Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the home appliance industry [4][5][58]. Core Insights - The home appliance sector is expected to benefit from the third batch of 690 billion yuan in national subsidies aimed at promoting consumption through old-for-new programs, which is anticipated to sustain robust demand growth [2][20]. - In August, air conditioner production saw a year-on-year decline of 7.1%, with domestic sales decreasing by 5.3% and exports down by 9.5%. This decline is attributed to the seasonal slowdown and increased inventory levels [1][17]. - The second quarter saw a decrease in the proportion of heavy holdings in home appliance stocks, with a notable increase in black electrical appliances, indicating a shift in investment focus [3][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include Midea Group, Gree Electric, Haier Smart Home, TCL Smart Home, and Hisense Home Appliances in the white goods sector, and Boss Electric in kitchen appliances [3][12][15]. 2. Market Trends and Production Insights - August marked the beginning of the air conditioning off-season, leading to a production slowdown. Domestic production decreased by 5% while export production fell by 10% [1][17]. - The third batch of national subsidies is expected to provide a significant boost to domestic demand, with over 2.8 billion people applying for the old-for-new subsidies, resulting in sales exceeding 1.6 trillion yuan [2][20]. 3. Heavy Holdings and Market Performance - The proportion of heavy holdings in home appliance stocks decreased to 3.3% in Q2, with white goods seeing the largest decline. However, the sector remains overweight compared to the overall market [3][22]. - The home appliance sector experienced a relative loss of 1.65% this week compared to the broader market [30]. 4. Key Data Tracking - Raw material prices have shown an upward trend, with LME copper and aluminum prices increasing by 1.2% and 2.3% respectively [32]. - The shipping index for exports has decreased, with significant drops in rates for routes to the US West and East coasts [42]. 5. Company Earnings Forecasts - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for key companies include Midea Group at 5.62 yuan for 2025, Gree Electric at 6.34 yuan, and Haier Smart Home at 2.26 yuan [4][55].

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月28日 公用环保 202507 第 4 期 优于大市 国内首台百万千瓦四代商用快堆初步设计完成，2025Q2 公用环保板块基金持仓 梳理 专题研究：2025 年第二季度，基金重仓持股公用事业板块股票合计市值 为 632.80 亿元，较 2025 年第一季度 587.86 亿元环比增加 7.64%，占基 金重仓持股总市值的比例为 2.1%，环比增加 0.2pct；公用事业板块基 金重仓持股以水电公司为主，水电、燃气板块加仓较多，火电板块减仓 较多。基金重仓持股环保板块股票合计市值为 73.52 亿元，较 2025 年 第一季度 74.36 亿元环比下降 1.1%，占基金重仓持股总市值的比例为 0.2%，与 2025 年一季度基本持平，环保板块基金重仓持股以固废治理 公司为主。 投资策略：公用事业：1.煤价电价同步下行，火电盈利有望维持合理水 平，推荐全国大型火电企业华电国际以及区域电价较为坚挺的上海电 力；2.国家持续出台政策支持新能源发展，新能源发电盈利有望逐步趋 于稳健，推荐全国性新能源发电龙头企业龙源电力、三峡能源，区域优 质海上风电企业广西能源、福能股份、中闽能源，以及 ...

