Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for China Hongqiao Group [3][4][10] Core Views - Rising prices of aluminum products and decreasing costs of major raw materials have significantly improved the company's profitability [8][9] - The company has a fully integrated industrial chain, which provides substantial cost advantages [9] - The global economic outlook is positive, with expectations for continued growth in aluminum demand driven by industries such as photovoltaics and new energy vehicles [9][10] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2024, the company achieved operating income of RMB 73.59 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.0% [7] - Gross profit reached RMB 17.80 billion, up 202.1% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 24.2%, an increase of 15.2 percentage points [7] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 9.155 billion, a year-on-year increase of 272.7% [7] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HK$0.59 per share, a 73.5% increase year-on-year [7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for operating income from 2024 to 2026 is RMB 1497.7 billion, RMB 1569.9 billion, and RMB 165.24 billion respectively [10] - Expected EPS for the same period is RMB 1.99, RMB 2.03, and RMB 2.20 per share [10] - The target price is set at HK$15.12, based on a valuation of 8x PER for 2024 [10] Segment Performance - Electrolytic aluminum segment reported revenue of RMB 49.31 billion, a 7.2% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 24.6% [8] - Alumina segment achieved revenue of RMB 16.20 billion, a 19.7% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 25.4% [8] - Aluminum processing segment saw revenue of RMB 7.58 billion, a 34.3% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 21.0% [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform" for most tracked companies, with a few rated as "Neutral" [2][3]. Core Insights - In August 2024, 5 out of 8 tracked industries maintained positive growth, while 3 experienced negative growth. The only industry achieving double-digit growth is high-end liquor, primarily driven by Kweichow Moutai. Industries with single-digit growth include food and beverage, frozen food, soft drinks, and condiments, while general liquor, dairy products, and beer saw negative growth. Compared to the previous month, 3 industries showed accelerated growth or narrowed declines, while 5 industries experienced a slowdown [3][23]. Summary by Category Liquor - **High-end and Above Liquor**: In August, revenue reached 22.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%. Cumulative revenue from January to August was 268.9 billion yuan, up 13.5% year-on-year. The industry is in a consumption off-season, focusing on maintaining channel relationships and product pricing [5][6]. - **General and Below Liquor**: Revenue in August was 17 billion yuan, down 9.1% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue from January to August at 151.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.8%. The market remains fragmented, with many small enterprises facing declines, while regional leaders gain market share [7]. Beer - The beer industry generated 17.5 billion yuan in August, a decline of 2.0% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue of 131.2 billion yuan, down 1.9%. The industry is expected to see a low single-digit decline in annual sales, with a shift towards premium products [8][9]. Condiments - Revenue for the condiment industry in August was 36.8 billion yuan, an increase of 3.1% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue of 294.2 billion yuan, up 4.1%. Demand remains limited post-summer peak, with increased competition in the market [10][11]. Dairy Products - The dairy industry reported revenue of 42.5 billion yuan in August, down 4.3% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue of 311.3 billion yuan, a decline of 7.6%. There are signs of improvement in channel stocking ahead of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day [12]. Frozen Food - August revenue for the frozen food industry was 8.4 billion yuan, up 5.0% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue of 74.2 billion yuan, an increase of 7.6%. The market is stable, with promotional activities boosting sales [15]. Soft Drinks - The soft drink industry generated 70.1 billion yuan in August, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, with cumulative revenue of 484.6 billion yuan, up 4.6%. Demand is expected to decline as the summer season ends [17]. Dining - The dining sector's revenue totaled 17 billion yuan in August, a 7.0% year-on-year increase, with cumulative revenue of 120.5 billion yuan, up 5.4%. Increased promotional activities have led to a decrease in average spending per customer [19][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for ANE (Cayman) (9956 HK) with a target price of HKD 11.55, up from the previous target of HKD 8.95 [4][7] Core Views - ANE Logistics demonstrated strong growth in 24Q2, with revenue increasing by 16.2% YoY to RMB 5.289 billion and adjusted net profit surging by 82.4% YoY to RMB 430 million [3][7] - The company's profitability improved significantly, with gross margin reaching 16.6% in 24Q2, a 4.5 percentage point increase from 12.1% in 23Q2 [3][7] - ANE Logistics is expected to achieve total revenue of RMB 12.35 billion in 2024, representing a 24.6% YoY growth, with an adjusted net profit margin of 6.8% and net profit of RMB 840 million [4][7] Financial