证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 固收点评 20260121 龙建转债：东北基建领军者 2026 年 01 月 21 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 事件 观点 证券分析师 李勇 执业证书：S0600519040001 010-66573671 liyong@dwzq.com.cn 2026-01-20 《 转债建议把握泛主线轮替、扩散行 情》 2026-01-20 东吴证券研究所 1 / 11 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 龙建转债（110100.SH）于 2026 年 1 月 22 日开始网上申购：总发行规 模为 10.00 亿元，扣除发行费用后的募集资金净额用于施工总承包、偿 还银行贷款等项目。 ◼ 当前债底估值为 98.08 元，YTM 为 2.16%。龙建转债存续期为 6 年,中 诚信国际信用评级有限责任公司资信评级为 AA/AA,票面面值为 100 元，票面利率第一年至第六年分别为：0.10%、0.30%、0.60%、1.00%、 1.50%、2.00%，公司到期赎回价格为票面面值的 110.00%（含最后一期 利息），以 6 年 AA 中债企业债到期收益率 2 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·光伏设备 钧达股份（002865） 2025 年业绩预告点评：业绩阶段性亏损，加 快布局新增长点 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 18,657 | 9,952 | 9,318 | 14,627 | 19,215 | | 同比（%） | 60.90 | (46.66) | (6.37) | 56.97 | 31.37 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 815.64 | (591.11) | (1,272.02) | 471.07 | 1,043.17 | | 同比（%） | 13.77 | (172.47) | (115.19) | 137.03 | 121.45 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 2.79 | (2.02) | (4.35) | 1.61 | 3.57 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 30.22 | (41.70) | (19.38) | 5 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, HaiNeng Technology (920476) [1]. Core Insights - HaiNeng Technology is focusing on the scientific instrument sector, leveraging both self-research and acquisitions to build a diverse product matrix, benefiting from the increasing domestic market share in scientific instruments [3][9]. - The company has established a strong competitive barrier through a full industry chain model, ensuring stable cash flow from its core products while expanding into high-growth areas such as chromatography instruments [3][10]. - The global market for analytical instruments is projected to grow significantly, with China's market expected to reach $11.66 billion by 2029, driven by increasing demand across various sectors [9][53]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - HaiNeng Technology, founded in 2006, specializes in the research, production, and sales of analytical instruments, initially focusing on Kjeldahl nitrogen analyzers and microwave digestion instruments, and later expanding into chromatography instruments [15]. - The company has developed a product matrix that includes organic element analysis, sample preparation, chromatography, and general instruments, serving various industries such as food, pharmaceuticals, and environmental testing [15][9]. Market Potential - The analytical instrument market is characterized by high technical barriers and diverse applications, with significant growth expected in the Chinese market, which is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.7% from 2024 to 2029 [53][50]. - The demand for analytical instruments is widespread across sectors, including food safety, pharmaceuticals, and environmental monitoring, indicating a robust market potential [50][53]. Financial Performance - The company is expected to see a recovery in performance, with projected revenues of 3.79 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 22.25% year-on-year growth, and net profits expected to reach 420 million yuan [1][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to improve from 0.15 yuan in 2024 to 0.49 yuan in 2025, indicating a positive trend in profitability [1][10]. Competitive Landscape - The Chinese analytical instrument market is currently dominated by foreign brands, with a high import rate for advanced products. However, domestic manufacturers like HaiNeng Technology are gradually gaining market share by offering competitive pricing and tailored services [9][58]. - The report highlights the importance of innovation and quality improvement in enhancing the competitive position of domestic firms in the analytical instrument sector [9][58].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, HaiNeng Technology (920476) [1]. Core Insights - HaiNeng Technology has established a multi-product matrix through self-research and acquisitions, benefiting from the growth in the scientific instrument sector and increasing domestic market share [3][9]. - The company is focusing on a full industry chain model, which enhances its competitive barriers and ensures stable cash flow from its core products [3][9]. - The market for experimental analysis instruments is expected to grow significantly, with the Chinese market projected to reach $11.66 billion by 2029, driven by increasing domestic demand and a shift towards local production [9][53]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - HaiNeng Technology, founded in 2006, specializes in the research, production, and sales of experimental analysis instruments, initially focusing on Kjeldahl nitrogen analyzers and microwave digestion instruments, and later expanding into chromatography instruments [15]. - The company has developed a diverse product range, including organic element analysis, sample preparation, chromatography, and general instruments, serving various sectors such as food, pharmaceuticals, and environmental testing [15]. 2. Market Potential - The global market for experimental analysis instruments is expected to grow from $82.95 billion in 2024 to $101.58 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.10% [53][55]. - The Chinese market is anticipated to grow from $9.28 billion in 2024 to $11.66 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 4.7% [53][55]. 3. Business Strategy - The company employs a multi-brand and multi-product strategy, focusing on high-value and technology-intensive products, particularly in the chromatography sector, which has shown significant growth potential [9][25]. - HaiNeng Technology has made strategic acquisitions to enhance its product offerings and market reach, including investments in companies that possess core technologies [9][15]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 3.79 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 420 million yuan, reflecting a significant recovery in performance driven by increased demand in the pharmaceutical and renewable energy sectors [1][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.15 yuan in 2024 to 0.49 yuan in 2025, indicating a strong rebound in profitability [1][10]. 5. Competitive Landscape - The experimental analysis instrument market is characterized by high barriers to entry, with significant competition from established international players, while domestic manufacturers are gradually increasing their market share through improved product quality and customer service [9][58].