2025年7月28日 证券研究报告 | ESG热点周聚焦（7月第4期） 雅下水电开工，清洁能源启新章 策略研究 · 策略专题 证券分析师：王开 证券分析师：陈凯畅 021-60933132 021-60375429 wangkai8@guosen.com.cn chenkaichang@guosen.com.cn S0980521030001 S0980523090002 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 核心观点 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 n 海外ESG热点事件：国外绿色金融与ESG政策、资本与技术三线并进，达到"规则-资金-技术"共振。政策法规方面，英国政府确认2029年 将工程碳去除纳入排放交易计划并保留配额总量不变；国际法院7月23日发表咨询意见，首次明确"国家未能控制温室气体排放可能构成国 际不法行为"。地方政府层面，阿布扎比发布首个环境部门气候适应计划（2025-2050），锁定地下水、土壤和生物多样性三大脆弱系统。 产业方面，全球首艘深远海绿色智能技术试验船"未来"号在中国命名交付，将作为"移动海上实验室"验证绿色技术与深海装备；F1宣 布2018年以来碳足迹下降 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the pesticide industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - The "Rectifying Internal Competition" three-year action plan initiated by the China Pesticide Industry Association aims to address issues such as hidden additives, illegal production, and disorderly competition within the pesticide industry, potentially marking a turning point for industry prosperity [3][4]. - The demand for pesticides is expected to remain strong, with Chinese pesticide companies capturing a significant share of the global market for pesticide growth. The report highlights a notable increase in pesticide imports in Brazil and the United States, while exports from India and the U.S. have not kept pace, indicating China's growing role as a key supplier [4][25]. - The report anticipates that the pesticide industry's capital expenditure growth has been negative for four consecutive quarters, suggesting that prices have bottomed out. The "Rectifying Internal Competition" initiative is expected to enhance industry self-discipline and lead to a rebound in industry prosperity [4][9]. Summary by Sections Action Plan Overview - The "Rectifying Internal Competition" action plan outlines three main objectives: improving market order, curbing internal competition, and enhancing product quality by 2027 [5]. - Key tasks include prohibiting the addition of unregistered active ingredients, cracking down on illegal production, and resisting low-price competition among companies [5]. Industry Dynamics - The pesticide industry is currently facing intense competition and frequent safety incidents, necessitating the "Rectifying Internal Competition" initiative. The report notes that safety incidents have increased due to reduced safety investments amid competitive pressures [4][13]. - The report indicates that the global pesticide industry is transitioning from a de-inventory phase to a de-capacity phase, with China's pesticide exports expected to exceed 2.05 million tons in 2024, accounting for 89.5% of total production [6][9]. Market Trends - The report highlights that several pesticide prices have begun to rise due to improved demand and supply constraints. For instance, the price of glyphosate has increased by 12.93% since April 2025 [18][29]. - The overall pesticide market is showing signs of recovery from a downturn, with some companies experiencing significant improvements in profitability due to favorable industry conditions [29]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Yangnong Chemical, Lier Chemical, Xingfa Group, Limin Co., and Guoguang Co., which are well-positioned in the pesticide market and expected to benefit from the ongoing industry changes [32].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage sector is "Outperform the Market" [5][6][78]. Core Views - The report indicates a decrease in the allocation ratio for the liquor sector, reflecting weak fundamental expectations. The second quarter performance is expected to show demand pressure, with companies focusing on market health and inventory reduction [2][12][14]. - The beer and beverage sectors are entering a peak season, with stable performance from leading companies in basic condiments. The report recommends companies that are accelerating nationalization and platformization, such as Dongpeng Beverage [3][15][20]. - The report highlights three investment lines in the liquor sector: leading companies with strong risk resistance, companies showing digital transformation feedback, and those with market share growth potential [2][14]. Summary by Sections Liquor Sector - The liquor sector's allocation ratio has decreased, with the white liquor index rising by 1.0%. The allocation ratio