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水羊股份:24H1利润承压,多维推广增加伊菲丹品牌势能
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-04 05:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate (Maintain)" [1] Core Views - The company has increased its sales expenses, leading to profit pressure in H1 2024. Revenue for H1 2024 was 2.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.14%, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 106 million yuan, a decrease of 25.74% year-on-year. The gross margin improved to 61.5%, up 4.6 percentage points, due to a higher proportion of high-margin product sales. The sales expense ratio increased to 46.8%, up 6.4 percentage points, as the company focused on promoting its key brands [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.29 billion yuan, with a net profit of 106 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 25.74%. The gross margin was 61.5%, an increase of 4.6 percentage points. The sales expense ratio rose to 46.8%, while the management expense ratio was 4.7% and the R&D expense ratio was 1.4% [2][4]. Brand Performance - The high-end brand "Yifidan" continued to show strong growth despite a slightly weak macro environment. Key products like "Super Face" and "Super CP" maintained high growth rates. The brand's penetration in high-end skincare on platforms like Xiaohongshu ranked top, and new product launches are expected to enhance brand visibility [2][3]. Business Strategy - The company is building a multi-tiered brand matrix with its own brands and agency brands. The "Yunifang" brand underwent a successful upgrade, and the "PA" brand is focusing on building a product lineup. The agency business, particularly "Misty," has seen revenue double through celebrity endorsements and channel development [2][3]. Future Projections - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 to 4.575 billion yuan, 5.046 billion yuan, and 5.480 billion yuan, respectively. The net profit forecasts are 290 million yuan, 381 million yuan, and 454 million yuan for the same period. The corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 16.1X, 12.3X, and 10.3X [2][4].
公用事业行业ESG周报:GRI、TNFD发布使用两种标准报告自然影响的指南
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-04 04:30
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 公用事业 2024 年 08 月 03 日 公用事业 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 郭雪 资格编号:S0120522120001 邮箱:guoxue@tebon.com.cn 卢璇 资格编号:S0120524050004 邮箱:luxuan@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 刘正 邮箱:liuzheng3@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 公用事业 沪深300 -24% -18% -12% -6% 0% 6% 12% 2023-08 2023-12 2024-04 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《华能国际(600011.SH):Q2 业 绩同环比均下滑,煤电、风电盈利较 弱》,2024.8.1 2.《中国天楹(000035.SZ):牵手 中车加强新能源合作,"环保+新能 源"双引擎发展》,2024.7.28 3.《环保与公用事业周报-发改委统 筹 3000 亿支持大规模设备更新,节 能装备有望充分受益》,2024.7.28 4.《ESG 周报:《全国碳市场发展报 告(2024)》正式发布;亚马逊开放 其专有脱碳资源助力产业链低碳转 型》 ...
有色金属行业周报:降息预期下贵金属领涨,持续看好金银投资机会
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-04 04:30
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 有色金属 2024 年 08 月 04 日 有色金属 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 翟堃 资格编号:s0120523050002 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 张崇欣 资格编号:S0120522100003 邮箱:zhangcx@tebon.com.cn 高嘉麒 资格编号:S0120523070003 邮箱:gaojq@tebon.com.cn 康宇豪 资格编号:S0120524050001 邮箱:kangyh@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 谷瑜 邮箱:guyu5@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 有色金属 沪深300 -29% -22% -15% -7% 0% 7% 15% 2023-08 2023-12 2024-04 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《黄金:降息预期提升,金价展望 2600 美元》,2024.8.1 2.《宝武镁业(002182.SZ):持续 推进镁下游汽车压铸件和储氢等应 用,业绩短期受弱镁价拖累》, 2024.7.30 3.《西部矿业(601168.SH):铜矿 量价齐升,玉龙三期扩能项目推 ...
美妆&零售行业板块周报:欧莱雅财报解读,看美妆四大趋势
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-04 04:30
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 商贸零售 2024 年 08 月 03 日 商贸零售 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 易丁依 资格编号:S0120523070004 邮箱:yidy@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 商贸零售 沪深300 -44% -37% -29% -22% -15% -7% 0% 7% 2023-08 2023-12 2024-04 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《——美妆&零售板块周报 0729- 招股书拆解-颖通控股:中国最大的 香水品牌管理公司》,2024.7.29 2.《——美妆&零售板块周报 0722- Q3 海外零售步入旺季,亚马逊会员 日销售同增 11%》,2024.7.22 3.《华致酒行(300755.SZ):首次发 布 特 别 分 红 , 重 视 股 东 回 报 》, 2024.7.12 4.《青木科技(301110.SZ)24H1 业 绩预告点评:业绩延续高增长,AI 赋 能 和 品 牌 管 理 带 来 广 阔 空 间 》, 2024.7.11 5.《结构性分化,布局中报寻找α— —美妆&零售板块 Q2 总结及 Q3 策 略》,2 ...
