Inflation Data Summary - In August, China's CPI decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, worse than the expected decline of 0.2% and down from the previous month's 0.0%[3] - The PPI fell by 2.9% year-on-year, matching expectations but improving from a previous decline of 3.6%[3] - Core CPI rose by 0.9% year-on-year, marking the highest level in 18 months and continuing to improve for four consecutive months[5] Price Dynamics - Food prices significantly dragged down the overall CPI, with food items declining by 4.3% year-on-year, compared to a 1.6% decline in the previous month[5] - Pork prices saw a substantial drop of 16.1% year-on-year, contributing to the weaker-than-expected CPI data[5] - Service items and industrial consumer goods prices remained stable, with service CPI increasing by 0.6% year-on-year and industrial consumer goods rising by 1.5%[5] PPI Insights - The PPI's month-on-month change stabilized at 0.0%, marking the first halt in decline since November 2024[8] - Upstream prices showed notable stabilization, particularly in black metal mining and smelting, with increases of 2.1% and 1.9% respectively[8] - Downstream industrial product prices showed minimal improvement, with automotive and general machinery PPI declining slightly[8] Future Outlook - The weak August CPI reflects a significant divergence in consumption structure, primarily influenced by high base effects and supply-side factors[6] - There is potential for CPI to gradually recover post high base effects, especially if international commodity prices rebound and domestic policies align[10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric power equipment and new energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [3][4][17] Core Insights - The first mechanism electricity price bidding results have been released, with favorable outcomes for wind power in Shandong Province. The mechanism electricity price for photovoltaic is 0.225 yuan/kWh, with an accepted electricity volume of 1.248 billion kWh, and for wind power, it is 0.319 yuan/kWh, with an accepted electricity volume of 5.967 billion kWh. The mechanism electricity price for wind power is significantly above the bidding lower limit and close to the upper limit, indicating a favorable investment return for wind power projects [3][5][7][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The bidding results show that the mechanism electricity price for photovoltaic projects is 0.225 yuan/kWh, with a mechanism electricity volume ratio of 80%, while for wind power, it is 0.319 yuan/kWh, with a mechanism electricity volume ratio of 70%. The total scale of accepted projects for photovoltaic is 1.27 GW, and for wind power, it is 3.59 GW [5][8]. Investment Recommendations - Based on the bidding results and feedback from the industry chain, it is expected that the overall scale of domestic new energy development will remain stable during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with a greater focus on wind power compared to the previous period. This is favorable for companies in the wind power industry chain. Recommended companies to watch include Goldwind Technology, SANY Renewable Energy, Yunda Co., and Times New Material [4][11]. Financial Projections - The profit forecasts for related companies are as follows: Goldwind Technology (2024A: 1.86 billion yuan, 2025E: 2.70 billion yuan, 2026E: 3.67 billion yuan), SANY Renewable Energy (2024A: 1.81 billion yuan, 2025E: 2.13 billion yuan, 2026E: 2.68 billion yuan), Yunda Co. (2024A: 460 million yuan, 2025E: 680 million yuan, 2026E: 990 million yuan), and Times New Material (2024A: 440 million yuan, 2025E: 650 million yuan, 2026E: 840 million yuan) [13].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - The current bond market decline features stable short - term bonds and widening term spreads. The adjustment is due to the disappointment in 2024 expectations and the change in the macro - narrative. As the bond and stock markets have gradually become desensitized since late August and entered the August economic data window period, the trading focus of the bond market is expected to shift to fundamentals, and the bond market is expected to rebound from the oversold level in the short term. Attention should be paid to the August economic growth data released on September 15 [2] Summary by Related Catalogs Review of the Bond Market Decline - The upward adjustment of bond yields started at the end of June. From June 30 to September 10, almost all bond yields rebounded significantly, with an average increase of 12BP (only the 3 - year AA - variety yield decreased by 5BP). Long - term bonds had a more significant increase, with the average increase of treasury bonds, government - sponsored bonds, and local government bonds being 15BP, 17BP, and 11BP respectively. The 30 - year treasury bond yield increased by 34BP. Most credit spreads narrowed, with an average narrowing of 5BP, and the narrowing of low - grade credit spreads was more significant [3] Reasons for the Bond Market Adjustment - The adjustment is mainly due to two reasons: the disappointment in 2024 expectations, as the 7 - day reverse repurchase rate in 2025 was only cut by 10BP, less than the average cut of over 20BP in the past three years, and the GDP growth rate in the first half of 2025 was better than the pessimistic expectations at the