Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating for China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (386 HK) at a current price of HK$4.65 and a target price of HK$6.09 [2][19]. Core Insights - The company aims to enhance identification and promote enterprise valuation through share buy-backs and high dividend yields, with a planned annual cash dividend payout ratio of no less than 65% over the next three years [4][24]. - In the first half of 2024, the company reported revenue of RMB 1,576.1 billion, a decrease of 1.1% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 35.7 billion, an increase of 1.7% year-on-year [4][24]. - The exploration and production segment benefited from rising oil prices, with Brent crude averaging USD 83.42 per barrel, up 4.38% year-on-year, and a 2.97% increase in oil and gas equivalent production [4][9]. - The refining segment saw a revenue increase of 2.8% year-on-year but a significant profit decline of 37.6% [12]. - The chemical segment reported a revenue increase of 5.3% year-on-year but incurred an operating loss of RMB 3.164 billion, indicating ongoing challenges in this area [15][17]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are RMB 3,218.0 billion, RMB 3,298.7 billion, and RMB 3,331.7 billion respectively, with net profit estimates of RMB 72.7 billion, RMB 74.4 billion, and RMB 76.5 billion [3][19]. - The diluted EPS is forecasted to be RMB 0.60, RMB 0.61, and RMB 0.62 for 2024-2026 [19]. Business Segment Performance - The exploration and production segment's operating profit increased by 14.7% year-on-year, driven by higher oil prices and production levels [9][10]. - The refining segment's operating income was RMB 749.67 billion, but profits fell due to decreased margins on diesel products [12][13]. - The chemical segment continues to struggle, with a reported loss and declining production of key products like ethylene [15][17]. Market Position and Valuation - The company has a market capitalization of HK$812.11 billion (approximately USD 104.16 billion) and a P/E ratio projected to decrease from 9 in 2024 to 7 in 2026 [2][19]. - The report suggests a reasonable valuation of HK$5.54 to HK$6.09 based on a P/B multiple of 0.8 times the 2024 BPS [19].

Economic Overview - Major global stock markets declined last week, with the Nikkei 225 index experiencing the largest drop of 5.8%[6] - The IPE Brent crude oil futures fell by 9.3%[6] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield decreased by 19 basis points to 3.72%[6] - The U.S. dollar index dropped by 0.5% to 101.2[6] Employment and Inflation - In August, the U.S. added 142,000 non-farm jobs, but previous months' data were significantly revised downwards, with a three-month average of 116,000 jobs added[8] - The unemployment rate slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 4.2%[8] - The 5-year inflation expectations fell by 15 basis points to 1.86%, while the 10-year expectations decreased by 12 basis points to 2.0%[9] Monetary Policy Expectations - Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September remain at 100%, with a 70% probability of a 25 basis point cut[9] - The anticipated total rate cut for the year has increased from 100 basis points to 125 basis points, with expectations of 50 basis points cuts in both November and December[12] - The European Central Bank (ECB) is also expected to cut rates in September, while the Bank of Japan may continue to raise rates[16] European Economic Indicators - In July, the Eurozone's retail sales index showed a year-on-year decline of 0.1%, a narrowing of the previous month's decline by 0.3 percentage points[14] - The Eurozone PPI year-on-year decline was -2.1%, an improvement of 1.2 percentage points from the previous month[14]

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 9 Sep 2024 香港美国其他金融服务 Hong Kong US Other Financial Services 虚拟资产周报：市场低迷运行中 Crypto Weekly: A Gloomy Week 周琦 Nicole Zhou, CFA nicole.q.zhou@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 涨跌幅回顾 9/02-9/06，BTC -9.7%，ETH -12.0%，SOL -10.9%。标普 500 -3.3%、纳斯达克综合指数-4.7%、上证综指-2.7%，恒生指 数-1.9%，黄金-0.2%。 重点关注事件 ETH 价格下跌原因及影响： - 链上活动自 3 月中的峰值减少。平均 gas 费自 2015 年发布以来降低到最低水平，源于 ETH 主网缺乏创新应 用，研发者和用户转移至更快成本更低的 Layer 2 网络，或者用户体验更好的其他 Lay ...

