1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The sustainability of the polarized valuation depends on the direction of the equity market. The report makes three conjectures about the possible trends of the equity market and formulates corresponding convertible bond response plans [2][20]. - In the case of convertible bond prices and valuation indicators approaching the historical 100% quantile, if the spring rally continues, the Shanghai Composite Index breaks through 4200, and the market style shifts from small - cap to large - cap stocks, it is recommended to select individual convertible bonds in the growth technology sector [2][20]. - If the broad - based index continues the January shock trend and the small - cap style remains dominant, it is advisable to focus on core targets in popular sectors [2][20]. - If the equity market turns down, it is recommended to reduce positions first and then pay attention to defensive sectors [2][20]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Trends (2026/1/26 - 2026/1/30) Stock Market - The daily trading volume of the market remained high last week, with rapid rotation among sectors. The precious metals sector led the gains but had a large decline on Friday. Affected by the potential conflict risk between the US and Iran, the oil price soared, driving the performance of the A - share oil and gas sectors. The previous popular sectors such as commercial aerospace and space photovoltaics had significant corrections [8]. - Most of the Shenwan primary industries declined last week. The top - performing sectors were petroleum and petrochemicals (7.95%), communication (5.83%), coal (3.68%), non - ferrous metals (3.37%), and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (1.82%); the bottom - performing sectors were national defense and military industry (-7.69%), power equipment (-5.10%), automobiles (-5.08%), and computers (-4.77%) [9]. Bond Market - The central bank's open - market operations were mainly net injections last week, and the capital market changed from tight to loose. The bond market sentiment was generally strong due to the intensified volatility of the equity market, frequent positive signals from the monetary policy, and rumors about new monetary policy tools. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.81% on Friday, down 1.86bp from the previous week [9]. Convertible Bond Market - Most convertible bond issues declined last week. The CSI Convertible Bond Index fell 2.61% for the whole week, the median price dropped 2.22%, and the calculated arithmetic average parity decreased 3.70% for the whole week. The overall market conversion premium rate increased 1.12% compared with the previous week [1][9]. - Most industries in the convertible bond market declined last week. The top - performing sectors were coal (0.57%), banks (-0.84%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (-0.87%), and building materials (-1.07%); the bottom - performing sectors were social services (-8.65%), national defense and military industry (-6.45%), computers (-5.51%), and electronics (-4.88%) [13]. - At the individual bond level, Tianzhun (machine vision), Baichuan Zhuan 2 (fine chemicals), Outong (data center power supply), Haomei (aluminum profiles), and Yunji (transportation machinery) led the gains; Xinzhi (AI application), Hangyu (commercial aerospace), Dongshi (driver training), Guanzhong (ecological restoration), and Huicheng (waste catalyst treatment) convertible bonds led the losses [1][14]. - The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 422.855 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 84.571 billion yuan, a slight decrease from the previous week [18]. Valuation Overview - As of January 30, 2026, for equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates for bonds with a parity in the ranges of 80 - 90 yuan, 90 - 100 yuan, 100 - 110 yuan, 110 - 120 yuan, 120 - 130 yuan, and above 130 yuan were 61.11%, 40.98%, 36.66%, 26.78%, 20.18%, and 20.8% respectively, at the 100%/100%, 98%/99%, 99%/100%, 98%/99%, 96%/99%, and 99%/99% quantiles