证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 传媒互联网周报 优于大市 GPT-5.2 发布，持续看好游戏与 AI 应用机会 行业上涨 0.42%，跑输沪深 300，跑输创业板指。本周（12.8-12.14）传媒 行业上涨 0.42%，跑输沪深 300（0.76%），跑输创业板指（4.14%）。其中 涨幅靠前的分别为博纳影业、广西广电、北京文化、三人行等，跌幅靠前的 分别为 ST 返利、华谊兄弟、祥源文旅、联建光电等。横向比较来看，本周 传媒板块在所有板块中涨跌幅排名第 13 位。 OpenAI 发布 GPT-5.2，谷歌 AI 浏览器可一件将标签页变成 APP。1）近日， OpenAI 把最新模型 GPT-5.2 推上生产环境，山姆·阿尔特曼称"使用 GPT-5.2 的职场人，每周至少拿回 10 小时。"；2）Runway 推出其首个通用世界模型 GWM-1，宣称能通过逐帧像素预测，构建一个理解物理规律与时间演化的动 态仿真环境；3）12 月 11 日，谷歌通过官方博客放出 AI 实验项目"Disco"， 首发功能 GenTabs 可把用户打开的一堆标签页实时生成为定制化 Web 应用。 | 证券分析师：张衡 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry [3] Core Insights - The media sector outperformed the market in November, with the Shenwan Media Index rising by 1.69%, surpassing the CSI 300 Index by 4.14 percentage points, ranking 7th among 31 industries [4][20] - The number of game approvals reached a new high, with 178 domestic games and 6 imported games approved in November, contributing to a total of 1,625 game approvals from January to November, a year-on-year increase of 26.8% [4][28] - The gaming market revenue in October was 31.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 7.8%, driven by strong product cycles from leading companies [4][32] Summary by Sections Market and Industry Review - The media sector's performance in November was strong, with a 1.69% increase in the Shenwan Media Index, outperforming the CSI 300 Index [4][20] - The current TTM-PE for the Shenwan Media Index is 42.6x, positioned at the 82.2% percentile over the past five years [20][26] Gaming - The number of game approvals in November was the highest in three years, with a total of 178 domestic and 6 imported games approved [28] - The gaming market revenue in October was 31.4 billion yuan, with mobile gaming revenue at 22.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.4% [32] - The overseas revenue for Chinese self-developed games reached 1.799 billion USD in October, marking an 11.9% year-on-year increase [41] Film and Television - The total box office in November reached 3.553 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 89.3%, primarily due to the success of "Zootopia 2" [49] - The top five films in November included "Zootopia 2," which grossed over 2.2 billion yuan within nine days of release [60] - The drama market saw high viewership, with "The Tang Dynasty Mysteries" leading with 1.5 billion views [67] AI Applications - The report highlights advancements in AI video models, including the launch of the O1 video model by Keling AI, which allows users to generate videos from text prompts [79] - PixVerse V5.5 was released, enabling the creation of multi-angle narrative videos [84] - Google's Gemini 3 Pro and Nano Banana Pro were launched, showcasing significant improvements in AI capabilities [91] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the gaming sector's new product cycles and AI applications, recommending companies such as Giant Network, G-bits, and K-Game Network [96] - The December investment portfolio includes Giant Network, K-Game Network, Bilibili, and HuiLiang Technology [7]

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 电子行业周报 优于大市 春季躁动在即，关注 1 月业绩催化集中的 AI 算力+存力链 春季躁动在即，关注 1 月业绩催化集中的 AI 算力+存力链。过去一周上证下 跌 0.34%，电子上涨 2.63%，子行业中电子化学品上涨 6.99%。同期恒生科技、 费城半导体、台湾资讯科技下跌 0.43%、下跌 3.58%、上涨 0.79%。我们认为， 电子板块近一个月的弱势表现主要是由于国补退坡、二季度抢出口以及存储 缺货涨价所引致的三季报走弱。当下时点处于近半年的业绩空窗期，而部分 受益于海外 AI 算力需求高增长的标的临近 1 月份业绩预告催化，同时基于 2026 年 AI 手机、AI 眼镜、折叠屏等端侧创新预期所有望引致的春季躁动行 情，我们维持对于电子行业"保持乐观展望，维持配置耐心，以时间换空间" 的投资建议，继续推荐自主可控（代工+设备）、海外算力+存力产业链。 此外，近期多个硬科技主题基金快速获批，亦有望助力板块加速开启筑 底反弹。重点推荐：翱捷科技、江波龙、生益科技、德明利、蓝思科技、 立讯精密、蓝特光学、恒玄科技、澜起科技、中芯国际。 博通预计 AI 芯片收入 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 制造成长周报（第 38 期） 优于大市 智元第 5000 台机器人正式下线，GEV 再度上修燃机订单指引 与扩产规划 重点事件点评&重点关注：人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-智元第 5000 台通用具身机器人正式下线：2025 年 12 月 8 日，智 元机器人累计下线通用具身机器人 5000 台。 事件 2-GEV 上修燃机订单指引与扩产规划：2025 年 12 月9 日，GEV 召开 2025 年投资者大会，公司预计 2025 年底积压订单+预留协议将达到 80W，同时宣 布 2026 年中产能达 20GW，2028 年产能扩充至 24GW。 人形机器人点评：智元机器人第 5000 台通用具身机器人下线表明产业量产 不断推进，规模量产将加速到来。我们持续看好人形机器人的长期投资机会， 建议从价值量和卡位上把握空间&确定性，从股票弹性上寻找增量环节。