恩华药业:业绩稳健,看好麻醉产品持续发力
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-02 04:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 恩华药业(002262.SZ) 2024 年 08 月 02 日 买入(维持) 所属行业:医药生物/化学制药 当前价格(元):25.65 证券分析师 周新明 资格编号:S0120524060001 邮箱:zhouxm@tebon.com.cn 吴明华 资格编号:S0120524050002 邮箱:wumh3@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 恩华药业 沪深300 -23% -11% 0% 11% 23% 34% 2023-08 2023-12 2024-04 2024-08 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------------|-------|-------|-------| | 沪深300对比 | 1M | 2M | 3M | | 绝对涨幅(%) | 8.05 | 7.59 | 3.91 | | 相对涨幅(%) | 9.27 | 12.08 | 9.04 | 资料来源:德邦研究所,聚源数据 相关研究 1.《恩华药业(002262.SZ):业绩符合 预期,看好麻醉管线长期增长空间》, 2023.10.26 2.《恩华药业(00 ...
汽车:7月理想汽车销量表现亮眼,新势力全球化&智能化加速
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-02 03:30
汽车 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 邓健全 资格编号:S0120523100001 邮箱:dengjq@tebon.com.cn 赵悦媛 资格编号:S0120523100002 邮箱:zhaoyy5@tebon.com.cn 赵启政 资格编号:S0120523120002 邮箱:zhaoqz@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 秦梓月 邮箱:qinzy@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 汽车 沪深300 -31% -24% -18% -12% -6% 0% 6% 2023-08 2023-12 2024-04 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《智能驾驶深度系列报告一: Robotaxi 商业化提速,高阶智驾加 速落地》,2024.7.30 2.《7 月狭义乘用车零售预计 173.0 万辆,以旧换新补贴力度加大》, 2024.7.29 3.《加大以旧换新补贴力度,汽车行 业需求有望改善》,2024.7.25 4.《拓普集团:2024H1 业绩超预期, 机器人业务放量在即》,2024.7.23 5.《新能源渗透率创新高,上海即将 启动无人驾驶汽车测试》,2024.7.21 [Table_Main] ...
长城汽车:1-7月累计销售超65万辆,7月出口销量创新高
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-02 03:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has achieved cumulative sales of over 650,000 vehicles from January to July, with July exports reaching a record high [5] - The company's sales in July were 91,000 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 16.3% and a month-on-month decrease of 6.9%, while cumulative sales for the first seven months increased by 3.6% year-on-year [5] - The company is steadily advancing its new energy and high-end transformation, with significant sales growth in models priced above 200,000 yuan, which increased by 48.6% year-on-year [5] - The company is accelerating its global expansion, with July exports of 38,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 41.4% and cumulative exports for the first seven months rising by 58.8% year-on-year [6] - The profit forecast for the company remains unchanged, with expected net profits for 2024-2026 at 9.872 billion, 12.615 billion, and 15.850 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 20, 16, and 13 times [5] Sales Performance - In July, the sales breakdown by brand showed Haval at 53,000 vehicles (down 15.9% year-on-year), WEY at 3,000 vehicles (down 58.4% year-on-year), and Tank brand at 19,000 vehicles (up 38.5% year-on-year) [5] - Cumulative sales for the first seven months included 353,000 vehicles for Haval (down 0.8% year-on-year), 23,000 for WEY (down 8.8% year-on-year), and 135,000 for Tank (up 87.6% year-on-year) [5] Financial Forecasts - The company's total revenue is projected to reach 173.212 billion yuan in 2023, increasing to 229.996 billion yuan in 2024, and further to 327.876 billion yuan by 2026 [8] - The net profit margin is expected to improve from 4.1% in 2023 to 4.8% in 2026, with net profit growth rates projected at -15.1% for 2023, followed by 40.6% in 2024 [8] Market Comparison - The company's stock performance has been compared to the CSI 300 index, showing a relative decline in absolute returns over the past months [2][3]
高压快充系列之一:800V高压快充渗透加速,带来产业增长升级新动能
