Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The environmental protection industry, particularly in waste incineration, is poised for significant growth, especially in overseas markets such as Southeast Asia and Central Asia, driven by high processing fees and electricity prices [5][10] - The investment potential in the ASEAN countries and India for waste incineration is estimated at approximately 250 billion RMB, with a daily waste incineration capacity increase of about 500,000 tons [5][11] - The profitability of overseas projects, particularly in Indonesia, is enhanced by favorable policies and high revenue from electricity sales, with projected single-ton income significantly higher than domestic projects [19][20] Summary by Sections 1. Waste Incineration Growth and Overseas Market Potential - The ASEAN countries and India are expected to generate a daily waste production of 1.46 million tons by 2024, with a potential waste incineration market space of 248.5 billion RMB if the incineration penetration rate reaches 50% [5][11] - Several domestic waste incineration companies, such as Kangheng Environment and China Tianying, are expanding their operations in Southeast Asia and Central Asia, with significant project footprints established [15][16] 2. Indonesian Policy Driving Business Model Optimization - Indonesia's recent policy changes have shifted the revenue model from local government subsidies to direct agreements with the national electricity company, significantly increasing the electricity price to 0.20 USD per kWh [24][25] - The government plans to construct 33 waste incineration plants nationwide, with a total investment of approximately 5.6 billion USD, indicating a strong commitment to developing the waste-to-energy sector [24][25] 3. Economic Assessment of Indonesian Waste Incineration Projects - Economic assessments show that the single-ton income from Indonesian projects can reach 582 RMB, significantly higher than domestic projects, driven by high processing fees and electricity prices [19][20][31] - The report highlights the sensitivity of project profitability to cost management, with potential increases in return on equity (ROE) if investment and operational costs are optimized [27][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The environmental protection industry, particularly in waste incineration, is poised for significant growth, especially in overseas markets such as Southeast Asia and Central Asia, driven by high processing fees and electricity prices [4][9] - The investment space for waste incineration in the ASEAN countries and India is estimated to be around 250 billion RMB, with a potential daily incineration capacity of approximately 496,900 tons [4][10] - Indonesian policies are evolving to optimize business models and enhance project profitability, with a focus on direct electricity sales rather than local government subsidies [22][24] Summary by Sections 1. New Growth in Waste Incineration and Overseas Market Potential - The ASEAN countries and India are projected to generate a daily waste output of 1.4615 million tons by 2024, creating a substantial investment opportunity in waste incineration [9][10] - The investment potential in waste incineration is estimated at 248.5 billion RMB, assuming a conservative investment of 500,000 RMB per ton [10][11] - Several domestic companies, including Kangheng Environment and China Tianying, are leading the expansion into Southeast Asia and Central Asia, with significant operational capacities established [14][15] 2. Indonesian Policy Driving Business Model Optimization - The Indonesian government has shifted from local to national control over waste management, enhancing the creditworthiness of payment entities and increasing electricity prices to 0.20 USD per kWh [22][24] - The new policy aims to construct 33 waste incineration plants nationwide, with a total investment of approximately 5.6 billion USD [24][25] - The rapid progress in project bidding and implementation reflects the government's commitment to developing the waste incineration sector [24] 3. Economic Viability of Indonesian Projects - Economic assessments indicate that Indonesian waste incineration projects can achieve significantly higher profitability compared to domestic projects, with projected net profits of 160 RMB per ton for new projects [26][30] - The sensitivity analysis shows that optimizing investment and operational costs can further enhance the return on equity (ROE) for these projects [27][30] - The comparison of domestic and overseas projects highlights that overseas projects benefit from higher processing fees and electricity prices, leading to increased revenue per ton [18][20]

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观点评 #海外政治 最高法院质疑解雇库克合法性，特朗普干预 美联储独立性连续受挫 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 张佳炜 执业证书：S0600524120013 zhangjw@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 韦祎 执业证书：S0600525040002 weiy@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 王茁 执业证书：S0600526010001 wangzhuo@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《四季度承压，一季度开门红——全 年和 12 月经济数据点评》 2026 年 01 月 22 日 证券分析师 芦哲 2026-01-19 《海外宏观与交易复盘：美联储主席 "生变"，降息预期继续回调》 2026-01-19 东吴证券研究所 1 / 3 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 核心观点：美国最高法院对特朗普诉库克案举行的口头辩论结果显示， 多数大法官对特朗普的解雇行为的合法性表达了质疑，认为特朗普以涉 嫌在抵押贷款申请中存在欺诈行为为由罢免美联储理事库克不属于《联 ...

