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黄金:美联储降息开启黄金新空间
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-19 06:23
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业点评 有色金属 证券分析师 | --- | --- | |------------------|-------------------------------| | | 2024 年 09 月 19 日 | | | | | 有色金属 | | | 优于大市(维持) | 美联储降息开启黄金新空间 | [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 翟堃 资格编号:s0120523050002 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 高嘉麒 资格编号:S0120523070003 邮箱:gaojq@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 市场表现 -24% -18% -12% -6% 0% 6% 12% 18% 2023-09 2024-01 2024-05 有色金属 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《有色金属周报:美降息渐进,贵 金属走强》,2024.9.16 2.《有色金属周报:美降息渐进,金 银波动放大》,2024.9.8 3.《老铺黄金:24H1 业绩高增长, 产 品 持 续 迭 代 提 升 品 牌 效 能 》, 2024.9.3 4 ...
通信行业深度:数据资源入表,资产金矿+估值蓝海
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-19 01:23
0 证券研究报告 | 行业深度 通信 优于大市(维持) 2024年9月18日 数据资源入表,资产金矿+估值蓝海 证券分析师 姓名:李宏涛 资格编号:S0120524070003 邮箱:liht@tebon.com.cn 证券分析师 姓名:王金森 资格编号:S0120524090005 邮箱:wangjs@tebon.com.cn 01 数据要素:真正的中特估 | --- | --- | --- | |--------------|-------|------------------------------------------| | | | | | 理论"特色": | | 数据"升格",纳入五大生产要素 | | 政策"特色": | | 写入国家战略,数据资产加速入表 | | 制度"特色": | | 三权分置,淡化所有权、强调使用权 | | 组织"特色": | | 国家+地方数据局,监管从分散到统一 | | 模式"特色": | | 国外企业三方平台主导,国内政府交易所主导 | | 方向"特色": | | 垂直行业预计优先推动,弹性最大 | 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露及法律声明。 1 1.1 理论"特色":数 ...
公用事业板块2024年中报总结:火水核经营稳健,期待绿电环境价值兑现
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-19 00:23
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业季度策略 公用事业 2024 年 09 月 18 日 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------|--------------|-------|------------------------------| | 公用事业 | 公用事业板块 | 2024 | 年中报总 | | 优于大市(维持) | | | 结:火水核经营稳健,期待绿电 | | 证券分析师 | | | | | 郭雪 | 环境价值兑现 | | | | 资格编号: S0120522120001 邮箱: guoxue @ tebon.com.cn | | | | 联系人 刘正 邮箱:liuzheng3@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 公用事业 沪深300 2023-09 2024-01 2024-05 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《环保与公用事业周报-水泥、钢 铁、电解铝拟纳入全国碳市场,碳市 ...
均胜电子:全球汽车安全巨头,智能化未来可期
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-18 14:23
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 均胜电子(600699.SH) 2024 年 09 月 18 日 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------|---------------------------------------------------| | 均胜电子( 买入(维持) | 600699.SH ):全球汽车 | | 所属行业:汽车 / 汽车零部件 | | | 当前价格 ( 元 ) : 13.60 | 安全巨头,智能化未来可期 单击或点击此处输入文字。 | | | | 投资要点 证券分析师 陈涵泊 资格编号:S0120524040004 邮箱:chenhb3@tebon.com.cn 李杨玲 资格编号:S0120524060005 邮箱:liyl@tebon.com.cn 邓健全 资格编号:S0120523100001 邮箱:dengjq@tebon.com.cn 赵启政 资格编号:S0120523120002 邮箱:zhaoqz@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 -17% -9% 0% 9% 17% 均胜电子 沪深300 | -- ...
神州数码:AI有望驱动云和信创业绩估值双击
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-18 06:23
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its initial coverage [1][4]. Core Insights - The company is a leading provider of cloud and digital transformation services in China, with strong operational capabilities and high turnover as its core competitive advantages [3][11]. - The domestic chip industry is expected to thrive, particularly with the anticipated growth in demand for AI, which will benefit the company's server and switch businesses [3][4]. - The company has established a vast ToB channel network, covering over 1,000 cities and more than 30,000 sales channels, which enhances its market reach [3][11]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has evolved from IT distribution to becoming a comprehensive digital transformation service provider, achieving significant recognition in the industry [11]. - The actual controller holds a significant stake and serves as the chairman, aligning the company's future development with its leadership [11][12]. Business Performance - The company reported a revenue of 625.6 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.5%, with a net profit of 5.1 billion yuan, up 17.5% [15]. - The IT distribution and value-added services segment continues to grow, achieving a revenue of 598.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, a 9.8% increase year-on-year [13][15]. - The AI-driven cloud services and software business saw a revenue increase of 62.7% year-on-year, reaching 14.4 billion yuan [14][15]. Market Trends - The AI server market in China is projected to reach 12.4 billion USD by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.7% from 2023 to 2028 [24]. - The demand for data center switches is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing need for AI computing power [35]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are estimated at 1,291.96 billion, 1,378.41 billion, and 1,440.22 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 13.98 billion, 16.84 billion, and 20.01 billion yuan [4][5].
