper index rose by 4.47% [12]. 2. Home Furnishing - In November, residential sales saw an expanded decline, with furniture exports down by 12.7% year-on-year [28]. - The cumulative revenue of the furniture manufacturing industry from January to November decreased by 9.1% year-on-year [37]. 3. Paper and Packaging - As of December 26, 2025, the prices for various paper types showed mixed trends, with double glue paper at 4725 CNY/ton (unchanged) and corrugated paper down to 2930.63 CNY/ton (down 143.75 CNY/ton) [46]. - The paper industry reported a cumulative revenue decline of 2.7% year-on-year from January to November [63]. 4. New Tobacco Products - The electronic cigarette industry is expected to improve as the government enforces stricter regulations, which may enhance the competitiveness of leading firms [6]. 5. Textile and Apparel - The textile and apparel sector also underperformed, with the industry index increasing by only 0.61% [21]. - The demand for warm and sports apparel has increased due to online promotions and colder weather [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The chemical sector has shown strong performance, with the CITIC Basic Chemical Index rising by 5.41% this week, outperforming the overall market indices [2][15] - The TDI export volume reached a historical high in November, with exports totaling 56,500 tons, significantly exceeding previous years [3] - The China Synthetic Resin Association has called for the regulation of the polyoxymethylene industry to address structural supply-demand imbalances and promote high-quality development [3] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.88%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 3.9% [2][15] - The top-performing sub-industries included membrane materials (12.18%), synthetic resins (8.23%), and phosphate fertilizers (6.5%) [2][18] Key Industry Dynamics - TDI exports for the first 11 months of 2025 reached 506,300 tons, a 56.2% year-on-year increase [3] - The China Synthetic Resin Association's initiative aims to optimize investment decisions and enhance innovation in the polyoxymethylene sector, anticipating a total capacity of 1.51 million tons per year by 2025 [3] Investment Themes - The domestic tire industry shows strong competitive advantages, with recommended stocks including Sailun Tire and Linglong Tire [4] - The consumer electronics sector is expected to gradually recover, with upstream material companies likely to benefit [4] - The report highlights the resilience of certain cyclical industries, such as phosphate and fluorine chemicals, which are expected to see tightening supply-demand dynamics [8] - Leading chemical companies are anticipated to benefit from economic recovery and demand resurgence, with recommendations for companies like Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng [9]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the basic chemical industry, with significant growth in specific sub-sectors such as TDI and synthetic resins [1][2]. Core Insights - The TDI export volume reached a historical high in November, with 56,500 tons exported, significantly exceeding previous years' totals, and is projected to continue growing [2]. - The China Synthetic Resin Association has called for the regulation of the polyoxymethylene industry to address structural supply-demand imbalances, with projected production capacity reaching 1.51 million tons per year against a demand of only 950,000 tons by 2025 [2]. - The chemical sector overall has shown strong performance, with the CITIC Basic Chemical Index rising by 5.41% this week, outperforming other indices [1][10]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.88%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 3.9%, indicating a bullish trend in the market [1][10]. - The top-performing sub-sectors in the chemical industry this week included membrane materials (12.18%), synthetic resins (8.23%), and phosphate fertilizers (6.5%) [1][13]. Sub-sector Summaries TDI - November TDI exports reached 56,500 tons, with a cumulative export of 506,300 tons from January to November, marking a 56.2% year-on-year increase [2]. - The average export price for TDI in October was $1,527 per ton, with a total export value of $67.1 million [2]. Polyoxymethylene - The industry faces challenges due to a projected capacity of 1.51 million tons against a demand of only 950,000 tons, leading to potential oversupply issues [2]. Tires - Domestic tire manufacturers are becoming increasingly competitive, with a focus on growth opportunities in the tire sector [2]. Phosphate Chemicals - The phosphate chemical sector is expected to benefit from environmental policies limiting supply, coupled with increasing demand from the new energy sector [4]. Vitamins - The market for vitamins is experiencing supply disruptions, particularly for Vitamin A and E, due to unforeseen circumstances affecting production [5].

