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TCL电子:与索尼达成战略合作,有望加速电视业务全球扩张-20260127
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-27 05:45
证券研究报告 | 2026年01月26日 2026年01月27日 TCL 电子(01070.HK) 与索尼达成战略合作,有望加速电视业务全球扩张 优于大市 |  | 公司研究·公司快评 |  | 家用电器·黑色家电 |  投资评级:优于大市(首次) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师: | 陈伟奇 | 0755-81982606 | chenweiqi@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980520110004 | | 证券分析师: | 王兆康 | 0755-81983063 | wangzk@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980520120004 | | 证券分析师: | 邹会阳 | 0755-81981518 | zouhuiyang@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980523020001 | | 证券分析师: | 李晶 | | lijing29@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980525080003 | 事项: 公司发布公告,公司与索尼于 1 月 20 日订立不具法律约束力的意向备忘录,拟在 ...
TCL电子(01070):与索尼达成战略合作,有望加速电视业务全球扩张
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-27 05:20
证券研究报告 | 2026年01月26日 2026年01月27日 TCL 电子(01070.HK) 与索尼达成战略合作,有望加速电视业务全球扩张 优于大市 |  | 公司研究·公司快评 |  | 家用电器·黑色家电 |  投资评级:优于大市(首次) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师: | 陈伟奇 | 0755-81982606 | chenweiqi@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980520110004 | | 证券分析师: | 王兆康 | 0755-81983063 | wangzk@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980520120004 | | 证券分析师: | 邹会阳 | 0755-81981518 | zouhuiyang@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980523020001 | | 证券分析师: | 李晶 | | lijing29@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码:S0980525080003 | 事项: 公司发布公告,公司与索尼于 1 月 20 日订立不具法律约束力的意向备忘录,拟在 ...
国信证券晨会纪要-20260127
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-27 01:45
| 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2026-01-26 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数(点) | 4132.60 | 14316.63 | 4706.96 | 15595.08 | 4178.14 | 1532.79 | | 涨跌幅度(%) | -0.08 | -0.85 | 0.09 | -1.33 | -1.33 | -1.34 | | 成交金额(亿元) | 14518.59 | 17963.42 | 7968.32 | 6285.86 | 8384.90 | 1089.16 | $$\overline{{{\prod_{i\in\mathbb{R}}}}}\frac{\Delta}{\Delta}\pm\overline{{{\prod_{i\in\mathbb{R}}}}}$$ (4) [ (4) 36 $\mu$H$\mu$H$\mu$H$\mu$] 宏观与策略 固定收益周报:公募 REITs 周报(第 51 期)- ...
医药生物周报(26年第3周):25Q4公募基金医药持仓分析
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-27 00:45
本周医药板块表现弱于整体市场,医疗服务板块领跌。本周全部 A 股上涨 1.17%(总市值加权平均),沪深 300 下跌 0.62%,中小板指上涨 0.87%, 创业板指下跌 0.34%,生物医药板块整体下跌 0.39%,生物医药板块表 现弱于整体市场。分子板块来看,化学制药下跌 1.11%,生物制品上涨 0.07%,医疗服务下跌 2.17%,医疗器械上涨 0.30%,医药商业上涨 4.26%,中药上涨 0.89%。医药生物市盈率(TTM)38.51x,处于近 5 年历史估值的 84.35%分位数。 25Q4 公募基金医药持仓分析: 风险提示:研发失败风险;商业化不及预期风险;地缘政治风险;政策 超预期风险。 重点公司盈利预测及投资评级 | 公司 | 公司 | 投资 | 总市值 | | 归母净利润(亿元) | | | | PE | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 名称 | 评级 | (亿元) | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2024A | ...