for actively managed equity funds fell by 2.07 percentage points to 4.50% [2][14]. - Key recommendations include Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, which have shown strong dividend yields and growth potential [2][14]. Consumer Goods - The beer sector is experiencing a slight decrease in fund allocation, with Yanjing Beer seeing an increase in its fund holding ratio. The report recommends Yanjing Beer due to its ongoing internal reforms [3][15]. - The snack sector has seen a significant increase in fund allocation, particularly for Salted Fish and Wancheng Group. The report recommends products with high growth potential, such as those from Weilong and Salted Fish [3][16]. - In the condiment sector, leading companies like Haitian Flavoring are expected to perform steadily, with a focus on mid-year performance [3][17]. Frozen Foods and Dairy - The frozen food sector is stable, with companies actively developing new products to adapt to market demands. Recommendations include Anjui Foods and Qianwei Central Kitchen [3][18]. - The dairy sector is expected to recover gradually, with policies stimulating demand. The report suggests focusing on leading dairy companies with a safety margin in valuations [3][19]. Beverage Sector - The beverage sector is entering a peak season, with significant growth in no-sugar tea and energy drinks. Dongpeng Beverage is highlighted for its strong performance, with a reported revenue increase of 36% year-on-year [3][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the automotive intelligence sector [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of commercial deployment of Robotaxi in Shanghai, with new operational licenses issued on July 26 [1]. - The penetration rates of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and various automotive technologies are on the rise, indicating a growing trend towards vehicle intelligence [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Tesla's smart assisted driving plan is set to further expand in China within the year [1]. - Shanghai has issued a new batch of demonstration operation licenses for intelligent connected vehicles [1]. - Pony.ai has received approval to conduct Robotaxi operations in central Shanghai [1]. - Various companies, including WeRide and Horizon Robotics, are advancing their autonomous driving technologies and solutions [1]. High-Frequency Core Data Updates - By May 2025, the penetration rate of 8 million pixel front-view cameras in passenger vehicles is projected to reach 66.7%, with 38.6% of that being 8 million pixel cameras, showing a year-on-year increase of 23 percentage points [2]. - NVIDIA's driving chip market share is increasing, with a projected penetration rate of 29% for passenger vehicle driving domain controllers by May 2025 [2]. - The market share of LiDAR in passenger vehicles is expected to reach 10% by May 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4 percentage points [2]. Intelligent Driving - The penetration rate of passenger vehicles equipped with L2 level or higher functions reached 28.1% by May 2025, up 13 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The penetration rates for various sensors, including front-view cameras and radar, are also increasing, indicating a trend towards more sophisticated vehicle sensing capabilities [3]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies for whole vehicles include XPeng Motors, Leap Motor, and Geely [4]. - For L4 level technologies, Pony.ai is recommended [4]. - Component recommendations include companies like Hesai Technology and SUTENG for data acquisition, and Horizon Robotics for data processing [4]. Key Company Earnings Forecast and Investment Ratings - XPeng Motors: Outperform, with a projected EPS of -3.03 in 2024 and -0.83 in 2025 [5]. - Xingyu Co., Ltd.: Outperform, with an EPS of 4.93 in 2024 and 5.95 in 2025 [5]. - Horizon Robotics: Outperform, with an EPS forecast of 0.18 in 2024 and -0.14 in 2025 [5].

