1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Views of the Report - Fujian Province has strong overall comprehensive financial strength, with a relatively high fiscal self - sufficiency rate. However, there are significant regional disparities within the province, which may provide room for moderate credit - quality downgrading for urban investment bond investors, subject to proper risk pricing [1][17]. - The third - industry in Fujian Province has become dominant and continues to strengthen, while the second - industry's share is decreasing. The first - industry maintains a low proportion [1][21]. - Fujian's local government debt burden has increased, but the absolute level remains low in the national context. The debt growth rate is generally in line with the economic output growth rate, and the investment - financing cycle of urban investment platforms is smooth. However, the urban investment debt ratio remains high [1][30]. - The balance of outstanding urban investment bonds in Fujian Province ranks in the middle - upper level nationwide. The province's urban investment platforms are expected to continue to moderately raise debt, keep the debt growth rate in line with the economic growth rate, and optimize the debt term structure and financing costs [1][41]. - In 2025, the issuance of urban investment bonds in Fujian Province showed the characteristics of "stable total volume and negative net financing". In 2026, the funds raised by urban investment platforms will mainly be used for rolling over existing bonds, but incremental financing space may open up with platform transformation [4][61]. - The next three years are a critical window for resolving hidden debts of urban investment in Fujian Province. The repayment pressure is unevenly distributed, and the refinancing demand in 2026 may be higher than that in 2027 and 2028 [4][68]. - The trading activity of urban investment bonds in Fujian Province has room for improvement. Given the current market situation, the credit - quality downgrading strategy may not be very cost - effective, while the duration strategy may be more effective [4][80][86]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Fujian Province Overview 3.1.1 Economic and Fiscal Perspectives - In 2024, Fujian's GDP was 5776.1 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 5.5%, ranking in the middle - upper level nationwide. Its per - capita GDP was 137,920 yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.34% [11]. - In 2024, Fujian's general public budget revenue was 361.529 billion yuan, ranking 6th nationwide, with a year - on - year increase of 0.65%. The general public budget expenditure was 608.093 billion yuan, ranking 11th, with a year - on - year increase of 3.78%. The fiscal self - sufficiency rate was about 59.45%, a decrease of 1.85 percentage points from 2023, ranking 6th nationwide [15]. - There are significant regional disparities in fiscal strength within Fujian Province. The fiscal self - sufficiency rates of Xiamen, Fuzhou, and Quanzhou are significantly higher than the provincial average, while those of inland cities such as Nanping, Sanming, and Longyan are relatively low [15][17]. 3.1.2 Industrial Layout Perspective - In the past seven years, Fujian has been transitioning from the secondary industry to the tertiary industry. In 2024, the share of the third industry reached 51.5%, while the share of the second industry showed a downward trend, and the first industry maintained a low proportion [1][21]. - Fujian has introduced a series of policies to promote high - quality development, such as forward - looking layout of future industries, promotion of green transformation, and strengthening of cross - strait industrial cooperation [22]. 3.2 Current Situation of Outstanding Urban Investment Bonds and Urban Investment Entities in Fujian Province 3.2.1 Review of the Changes and Development of Fujian's Urban Investment Bonds - Fujian's urban investment financing can be traced back to 1986. The development of urban investment in Fujian has followed national macro - policies, with the scale and rhythm strictly regulated [27][28]. - From 2015 - 2019, the balance of outstanding urban investment bonds in Fujian increased steadily. In 2020 - 2022, the scale increased rapidly due to the impact of the COVID - 19 pandemic. Since 2023, the growth rate has slowed down significantly [28][29]. 3.2.2 Focus on the Current Outstanding Bonds and Structure - As of December 11, 2025, the balance of outstanding urban investment bonds in Fujian was about 228.513 billion yuan, ranking 13th nationwide. The weighted average coupon rate was about 3.20%, ranking 29th nationwide, both lower than the national average [41]. - In terms of structure, the credit ratings of the issuers are mainly AA +, with good credit quality. The remaining maturities of the bonds are mainly concentrated in the 3 - 5 - year range, and the bond types are mainly corporate bonds. The coupon rates are mainly below 3% [42][44]. 