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 7 Sep 2024 中国电新与火电 China (A-share) Power Equipment & New Energy & Thermal Power 国际能源与 ESG 周报 (8/26-9/1): 中国发布《中国的能源转型》白皮书，美国先进能 源联合会称 FERC 需要更多的改革 Global Energy and ESG Updates: China released "China's Energy Transformation", and the U.S. Advanced Energy United Said FERC Needs More Reforms 杨斌 Bin Yang 余小龙 Bruce Yu 毛琼佩 Olivia Mao bin.yang@htisec.com bruce.xl.yu@htisec.com olivia.qp.mao@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - Genesis Minerals achieved gold production of 134,451 ounces in FY24, a year-on-year increase of 501%[1] - The company met its production target of 130,000-140,000 ounces[1] - The All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC) was A$2,356 per ounce, aligning with the target range of A$2,300-2,400 per ounce[1] Group 2: Cost Management - AISC was approximately 5% below the company's budget due to successful drilling and model updates[5] - The grinding cost at Laverton and mining cost at GMS were successfully reduced[5] Group 3: Project Highlights - Gwalia delivered 723,128 tonnes of ore, yielding 125,612 ounces of gold at a grade of 5.40 g/t[7] - Admiral delivered 556,195 tonnes of ore with a grade of 1.17 g/t, resulting in 20,876 ounces of gold[7] - Ulysses site infrastructure was established with a capital expenditure of A$639 million, 55% ahead of the five-year plan[7] Group 4: Future Outlook - Genesis Minerals plans to further develop soft ore at Gwalia over the next five years, extending mining depth and width[8] - Overall ore output and capital investment are expected to increase year by year[8] Group 5: Risks - Potential risks include weaker-than-expected mine development activities and significant fluctuations in gold prices[9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a current price of HK$6.20 and a target price of HK$6.66 [3][6]. Core Insights - The company has successfully enhanced operational efficiency through business restructuring and cost-saving measures, achieving a total revenue of HKD 27.496 billion in 2024H1, a decrease of 5.76% year-on-year, while core profit increased by 2.21% to HKD 3.186 billion [8][12]. - The company's strategic focus on green energy is showing promise, with significant growth in its renewable energy initiatives, including a 51% year-on-year increase in the production of SAF and HVO [11][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of HKD 56.971 billion for Dec-23A, with projections of HKD 59.777 billion for Dec-24E, HKD 62.446 billion for Dec-25E, and HKD 64.947 billion for Dec-26E [4][12]. - The attributable net profit for Dec-23A was HKD 6.070 billion, with estimates of HKD 6.467 billion for Dec-24E, HKD 6.690 billion for Dec-25E, and HKD 6.897 billion for Dec-26E [4][12]. Business Segments - The Hong Kong gas sales volume remained flat year-on-year at 14,932 million megajoules, while the mainland urban gas business saw a 6.76% increase in sales volume [5][10]. - The company is actively developing hydrogen energy and green methanol businesses, with a green hydrogen pilot project expected to produce 330 kilograms of hydrogen daily by 2025 [5][9]. Growth Opportunities - The mainland business has shown significant growth, with urban gas sales volume reaching 18.63 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 6.76% [10]. - The company is focusing on high-quality industrial customers and energy management for public institutions, achieving a 3.13% increase in industrial gas sales and a 9.29% increase in commercial gas sales [10]. Green Energy Initiatives - The company's EcoCeres produced 176,000 tons of SAF and HVO in the first half of the year, with future green methanol production capacity expected to reach 120,000 tons annually [11]. - The cumulative photovoltaic grid-connected scale reached 2.1GW, with power generation increasing by 1.4 times year-on-year to 6.8 billion kWh [11].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Wanhua Chemical Group Core Views - Wanhua Chemical Group reported a revenue of 97.067 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.77% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.174 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.54% year-on-year [4] - The company plans to invest 42.14 billion yuan in major projects in 2024, focusing on high-end polyethylene and new material parks [9] - R&D expenses for the first half of 2024 were 2.081 billion yuan, accounting for 2.14% of revenue [9] Company Updates - On August 13, 2024, Wanhua Chemical disclosed its semi-annual report, highlighting a revenue increase and a slight decline in net profit [4] - The company announced a planned maintenance shutdown of its 750,000 tons/year PDH unit starting August 25, 2024, for approximately 45 days [4] - A cash dividend of 0.52 yuan per share was announced, totaling approximately 1.633 billion yuan [4] Industry Updates - The MDI market saw mixed price movements in August, with the average price of MDI at 17,400 yuan/ton, down 1.14% year-on-year [21] - The global demand for MDI is projected to reach 9.425 million tons by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of around 5% [31] - The downstream demand for MDI is primarily driven by the white goods sector, which accounts for 49.89% of consumption [34] R&D and Capital Expenditure - The company’s R&D expenses and capital expenditures have been increasing, with a focus on optimizing existing processes and developing new materials [6][9] - In 2024, the company plans to invest significantly in projects related to lithium battery materials and high-performance materials [9] Employee Structure - In 2023, Wanhua Chemical recruited over 5,000 employees, with 4,079 in R&D, representing 14.04% of the total workforce [10] Dividend Policy - Since its listing, Wanhua Chemical has distributed a total of 41.273 billion yuan in cash dividends, maintaining a policy of distributing at least 30% of distributable profits in cash annually for the next three years [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 4.00, representing a 17% downside from the