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世运电路:1H24营收利润双增,深耕优势领域,拓展新兴赛道
中银证券· 2024-09-02 05:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][3] Core Views - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2024, driven by robust orders and optimized product structure, achieving revenue of RMB 2.396 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 303 million, up 54.49% year-on-year [2][3] - The automotive electronics sector remains the largest sales segment for the company, with a focus on expanding into the new energy vehicle market and enhancing its market share in automotive PCBs [2][3] - The company has proactively developed its AI business, achieving mass production capabilities for various high-tech PCBs required for AI servers, positioning itself as a key supplier for major international clients [2][3] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 5.423 billion, RMB 6.263 billion, and RMB 7.236 billion for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits of RMB 627 million, RMB 748 million, and RMB 898 million for the same years [3][4] - The report indicates an expected EPS of RMB 0.95, RMB 1.14, and RMB 1.36 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20.1, 16.8, and 14.0 [3][4]
承德露露:淡季营收增速亮眼,后续成本红利有望逐季释放
中银证券· 2024-09-02 05:09
食品饮料 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2024 年 9 月 2 日 000848.SZ 买入 原评级:买入 市场价格:人民币 7.27 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 (24%) (17%) (10%) (3%) 4% 11% Sep-23Oct-23Nov-23Dec-23Jan-24Feb-24Mar-24Apr-24May-24Jun-24Jul-24Aug-24 承德露露 深圳成指 绝对 (7.5) (4.8) (16.4) (15.3) 相对深圳成指 3.7 (3.4) (5.4) 5.1 | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------|------------|----------| | | | | | 发行股数 ( 百万 ) | | 1,052.55 | | 流通股 ( 百万 ) | | 1,039.53 | | 总市值 ( 人民币 百万 ) | | 7,652.07 | | 3 个月日均交易额 ( 人民币 | 百万 ) | 73.74 | | 主要股东 | | | | 万向三农集 ...
中国石油:经营业绩稳健向好,天然气产销持续增长
中银证券· 2024-09-02 05:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a market price of RMB 8.93 and a sector rating of "Outperform" [12][14]. Core Views - The company's operating performance is steadily improving, with continuous growth in natural gas production and sales [3][14]. - The report highlights that the average realized price of crude oil increased by 8.1% year-on-year, which is higher than the international oil price [14]. - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 15,538.69 billion in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.00% [15]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was RMB 886.07 billion, up 3.91% year-on-year [15]. Financial Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: - Main revenue for 2022 was RMB 3,239,167 million, with a growth rate of 23.9%. For 2023, it is projected to be RMB 3,011,012 million, reflecting a decline of 7.0% [4]. - EBITDA for 2022 was RMB 400,121 million, expected to decrease to RMB 323,727 million in 2023 [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 149,375 million in 2022, projected to increase to RMB 161,144 million in 2023, a growth of 7.9% [4]. - **Quarterly Performance**: - In Q2 2024, total operating revenue was RMB 7,416.85 billion, a slight decrease of 0.76% compared to Q2 2023 [5]. - Net profit for Q2 2024 was RMB 429.26 billion, up 3.07% year-on-year [5]. - **Cost Structure**: - Total operating costs for the first half of 2024 were RMB 14,388.8 billion, an increase of 4.93% from the previous year [15]. - The report notes a significant reduction in financial expenses by 26.08% year-on-year [15]. - **Dividends**: - The company plans to distribute a mid-year dividend of RMB 0.22 per share, with a payout ratio of 45.44%, marking a record high for the period [14][15]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is expected to maintain high capital expenditures, with a focus on oil and gas as well as renewable energy sectors, projected at RMB 2,580 billion for 2024 [14]. - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in natural gas sales and the chemical sector, despite a decline in refined oil sales [14].