医药生物行业2026年投资策略:关注创新出海,重视新技术方向
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 15:27
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of innovation in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, particularly focusing on the overseas expansion of innovative drugs and the adoption of new technologies [1][4]. - The investment rating for the sector is maintained at "outperform the market" [2]. Group 1: Market Overview and Trends - The overseas market for innovative drugs and the CXO industry is expected to perform exceptionally well in 2025, driven by continuous business development (BD) activities, strong clinical data, and supportive policies [4]. - The domestic supply and demand remain stable, with a shift in payment systems favoring innovation. National health expenditure increased by 4.7% year-on-year in the first 11 months of 2025, marking a recovery after two years of decline [4]. - The report highlights the significant growth potential in new drug forms such as dual antibodies and small nucleic acid drugs, as well as innovations in AI healthcare and brain-machine interfaces [4]. Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with global competitiveness and differentiated innovation capabilities, as well as domestic CXO leaders with high barriers in cost control, technology accumulation, and production capacity [4]. - Recommended stocks include Mindray Medical, WuXi AppTec, Kelaiying, Aier Eye Hospital, and several others, with specific mention of H-shares like Kelun-Bio and CanSino Biologics [4][5]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - The report provides a detailed strategy portfolio for 2026, listing companies along with their projected net profits and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, indicating a generally positive outlook for the sector [5]. - The pharmaceutical sector's overall performance in 2025 was strong, with significant gains in sub-sectors such as medical services and chemical pharmaceuticals, driven by BD collaborations and clinical data releases [12][23]. Group 4: Fund Holdings and Market Sentiment - As of Q4 2025, the net asset value of pharmaceutical funds decreased by 9.0%, with a notable shift where passive funds surpassed active funds for the first time since 2019 [25][32]. - The report indicates a decline in the proportion of pharmaceutical holdings in both active and non-pharmaceutical funds, with a concentration in chemical preparations and other biological products [32][40].
1月第3周立体投资策略周报:融资交易情绪边际降温-20260126
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 15:24
证券研究报告 | 2026年01月26日 策略周报 融资交易情绪边际降温——1 月第 3 周立体投资策略周报 核心结论:①1 月第 3 周,资金入市合计净流出 1705 亿元,前一周流入 49 亿元。②短期情绪指标处于 05 年以来高位,长期情绪指标处于 05 年以来中 低位。③从行业角度看,以成交额占比为例,过去一周半导体、电子、国防 军工等热度较高。 1 月第 2 周,资金入市合计净流出 1705 亿元,前一周流入 49 亿元。资金流 入方面,融资余额减少 83 亿元,公募基金发行增加 393 亿元,ETF 净赎回 1623 亿元,北上资金估算净流出 93 亿元;资金流出方面,IPO 融资规模 46 亿元,产业资本净减持 118 亿元,交易费用 136 亿元。 短期情绪指标处于 05 年以来高位。短期情绪指标主要看换手率和融资交易 占比,最近一周换手率(年化)为 557%,当前处在历史上由低到高 87%的分 位;最近一周融资交易占比为 9.88%,当前处在历史上由低到高 73%的分位。 长期情绪指标处于 05 年以来中低位。长期情绪指标主要看大类资产比价, 一看价格对比,最近一周 A 股风险溢价(全部 A ...
泡泡玛特(09992):新爆款带动 IP 势能,业绩与估值具备修复空间
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 13:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][6][22] Core Viewpoints - The management's recent share buybacks demonstrate confidence in the company's future and stock price [3][4] - The company's new product series, PUCKY and Starry People, have shown strong demand, with sold-out status on official platforms and significant price premiums on secondary markets, indicating potential for IP value enhancement during the upcoming holiday season [3][5] - The company is expected to see substantial profit growth, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 120.2 billion, 170.5 billion, and 208.9 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 284.4%, 41.9%, and 22.6% [3][10][15] Summary by Relevant Sections Share Buyback - The company announced a buyback of 500,000 shares at a price of 192.97 yuan per share and the cancellation of 1.4 million shares at 179.60 yuan per share, indicating a total buyback amount of approximately 347.9 million yuan [2][5] Product Performance - Recent trends show that the PUCKY and Starry People series have sold out on official websites, with price premiums on secondary markets ranging from 2-3 times for hidden versions and 70-200% for regular versions, suggesting strong market demand [3][5][9] Financial Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts, expecting revenues of 356.2 billion, 512.5 billion, and 634.5 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 173.2%, 43.9%, and 23.8% [10][19] - The gross margin is projected to exceed 70% in the first half of 2025, with a steady gross margin of around 71% expected through 2027 [12][19]
泡泡玛特(09992):新爆款带动IP势能,业绩与估值具备修复空间