3.2.3 Focus on the Current Situation of Urban Investment Entities - As of December 11, 2025, there were 86 urban investment entities in Fujian, with 59 having outstanding bonds. The urban investment platforms in Fujian show a pattern of "balanced development of district - county and prefecture - level platforms" [51][52]. - The financing capacity is concentrated in high - grade core platforms. While district - county AA - rated platforms can provide considerable coupon income, their relatively low liquidity due to limited scale needs attention [52]. 3.3 Issuance Situation of Fujian's Urban Investment Bonds in the Primary Market in 2025 - In the first three quarters of 2025, Fujian issued 60.193 billion yuan of urban investment bonds, ranking 14th nationwide, with a cumulative net financing of - 16.115 billion yuan. The issuance showed the characteristics of "stable total volume and negative net financing" [4][60]. - The average coupon rate of newly - issued urban investment bonds in the first three quarters of 2025 was 2.34%, significantly lower than the outstanding coupon rate. The rate was in the middle - upper level among the seven provinces and cities in East China [62]. - In terms of issuance structure, AA + - rated issuers accounted for nearly half of the issuance scale. The issuance terms were mainly 3 - 5 years, and the bond types were mainly corporate bonds and medium - term notes. The industries of the issuers were mainly concentrated in the industrial sector [65]. 3.4 Repayment Situation of Fujian's Urban Investment Bonds in the Next Three Years - As of December 11, 2025, bonds maturing within three years accounted for 53.14% of the outstanding urban investment bonds in Fujian. The repayment pressure is unevenly distributed in the next three years, with the refinancing demand in 2026 likely to be higher than that in 2027 and 2028 [68]. - In terms of repayment structure, corporate bonds have the largest repayment scale, and the repayment subjects are mainly of medium - high credit ratings, which is consistent with the structure of outstanding bonds [69][74]. 3.5 Secondary Market Trading and Yield Performance of Fujian's Urban Investment Bonds - In the first three quarters of 2025, the trading volume of Fujian's urban investment bonds in the secondary market was about 110.983 billion yuan, ranking 14th nationwide, with a turnover rate of 54.52%, ranking 18th, slightly lower than the national average [80]. - Since 2025, the average yield of Fujian's urban investment bonds has been about 2.27%, lower than the national average. The trading activity has room for improvement, and the credit - quality downgrading strategy may not be very cost - effective, while the duration strategy may be more effective [80][86].

Core Conclusions - The report highlights a significant shift in the commercialization of L4 autonomous vehicles globally, with L3 policies breaking new ground in China. Tesla has initiated fully autonomous testing without safety drivers in Austin, while Waymo has seen a 96.6% year-on-year increase in active users, reaching 1.64 million. Domestic players like Pony.ai and WeRide are expanding their commercial operations, indicating a robust growth trajectory in the sector [2][3][5]. Investment Framework - The investment framework emphasizes a spiral upward iteration of hardware and software, suggesting that each major upgrade in capability represents a paradigm shift in thinking. The report outlines a timeline from L1-L2 to L4, indicating a transition from basic functionalities to advanced autonomous driving capabilities by 2030 [6][7][10]. L4 RoboX Monthly Tracking - Tesla's Robotaxi business is rapidly expanding across multiple regions, particularly in Texas, where it has transitioned to fully autonomous testing. The report notes that Tesla's fleet has grown significantly, with plans to extend operations to Saudi Arabia and other states [20][21][23]. C-end Monthly Tracking - The report forecasts a retail sales volume of 22.81 million vehicles for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.2%. It also highlights the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles, projecting a sales volume of 1.32 million units in 2026, with a penetration rate of 60% [39][41][42]. Downstream Application Dimensions - The report categorizes potential investment opportunities in the Robotaxi sector, including integrated models (Tesla, Xpeng), technology providers (Horizon Robotics, Baidu), and the transformation of ride-hailing services (Didi, Cao Cao Mobility). It also identifies opportunities in Robovan and other autonomous vehicle applications [2][5][11]. Upstream Supply Chain Dimensions - The report outlines key players in the upstream supply chain, including manufacturers of autonomous vehicle components (BAIC BluePark, GAC Group) and core suppliers of chips, sensors, and control systems. It emphasizes the importance of partnerships and technological advancements in driving the industry forward [2][5][11].