since 2010/2021 [21]. - For bond - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM of bonds with a parity below 70 yuan was -4.65%, at the 1%/3% quantiles since 2010/2021 [21]. - The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds was 49.75%, at the 95%/99% quantiles since 2010/2021. The difference between the convertible bond implied volatility and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stock was 8.36%, at the 96%/98% quantiles since 2010/2021 [21]. Primary - Market Tracking - No convertible bonds were announced for issuance last week (2026/1/26 - 2026/1/30). Lianrui Convertible Bond and Naipu Zhuan 02 were listed [28]. - Lianrui Convertible Bond (118064.SH): The underlying stock is Lianrui New Materials (688300.SH), belonging to the basic chemical industry. As of January 30, its market value was 16.128 billion yuan. The issued convertible bond scale is 695 million yuan, with a credit rating of AA. The funds after deducting issuance fees are planned for specific projects [28]. - Naipu Zhuan 02 (123265.SZ): The underlying stock is Naipu Mining Machinery (300818.SZ), belonging to the machinery equipment industry. As of January 30, its market value was 8.368 billion yuan. The issued convertible bond scale is 450 million yuan, with a credit rating of A+. The funds after deducting issuance fees are used for a project in Peru and to supplement working capital [29]. - As of the announcement on January 30, there are no convertible bonds announced for issuance or listing in the next week (2026/2/2 - 2026/2/6). Last week (2026/1/19 - 2026/1/23), 4 companies' applications were newly accepted by the exchange, 4 companies' plans passed the general meeting of shareholders, and 3 companies announced board plans. As of now, there are 100 convertible bonds awaiting issuance, with a total scale of 155.9 billion yuan, among which 8 have been approved for registration, with a total scale of 6.16 billion yuan [30][31].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View - Last week, the A-share market rose and then fell, there were rumors that the central bank would introduce a liquidity management tool for overnight interest rates, the gold price plunged from a high level, the bond market consolidated at a high level, and ultra-long bonds made minor adjustments. The trading activity of ultra-long bonds decreased slightly but remained very active, and both the term spread and the variety spread of ultra-long bonds narrowed [1][10]. - For the 30-year treasury bond, as of January 30, the spread between the 30-year and 10-year treasury bonds was 46BP, at a historically low level. Considering the economic data and policies, the probability of a bond market correction in February is higher, and the 30-10 spread is expected to fluctuate at a high level in the short term [2][11]. - For the 20-year CDB bond, as of January 30, the spread between the 20-year CDB bond and the 20-year treasury bond was 14BP, at a historically extremely low level. Similar to the 30-year treasury bond, the probability of a bond market correction in February is higher, and the variety spread of the 20-year CDB bond is expected to continue to fluctuate narrowly [3][12]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Weekly Review - Ultra-long Bond Review - Last week, the A-share market rose and then fell, there were rumors of a central bank liquidity management tool, the gold price plunged, the bond market consolidated at a high level, and ultra-long bonds made minor adjustments. The trading activity of ultra-long bonds decreased slightly but was still very active. The term spread and variety spread of ultra-long bonds narrowed [1][10]. Weekly Review - Ultra-long Bond Investment Outlook - **30-year Treasury Bond**: As of January 30, the 30-10 spread was 46BP, at a low historical level. The economic downward pressure in December was alleviated, with a GDP growth of about 4.5% and a 0.4% increase from November. The deflation risk continued to ease. The probability of a bond market correction in February is higher due to factors such as the