食品饮料行业周报:中秋消费氛围较弱,关注性价比与质价比需求
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-18 00:23
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 食品饮料 2024 年 09 月 17 日 5.《口子窖(603589.SH):业绩 符合预期,改革稳步推进》, 2024.5.6 | --- | --- | |------------------|--------------------------------------| | | | | | | | 食品饮料 | 中秋消费氛围较弱,关注性价比与质 | | | | | | | | 优于大市(维持) | 价比需求 | | | 食品饮料行业周报 20240909-20240913 | 证券分析师 熊鹏 资格编号:S0120522120002 邮箱:xiongpeng@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 市场表现 -37% -31% -24% -18% -12% -6% 0% 6% 2023-09 2024-01 2024-05 食品饮料 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《首次覆盖报告-欢乐家 (300997.SZ):罐头椰汁双轮驱 动,多元探索迸新能》,2024.9.5 1.《百润股份(002568.SZ):董 事长解除留置,公司 ...
汽车行业周报:以旧换新政策发力带动行业销量增长,10月10日特斯拉Robotaxi即将发布
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-18 00:23
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 汽车 2024 年 09 月 17 日 | --- | --- | |---------------------|------------------------------------| | | | | | | | 汽车 | 以旧换新政策发力带动行业销量增长, | | 优于大市(维持) 10 | 即将发布 | 证券分析师 邓健全 资格编号:S0120523100001 邮箱:dengjq@tebon.com.cn 赵悦媛 资格编号:S0120523100002 邮箱:zhaoyy5@tebon.com.cn 赵启政 资格编号:S0120523120002 邮箱:zhaoqz@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 -29% -24% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 2023-09 2024-01 2024-05 汽车 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《8 月乘用车销量环比提升,新能 源车市有望持续走强》,2024.9.10 2.《威迈斯(688612.SH):车载电 源龙头,看好 800V 趋势下公司业绩 ...
电气设备行业周报:N型硅料价格小幅上涨,国内前七月光伏装机维持增长
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-18 00:23
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 电气设备 2024 年 9 月 17 日 | --- | --- | |------------------|--------------------------------| | | | | 电气设备 N | 型硅料价格小幅上涨,国内前七月 | | 优于大市(维持) | 光伏装机维持增长 | 证券分析师 彭广春 资格编号:S0120522070001 邮箱:penggc@tebon.com.cn 白鑫 资格编号:S0120524080003 邮箱:baixin3@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 2022/2 2022/5 2022/8 2022/11 2023/2 电力设备及新能源 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据,德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《光伏产业链发展良好,各环节降 价有望刺激 23 年需求》,2022.12.16 2.《风电行业策略年度报告-不惧一 番寒彻骨,已闻梅花扑鼻香》, 2022.12.16 3.《发挥新能源战略性新型产业优 势,推动扩大内需战略发展》, 2022.12.15 4.《内蒙古能 ...
重药控股:收入短期承压,商业网络进一步扩张
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-17 10:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 39.779 billion yuan in H1 2024, a decrease of 2.30% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 238 million yuan, down 53.65% year-on-year [3] - The revenue from the medical device segment in H1 2024 was 5.944 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.83% year-on-year, while the pharmaceutical distribution segment generated 33.031 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.27% year-on-year [3] - The company is expanding its commercial network, having added five new city-level layouts, achieving nationwide coverage in 32 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions [3] - The forecasted net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 706 million yuan, 888 million yuan, and 1.009 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.7, 9.3, and 8.2 times [3] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 80.119 billion yuan, with a slight increase to 80.617 billion yuan in 2024E [4] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 655 million yuan, increasing to 706 million yuan in 2024E [4] - The gross margin is expected to be 7.9% in 2023, improving to 8.3% in 2024E [4] - The company's total assets are projected to grow from 63.524 billion yuan in 2023 to 77.580 billion yuan in 2026E [4]
煤炭周报:节前补库释放,煤价延续上行
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-17 06:23
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 煤炭开采 | --- | --- | |------------------|-------------------------------| | | 2024 年 09 月 17 日 | | 煤炭 | 煤炭周报:节前补库释放,煤价 | | 优于大市(维持) | | [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 延续上行 证券分析师 翟堃 资格编号:s0120523050002 邮箱:zhaikun@tebon.com.cn 薛磊 资格编号:S0120524020001 邮箱:xuelei@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 谢佶圆 邮箱:xiejy@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 -26% -17% -9% 0% 9% 17% 26% 34% 2023-09 2024-01 2024-05 煤炭开采 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据、德邦研究所 相关研究 1.《兖矿能源(600188.SH):煤化一 体龙头,成长弹性兼具》,2024.9.9 2.《煤炭周报:煤价止跌企稳,关 注非电复苏斜率》,2024.9.8 3.《煤炭周报:港口库存去化,动 力煤止跌反弹》,2024.9.1 4 ...