Performance - In 24H1, ANE Logistics' total freight volume reached 6.42 million tons, up 20.5% YoY, with 24Q2 volume at 3.55 million tons, a 19.7% YoY increase [3] - The company optimized its freight structure, increasing the proportion of high-margin goods and reducing the average weight per ticket by 5.3% [3] - Unit operating costs decreased by 8.4% YoY in 24Q2, with trunk line transportation costs down 6.4% and sorting center costs down 23.4% [3] Network and Infrastructure - As of 24H1, ANE Logistics operated 83 self-owned sorting centers, optimizing its network by focusing on main hubs and eliminating inefficient small sorting centers [3] - The company's increased network density improved coverage and service quality [3] Valuation and Forecast - The report values ANE Logistics at 10X based on current market value, but suggests a fair valuation of 15X, corresponding to the target price of HKD 11.55 [4][7] - Gross margin is expected to improve further, reaching 14.0% in 2024E, 15.3% in 2025E, and 16.2% in 2026E [6] - Adjusted EBIT margin is projected to grow from 7.3% in 2023 to 11.5% in 2026E, while net margin (non-HKFRS) is expected to increase from 5.1% in 2023 to 8.6% in 2026E [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 15.16, reflecting a significant adjustment from the previous target of RMB 97.07 after a stock split [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 2.96 billion for H1 2024, a decrease of 3.61% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 192 million, down 22.70% year-on-year. However, Q2 showed a recovery with a net profit of RMB 186 million, up 44.66% year-on-year, driven by effective cost control measures [2][12]. - The digital cost business demonstrated resilience with a revenue of RMB 2.46 billion, an increase of 4.23% year-on-year, attributed to enhanced product value and increased renewal rates. Conversely, the digital construction business faced a decline of 37.46% year-on-year, prompting a strategic shift towards quality over scale [3][12]. - The company launched an AI platform, AecGPT, aimed at transforming the construction industry through automation and decision-making capabilities across various sectors [3][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - H1 2024 revenue was RMB 2.96 billion, down 3.61% YoY; net profit was RMB 192 million, down 22.70% YoY; Q2 revenue was RMB 1.66 billion, down 5.61% YoY, but net profit increased to RMB 186 million, up 44.66% YoY [2][12]. - The company expects revenue growth for 2024-2026 to be RMB 6.81 billion, RMB 7.25 billion, and RMB 7.79 billion, respectively, with net profits projected at RMB 614 million, RMB 860 million, and RMB 1.09 billion [5][12]. Business Segments - Digital cost business revenue was RMB 2.46 billion, up 4.23% YoY, while digital construction revenue was RMB 288 million, down 37.46% YoY. The digital design segment saw a revenue of RMB 35 million, down 22.03% YoY, and overseas business revenue was RMB 106 million, up 11.29% YoY [3][12]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its product structure and increasing the share of self-developed software and hardware in its construction business [3][12]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates a significant recovery in net profit for 2024, projecting a growth of 429.6% year-on-year, followed by 40.2% and 26.7% in the subsequent years [5][12]. - The introduction of AI-driven solutions is expected to enhance operational efficiency and market competitiveness, positioning the company favorably for future growth [3][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Yongan Futures, indicating expected growth above the market benchmark over the next 12-18 months [18]. Core Insights - Yongan Futures reported a significant improvement in Q2 net profit, with a revenue of RMB 12.11 billion for H1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 0.31 billion, down 25.4% year-on-year [15][18]. - The company experienced a notable recovery in Q2, with revenue reaching RMB 7.77 billion, up 17.7% year-on-year, and net profit of RMB 0.23 billion, up 12.7% compared to a drastic decline of 62.6% in Q1 [15][18]. - Investment income showed a significant increase, with total investment profit and fair value changes amounting to RMB 0.43 billion, a 70% increase year-on-year [15][18]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2024, the company's revenue from futures brokerage was RMB 0.49 billion, down 21% year-on-year, while net transaction fee income was RMB 0.20 billion, down 36% [16]. - The risk management business saw a revenue of RMB 11.3 billion, reflecting a 1.5% year-on-year increase, with significant growth in OTC derivatives and market-making activities [16][17]. - The overseas business reported a revenue of RMB 0.3 billion, a substantial increase of 68% year-on-year, driven by a 75% rise in overseas futures brokerage trading volume [17]. Business Segment Analysis - The asset management segment rebounded with revenue of RMB 0.11 billion, up 74% year-on-year, while fund sales revenue decreased by 24% to RMB 0.24 billion [17]. - The futures brokerage segment faced challenges with a trading volume decline of 13.5% year-on-year, leading to a decrease in client equity by 24.7% from the beginning of the year [16][18]. - The report highlights the company's strong position in the domestic futures industry, projecting EPS for 2024 and 2025 at RMB 0.46 and RMB 0.49 respectively, with a target price of RMB 13.42 based on a 29x PE ratio for 2024 [18].