weakening government support and the expected strengthening of the stock-bond seesaw effect. The 30-10 spread is expected to fluctuate at a high level in the short term [2][11]. - **20-year CDB Bond**: As of January 30, the spread between the 20-year CDB bond and the 20-year treasury bond was 14BP, at a historically extremely low level. Similar to the 30-year treasury bond, the economic situation in December improved, and the probability of a bond market correction in February is higher. The variety spread of the 20-year CDB bond is expected to continue to fluctuate narrowly [3][12]. Weekly Review - Ultra-long Bond Basic Overview - The balance of outstanding ultra-long bonds is 24.8 trillion. As of January 31, the total amount of ultra-long bonds with a remaining term of over 14 years was 248,306 billion, accounting for 15.1% of all bonds. Local government bonds and treasury bonds are the main varieties. By remaining term, the 30-year variety has the highest proportion [13]. Primary Market - Weekly Issuance - Last week (January 26 - 30, 2026), the issuance volume of ultra-long bonds surged to 2,525 billion yuan. Compared with the previous week, the total issuance volume increased significantly. By variety, local government bonds accounted for the largest share. By term, 30-year bonds had the highest issuance volume [18]. Primary Market - This Week's Pending Issuance - This week's announced ultra-long bond issuance plan totals 3,173 billion yuan, including 320 billion yuan of ultra-long treasury bonds, 2,838 billion yuan of ultra-long local government bonds, 15 billion yuan of ultra-long corporate bonds, and no ultra-long medium-term notes [22]. Secondary Market - Trading Volume - Last week, the trading of ultra-long bonds was very active, with a trading volume of 10,113 billion yuan, accounting for 11.2% of all bonds. The trading activity decreased slightly compared with the previous week, with a decrease in the trading volume and proportion of ultra-long treasury bonds, an increase in those of ultra-long local bonds, and decreases in those of ultra-long policy financial bonds and ultra-long government agency bonds [25]. Secondary Market - Yield - Last week, the bond market consolidated at a high level, and ultra-long bonds made minor adjustments. The yields of treasury bonds, CDB bonds, local bonds, and railway bonds of different terms changed to varying degrees. For example, the yields of 15-year, 20-year, 30-year, and 50-year treasury bonds changed to 2.14%, 2.26%, 2.29%, and 2.47% respectively [36]. Secondary Market - Spread Analysis - **Term Spread**: The term spread of ultra-long bonds narrowed last week, and the absolute level was low. The 30-10 spread of benchmark treasury bonds was 46BP, a -1BP change from the previous week, at the 38% percentile since 2010 [43]. - **Variety Spread**: The variety spread of ultra-long bonds also narrowed last week, and the absolute level was low. The spreads between the 20-year CDB bond and treasury bond and between the 20-year railway bond and treasury bond were 14BP and 20BP respectively, with changes of 0BP and -1BP from the previous week, at the 11% and 14% percentiles since 2010 [44]. 30-year Treasury Bond Futures - Last week, the main contract of the 30-year treasury bond futures, T2603, closed at 111.92 yuan, a -0.34% increase. The total trading volume was 427,200 lots (-35,804 lots), and the open interest was 134,800 lots (-5,688 lots), with both the trading volume and open interest decreasing slightly compared with the previous week [50].

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月01日 公募 REITs 周报（第 52 期） 指数震荡上行，首批商业不动产 REITs 已申报 主要结论：本周 REITs 震荡上行，表现强于主要股债指数。中证 REITs 指数 周涨 0.8%，水利、能源、交通 REITs 涨幅领先,前期涨幅较大的数据中心调 整较大。从主要指数周涨跌幅对比来看，中证 REITs>沪深 300>中证全债>中 证转债。截至 2026 年 1 月 30 日，产权类 REITs 股息率比中证红利股股息率 均值低 60BP，经营权类 REITs 内部收益率均值与十年期国债收益率利差为 326BP。首批8单商业不动产REITs申报获上交所受理，意味着我国公募REITs 市场正实现从基础设施领域向商业不动产领域的关键扩容。 中证 REITs 指数周涨跌幅为 0.8%，年初至今涨跌幅为+4.4%。截至 2026 年 1 月 30 日，中证 REITs（收盘）指数收 盘价为 809.56 点，整周 （2026/1/24-2026/1/30）涨跌幅为 0.8%，表现强于中证转债指数 （-2.6%）、中证全债指数（0.0%）和沪深 300 指数（0.1%）。年 ...