电力设备与新能源行业8月第5周周报:硅片价格酝酿涨价,多家企业固态电池发布
中银证券· 2024-09-01 12:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment and new energy sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that silicon wafer prices are expected to rise, with several companies announcing solid-state battery releases. The supply-demand relationship in the photovoltaic sector is gradually easing, and it is anticipated that the silicon material segment will be the first to complete capacity clearance. Longi has raised silicon wafer prices, which may positively impact industry profitability. The demand for inverters remains strong, and it is recommended to prioritize segments with favorable industry structures and clear supply optimization [1]. - In the wind power sector, domestic offshore wind bidding and construction are expected to progress steadily, with plans for deep-sea demonstration projects gradually being introduced. The overseas market is anticipated to see demand release starting in 2025, driven by declining interest rates and project planning, suggesting a focus on tower foundations and submarine cable segments that benefit from offshore wind and overseas expansion logic [1]. - In the electric vehicle sector, material segments continue to face profitability pressures, but it is expected that material price declines will ease in the second half of the year, leading to potential profitability recovery. The solid-state battery industrialization is accelerating, and companies with layouts in relevant fields are expected to benefit [1]. - The domestic power equipment sector is continuously promoting power system reforms, with new policies expected to accelerate the construction of ultra-high voltage and main grid infrastructure, maintaining high demand for related grid equipment. The overseas demand for grid renovation is also robust, suggesting a focus on main grid segments benefiting from ultra-high voltage demand and distribution network segments with overseas expansion logic [1]. - The hydrogen energy sector is seeing continuous policy support for industrialization, with recommendations to focus on electrolyzer manufacturers with cost and technology advantages, as well as companies benefiting from hydrogen infrastructure construction [1]. Market Performance - The power equipment and new energy sector rose by 4.32% this week, outperforming the broader market. The wind power sector increased by 7.41%, while the photovoltaic sector rose by 7.34% [1][7].
化工行业周报:国际油价震荡,三氯蔗糖企业调价
中银证券· 2024-09-01 12:02
Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The report highlights the arrival of the traditional peak season, suggesting to focus on high-quality leading companies in sectors like vitamins, polyester filament, and refrigerants, which have relatively high prosperity [1][6] - It emphasizes the potential for recovery in the semiconductor industry and the importance of large energy state-owned enterprises in improving operational performance under the new era [1][6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance and Price Changes - During the week of August 26 to September 1, 31 out of 101 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 41 experienced declines, and 29 remained stable [1][6] - The average price of WTI crude oil fell by 1.71% to $73.55 per barrel, and Brent crude oil decreased by 0.28% to $78.80 per barrel [1][6] - The average price of methanol increased by 2.76% to 2,193 CNY per ton, driven by improved demand in the olefin industry [1][6] Investment Recommendations - As of September 1, the SW basic chemical sector's price-to-earnings ratio (TTM excluding negative values) is 18.08, at the 38.29% historical percentile [1][6] - The report recommends focusing on sectors with sustained prosperity, such as fluorochemicals, animal nutrition, and polyester filament, which are expected to benefit from supply-demand improvements [1][6] Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include China Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, China Petrochemical Corporation, and leading firms in semiconductor materials and fluorochemicals [1][6] - September's "Golden Stocks" include Wanhua Chemical and Yake Technology, both showing strong performance and growth potential [2][10]
8月PMI数据点评:低预期下制造企业生产采购意愿下滑
中银证券· 2024-09-01 09:21
Economic Overview - The manufacturing PMI for August is 49.1%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from July, indicating continued contraction in manufacturing activity[1] - The new orders index for August is 48.9%, down 0.4 percentage points from July, reflecting weak demand[2] - The production index stands at 49.8%, a decline of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, marking the first contraction since March[2] Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing sectors, such as electrical machinery and computer equipment, show resilience with new orders indices above the expansion threshold, increasing by 4.1 and 0.7 percentage points respectively[3] - General and specialized equipment manufacturing also maintain high activity levels, with new orders indices rising by 6.4 and 5.1 percentage points respectively[4] Employment and Inventory Trends - The employment index in manufacturing is at 48.1%, down 0.2 percentage points from July, indicating a decline in workforce engagement[2] - The raw materials inventory index is at 47.6%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points, while the finished goods inventory index has increased to 48.5%, up 0.7 percentage points[2] Non-Manufacturing Insights - The non-manufacturing PMI slightly increased to 50.3%, up 0.1 percentage points from July, indicating marginal improvement in the service sector[6] - The new orders index for non-manufacturing is at 46.3%, a rise of 0.6 percentage points, while the new export orders index fell to 47.6%, down 2.0 percentage points from July[6] Risks and Outlook - The report highlights risks such as unexpected resilience in overseas inflation and geopolitical uncertainties that could impact economic stability[4]
青岛啤酒:2Q24量价承压,成本红利加速释放
中银证券· 2024-09-01 07:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the company's stock price will outperform the benchmark index by more than 20% over the next 6-12 months [4][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 20.07 billion RMB for the first half of 2024, a decrease of 7.1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 3.64 billion RMB, an increase of 6.3% year-on-year [4][6]. - The main brand's performance was subdued, with a decline in sales volume and pressure on unit prices in the second quarter of 2024 [4][6]. - Cost benefits are accelerating, leading to improved profitability despite revenue declines, with a focus on high-quality development and inventory management [4][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H24, the company achieved a revenue of 20.07 billion RMB, down 7.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.64 billion RMB, up 6.3% year-on-year [4][6]. - The average selling price per ton in 1H24 was 4,335 RMB, with sales volume decreasing by 7.8% to 463 million hectoliters [4][6]. - The gross margin improved to 41.6%, up 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, due to a significant reduction in unit costs [4][6]. Cost and Expenses - The unit cost in 2Q24 decreased by 5.4% year-on-year, contributing to a 3.1% reduction in unit costs for 1H24 [4][6]. - Selling expenses were managed prudently, with a slight decrease in the selling expense ratio [4][6]. Future Outlook - Short-term revenue growth may face challenges due to weak consumer demand, but the company expects double-digit growth in net profit for 2024 due to cost benefits [4][6]. - The company is committed to high-quality development and has been enhancing inventory management, which is expected to support stable operations in the future [4][6]. Valuation - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2024-2026 are 3.45 RMB, 3.73 RMB, and 3.99 RMB, representing year-on-year growth rates of 10.1%, 8.3%, and 7.0% respectively [5][6]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the same period are projected at 17.3, 15.9, and 14.9 times [5][6].