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月28日 社会服务行业双周报（第 111 期） 优于大市 海南封关、雅下水电双轮驱动，关注顺周期边际信号 海南封关、雅下水电双轮驱动，关注顺周期边际信号。据新华社报道，海南 自贸港将于 2025 年 12 月 18 日正式启动全岛封关运作，实施"一线放开、 二线管住、岛内自由"自由化便利化政策制度。"零关税"商品税目比例从 21%提升至 74%（约 6600 项），符合条件的进口货物可"径予放行"以降低 企业物流成本；同时，享惠主体从企业扩展至全岛企事业单位及民办非企业 单位，加工增值超 30%的商品可免关税销往内地政策，有望显著提升海南对 企业、旅客的国际吸引力，催生"商务+休闲"复合需求，带动酒店、会展、 物流等产业链发展；对免税运营商而言，预计也将受益于总体客流提升，此 外由于封关目前仅限于零关税、同时注重实施"二线管住"，预计短期免税 运营商的牌照优势仍存。此外，雅江水电 1.2 万亿基建投资将激活区域经济 循环，与封关政策协同，有望提振人力资源、海南出行链、就业强相关的教 育、商务酒旅、餐饮、免税及出境游等相关产业，建议关注顺周期边际信号。 风险提示：宏观经济恢复低于 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media sector [5][39]. Core Views - The report highlights the upward trend in the performance cycle, with a long-term positive outlook on AI applications and IP trends [4][39]. - The 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai has set a record with over 800 participating companies and more than 3,000 cutting-edge exhibits [2][16]. - The gaming sector is expected to benefit from product cycles and performance improvements, with specific recommendations for companies like Kaiying Network and Giant Network [4][39]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector rose by 2.09% during the week of July 14-20, outperforming the CSI 300 index (1.69%) but underperforming the ChiNext index (2.76%) [12][18]. - Notable gainers included Happiness Blue Ocean, Xinhua Media, and InSai Group, while losers included Lansheng Co., Century Tianhong, and Reading Technology [12][18]. Key Data Tracking - The box office for the week of July 21-27 reached 1.038 billion yuan, with top films being "Nanjing Photo Studio" (306 million yuan, 29.4% share), "Lychee of Chang'an" (239 million yuan, 23.0% share), and "The Legend of Lu Xiaobei 2" (130 million yuan, 12.4% share) [3][18][20]. - The mobile gaming revenue for June 2025 was led by "Whiteout Survival," "Gossip Harbor: Merge & Story," and "Kingshot" [27][28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the gaming, advertising media, and film sectors, with specific stock picks including Kaiying Network, Giant Network, and Yaoji Technology [4][39]. - The report emphasizes the potential of high-dividend, low-valuation stocks in the state-owned publishing sector [4][39]. - For AI applications, the report recommends focusing on marketing, education, and entertainment sectors, highlighting opportunities in both B2B and B2C markets [4][39].

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月28日 投资建议：维持"优于大市"评级。伴随国家不断出台扩大内需的利好 政策，报告期内社服板块估值有望持续修复。目前经济环境和市场风格 下建议配置亚朵、中国东方教育、学大教育、科锐国际、北京人力、携 程集团-S、美团-W、同程旅行、古茗、蜜雪集团、峨眉山 A 等。中线优 选中国中免、美团-W、蜜雪集团、古茗、亚朵、华住集团-S、学大教育、 携程集团-S、海底捞、天立国际控股、中国东方教育、同程旅行、北京 人力、BOSS 直聘、科锐国际、锦江酒店、同庆楼、行动教育、宋城演艺、 百胜中国、九毛九、海南机场、米奥会展、君亭酒店、峨眉山 A、天目 湖、三特索道、黄山旅游、广州酒家、首旅酒店、东方甄选等。 重点公司盈利预测及投资评级 | 公司 | 公司 | 投资 | 昨收盘 | 总市值 | EPS | | PE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 名称 | 评级 | （元， | （亿元， | 2025E | 2026E | 2025E | 2026E | | | | | CNY） | CN ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][4][10] Core Views - The company has partnered with Alibaba to launch the "World Yiwu AI Model" for internal testing, aimed at assisting small and micro enterprises in their digital transformation [3][5] - The bidding prices for new market spaces in the global digital trade center have shown steady growth, indicating strong demand and recognition of the company's market service capabilities [4][8] - The company is positioned as a global comprehensive foreign trade service provider, leveraging its online trade platform Chinagoods to offer AI application services, with user numbers expected to exceed 200,000 by 2024 [3][4][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The global digital trade center's bidding prices for the creative toy industry range from 134,300 to 136,700 CNY per square meter, and for skincare and medical beauty products, the prices range from 136,700 to 137,600 CNY per square meter, reflecting a steady increase from previous prices in the fashion jewelry sector [4][8] Financial Projections - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 4.032 billion, 6.408 billion, and 7.832 billion CNY, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 28.5, 18, and 14.7 times [4][10] Business Growth - The AI model's internal testing has shown significant efficiency improvements, such as reducing the product listing time for an AI smart glasses product from 2 hours to 12 minutes, and increasing product selection efficiency by 45% [5] - The company anticipates that the total qualification fee from the global digital trade center will reach approximately 20 billion CNY upon completion of all market recruitment [4][10]