Macro Strategy - The possibility of a strong start for the economy in Q1 2026 has slightly increased, supported by recent policy implementations and improved economic indicators such as the manufacturing PMI rising to 50.1% in December, marking the first return to the expansion zone since March of the previous year [1][13] - Key factors supporting this optimistic outlook include early implementation of "old-for-new" subsidies to boost consumption, substantial investment support from the "two 500 billion" policies, and a favorable working day count before the Spring Festival [1][13] Fixed Income Market - The bond market is expected to recover in early 2026, driven by the positive impact of the new public fund sales regulations, which allow for more flexible redemption fee arrangements for bond funds [1][15] - In December, the manufacturing PMI increased by 1.7 percentage points, indicating a strong demand-side recovery, while new orders also rose by 1.6 percentage points, suggesting a potential for continued economic improvement [1][15] - The issuance of green bonds and secondary capital bonds has seen fluctuations, with green bond issuance totaling approximately 133.98 billion yuan in the last week of December, a decrease from the previous week [2][20] Company-Specific Insights - BYD (002594) is projected to achieve a net profit of 350/509/664 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a target price of 140 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [7] - Ugreen Technology (301606) anticipates a net profit growth of 41-59% for 2025, with a central guidance of 6.93 billion yuan, slightly above market expectations [8][9] - Ding Tai High-Tech (301377) has revised its profit forecast upwards due to increased demand for AI PCB, projecting net profits of 4.4/8.1/15.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [10] - Century Huatong (002602) is expected to achieve net profits of 50.2/85.9/106.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating based on its innovative growth strategy in the mobile gaming sector [12]

证券研究报告·行业研究·电力设备与新能源行业 太空光伏：地外可靠能源，前景星辰大海 电新首席证券分析师 ：曾朵红 执业证书编号：S0600516080001 联系邮箱：zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师：郭亚男 执业证书：S0600523070003 guoyn@dwzq.com.cn 目录 证券分析师：徐铖嵘 执业证书：S0600524080007 xucr@dwzq.com.cn 2026年1月6日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 1 摘要 2 ◆ 科技竞争前沿，商业航天冉冉升起。随着可回收火箭技术的成熟，航天发射成本大幅下降，逐步打破进入太空的经济壁垒。卫 星频轨资源的稀缺性推动各国加速抢占战略资源，全球航天器发射量持续高增。近10年来全球航天器发射数自2016年237颗增 长至2025年超4300颗，CAGR达34%；25年同增超50%。全球卫星在轨工作数已超万颗，备案数量超10万颗，后续发射数有 望进一步井喷。 ◆ 光伏是卫星唯一高效、长期稳定的能源形式，随功耗增长太阳翼用量提升。卫星电源系统在整星制造成本中约20-30%，其中太 阳翼是航天器在轨运行的能量心脏，材料特殊、可靠性要求 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the non-bank financial industry [1]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the wealth management industry is evolving from a seller-driven sales model to a buyer-driven advisory model, with significant growth potential in Asia as national wealth increases and household savings shift towards financial assets [2]. - It highlights the importance of learning from overseas wealth management experiences, particularly from Europe and the United States, to enhance the development of wealth management in China [2]. Summary by Sections UBS Group - European Banking System - UBS is the only international bank that has made wealth management its core strategic focus, with a total investment asset scale reaching $6.8 trillion by Q3 2025, of which the wealth management department accounts for $4.7 trillion, or 70% [2][11]. - The wealth management strategy is centered around a "One-firm" model, integrating investment banking, asset management, and commercial banking to provide comprehensive solutions [22]. - UBS targets high-net-worth and ultra-high-net-worth clients, with specific asset thresholds for different regions, ensuring a focus on affluent clientele [24][27]. Morgan Stanley - American Banking System - Morgan Stanley has a long history and is recognized as a leading financial services company, with a total asset management scale of $3 trillion, ranking 6th globally in wealth management [38]. - The company has shifted its focus towards wealth management, which has shown stable growth over the years, particularly after the 2008 financial crisis [39]. - Morgan Stanley employs a strategy of cost control, business synergy, and compensation incentives to enhance productivity and client service [41]. Charles Schwab - American Discount Brokerage - Charles Schwab has transitioned from a discount brokerage to a leading wealth management institution, offering a full suite of financial services [2]. - The company targets retail clients with a low-cost model, rapidly increasing its asset management scale through client retention and product innovation [2]. - Schwab's revenue is primarily driven by assets under management (AUM), having moved away from reliance on trading commissions [2]. BlackRock - American Fund Management - BlackRock is the