蓝思科技:组装业务带动2024H1营收增长,控费效果显著
中银证券· 2024-09-01 07:30
300433.SZ 买入 原评级:买入 市场价格:人民币 17.57 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (24%) (5%) 15% 34% 53% 72% Sep-23Oct-23Nov-23Dec-23Jan-24Feb-24Mar-24Apr-24May-24Jun-24Jul-24Aug-24 蓝思科技 深圳成指 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 34.5 (0.1) 16.0 44.3 相对深圳成指 45.7 1.4 27.0 64.6 发行股数 (百万) 4,983.07 流通股 (百万) 4,960.89 总市值 (人民币 百万) 87,552.54 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) 872.16 主要股东 蓝思科技(香港)有限公司 56.28 资料来源:公司公告,Wind,中银证券 以 2024 年 8 月 30 日收市价为标准 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 电子:消费电子 证券分析师:苏凌瑶 lingyao.su@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号:S1300522080003 联系人:周世辉 shihui.zhou@bocic ...
中银证券:中银晨会聚焦-20240831
中银证券· 2024-08-31 03:29
Key Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the electronic sector, particularly for the company 普冉股份, which reported a significant revenue increase of 91.22% year-on-year for the first half of 2024, reaching 896 million yuan, and achieved a net profit of 136 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [2][3] - The construction materials sector, represented by 垒知集团, experienced a decline in revenue by 21.06% year-on-year, totaling 1.179 billion yuan, with a net profit decrease of 42.02% to 72 million yuan [5][6] - In the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector, 三友医疗 reported a revenue drop of 24.86% in the first half of 2024, amounting to 212 million yuan, but showed signs of recovery with a 3.51% year-on-year increase in Q2 revenue [8][9] Electronic Sector - The company 普冉股份 benefited from a recovery in demand from downstream consumer electronics, leading to a notable increase in shipment volumes and a return to profitability [2] - The storage business segment achieved a revenue of 724 million yuan in the first half of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 70.81%, with a gross margin of 34.81% [3][4] - The "storage+" strategy is being effectively implemented, with revenue from this segment reaching 172 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 284.61% [4] Construction Materials Sector - 垒知集团's revenue for the first half of 2024 was 1.179 billion yuan, down 21.06% from the previous year, with a significant drop in net profit [5][6] - The company faced challenges with cash flow, reporting a negative operating cash flow of 74 million yuan in the first half of 2024, a shift from positive to negative [6] Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Sector - 三友医疗's Q2 results showed a revenue increase of 45.38% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a potential turning point for the company after a challenging period [8][9] - The company is focusing on enhancing its R&D capabilities, with R&D expenses increasing by 47.09% year-on-year, reflecting a commitment to innovation and market competitiveness [9]
中国石化:经营业绩稳健向好,分红比例持续高位
中银证券· 2024-08-29 08:40
石油石化 | 证券研究报告 — 盈利预测调整 2024 年 8 月 29 日 600028.SH 买入 原评级:买入 市场价格:人民币 7.10 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (14%) (6%) 1% 9% 17% 24% Aug-23Oct-23Nov-23Dec-23Jan-24Feb-24Mar-24Apr-24May-24Jun-24Jul-24Aug-24 中国石化 上证综指 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 26.3 7.9 7.7 14.5 相对上证综指 30.5 9.8 16.5 22.9 发行股数 (百万) 121,699.82 流通股 (百万) 119,309.39 总市值 (人民币 百万) 864,068.75 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) 884.31 主要股东 中国石油化工集团有限公司 68.23 资料来源:公司公告,Wind,中银证券 以 2024 年 8 月 28 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 《中国石化》20240328 《中国石化》20230922 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 石油石化:炼化及贸易 证券分析师:余嫄嫄 ...