买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 218.77 | 640.08 | 414.00 | 471.00 | 563.00 | | 同比(%) | 31.12 | 192.58 | (35.32) | 13.77 | 19.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (210.59) | 166.34 | (115.44) | (96.59) | (26.41) | | 同比(%) | 35.35 | 178.99 | (169.40) | 16.33 | 72.65 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (0.22) | 0.17 | (0.12) | (0.10) | (0.03) | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | (45.43) | 57.52 | (82.88) | (99.05) | (362.23) | 证券研究报告·海外公司研究简报·药品及生物科技(HS) 康宁杰瑞制药-B（09966. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2025 exceeded expectations, driven by diversified business development and a commitment to shareholder returns [7] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.3% [7] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 65% from 2025 to 2027, ensuring shareholder returns [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 33.754 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.85% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated at 1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.3% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.77 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 17.59 [1] - The company reported a significant increase in natural gas supply in Q4 2025, with a volume of 1.407 billion cubic meters, up 38.8% year-on-year [7] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities for 2025 is projected to be 1.955 billion yuan, an increase of 11.44% year-on-year [7] Business Strategy Summary - The company is pursuing a strategy of "Energy + Technology + Supply Chain," focusing on the development of natural gas, petrochemical products, hydrogen energy, thermal energy, photovoltaics, and energy storage [7] - The company is actively expanding its energy chemical business, which has shown a year-on-year growth of 20.97% [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in the bidding amount for unmanned sanitation projects, which exceeded 12.6 billion yuan in 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of over 150% [4][14]. - Sales of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 70.9% in 2025, with a penetration rate rising by 7.67 percentage points to 21.11% [31]. - The report anticipates accelerated growth in the unmanned and electric sanitation sectors driven by policy support and economic viability, with a focus on companies such as Jinjing Environment, Yutong Heavy Industry, and Fulongma [4][31]. Summary by Sections 1. Unmanned Sanitation - In 2025, the total bidding amount for unmanned sanitation projects surpassed 12.6 billion yuan, with Guangdong province leading in project numbers [4][14]. - The number of successful bids for unmanned sanitation equipment reached over 220 projects, covering 26 provinces [14]. - The report notes that unmanned sanitation equipment is entering a commercialization phase, with significant policy support from the government [10][24]. 2. New Energy Sanitation Vehicles - New energy sanitation vehicle sales reached 16,119 units in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 70.9% [31]. - The overall sales of sanitation vehicles amounted to 76,346 units, with a total growth of 8.82% [31]. - The report identifies that the highest sales growth for new energy sanitation vehicles occurred in Henan province, while Shanghai recorded the highest penetration rate at 69.5% [31]. 3. Policy Support - The report emphasizes the increasing frequency of policies promoting unmanned sanitation, which are accelerating market adoption [24]. - Key cities are implementing supportive measures, including funding subsidies and demonstration applications, to facilitate the deployment of unmanned sanitation vehicles [24][26]. 4. Economic Viability - The economic analysis indicates that small-tonnage unmanned sanitation vehicles can replace 3-4 workers, achieving cost-effectiveness within 2-5 years depending on the vehicle price [27]. - The report suggests that as the price of these vehicles decreases, their economic advantages will become more pronounced [27]. 5. Company Developments - Companies like Yingfeng Environment and Fulongma are actively deploying unmanned sanitation vehicles across various cities, with significant operational milestones achieved [12][30]. - The report highlights the competitive landscape, noting that the market is relatively fragmented with several players making strides in unmanned sanitation technology [22][30].