end of 2024; and the change in the macro - narrative, including the anti - involution movement dispelling deflation expectations and the strong performance of the stock market leading to the redemption of bonds [2][6] Desensitization of Bond and Stock Markets - From August 18 to September 8, the bond market was mainly sideways, while the stock market rose (CSI 300 rose 5.4% and CSI 500 rose 4.9%). The correlation between bonds and stocks weakened compared with July. The trading rhythm of the bond market began to lead the stock market to some extent. The bond market is gradually desensitizing to the stock market, which is related to the structural differentiation of the stock market's rise. The performance of A - share industries has been significantly different this year, and the stock market's sharp rise does not mean a comprehensive improvement in the Chinese economy [9][10] Bond Market Outlook - The trading focus of the bond market is expected to return to fundamentals. Historically, important turning points in the bond market often occur during the release of economic data. The current economic fundamentals are still weak, and the GDP growth rate in the third quarter is expected to decline. The bond market is expected to rebound from the oversold level in the short term. Attention should be paid to the August economic growth data released on September 15 [2][16][20]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][4][7] Core Views - The company plans to launch new products under its core IP, including the third series of "Hero Total Mobilization" and the second series of "Cinnamoroll" from Sanrio, which will enhance its product matrix and cater to diverse consumer needs [3][5] - The company's revenue for the first half of the year reached 1.338 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.9%, with 216 million yuan coming from the 9.9 yuan affordable product line [3][5] - The company has commercialized 19 IPs as of the first half of the year, with the top four IPs contributing 83.1% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, compared to 92.3% from the top three IPs in the same period last year, indicating an improvement in the contribution from diversified IPs [3][4][5] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company's projected net profit for 2025-2027 has been revised down to 805 million, 1.138 billion, and 1.506 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27.4, 19.4, and 14.7 times [4][7] - The company continues to benefit from emotional consumption and the growth of the IP economy, actively promoting its IP matrix, brand, and channel expansion to solidify its growth foundation [4][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][24]. Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in high-end artificial lens products, with a significant increase in quarterly profits, achieving a record high since its listing [1][8]. - Despite challenges from macroeconomic conditions and industry policies, the company has maintained steady revenue growth, although net profit growth has lagged behind revenue growth due to lower margins from certain products [1][8]. - The company is the first domestic manufacturer to independently develop high-end refractive artificial lenses, with a well-established myopia prevention product line and significant potential for platform and international development [24]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 787 million (up 14.72%) and a net profit of 213 million (up 2.53%), with a record quarterly net profit of 121 million in Q2, reflecting a 30.46% increase quarter-on-quarter [1][8]. - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 65.25%, impacted by a higher proportion of lower-margin products, while the net profit margin improved to 27.26% in Q2 [3][19]. - The company’s operating cash flow remained healthy, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 154 million (up 26.43%) in the first half of 2025 [19]. Business Segments - Revenue from artificial lenses reached 345 million (up 8.23%), with high-end products like "Longjing" and "All-View" lenses seeing rapid growth [2][14]. - The myopia prevention product line, particularly the "Punotong" corneal shaping lens, generated 119 million (up 5.63%), maintaining sales growth amid increased competition [2][14]. - The contact lens segment reported revenue of 236 million (up 28.89%), driven by the expansion of self-branded sales channels [2][14]. Future Outlook - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, now expecting net profits of 427 million, 520 million, and 627 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.0%, 21.7%, and 20.5% [24]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 35.9, 29.5, and 24.4 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [24].

2025年09月11日 证券研究报告 | 模拟芯片专题： 推荐具有高端化和平台化能力的企业 行业研究 · 行业专题 电子 · 半导体 投资评级：优于大市（维持） 021-60893306 021-60871321 0755-81982153 021-61761072 010-88005482 hujian1@guosen.com.cn huhui2@guosen.com.cn yezi3@guosen.com.cn zhangdawei1@guosen.com.cn lianxinran@guosen.com.cn S0980521080001 S0980521080002 S0980522100003 S0980524100002 S0980525080004 证券分析师：胡剑 证券分析师：胡慧 证券分析师：叶子 证券分析师：张大为 证券分析师：连欣然 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 01 模拟芯片产品类型和客户数量众多 02 模拟芯片行业核心问题思考 03 国内模型芯片企业对比 04 投资策略：推荐具有高端化和平台化能力的企业 推荐具有高端化和平台化能力的企业 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及 ...