largest asset management company globally, with an asset scale of $11.6 trillion by the end of 2024, focusing on passive investment strategies [2]. - The company has diversified its product offerings from fixed income to equity investments, with a significant emphasis on its iShares ETF as a growth driver [2]. - BlackRock's revenue model is based on AUM management fees, supplemented by performance fees and consulting services [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for BYD is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - BYD's sales for 2025 are expected to increase year-on-year, continuing its push towards high-end products and exports [1] - The company is projected to achieve a total revenue of RMB 839.36 billion in 2025, reflecting an 8.01% year-on-year growth [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be RMB 35.01 billion in 2025, representing a decrease of 13.03% compared to the previous year [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is estimated at RMB 3.84 for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.55 [1] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for BYD from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: RMB 602.32 billion - 2024: RMB 777.10 billion - 2025: RMB 839.36 billion - 2026: RMB 962.02 billion - 2027: RMB 1,107.28 billion [1] - Net profit projections for the same period are: - 2023: RMB 30.04 billion - 2024: RMB 40.25 billion - 2025: RMB 35.01 billion - 2026: RMB 50.93 billion - 2027: RMB 66.39 billion [1] - The company expects to maintain a net profit margin of approximately 4.17% in 2025 [9] Sales and Market Performance - BYD's cumulative sales for 2025 are projected to reach 5.52 million units, a 20% increase year-on-year, with exports expected to account for 150,000 to 160,000 units [8] - The company has seen a significant increase in high-end vehicle sales, with December sales reaching 70,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 161% [8] - The company has established overseas production capacity exceeding 300,000 units per year, with factories in Brazil, Thailand, and Uzbekistan already operational [8] Battery and Energy Storage - BYD's battery installation for 2025 is expected to grow by 47%, with external battery supply also experiencing significant growth [8] - The company anticipates battery shipments for energy storage to exceed 50 GWh in 2025 and approximately 80 GWh in 2026 [8]

Domestic Macro Viewpoints - Recent policies have led to a rebound in economic expectations, with December construction PMI rising by 3.2 points to 52.8%[5] - December manufacturing PMI increased by 0.9 points to 50.1%, marking the first return to the 50% line since March of the previous year[5] - The expected economic growth rate for 2025 is around 5%, with a slight increase in the likelihood of a strong start in Q1 2026[5] Overseas Macro Viewpoints - The U.S. economy is expected to rebound due to the end of government shutdowns and a cumulative 75bps rate cut by the Federal Reserve since September 2025[5] - Anticipation of Trump's visit to China in April may enhance market risk appetite through increased diplomatic engagement[5] - The midterm elections are likely to lead to more accommodative fiscal and monetary policies, supporting U.S. stock markets throughout the year[5] Equity Market Viewpoints - A-share market is expected to experience a spring rally, driven by liquidity expectations and positive sentiment from overseas markets[5] - The AI industry chain remains a key focus, with investments in hardware, storage, and applications like robotics expected to grow[5] - Industries that have not fully launched yet, such as innovative pharmaceuticals and gaming, may also see new market opportunities[5] Bond Market Viewpoints - Interest rates are expected to slightly decline after the New Year, with 10-year rates potentially returning to around 1.80%[6] - Concerns about fiscal expansion and new regulations on public fund redemptions have eased, contributing to a more stable bond market outlook[6] Currency Market Viewpoints - The RMB has appreciated against the USD, with the onshore and offshore rates breaking the 7.0 mark due to seasonal demand and policy adjustments[9] - The RMB is expected to maintain an upward trend in January, supported by pre-Spring Festival settlement demand, but may stabilize in February[9] Quantitative Allocation Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for growth-oriented ETFs in the A-share market, with specific recommendations for various sectors[10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 653 million and 733 million RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 41% to 59% [7] - The company has demonstrated strong performance in both product and channel development, with significant contributions from its NAS products and charging solutions [7] - The company's revenue for 2025 is projected to reach 9.183 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 