研究报告 Research Report 29 Aug 2024 川恒股份 Guizhou Chanhen Chemical (002895 CH) 2024H1 扣非后净利润同比增长 28%，公司拟收购黔进矿业 58.5%股权 Recurring Net Profit up 28% in 2024H1, the Company Intends to Acquire 58.5% Stake in Qianjin Mining Industry | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------|---------------------|---------------|--------------------------------|-----------------------| | [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 \n评级 | | | Maintain OUTPERFORM \n优于大市 | OUTPERFORM | | 现价 | | | | Rmb16.83 ...

研究报告 Research Report 29 Aug 2024 云图控股 Chengdu Wintrue Holding (002539 CH) 2024H1 扣非后净利润同比增长 17.10%，复合肥海外销量稳步增长 Recurring Net Profit up 17.10% YOY in 2024H1; the Sales Volume of Compound Fertilizer Grows Steadily [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------|----------|---------------------|-----------------------| | [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 | | | Maintain OUTPERFORM | | | 评级 | | | 优于大市 | OUTPERFORM | ...

研究报告 Research Report 29 Aug 2024 泰格医药 Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (300347 CH) 点评： 24Q2 业绩环比恢复趋势明显，针对性业务策略推动长期增长 Review: Obvious Recovery Trend of 24Q2 , Targeted Business Strategies to Promote Long-term Growth | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------|---------------|------------------------|-------------| | [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 | | | | | 评级 | | 优于大市 | OUTPERFORM | | 现价 | | | Rmb48.68 | | 目标价 | | | Rmb58.46 | | HTI ESG | | | 4.0-3.2-4.5 | | E-S-G: 0-5, | | | | | 义利评级 | | | | | 来源: 盟浪 | | | | | ...

Equity – Asia Research 印度大宗原料药的"China+1"策略 ——印度PLI计划原料药产业研究 India's Bulk Drug "China+1" Strategy: A Study of India's PLI Scheme 孟科含Kehan Meng, kh.meng@htisec.com 聂照亿John Nie, john.zy.nie@htisec.com 2024年8月28日 本研究报告由海通国际分销，海通国际是由海通国际研究有限公司，海通证券印度私人有限公司，海通国际株式会社和海通国际证券集团其他各成员单位的证券 研究团队所组成的全球品牌，海通国际证券集团各成员分别在其许可的司法管辖区内从事证券活动。关于海通国际的分析师证明，重要披露声明和免责声明，请 参阅附录。(Please see appendix for English translation of the disclaimer) 印度PLI计划：短期效果并不显著，关注长期产能提升 •中国是印度维生素、抗生素最大的进口国。2020年印度提出PLI计划前，印度进口的前50大产品中（按进口金额），有20个品种 印度的 ...

研究报告 Research Report 29 Aug 2024 泰格医药 Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (300347 CH) 点评： 24Q2 业绩环比恢复趋势明显，针对性业务策略推动长期增长 Review: Obvious Recovery Trend of 24Q2 , Targeted Business Strategies to Promote Long-term Growth | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------|---------------|------------------------|-------------| | [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 | | | | | 评级 | | 优于大市 | OUTPERFORM | | 现价 | | | Rmb48.68 | | 目标价 | | | Rmb58.46 | | HTI ESG | | | 4.0-3.2-4.5 | | E-S-G: 0-5, | | | | | 义利评级 | | | | | 来源: 盟浪 | | | | | ...