本周医药板块表现弱于整体市场，医药商业降幅居前。本周全部 A 股下 跌 0.98%（总市值加权平均），沪深 300 上涨 0.08%，中小板指下跌 3.78%，创业板指下跌 0.09%，生物医药板块整体下跌 3.31%，生物医 药板块表现弱于整体市场。分子板块来看，化学制药下跌 3.20%，生物 制品下跌 2.50%，医疗服务下跌 4.15%，医疗器械下跌 3.86%，医药商 业下跌 4.49%，中药下跌 1.94%。医药生物市盈率（TTM）37.27x，处 于近 5 年历史估值的 80.47%分位数。 精锋医疗为领先的手术机器人公司。精锋医疗成立于 2017 年，是中国 首家、全球第二家同时取得多孔腔镜、单孔腔镜及自然腔道三类手术机 器人注册审批的领先企业，2024 年斩获国内手术机器人制造商销量第 一，2026 年 1 月于香港联交所挂牌上市。公司核心管理层具备深厚的 行业经验与国际背景，全球专利布局超 734 项，技术实力雄厚。 精锋医疗构建了覆盖多科室的丰富管线。多孔系列 MP1000 及升级款 已获批多专科应用并实现商业化放量，单孔系列 SP1000 为国内首个 覆盖三大外科的国产单孔机器人，支气管 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The sustainability of polarized valuations depends on the direction of the equity market. The report presents three scenarios for the equity market and corresponding convertible bond strategies: 1) If the spring rally continues, the Shanghai Composite Index breaks through 4,200, and the market style shifts from small - cap to large - cap, it is recommended to select convertible bonds related to the battery, automotive/robot/intelligent driving, edge - side AI, and innovative drug/CDMO sectors in the growth technology sector; 2) If the broad - based index continues the January oscillation and the small - cap style remains dominant, focus on core targets in popular tracks such as commercial space, AIDC - related gas turbines/liquid cooling, semiconductor equipment and materials, power semiconductors, and chemical industries; 3) If the equity market turns down, it is recommended to reduce positions first and then focus on defensive sectors like banks, power, and pig farming [2][20]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market Focus from January 26 - January 30, 2026 - **Stock Market**: Daily trading volume remained high with rapid sector rotation. The precious metals sector led the gains but had a significant decline on Friday. The A - share oil and gas sector performed well due to the potential conflict risk between the US and Iran. Some previously popular sectors such as commercial space and space photovoltaics had significant pullbacks. Different sectors rose and fell on different days. In terms of industries, most Shenwan primary industries declined, with petroleum and petrochemicals, communications, coal, non - ferrous metals, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery leading the gains, while national defense and military industry, power equipment, automotive, and computer sectors performing poorly [8][9]. - **Bond Market**: The central bank's open - market operations were mainly net injections, and the money market shifted from tight to loose. Bond market sentiment was generally strong. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.81% on Friday, down 1.86bp from the previous week [9]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Most convertible bond issues declined. The CSI Convertible Bond Index fell 2.61% for the week, the median price dropped 2.22%, the arithmetic average parity fell 3.70%, and the overall market conversion premium rate increased 1.12% compared to the previous week. The arithmetic average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds in different parity ranges changed, and they were at high percentile values since 2023 [9]. Viewpoints and Strategies from February 2 - February 6, 2026 - After the convertible bond market adjusted with the equity market last week, the sustainability of polarized valuations depends on the equity market's direction. Three scenarios and corresponding strategies are proposed as mentioned in the core viewpoints [2][20]. Valuation Overview - As of January 30, 2026, the average conversion premium rates of equity - biased convertible bonds in different parity ranges were at high percentile values since 2010 and 2021. The average YTM of debt - biased convertible bonds with a parity below 70 yuan was at a low percentile value. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds and the difference between the convertible bond implied volatility and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stocks were at high percentile values [21]. Primary Market Tracking - **Last Week (January 26 - January 30, 2026)**: No convertible bonds were announced for issuance. Lianrui Convertible Bond and Naipu Convertible Bond 02 were listed. Lianrui Convertible Bond has a scale of 695 million yuan, and Naipu Convertible Bond 02 has a scale of 450 million yuan [28][29]. - **Future Outlook**: No convertible bonds are announced for issuance or listing in the next week (February 2 - February 6, 2026). As of now, there are 100 convertible bonds waiting to be issued, with a total scale of 155.9 billion yuan, of which 8 have been approved for registration, with a total scale of 6.16 billion yuan [30][31].