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 璞泰来（603659） 2025 年业绩预告点评：负极盈利拐点已现， 多业务板块持续向好 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 15,340 | 13,448 | 14,855 | 19,473 | 23,569 | | 同比（%） | (0.80) | (12.33) | 10.46 | 31.09 | 21.03 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,912 | 1,191 | 2,389 | 3,098 | 4,023 | | 同比（%） | (38.42) | (37.72) | 100.65 | 29.67 | 29.88 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.89 | 0.56 | 1.12 | 1.45 | 1.88 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 30.76 | 49.38 | 24.61 | 18.98 | 14.61 | [Table_T ...

Macro Strategy - The economic growth target of 5% for the year was successfully achieved, with Q4 GDP growth at 4.5% and nominal GDP growth at 3.8%, indicating a narrowing decline in the GDP deflator index from -1.1% to -0.7% [1][18] - Economic growth was primarily driven by exports and services, with service sector GDP growth at 5.4% and export growth at 6.1%, while fixed asset investment declined by 3.8% [1][18] - Q4 prices showed signs of recovery but remained weak, with actual GDP growth at 4.5% and nominal GDP growth at 3.8% [1][18] Industry Insights - The aerospace sector is highlighted as a long-term strategic focus under the 15th Five-Year Plan, with continued attention on semiconductor equipment, particularly in advanced processes and domestic replacements [5] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to maintain its growth trajectory, supported by policy and performance metrics [24] - The semiconductor equipment ETF is recommended as a key investment target due to the clear expansion signals from TSMC [5][24] Company Recommendations - **Shouhua Gas (300483)**: Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.02/3.16/5.46 billion yuan, with a significant growth rate of 114%/210%/73%, and a "buy" rating is assigned [12] - **Keda Technology (002518)**: Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised to 6.4/11.2/15.3 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 63%/74%/36%, maintaining a "buy" rating [13] - **Hunan YN (301358)**: The company has shown a clear profit turning point with revised profit expectations of 12.8/35.0/47.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to a "buy" rating [14] - **Alibaba-W (09988.HK)**: The company is expected to maintain high growth in its cloud business, with projected non-GAAP net profits for FY2026/FY2027/FY2028 at 101,525/141,564/184,647 million yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [16] - **China Taiping (00966.HK)**: The company is projected to see a significant increase in net profits for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating based on its low valuation metrics [17]

北交所定期报告 20260120 三部门：将个人消费贷款财政贴息政策实施 期限延长至 2026 年底，北证 50 下跌 2.00% 2026 年 01 月 20 日 证券分析师 朱洁羽 证券研究报告·北交所报告·北交所定期报告 执业证书：S0600520090004 zhujieyu@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 易申申 执业证书：S0600522100003 yishsh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 余慧勇 执业证书：S0600524080003 yuhy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 武阿兰 执业证书：S0600124070018 wual@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 陈哲晓 执业证书：S0600124080015 sh_chenzhx@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究： 《沪深北交易所提高融资保证金最低 比例，北证 50 上涨 0.98%》 2026-01-14 《工信部印发<推动工业互联网平台 高质量发展行动方案（2026—2028 年）>，北证 50 下跌 2.50%》 内容目录 | 1. 资本市场新闻 | | --- | | 2. 行业新闻 | | 3. 市场表现 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a pioneer in deep coalbed methane extraction, with significant potential for revenue growth driven by resource and technological advantages. The company is expected to experience a performance inflection point [3][8]. - The company has successfully transformed into an upstream natural gas producer, focusing on natural gas operations after divesting its gardening business. This strategic shift is expected to enhance revenue growth and profitability [13][20]. - The deep coalbed methane industry is entering a phase of large-scale development, with deep resources being three times more abundant than shallow resources. Technological advancements are expected to reduce extraction costs significantly [37][42]. Summary by Sections Company Transformation and Growth Potential - The company has a sevenfold potential for production increase in its self-produced gas, with fiscal support further enhancing profits. The Shilou West Block, adjacent to the Daji Block, has a designed natural gas production capacity of 3.5 billion cubic meters per year, with a significant production release space compared to 2024 [3][50]. - The company has established a joint project team with experienced partners to facilitate the development of the Shilou West Block, which is expected to contribute to substantial revenue growth [3][50]. Industry Outlook - The deep coalbed methane sector is characterized by a promising outlook, with technological breakthroughs leading to reduced costs. The industry has transitioned into a deep-scale development phase since 2021, with significant advancements in exploration and extraction technologies [37][42]. - The report highlights that the resource potential of deep coalbed methane is substantial, with estimates indicating that the resource volume at depths greater than 1500 meters is approximately 69 trillion cubic meters, significantly higher than that of shallow coalbed methane [42][45]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.02 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 114%, and further growth expected in subsequent years [1][8]. - The report anticipates that the company's earnings per share (EPS) will improve significantly, reaching 1.88 yuan by 2027, reflecting the expected operational improvements and market conditions [1][8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a pioneer in deep coalbed methane extraction, with significant potential for revenue growth driven by resource and technological advantages [3]. - The company has successfully transformed into an upstream natural gas producer, focusing on natural gas operations after divesting its gardening business [13]. - The deep coalbed methane industry is expected to see substantial growth, with technological advancements leading to reduced extraction costs [37]. Company Overview - The company has a designed natural gas production capacity of 3.5 billion cubic meters per year, with a sevenfold potential increase in output compared to 2024 [3]. - The company is set to benefit from government subsidies, which have increased the subsidy coefficient for coalbed methane from 1.2 to 1.5, enhancing profitability [3]. - The company has implemented a stock incentive plan to lock in revenue growth, with performance targets set for 2024-2026 based on revenue growth rates [10][22]. Industry Analysis - The deep coalbed methane sector is entering a phase of large-scale development, with deep resources estimated to be three times more abundant than shallow resources [37][40]. - Technological breakthroughs in extraction methods are expected to significantly lower costs, with projected reductions in per-unit extraction costs from 0.85 yuan to 0.53 yuan [48]. - The report highlights that the deep coalbed methane resources in China are substantial, with significant production potential demonstrated in various basins [42][45].

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - The secondary - market trends of industrial bond sub - industries show a divergence in the correlation between primary and secondary markets. This divergence may be due to differences in supply among industries and differences in bond liquidity and trading popularity within each industry. If an industry has many issuing entities with strong willingness and ability to issue bonds and is in a good development trend, the probability of a synchronous resonance relationship between primary - market supply and secondary - market demand is relatively high, which can improve the accuracy of judging trading signals of narrowing spreads from daily net financing [1][14]. - Most industries have trading signals transmitted from primary - market supply to secondary - market demand, including comprehensive, non - ferrous metals, and others. Some industries show a stronger negative correlation between primary - market supply and secondary - market demand, such as comprehensive and non - ferrous metals. Some industries have a weak correlation between daily net financing and daily spreads, including communication and food and beverage [2][4]. Summary by Directory 1. Industrial Bond Sub - industries Show Divergence in Primary - Secondary Market Trend Correlation - **Research Method**: Classify industrial bond issuers by Shenwan primary industries, calculate the daily net financing and daily credit spreads of each sub - industry from January 1, 2025, to December 19, 2025, to observe the correlation between primary - market supply and secondary - market demand [12]. - **Divergence Performance**: Most industries have trading signals transmitted from primary - market supply to secondary - market demand, while some do not show this feature significantly [13]. - **Reasons for Divergence**: Differences in supply among industries are related to the number, size, and life - cycle stage of issuing entities. Differences in bond liquidity and trading popularity within industries are related to the scale of outstanding bonds, valuation levels, and event catalysts [14]. 1.1. Industries with Obvious Correlation - **Comprehensive Industry**: From January to March 2025, daily net financing decreased and daily spreads increased; from March to June, daily net financing increased and daily spreads decreased; from June to December, both were in a low - level oscillation [21]. - **Non - ferrous Metals Industry**: From January to July 2025, daily net financing increased and daily spreads decreased; from July to September, daily net financing decreased and daily spreads increased; from October to December, both were in a low - level oscillation [25]. - **Other Industries**: Similar analysis is conducted for industries such as pharmaceutical biology, social services, and others, with different trends in different time intervals [27][30][32]. - **Common Features**: These industries generally have a large scale of outstanding bonds and high institutional investor attention, which is conducive to the transmission of primary - market supply changes to secondary - market spread changes [3][87]. 1.2. Industries with General Correlation - **Industries Included**: Communication, food and beverage, and other industries have a weak correlation between daily net financing and daily spreads, and the linkage and transmission between primary - and secondary - market indicators are relatively weak [4][13]. - **Reasons**: These industries have low participation in the bond market, and their secondary - market trading demand is more affected by overall bond - market trends, industry risk premiums, and liquidity premiums. Different types of industries have specific reasons for the weak correlation [4][90][91].