current price [5] Core Views - The company is undergoing a transformation with the help of Pang Donglai and self-adjustment, aiming to improve user experience through product quality, store environment, and service [5] - Despite industry challenges, the company retains advantages in fresh produce supply chain, with potential for profit recovery if supply chain reforms and management optimization prove effective [5] - Online business has shown improvement, with reduced losses and increased coverage, contributing 20.8% of total revenue in 1H24 [3][5] Financial Performance - 1H24 revenue was RMB 37.78 billion, down 10.11% YoY, with net profit attributable to shareholders at RMB 275 million, down 26.34% YoY [1][2] - Gross profit margin in 1H24 was 21.58%, down 0.41 pct YoY, with fresh and processed food margin at 12.45%, down 0.77 pct YoY [2] - Operating cash flow in 1H24 was RMB 2.94 billion, up 13.63% YoY [1] Store Operations - The company opened 5 new stores and closed 62 stores in 1H24, ending with 943 stores and 865,300 square meters of reserved space [2] - Pang Donglai-assisted stores showed significant improvement, with daily sales increasing 13.9x and 8.2x in two stores after adjustments [5] Supply Chain and Product Optimization - The company optimized its product structure, introducing 20,276 new products and eliminating 22,480 products in 1H24, with a new product introduction rate of 22.5% [3] - Own-brand sales reached RMB 1.28 billion, accounting for 3.4% of total revenue [3] Industry Context - The supermarket industry faces pressure from channel diversion, deflationary environment, and declining consumer spending power [5] - Leading companies with fresh supply chain advantages may see a turning point if reforms and optimizations translate into same-store growth and profit recovery [5]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "OUTPERFORM" rating to Guangdong Chj Industry with a target price of RMB 6.61 [1]. Core Insights - Guangdong Chj Industry reported a revenue of RMB 3.431 billion for H1 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.15%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 229 million, up 10.04% year-on-year [1][9]. - In Q2 2024, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 1.635 billion, a 10.33% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 98 million, reflecting a 17% year-on-year growth [1][9]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 1 per 10 shares to all shareholders [1][9]. Revenue Breakdown - The jewelry segment's revenue increased by 17% year-on-year in H1 2024, with a net addition of 52 jewelry stores [2][10]. - Proprietary trading revenue was RMB 1.725 billion, down 3.98% year-on-year, while franchise revenue rose to RMB 1.647 billion, up 43.66% year-on-year [2][10]. - As of June 30, 2024, the company had a total of 1,451 jewelry stores, with plans to increase franchise stores by over 300 in 2024 and reach 2,000 stores by 2025 [2][10]. Segment Performance - Fashion jewelry revenue was RMB 1.65 billion, up 5.97% year-on-year, while traditional gold jewelry revenue reached RMB 1.48 billion, up 31.37% year-on-year [2][10]. - The jewelry segment's net profit margin improved, with revenue of RMB 3.28 billion and a net profit of RMB 237 million, marking a 21.63% increase year-on-year [11]. Financial Metrics - The company updated its earnings forecast, projecting revenues of RMB 6.823 billion, RMB 7.802 billion, and RMB 8.769 billion for 2024-2026, with net profits of RMB 391 million, RMB 454 million, and RMB 514 million respectively [5][12]. - The gross profit margin for H1 2024 was 24.15%, down 2.75 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in product mix [3][11]. - The period expense ratio decreased by 3.15 percentage points in Q2 2024, with total period expenses of RMB 230 million, down 10.04% year-on-year [3][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 16.83 based on a 2024 PE of 60 times [4]. Core Insights - The company's performance is currently under pressure, with a 10.63% year-on-year decline in revenue to RMB 397 million in 2024H1, and a 14.12% decrease in net profit to RMB 59.81 million [8]. - Despite the short-term challenges, the company is experiencing growth in AI software product and service revenues, particularly in the foundation model applications and data services sectors [8]. - The company has successfully deployed its foundation model in various sectors, including finance and media, generating significant revenue from new projects [4][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024H1, the company reported a revenue of RMB 397 million, down 10.63% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 59.81 million, down 14.12% year-on-year [8]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to decreased income from security products and system integration, while AI and big data software revenues have increased [8]. - The company forecasts net profits of RMB 223 million, RMB 285 million, and RMB 349 million for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with EPS projected at RMB 0.28, RMB 0.36, and RMB 0.44 [4][6]. Business Development - The company is focusing on expanding its foundation model applications, having successfully implemented projects in sectors such as finance, media, and public security [4][8]. - The foundation model, "Tuotian," has been integrated with Huawei's solutions, enhancing its market reach and application scenarios [4][8]. - The data service business is stable, with the company holding over 3000 billion high-quality data entries, and achieving significant growth in overseas revenue [4][8]. Data Infrastructure - The company has upgraded its data infrastructure, enhancing its data asset platforms and increasing its data collection capabilities [4][8]. - The data products are being commercialized, with the company providing data services to various industries through its four major data product platforms [4][8]. - The company has added numerous new users across different sectors, indicating a robust demand for its data services [4][8].