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 12:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][6][3] Core Views - The management's recent share buybacks demonstrate confidence in the company's future and stock price [4][3] - The company's new product series, PUCKY and Starry People, have sold out on official platforms and are trading at significant premiums on secondary markets, indicating strong IP potential [3][5] - The company is expected to see substantial profit growth, with net profits projected to reach 12.02 billion, 17.05 billion, and 20.89 billion for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 284.4%, 41.9%, and 22.6% respectively [3][10] Summary by Sections Share Buyback - The company announced a buyback of 500,000 shares at a price of 192.97 yuan per share and the cancellation of 1.4 million shares at 179.60 yuan per share, showing a total buyback of 3.47 billion yuan for 1.9 million shares [2][5] Product Performance - Recent trends show that the PUCKY and Starry People series have sold out on the official website, with hidden versions trading at premiums of 2-3 times and regular versions at 70-200% premiums [5][9] Financial Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 12.02 billion, 17.05 billion, and 20.89 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23, 16, and 13 [3][10] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at 35.62 billion, 51.25 billion, and 63.45 billion, with growth rates of 173.2%, 43.9%, and 23.8% respectively [10][19]
医药生物周报(26年第3周):25Q4公募基金医药持仓分析-20260126
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 11:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [5][41]. Core Views - The pharmaceutical sector has shown weaker performance compared to the overall market, with a TTM P/E ratio of 38.51x, which is at the 84.35th percentile of the past five years [1][37]. - The report highlights the importance of the CXO sector, emphasizing the competitive advantages of Chinese companies in the chemical CDMO field, and suggests that the sector's valuation is expected to recover [41]. - The report recommends focusing on innovative drugs and the associated industry chain, with a notable mention of the upcoming JPM conference and the clinical progress of innovative drugs overseas [41][42]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The overall A-share market increased by 1.17%, while the biotechnology sector declined by 0.39%. The medical services sector was the worst performer, dropping by 2.17% [1][32]. - The report notes that the largest sub-sectors by holding percentage are chemical preparations (37.5%) and other biological products (20.8%) [19]. Fund Holdings Analysis - As of Q4 2025, the total net asset value of pharmaceutical funds reached 358.4 billion, a decrease of 9.0% from the previous quarter [11]. - The report indicates that the pharmaceutical holdings of all funds accounted for 7.97%, down by 1.71 percentage points [16]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts for several key companies, all rated "Outperform": - Mindray Medical (300760.SZ): 2024A net profit of 11.67 billion [4] - WuXi AppTec (603259.SH): 2024A net profit of 9.35 billion [4] - Aier Eye Hospital (300015.SZ): 2024A net profit of 3.56 billion [4] - New Industry (300832.SZ): 2024A net profit of 1.83 billion [4] - Huatai Medical (688617.SH): 2024A net profit of 670 million [4] Investment Strategy - The report recommends a portfolio of stocks including Mindray Medical, WuXi AppTec, Aier Eye Hospital, and others, focusing on companies with strong growth potential in the innovative drug sector [42][43].
医药生物周报(26年第3周):5Q4公募基金医药持仓分析-20260126
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 09:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [5] Core Views - The pharmaceutical sector underperformed the overall market, with a 0.39% decline in the biopharmaceutical sector compared to a 1.17% increase in the total A-share market [32] - The TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the pharmaceutical sector is 38.51x, which is at the 84.35th percentile of the historical valuation over the past five years [32][37] - The report highlights a shift in fund holdings, with a decrease in the proportion of pharmaceutical holdings in both pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical funds [11][16] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The overall A-share market increased by 1.17%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index decreased by 0.62% [32] - The biopharmaceutical sector's performance was weaker than the overall market, with specific declines in chemical pharmaceuticals (-1.11%) and medical services (-2.17%) [32] Fund Holdings Analysis - As of Q4 2025, the net asset value of pharmaceutical funds reached 358.4 billion, a decrease of 9.0% from the previous quarter [11] - The proportion of pharmaceutical holdings in all funds was 7.97%, down 1.71 percentage points [16] - The largest sub-sectors by holdings were chemical preparations (37.5%) and other biological products (20.8%) [19] Company Earnings Forecasts and Ratings - Key companies such as Mindray Medical (237 billion market cap, "Outperform" rating) and WuXi AppTec (293.6 billion market cap, "Outperform" rating) are highlighted for their strong earnings forecasts [4] - The report lists several companies with projected earnings growth, including Aier Eye Hospital and New Industry, both rated "Outperform" [4] Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on innovative drugs and the CXO sector, emphasizing the competitive advantages of Chinese companies in the chemical CDMO space [41] - A portfolio of recommended stocks includes Mindray Medical, WuXi AppTec, and Aier Eye Hospital, among others [42][43]