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-02 01:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the high-pressure fast charging sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the slow charging speed is a core constraint affecting the penetration rate of electric vehicles (EVs), and high-pressure fast charging technology is expected to break this limitation. The average charging time for electric vehicles currently exceeds one hour, and the insufficient number of direct current (DC) fast charging stations fails to meet user demands for quick energy replenishment [4][11]. - The adoption of 800V high-pressure fast charging technology is anticipated to accelerate the penetration of new energy vehicles, with significant advantages over traditional high-current solutions, including higher charging power, reduced weight, and lower energy loss during charging and driving [4][11][24]. Summary by Sections 1. High-Pressure Fast Charging: Enhancing New Energy Vehicle Penetration - The penetration rate of pure electric new energy vehicles in 2023 reached 31.4%, with sales of 9.49 million units, a year-on-year increase of 37.9% [11]. - The distribution and efficiency of charging stations need optimization, with a significant potential for increasing the penetration rate of high-power fast charging [12][13]. - High-pressure fast charging solutions are gaining traction among manufacturers, with a notable shift towards 800V fast charging technology [17][21]. 2. Upstream Core Component Technology Upgrades Driven by 800V Fast Charging Demand - Various 800V high-pressure platform solutions are emerging, with a focus on compatibility with existing 400V charging infrastructure [24][25]. - The complexity of vehicle power supply design is increasing, leading to enhanced value in high-voltage products. The market for vehicle power supply products is projected to reach between 37.4 billion and 41.8 billion yuan by 2030 [30]. - The trend towards lightweight and cost-effective electric drive systems is driving the integration of components, with a significant increase in the penetration of three-in-one and multi-in-one electric drive systems [31]. 3. Fast Charging Ecosystem Driven by Energy Storage Stations and Liquid Cooling Technology - Energy storage stations are becoming a mainstream solution due to the high costs associated with substation upgrades. New liquid-cooled charging systems are being developed to address the inefficiencies of traditional air-cooled charging stations [5][7]. - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in high-pressure fast charging components, complete charging stations, and battery materials, indicating potential investment opportunities in these areas [5].
计算机:工业软件+信创,自主可控吹响反攻号角
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-02 01:00
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业点评 计算机 2024 年 07 月 31 日 计算机 优于大市(维持) 证券分析师 陈涵泊 资格编号:S0120524040004 邮箱:chenhb3@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 王思 邮箱:wangsi@tebon.com.cn 计算机 沪深300 -44% -37% -29% -22% -15% -7% 0% 7% 2023-07 2023-11 2024-03 2024-07 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《智谱清影推动视频生成大模型普 及》,2024.7.28 2.《【德邦计算机】电力 IT 系列 2: 更新周期+出海高增,智能电表高景 气》,2024.7.26 3.《计算机行业 2024 年中期策略-三 个方向,带领计算机走出困境》, 2024.7.23 4.《DRGDIP 改革关注医疗 IT 拐点 机遇》,2024.7.23 5.《微软蓝屏,信创自主可控再掀浪 潮》,2024.7.21 工业软件+信创:自主可控吹响 反攻号角 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 美国或扩大对华芯片出口管制,政治局会议强调高水平科技自 ...
仙琚制药:甾体激素龙头全面升级,多重催化打造第二增长曲线
Tebon Securities· 2024-08-02 00:30
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司首次覆盖 仙琚制药(002332.SZ) 2024 年 08 月 01 日 买入(首次) 所属行业:医药生物/化学制药 当前价格(元):11.94 证券分析师 周新明 资格编号:S0120524060001 邮箱:zhouxm@tebon.com.cn 吴明华 资格编号:S0120524050002 邮箱:wumh3@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 市场表现 -17% -9% 0% 9% 17% 仙琚制药 沪深300 -26% | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------|---------|---------|---------| | | | | | | | | | | | -34% 2023-08 | 2023-12 | 2024-04 | 2024-08 | | 沪深 300 对比 | 1M | 2M | 3M | | 绝对涨幅 (%) | 4.65 | 0.63 | 4.14 | | 相对涨幅 (%) | 5.87 | 5.11 | 9.27 | | 资料来源:德邦研究所,聚源 ...