48.85% [1][7] Financial Projections - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 4.803 billion RMB, increasing to 6.170 billion RMB in 2024A, and reaching 9.183 billion RMB in 2025E [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 387.52 million RMB in 2023A to 688.32 million RMB in 2025E, with a year-on-year growth rate of 48.90% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.93 RMB in 2023A to 1.66 RMB in 2025E [1] Product and Channel Development - The company has launched the DH4300 Plus NAS product, which has gained traction in the market, particularly in Japan [7] - Revenue from storage products increased by 125% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating strong demand [7] - The company has expanded its domestic and overseas channels, successfully entering major e-commerce platforms and retail chains in developed markets [7]

Macro Strategy - The macro timing model for January 2026 has a score of 0, indicating a 76.92% probability of the A-share index rising, with an average increase of 3.18% historically [1][7][19] - The trading volume of the index exceeded 20 trillion yuan in the last week of 2025, indicating a recovery in trading sentiment [1][7] - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange raised the futures margin ratio twice at the end of December 2025, causing significant volatility in the metals sector [1][7] ETF Recommendations - The report recommends a growth-oriented ETF allocation based on the optimistic market outlook for January [1][7] - Notable inflows were observed in ETFs related to robotics, industrial non-ferrous metals, and satellite communications, suggesting increased investor interest in these sectors [1][7] Hong Kong Market - The listing of Wallen Technology and the strong performance of the Hang Seng Technology Index on January 2, 2026, particularly in the semiconductor sector, indicate potential for good absolute returns in the Hong Kong market during the spring rally [1][7][19] Nasdaq 100 ETF Insights - The Nasdaq 100 index experienced a 0.73% decline in December 2025, influenced by cautious sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision and concerns over AI company earnings [5][22] - As of December 31, 2025, the Nasdaq 100 index had a PE ratio of 35.93, indicating it is at a relatively high historical valuation [5][22] - The index is expected to maintain a volatile upward trend in January 2026, driven by macroeconomic signals and earnings reports from major tech companies [5][22][23] Industry Analysis - The report highlights the importance of the AI and semiconductor sectors, which are expected to see increased attention and funding in early 2026 due to positive sentiment and demand recovery [2][21] - The gaming sector is also benefiting from the regular issuance of game licenses, providing marginal support to content-related stocks [2][21] Company-Specific Insights - The report discusses the performance of specific companies such as the Honey Snow Group, which is positioned as a leading player in the affordable beverage market with a strong supply chain and brand recognition [13] - North Huachuang is noted for its platform-based semiconductor equipment leadership, benefiting from increased capital expenditure and domestic production rate improvements [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [1][11]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.1 to 4.6 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 80.72% to 102.76%, with a median estimate of 4.35 billion yuan, reflecting a 91.63% increase [2]. - The growth is driven by the continuous explosion in demand for AI computing servers and data centers, significantly boosting the demand for high-end PCB products [2]. - The company anticipates a net profit of 1.28 to 1.78 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a median of 1.53 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 178.18% [2]. Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1.32 billion yuan in 2023 to 7.065 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 82.62% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 219.31 million yuan in 2023 to 1.5729 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 93.07% [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.53 yuan in 2023 to 3.84 yuan in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [1]. Market Dynamics - The thickness of AI PCBs is continuously increasing, leading to a rise in the demand for high-length-to-diameter ratio drill bits, which are essential for processing these advanced PCBs [3][4]. - The company is experiencing a significant increase in the consumption value of single-hole drill bits as PCB thickness upgrades, which enhances the overall cost and demand for these products [4]. - The company’s production capacity is leading the industry, with expectations to reach a monthly capacity of 1.2 billion drill bits by the end of 2025 and 1.8 billion by the end of 2026 [5].