Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3559.95, down 0.37% for the week, with a trading volume of 684.645 billion CNY[18] - The average daily trading volume for the entire A-share market was 1.81 trillion CNY, a decrease of 39 billion CNY from the previous week[21] Market Style Performance - The only index that saw a gain this week was the Wind Micro Index, which increased by 1.46%[25] - The CSI 500 index fell by 1.37%, while the CSI 300 index dropped by 1.75%[25] Participant Performance - The active capital holding index outperformed, with the private equity heavy index declining only 0.65% compared to the overall market decline of 1.09% for the Wind All A Index[33] Market Sentiment - The margin trading balance increased to over 1.98 trillion CNY, reaching a new high for the year[36] - The number of stocks hitting the daily limit up or down remained relatively stable, indicating a steady market sentiment[36] Sector Performance - Strong sectors included innovative pharmaceuticals and optical modules, with significant partnerships announced in the industry[51] - The report highlighted the importance of AI applications, particularly following the approval of a government initiative to implement "AI+" actions[51] Future Outlook - Upcoming events include product launches in the TMT sector and significant industry conferences, which may influence market trends[54] - The report emphasizes a focus on active domestic circulation, technological self-reliance, and expanding openness in the market[55]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic development amidst external uncertainties, suggesting that the core idea of "concentrating efforts on one's own affairs" will continue to be reflected in the 15th Five-Year Plan [2] - The upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to include significant themes such as the construction of a national unified market, technological innovation leading to new productive forces, digital economy and artificial intelligence, and high-quality urban development [4][5] - The report predicts that the focus on "anti-involution" in market competition will be a key aspect of the 15th Five-Year Plan, with an emphasis on optimizing market competition order and regulating local investment attraction [5] Group 2 - The urbanization strategy is shifting from rapid growth to stable development, with a focus on quality improvement and efficiency enhancement in existing urban areas, as indicated by recent central government meetings [6] - Technological innovation is expected to lead the development of new productive forces, moving away from traditional industries and focusing on advanced production factors [7] - The integration of artificial intelligence with the digital economy is anticipated to be a major theme in the 15th Five-Year Plan, highlighting the role of AI in driving high-quality economic development [10] Group 3 - The report highlights the need for enhancing domestic demand, particularly in the context of improving income distribution and social security systems, which are expected to release significant consumption potential [11] - Large-scale infrastructure projects are likely to be prioritized in the 15th Five-Year Plan, with specific mentions of major water conservancy, transportation, and energy projects [12][30] - The necessity of ensuring supply chain security and addressing technological bottlenecks in key areas such as semiconductor manufacturing is emphasized, with expectations for continued support in these sectors in the upcoming plan [13] Group 4 - The report suggests that the 15th Five-Year Plan will focus on the development of future industries, including advanced manufacturing, new materials, and future energy technologies [25][27] - Cultural development and enhancing national cultural soft power are expected to be significant components of the 15th Five-Year Plan, aligning with the goal of building a "cultural power" by 2035 [19] - The construction of a community with a shared future for mankind and strengthening multilateral diplomatic relations are anticipated to be included in the 15th Five-Year Plan, particularly in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative [20]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The yield of the 10-year active treasury bond decreased from 1.7325% last Friday to 1.695%, with a weekly change of -3.75bp. The bond yield showed a pattern of "first rising then falling," corresponding to the "first rising then falling" of the Shanghai Composite Index, indicating an obvious stock-bond seesaw effect [1][11] - Starting from August 8, the interest income of newly issued treasury bonds, local government bonds, and financial bonds will be subject to value-added tax again. This policy change has short-term and long-term impacts on the bond market. In the short term, it is beneficial for old bonds, while in the long term, it is bearish for the bond market [14][15] - The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September is as high as 89.8%, mainly due to the weakening of the US labor market, with the number of newly added non-farm payrolls reaching the lowest point in 2025 and the unemployment rate rising [21][22] Group 3: Summary According to the Directory 1. One-week Viewpoints - **Yield Changes of 10-year Treasury Bonds**: The yield of the 10-year active treasury bond decreased by 3.75bp this week. The yield showed different trends on each trading day due to various factors such as commodity futures, stock markets, policy announcements, and economic data [1][11] - **Impact of Bond VAT Policy**: Starting from August 8, newly issued bonds will be subject to VAT, while old bonds and their subsequent issuances will continue to be exempt. In the short term, it is beneficial for old bonds, and in the long term, it is bearish for the bond market [14][15] - **Possibility of Fed Interest Rate Cut**: Considering the US economic data and labor market conditions, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September is as high as 89.8% [21][22] 2. Domestic and Overseas Data Summary - **Liquidity Tracking**: The total net injection of the open market operation from July 28 to August 1 was -6433 billion yuan. The money market interest rates showed different degrees of decline [33][35] - **Domestic and Overseas Macroeconomic Data Tracking**: The total commercial housing transaction area showed signs of recovery. Steel prices and LME non-ferrous metal futures official prices declined. Overseas, US bond yields generally increased, and the US dollar index, commodities, and stock markets showed different trends [50][57][71] 3. One-week Review