Group 1: Report Overview - The report conducts a weekly tracking of private exchangeable bonds (private EB) from January 26 to January 30, 2026 [1]. Group 2: New Project Information - Shanghai Qichen Enterprise Management Co., Ltd.'s 2026 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors has been accepted by the exchange, with an intended issuance scale of 500 million yuan and the underlying stock being GCL Integrated Energy Co., Ltd. (002015.SZ). The lead underwriter is Soochow Securities, and the exchange update date is January 28, 2026 [1]. Group 3: Project Status Summary | Bond Name | Lead Underwriter | Scale (100 million yuan) | Underlying Stock | Project Status | Update Date | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Fuda Holding Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Zhongde Securities | 12 | Fuda Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2026/1/5 | | Nanshan Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Jinyuan United Securities | 30 | Nanshan Aluminum Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/12/25 | | Sichuan Jiuzhou Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of science - and - technology innovation exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | CITIC Securities | 10 | Sichuan Jiuzhou Electric Appliance Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/12/5 | | Origen Technology Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | CITIC Construction Securities | 3.5 | Yongxin Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/12/5 | | New Hope Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of science - and - technology innovation exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | CICC | 45 | New Hope Group Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/11/27 | | Hangzhou Iron & Steel Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Zheshang Securities | 10 | Hangzhou Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/11/7 | | Guangdong Guangxin Holdings Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | CITIC Securities | 30 | Shengyi Technology Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/10/30 | | Fujian State - owned Assets Management Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Guoxin Securities | 2 | Fuzhou Focal Optics Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/10/29 | | Beijing Harmony Hengyuan Technology Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Hongta Securities | 6 | Sichuan Shuangma Cement Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/7/18 | | Shudao Investment Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | CITIC Securities, Hongxin Securities | 50 | Sichuan Road & Bridge Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/4/30 | | China Pingmei Shenma Group Co., Ltd. 2024 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Ping An Securities | 10 | Shenma Industrial Co., Ltd., Pingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/4/29 | | Wanan Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Zheshang Securities | 6 | Wanan Technology Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/4/25 | | Inner Mongolia Huolinhe Coal Industry Group Co., Ltd. 2024 private placement of carbon - neutral green exchangeable corporate bonds | Ping An Securities | 5.4 | Inner Mongolia Electric Power Investment Energy Co., Ltd. | Approved | 2025/4/25 | | Huabang Life Science Co., Ltd. 2026 private placement of science - and - technology innovation exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Huatai United Securities, Southwest Securities | 10 | Kaisheng New Materials Co., Ltd. | Feedback received | 2026/1/23 | | Hainan农垦 Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | CITIC Securities | 21 | Hainan Rubber Industry Group Co., Ltd. | Feedback received | 2025/12/8 | | Strait Innovation Internet Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Dongguan Securities | 3 | Fengzhushou Co., Ltd. | Feedback received | 2025/11/13 | | Guangzhou Intelligent Equipment Industry Group Co., Ltd. 2025 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | CICC | 10 | Guangri Co., Ltd. | Feedback received | 2025/9/26 | | Shanghai Qichen Enterprise Management Co., Ltd. 2026 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Soochow Securities | 5 | GCL Integrated Energy Co., Ltd. | Accepted | 2026/1/28 | | Northern Lingyun Industry Group Co., Ltd. 2026 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | CITIC Construction Securities | 5 | Lingyun Industry Co., Ltd. | Accepted | 2026/1/28 | | Shenzhen Huaqiang Group Co., Ltd. 2026 private placement of exchangeable corporate bonds for professional investors | Jinyuan United Securities | 24 | Shenzhen Huaqiang Co., Ltd. | Accepted | 2026/1/22 | [3] Group 4: Related Research Reports - "Private Exchangeable Bond Tracking - Private EB Weekly Tracking (20260119 - 20260123)" - 2026 - 01 - 25 - "Private Exchangeable Bond Tracking - Private EB Weekly Tracking (20260112 - 20260116)" - 2026 - 01 - 18 - "Private Exchangeable Bond Tracking - Private EB Weekly Tracking (20260105 - 20260109)" - 2026 - 01 - 11 - "Private Exchangeable Bond Tracking - Private EB Weekly Tracking (20251229 - 20251231)" - 2026 - 01 - 04 - "Private Exchangeable Bond Tracking - Private EB Weekly Tracking (20251222 - 20251226)" - 2025 - 12 - 29 [4]

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月01日 港股市场速览 优于大市 大盘风格传统行业估值拉升 股价表现：大盘风格传统行业带动市场显著上涨 本周，恒生指数+2.4%，恒生综指+1.8%。风格方面，大盘（恒生大型股+2.2%） ＞中盘（恒生中型股+0.3%）＞小盘（恒生小型股-1.2%）。 主要概念指数分化。上涨的主要有恒生高股息（+4.2%）；下跌的主要有恒 生生物科技（-2.5%）。 国信海外选股策略分化。上涨的主要有红利贵族 50（+2.8%）；下跌的主要 有自由现金流 30（-1.7%）。 16 个行业上涨，14 个行业下跌。上涨的主要有：石油石化（+8.7%）、综合 （+6.3%）、建材（+6.3%）、房地产（+5.8%）、非银行金融（+5.8%）；下 跌的主要有：国防军工（-4.5%）、电力设备及新能源（-3.4%）、医药（-2.8%）、 钢铁（-2.3%）、汽车（-2.2%）。 估值水平：红利估值拉升，多数概念下降 本周，恒生指数估值（动态预期 12 个月正数市盈率，后同）+1.8%至 12.0x； 恒生综指估值+1.2%至 12.0x。 主要概念指数估值普遍下降。上升幅度较大的是恒生高股息（+4.2 ...