1） 确定性：特斯拉产业链核心供应商或者实力强、卡位好的公司，重点关注【飞 荣达】【龙溪股份】【唯万密封】【恒立液压】【汇川技术】【绿的谐波】 【蓝思科技】【五洲新春】；2）弹性：重视基本结构研究逐步拓展至完整 功能结 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 制造成长周报（第 38 期） 优于大市 智元第 5000 台机器人正式下线，GEV 再度上修燃机订单指引 与扩产规划 重点事件点评&重点关注：人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-智元第 5000 台通用具身机器人正式下线：2025 年 12 月 8 日，智 元机器人累计下线通用具身机器人 5000 台。 事件 2-GEV 上修燃机订单指引与扩产规划：2025 年 12 月9 日，GEV 召开 2025 年投资者大会，公司预计 2025 年底积压订单+预留协议将达到 80W，同时宣 布 2026 年中产能达 20GW，2028 年产能扩充至 24GW。 人形机器人点评：智元机器人第 5000 台通用具身机器人下线表明产业量产 不断推进，规模量产将加速到来。我们持续看好人形机器人的长期投资机会， 建议从价值量和卡位上把握空间&确定性，从股票弹性上寻找增量环节。1） 确定性：特斯拉产业链核心供应商或者实力强、卡位好的公司，重点关注【飞 荣达】【龙溪股份】【唯万密封】【恒立液压】【汇川技术】【绿的谐波】 【蓝思科技】【五洲新春】；2）弹性：重视基本结构研究逐步拓展至完整 功能结 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 制造成长周报（第 38 期） 优于大市 智元第 5000 台机器人正式下线，GEV 再度上修燃机订单指引 与扩产规划 重点事件点评&重点关注：人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-智元第 5000 台通用具身机器人正式下线：2025 年 12 月 8 日，智 元机器人累计下线通用具身机器人 5000 台。 事件 2-GEV 上修燃机订单指引与扩产规划：2025 年 12 月9 日，GEV 召开 2025 年投资者大会，公司预计 2025 年底积压订单+预留协议将达到 80W，同时宣 布 2026 年中产能达 20GW，2028 年产能扩充至 24GW。 人形机器人点评：智元机器人第 5000 台通用具身机器人下线表明产业量产 不断推进，规模量产将加速到来。我们持续看好人形机器人的长期投资机会， 建议从价值量和卡位上把握空间&确定性，从股票弹性上寻找增量环节。1） 确定性：特斯拉产业链核心供应商或者实力强、卡位好的公司，重点关注【飞 荣达】【龙溪股份】【唯万密封】【恒立液压】【汇川技术】【绿的谐波】 【蓝思科技】【五洲新春】；2）弹性：重视基本结构研究逐步拓展至完整 功能结 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 美国 12 月 FOMC 会议点评 中性降息落地，技术性扩表重启 经济研究·宏观快评 | 证券分析师： | 田地 | 0755-81982035 | tiandi2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524090003 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 邵兴宇 | 010-88005483 | shaoxingyu@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523070001 | | 证券分析师： | 董德志 | 021-60933158 | dongdz@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980513100001 | 事项： 12 月 11 日，美联储议息会议宣布降息 25bp，联邦基金利率区间由 4%-3.75%降至 3.75%-3.5%。委员会判 断银行体系储备余额已降至充足水平（ ample levels ），将重启短期国债购买。 评论： 图1：12 月 FOMC 会议决议声明要点梳理 | 维度 | 2025. 12 | 2025. 10 | 2025.09 | 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the food and beverage sector [4][5][10]. Core Views - The food and beverage sector is expected to see a recovery in consumer scenarios, with a stable price expectation for Moutai [1][3]. - The sector is entering a left-side layout phase, with high-quality companies expected to gain greater growth potential [2][10]. - The report highlights the differentiation in the fundamentals of various categories, with beverages outperforming food and alcohol [2][10]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Sector Overview - The food and beverage sector experienced a cumulative decline of 1.52% this week, with A-shares down 1.63% and H-shares up 0.07% [1]. - The top five gainers in the food and beverage sector this week were Yanjinpuzi (5.11%), Huikaishan (4.85%), New Dairy (3.22%), Chenguang Biological (3.09%), and Anji Food (3.08%) [1]. 2. Alcohol Sector - In the liquor segment, the report recommends focusing on leading companies like Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Yingjia Gongjiu, while also monitoring the reform pace of Wuliangye and Yanghe [2][10]. - The report notes that the current market is in a left-side layout phase, with positive signals expected from both demand and supply sides [10]. 3. Beverage Sector - The beverage industry is experiencing a sustained boom, with leading companies significantly outperforming the market [14]. - Recommendations include Nongfu Spring and Dongpeng Beverage, which are accelerating their national and platform expansion [14]. 4. Food Sector - The snack segment is advised to focus on strong alpha stocks, particularly in the konjac snack category, where leading companies like Weilong and Yanjinpuzi show strong competitive advantages [11][12]. - The restaurant supply chain is showing signs of stabilization, with recommendations for leading companies like Yihai International and Haitian Flavoring [12]. 5. Earnings Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Key companies such as Guizhou Moutai, Nongfu Spring, Wuliangye, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao are rated as "Outperform the Market" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth for 2025 and 2026 [4][10]. - The report provides detailed earnings forecasts for these companies, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4][15].