Report Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core View The report presents some basic economic data, including the cumulative year-on-year growth rate of fixed asset investment at 1.60%, the year-on-year growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods in the current month at 3.70%, the year-on-year growth rate of exports in the current month at 4.40%, and M2 at 8.80% [4]. Summary by Relevant Categories Government Bond Net Financing - Government bond net financing was 206.5 billion yuan in the 36th week (9/1 - 9/7) and 608 billion yuan in the 37th week (9/8 - 9/14). As of the 36th week, the cumulative amount reached 10.5 trillion yuan, exceeding the same period last year by 4.7 trillion yuan [1][5]. Treasury Bond and Local Bond - The net financing of treasury bonds was 169.8 billion yuan in the 36th week and 415.2 billion yuan in the 37th week. As of the 36th week, the cumulative amount was 4.8 trillion yuan, with a progress of 72.7%, exceeding the same period in the past five years [7]. - Local bond net financing was 36.7 billion yuan in the 36th week and 192.8 billion yuan in the 37th week. As of the 36th week, the cumulative amount was 5.7 trillion yuan, exceeding the same period last year by 2.9 trillion yuan [9]. New General Bonds and New Special Bonds - New general bonds had 0 net financing in the 36th week and 14.7 billion yuan in the 37th week. As of the 36th week, the cumulative amount was 620.8 billion yuan, with a progress of 77.6%, exceeding the same period last year [9]. - New special bonds had a net financing of 178 billion yuan in the 36th week and 131.9 billion yuan in the 37th week. As of the 36th week, the cumulative amount was 3.3 trillion yuan, with a progress of 74.6%, exceeding the same period last year. Special new special bonds of 112.23 billion yuan had been issued, including 15.43 billion yuan since September. Land reserve special bonds of 32.84 billion yuan had been issued [2][12]. Special Refinancing Bonds and Urban Investment Bonds - Special refinancing bonds had 0 net financing in the 36th week and 26.2 billion yuan in the 37th week. As of the 36th week, the cumulative amount was 1.96 trillion yuan, with a issuance progress of 98% [22]. - Urban investment bonds had a net financing of -36.9 billion yuan in the 36th week and are expected to be -10.9 billion yuan in the 37th week. As of this week, the balance of urban investment bonds was 10.1 trillion yuan [2][27].

证券研究报告 | 2025年09月11日 市场表现：20250910 规模指数中上证 50 指数表现较好，板块指数中创业板 指表现较好，风格指数中沪深 300 成长指数表现较好。通信、传媒、电子、 计算机、国防军工行业表现较好，电新、有色金属、基础化工、煤炭、钢铁 行业表现较差。覆铜板、eSIM 卡、冰雪旅游、光模块(CPO)、基站等概念 表现较好，锂矿、锂电正极、钠离子电池、有机硅、珠宝等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：20250910 收盘时有 65 只股票涨停，有 5 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日高开高走，收盘收益为 2.06%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为 0.61%。今日封板率 67%，较前日下降 2%，连板率 24%，较前日提升 8%。 市场资金流向：截至 20250909 两融余额为 23197 亿元，其中融资余额 23035 亿元，融券余额 162 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.5%，两融 交易占市场成交额比重为 11.0%。 金融工程日报 市场缩量反弹，创业板指领涨、AI 硬件方向集体反弹 核心观点 金融工程日报 折溢价：20250909 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是信息技术 ETF，ETF ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年09月11日 凯莱英（002821.SZ） 小分子CDMO行业引领，新兴业务扬帆起航 公司研究 · 深度报告 医药生物 · 医药研发外包 投资评级：优于大市（首次覆盖） 0755-81982723 pengsiyu@guosen.com.cn S0980521060003 证券分析师：陈曦炳 0755-81982939 chenxibing@guosen.com.cn S0980521120001 证券分析师：彭思宇 联系人：凌珑 021-60375401 linglong@guosen.com.cn 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 1 投资建议 n 凯莱英：全球领先、技术驱动型的一站式CDMO综合服务商 凯莱英成立于1998年，是中国第二大化学药物CDMO企业。公司以化学小分子CDMO业务为基石，逐步拓展业务边界，技术创新能力行业领先， 研发费用率长期居于行业领先水平，服务辉瑞、默沙东等全球超1100家客户。 n 小分子业务：基石业务稳健 小分子CDMO作为公司的业务根基，依托连续流化学(CFCT)、酶催化等核心技术，持续攻克高难度分子合成壁垒，巩固在抗肿瘤、抗病毒 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年09月11日 金融工程日报 市场缩量反弹，创业板指领涨、AI 硬件方向集体反弹 核心观点 金融工程日报 市场表现：20250910 规模指数中上证 50 指数表现较好，板块指数中创业板 指表现较好，风格指数中沪深 300 成长指数表现较好。通信、传媒、电子、 计算机、国防军工行业表现较好，电新、有色金属、基础化工、煤炭、钢铁 行业表现较差。覆铜板、eSIM 卡、冰雪旅游、光模块(CPO)、基站等概念 表现较好，锂矿、锂电正极、钠离子电池、有机硅、珠宝等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：20250910 收盘时有 65 只股票涨停，有 5 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日高开高走，收盘收益为 2.06%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为 0.61%。今日封板率 67%，较前日下降 2%，连板率 24%，较前日提升 8%。 市场资金流向：截至 20250909 两融余额为 23197 亿元，其中融资余额 23035 亿元，融券余额 162 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.5%，两融 交易占市场成交额比重为 11.0%。 折溢价：20250909 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是信息技术 ETF，ETF ...