Market Performance - S&P 500 increased by 0.3% while Nasdaq decreased by 0.2% this week[1] - Small-cap stocks led the decline with Russell 2000 value down by 1.0% and Russell 2000 growth down by 3.1%[1] - Key sectors showing gains include telecommunications (+9.0%) and technology hardware (+4.6%) while software and services fell by 6.9%[1] Fund Flows - Estimated fund flow for S&P 500 components was -$84.1 million this week, a significant drop from +$5.6 million last week[2] - Major inflows were seen in technology hardware (+$40.3 million) and media and entertainment (+$39.5 million) while software and services experienced outflows of -$106.0 million[2] Earnings Forecast - S&P 500's forward 12-month EPS expectation increased by 0.8% this week, up from 0.2% last week[3] - Notable upward revisions were in technology hardware (+5.6%) and automotive (+3.2%) sectors, while energy saw a downward revision of -2.7%[3] Risk Factors - Economic fundamentals, international political uncertainties, U.S. fiscal policy, and Federal Reserve monetary policy present significant risks[3]

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月01日 港股市场速览 优于大市 大盘风格传统行业估值拉升 股价表现：大盘风格传统行业带动市场显著上涨 本周，恒生指数+2.4%，恒生综指+1.8%。风格方面，大盘（恒生大型股+2.2%） ＞中盘（恒生中型股+0.3%）＞小盘（恒生小型股-1.2%）。 主要概念指数分化。上涨的主要有恒生高股息（+4.2%）；下跌的主要有恒 生生物科技（-2.5%）。 国信海外选股策略分化。上涨的主要有红利贵族 50（+2.8%）；下跌的主要 有自由现金流 30（-1.7%）。 16 个行业上涨，14 个行业下跌。上涨的主要有：石油石化（+8.7%）、综合 （+6.3%）、建材（+6.3%）、房地产（+5.8%）、非银行金融（+5.8%）；下 跌的主要有：国防军工（-4.5%）、电力设备及新能源（-3.4%）、医药（-2.8%）、 钢铁（-2.3%）、汽车（-2.2%）。 估值水平：红利估值拉升，多数概念下降 本周，恒生指数估值（动态预期 12 个月正数市盈率，后同）+1.8%至 12.0x； 恒生综指估值+1.2%至 12.0x。 主要概念指数估值普遍下降。上升幅度较大的是恒生高股息（+4.2 ...

Market Performance - S&P 500 increased by 0.3% while Nasdaq decreased by 0.2% this week[1] - Small-cap stocks led the decline with Russell 2000 value down by 1.0% and Russell 2000 growth down by 3.1%[1] - 13 sectors saw gains, while 10 sectors experienced losses, with telecommunications leading at +9.0%[1] Fund Flows - Estimated fund flow for S&P 500 components was -$84.1 million this week, down from +$5.6 million last week[2] - Major inflows were seen in technology hardware (+$40.3 million) and media & entertainment (+$39.5 million)[2] - Significant outflows occurred in software & services (-$106.0 million) and healthcare equipment & services (-$57.7 million)[2] Earnings Forecast - S&P 500's forward 12-month EPS expectation increased by 0.8% this week, up from 0.2% last week[3] - 21 sectors had upward revisions, with technology hardware & equipment seeing the largest increase at +5.6%[3] - Energy sector saw a downward revision of -2.7%[3] Risks - Economic fundamentals, international political situations, U.S. fiscal policies, and Federal Reserve monetary policies present uncertainties[3]