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·燃气Ⅱ 佛燃能源（002911） 2025 年度业绩快报点评：业务多元发展业绩 超预期，保证股东回报 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 25,538 | 31,589 | 33,754 | 36,905 | 38,808 | | 同比（%） | 34.96 | 23.70 | 6.85 | 9.34 | 5.16 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 844.45 | 853.12 | 1,000.68 | 1,070.50 | 1,117.39 | | 同比（%） | 28.87 | 1.03 | 17.30 | 6.98 | 4.38 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.77 | 0.82 | 0.86 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 20.85 | 20.64 | 17.59 | 16.45 | 15.76 | [Table_T ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiufeng Energy, highlighting its potential in the commercial aerospace sector [1]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace industry is transitioning into a phase of scaled launches, with supply capabilities continuously being released. This shift is characterized by an increase in launch frequency and demand for launch services [9]. - The cost structure of launches is evolving, with a clear path towards cost reduction through high payload capacity and reusability of rockets. The unit launch cost in China is expected to decrease significantly from approximately 115,000 RMB per kilogram in 2020 to around 45,000 RMB per kilogram by 2029 [28]. - The demand for propellants and special gases is becoming increasingly rigid, with their value and share in the overall cost structure expected to rise over time. Liquid oxygen and methane are emerging as preferred propellant choices due to their advantages in reusability and operational efficiency [37][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Trends - The commercial aerospace sector is moving from a capability-building phase to a scaled launch phase, driven by the acceleration of low Earth orbit satellite constellation construction [9]. - China's launch infrastructure has developed a comprehensive system, including multiple inland and coastal launch sites, enhancing overall launch capacity [10]. 2. Cost Structure and Reduction Pathways - The cost structure of launches is being dissected, revealing that consumable elements like propellants are becoming more significant as launch frequencies increase. The rigid nature of these costs is highlighted as a core constraint in the industry [17][19]. - The unit cost of launching satellites is a critical economic indicator, with current costs in China being higher than those of international competitors like SpaceX. The report indicates that the unit launch cost for the Falcon 9 has decreased to approximately 20,000 RMB per kilogram [23][25]. 3. Propellant and Special Gas Demand - The report emphasizes the increasing importance of propellant selection in the context of reusability and operational stability. Liquid oxygen and methane are positioned as the leading choices for future rocket designs due to their cleaner combustion and lower maintenance requirements [39][41]. - Jiufeng Energy is recommended for its strategic positioning in the supply of special gases and propellants, which are expected to see long-term growth in value and market share [1][37].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiufeng Energy, highlighting its potential in the commercial aerospace sector [1]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace industry is transitioning into a phase of scaled launches, with supply capabilities being continuously released. This shift is characterized by an increase in launch frequency and demand for launch services [9]. - The cost structure of launch services is evolving, with a clear path towards cost reduction through high payload capacity and reusable technology. The unit cost of launching is expected to decrease significantly by 2029 [29]. - The demand for propellants and special gases is becoming increasingly rigid, with their value and share in the overall cost structure expected to rise over time [38]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Trends - The commercial aerospace sector is moving from a capability-building phase to a scaled launch phase, driven by the acceleration of low Earth orbit satellite constellation construction [9]. - China's launch infrastructure has developed a comprehensive system, including multiple launch sites that enhance operational efficiency and specialization [10][11]. 2. Cost Constraints and Reduction Pathways - The cost structure of launch services is divided into fixed, semi-fixed, and variable costs, with propellants and special gases representing the most rigid costs [19][22]. - The unit cost of launching is currently high, but it is projected to decrease from approximately 115,000 RMB per kilogram in 2020 to around 45,000 RMB per kilogram by 2029 [29][24]. - High payload capacity and reusable technology are recognized as key methods for reducing costs in the industry [29]. 3. Propellant and Special Gas Demand - The choice of rocket fuel is evolving, with liquid oxygen and methane emerging as a prominent option due to their cleaner combustion and lower carbon buildup, which is advantageous for high-frequency reuse [39][40]. - The report outlines the comparative advantages of different rocket fuel technologies, emphasizing the long-term coexistence of liquid oxygen and kerosene alongside liquid oxygen and methane [41][42]. 4. Investment Recommendations - Jiufeng Energy is recommended for its strategic positioning in the supply of special fuels and gases for commercial aerospace, with expected net profits of 1.56 billion, 1.8 billion, and 2.13 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027 [1].

证券研究报告·北交所报告·北交所定期报告 证券分析师 朱洁羽 执业证书：S0600520090004 zhujieyu@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 易申申 执业证书：S0600522100003 yishsh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 余慧勇 执业证书：S0600524080003 yuhy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 武阿兰 执业证书：S0600124070018 wual@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 陈哲晓 北交所定期报告 20260121 服务器 CPU 面临提价，北证 50 上涨 0.14% 2026 年 01 月 21 日 执业证书：S0600124080015 sh_chenzhx@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究： 《沪深北交易所提高融资保证金最低 比例，北证 50 上涨 0.98%》 2026-01-14 《工信部印发<推动工业互联网平台 高质量发展行动方案（2026—2028 年）>，北证 50 下跌 2.50%》 2026-01-13 东吴证券研究所 1 / 7 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 资本 ...