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 美国 12 月 FOMC 会议点评 中性降息落地，技术性扩表重启 经济研究·宏观快评 | 证券分析师： | 田地 | 0755-81982035 | tiandi2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524090003 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 邵兴宇 | 010-88005483 | shaoxingyu@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523070001 | | 证券分析师： | 董德志 | 021-60933158 | dongdz@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980513100001 | 评论： 图1：12 月 FOMC 会议决议声明要点梳理 | 维度 | 2025. 12 | 2025. 10 | 2025.09 | 2025. 07 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 3.5%至3.75%的目标区间 | | | | | | 将联邦基金利率下调1/4个百分点, ਵ | 将联邦基金利率调至3.75%至4 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the context of volatile equity markets, "Fixed Income +" products are favored by residents for wealth management in 2025. The new "Fixed Income +" products with "+ Fund" can diversify risks and balance risk - return more flexibly. The evolution of "Fixed Income +" is inevitable, and "+ Fund" practice is an imaginative part of this evolution [12] 3. Summary by Directory + Fund Policy and Regulation Highlights - Non - FOF funds investing in public funds must follow public fund holding rules, including specifying investment scope, asset ratio cap, and investment strategies in the fund contract. Existing regulations allow Fixed Income + funds to allocate securities investment funds, and valuation methods have been explored by FOF funds [13][15] Product Practice of Fixed Income + Funds Allocating Funds - Among "Fixed Income +" funds, partial - debt hybrid and second - tier bond funds are at the forefront of "+ Fund". Currently, 143 funds have public securities investment funds in their investment scope, all being these two types. The investment ratio limit for funds is ≤10%, and most products have specific constraints on investable targets [16][19] + Fund: Parallel Development of Active and Passive Funds - Generally, funds are divided into active and passive types. Passive funds are selected based on investment clock style, industry rotation, etc. Active funds are evaluated from quantitative (e.g., style stability, risk - return effectiveness) and qualitative (e.g., fund manager and management company) aspects [21] Broad - based and Industry ETFs are Highly Favored - As of Q3 2025, 47 out of 143 products with funds in the investment scope actually hold funds, with a total holding scale of 3.418 billion yuan. Red - chip funds are the most common choice among heavy - holding funds, and among broad - based indices, the Sci - tech Innovation and CSI 300 indices appear most frequently. Fixed Income + funds have a significantly higher proportion of ETF allocation compared to FOF funds [2][26][30] Performance Analysis of High - performing "Fixed Income +" Products with + Fund - Fund A has an asset value of 7.884 billion yuan, with a 2022 - 2025 net value return of 0%/ - 5%/7%/5% and a 2025 maximum drawdown of - 4%. It focuses on advantageous industries and has a concentrated quarterly position. Fund B has an asset value of 12.903 billion yuan, with a 2022 - 2025 net value return of 0%/1%/7%/6% and a 2025 maximum drawdown of - 2%. It has a balanced industry allocation and closely follows market hotspots [3][35][42] Feasibility Analysis of + Fund Advantages of Allocating Funds Instead of Individual Stocks/Bonds - Advantages include stronger availability of chips, wider access to assets, smoother transfer of top - down research ideas, more stable product net value fluctuations, and risk hedging with pure - debt positions [51] Disadvantages of Allocating Funds Instead of Individual Stocks/Bonds - The main disadvantage is limited offensive sharpness. When being optimistic about a market segment, there may not be a corresponding fund product [52] Discussion on the Choice between Active and Passive Funds - For industries with insignificant β but prominent α of some companies, subjective efforts are needed to select investment targets. Excellent subjective fund managers may outperform industry ETFs, and ETFs are better than non - professional investors directly investing in individual stocks. Fixed Income + funds can achieve a "pure - debt + thematic fund" product core through "+ Fund" investment [53]