行 业 研 究 华福证券 机械设备 2025 年 12 月 28 日 太空脑机接口首试成功，深空神经探索启新程 投资要点： 突破技术壁垒，在轨验证创举 行 业 定 期 报 告 近日，西北工业大学牵头开发的两套太空专用小鼠无线植入式脑 机接口微系统，搭载"迪迩五号・中国科技城号"空间试验器成功升空 并进入预定轨道，目前运行稳定、数据正常回传。此次任务是国际首 次在太空环境下开展该类设备长期在轨离体验证，核心包含自研多通 道柔性微电极、神经信号采集芯片等关键部件，创新采用"动物舱" 与"独立舱"双室协同验证模式，攻克了太空复杂环境下信号采集、 长期稳定性等技术难题。 筑牢科研基础，赋能未来探索 该试验为后续无约束小动物在体在轨神经信号采集提供关键数据 与技术支撑，助力揭示太空对神经的影响机制、保障航天员脑健康。 其技术未来有望应用于月球/火星基地长期驻留任务，为人类深空探测 筑牢健康基石，同时推动中国植入式脑机接口技术迈入"太空时代"， 为脑科学太空探索及新质生产力发展注入强劲动力。 "十五五"重点赛道，脑机接口市场规模有望快速增长 根据 precedence research，2024 年全球脑机接口市场规模约 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [6][13]. Core Insights - As of December 26, 2025, China's high-speed rail operating mileage officially surpassed 50,000 kilometers, accounting for over 70% of the global total, solidifying its position as the world leader in high-speed rail [3][4]. - The development of high-speed rail has facilitated "inter-provincial commuting" and "fast travel with slow tourism," with passenger volume reaching 1.46 billion in the first four months of 2025, contributing to regional coordination, rural revitalization, and green travel [4]. - The Chinese government has set ambitious targets for railway expansion, aiming for a total railway network of approximately 200,000 kilometers by 2035, including 70,000 kilometers of high-speed rail, creating vast market opportunities for the rail transit equipment industry [5]. Company Summaries - China CNR Corporation: A global leader in rail transit equipment, maintaining the top position in global rail transit equipment revenue [5]. - China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation: A leading provider of rail transit control systems, specializing in rail traffic control technology [5]. - Times Electric: A leading supplier of traction and conversion systems, consistently leading the domestic market [5]. - Sifang Control: A core supplier in the field of high-speed rail comprehensive monitoring, specializing in railway transport safety assurance [5]. - Shenzhou High-speed Rail: A leading enterprise in intelligent operation and maintenance equipment for rail transit, serving a wide range of clients including national railways and urban rail [5]. - Huifeng Technology: Focused on rail transit services, providing operation and maintenance equipment and integrated solutions with rich technical development and project implementation experience [5].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [9][18]. Core Insights - Hangzhou Yundongchu Technology Co., Ltd. has officially initiated its IPO guidance, with CITIC Securities as the advisory institution, and has a clear shareholding structure [3]. - The company, founded in 2017, focuses on the research, production, and sales of quadruped robots, humanoid robots, and core components, having launched multiple product series [5]. - As of December 2025, the company has completed nine rounds of financing, with the latest C round exceeding 500 million yuan, indicating strong interest from various institutional investors [5]. - The humanoid robot market in China is projected to reach nearly 38 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 61% from 2024 to 2030, and sales expected to grow from approximately 4,000 units to 271,200 units [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Yundongchu Technology is led by a professor from Zhejiang University and is part of the "Hangzhou Six Little Dragons" [5]. - The company has undergone a share reform and changed its corporate type, with the controlling shareholder holding 32.60% of the shares [3]. Market Potential - The development of sufficiently intelligent humanoid robots is seen as a significant technological direction that could benefit humanity by taking over repetitive physical labor [6]. - NVIDIA's CEO has stated that the era of robots has arrived, and embodied intelligence is the next wave of artificial intelligence [6]. Financing and Growth - The company has achieved substantial financing results, with the latest round attracting strategic investments from institutions like CMB International and Huaxia Fund [5]. - The increasing heat in the robotics sector is highlighted by the concurrent IPO guidance of another company in the same field [5].