of Local Bonds - **Primary Market Issuance Overview**: A total of 70 local bonds were issued in the primary market this week, with an issuance amount of 337.175 billion yuan, a repayment amount of 94.638 billion yuan, and a net financing amount of 242.536 billion yuan. The top three provinces in terms of issuance amount were Sichuan, Anhui, and Yunnan [82][83] - **Secondary Market Overview**: The stock of local bonds this week was 52.53 trillion yuan, with a trading volume of 36.6108 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.69%. The top three provinces with active trading were Sichuan, Shandong, and Anhui [95] - **Local Bond Issuance Plan for this Month**: The local bond issuance plan shows the planned issuance amount of each province on different dates [102][103] 4. One-week Review of the Credit Bond Market - **Primary Market Issuance Overview**: A total of 215 credit bonds were issued in the primary market this week, with a total issuance amount of 179.211 billion yuan, a total repayment amount of 165.838 billion yuan, and a net financing amount of 13.372 billion yuan. The net financing amount decreased by 41.542 billion yuan compared with last week [104] - **Issuance Interest Rates**: The issuance interest rates of different types of bonds showed different degrees of changes, with the issuance interest rate of short-term financing increasing by 20.50bp, and the issuance interest rates of medium-term notes, enterprise bonds, and corporate bonds showing varying degrees of decline [120] - **Secondary Market Transaction Overview**: The total turnover of credit bonds this week was 558.558 billion yuan, with different trading volumes for different ratings and bond types [120] - **Yield to Maturity**: The yields to maturity of different types of bonds showed different trends, with the yields of short-term financing and medium-term notes showing mixed trends, and the yields of enterprise bonds and urban investment bonds generally rising [121][124][125] - **Credit Spreads**: The credit spreads of short-term financing and medium-term notes generally narrowed, while the credit spreads of enterprise bonds and urban investment bonds showed different trends [126][129][135] - **Grade Spreads**: The grade spreads of short-term financing and medium-term notes generally narrowed, the grade spreads of enterprise bonds generally widened, and the grade spreads of urban investment bonds generally narrowed [139][143][147]

Market Overview - The average daily trading volume of the entire A-share market was 1.81 trillion CNY, a slight decrease of 39 billion CNY compared to the previous week[8] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.94% this week, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.74%[12] Market Style Performance - The small-cap index (WIND Micro Index) rose by 1% this week, showing relative strength compared to large-cap indices[12] - Growth stocks outperformed value stocks, with the relative advantage of growth stocks oscillating in positive territory over the past 30 trading days[18] Participant Performance - Active funds showed relative superiority this week, with the National Team Index declining by 1.92% and the Social Security Heavyweight Index down by 1.83%[22] - The overall A-share market saw a decline of 1.09% this week, with the market sentiment index showing a slight increase[21] Market Sentiment - The margin trading balance increased to over 1.98 trillion CNY, reaching a new high for the year[25] - The number of stocks hitting the daily limit up was 62, while those hitting the limit down was 12, indicating relatively stable market sentiment[25] Sector Performance - The report highlights strong performance in sectors such as innovative pharmaceuticals and AI applications, with significant partnerships announced in the industry[41] - The report also notes the importance of technology self-reliance and expanding openness in the context of ongoing geopolitical tensions[43]

证券研究报告·北交所报告·北交所定期报告 北交所定期报告 20250803 新股上市 ◼ 鼎佳精密（874397.BJ）：2025 年 7 月 31 日上市，首日涨幅达 479%， 振幅 89.61%，成交额 10.60 亿元，换手率 89.34%，总市值 51.70 亿元。 公司主要从事消费电子功能性产品及防护性产品的设计、研发、生产与 销售，产品应用于笔记本电脑、平板电脑、智能手机、一体电脑、服务 器、显示器、AR/VR、智能游戏机等消费电子产品。 投资建议 北证 50 指数周内回调，关注中报高增与产业 催化共振标的 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 北交所市场表现 行业重要新闻 观点 ◼ 产业催化与主题轮动主导盘面，关注中报高增与产业催化共振标的。产 业消息面上，固态电池板块受头部设备厂商陆续出货加速行业量产进度 催化，带动灵鸽科技、纳科诺尔等标的在本周初表现活跃；2025 世界人 工智能大会上，华为 384 超节点真机与基于 CloudMatrix 384 超节点的 华为云新一代昇腾 AI 云服务首次亮相，带动华为概念股明显上涨，*ST 广道于 7 月 31 日涨幅 29.94% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the machinery equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The solid-state battery equipment and robotics industries are expected to benefit from frequent catalysts, with a recommendation for undervalued engineering machinery and semiconductor equipment [1] - The solid-state battery is projected to achieve small-scale production by 2027, with commercial viability expected by 2030, leading to increased demand for related equipment [2] - The robotics sector is experiencing rapid advancements, with significant improvements in motion control capabilities and new application scenarios being demonstrated [3] Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - A comprehensive list of recommended companies includes Northern Huachuang, SANY Heavy Industry, Zhongwei Company, Hengli Hydraulic, CIMC, and others across various sectors [1][4] Investment Highlights - In the lithium battery equipment sector, leading manufacturers are expected to benefit from the solid-state battery timeline, with equipment vendors poised for growth due to increased demand [2] - The robotics industry is seeing advancements in motion control and application scenarios, with companies like Yushu Technology and Zhiyuan showcasing new capabilities [3][4] - The engineering machinery sector is set to benefit from large-scale projects like the Yajiang hydropower project, which is expected to significantly boost domestic machinery demand [5] Industry Trends - The solid-state battery industry is transitioning towards commercialization, with significant changes in manufacturing processes that will create new demand for equipment [39][40] - The robotics industry is evolving towards more intelligent systems, with AI-driven technologies enhancing operational capabilities [36][38] Financial Projections - The report projects significant profit growth for companies involved in solid-state battery equipment, with expected net profits for the company "Xinyuren" reaching 8.5 million, 54.7 million, and 79.4 million yuan from 2025 to 2027 [24] - The engineering machinery sector anticipates annual profit increments of 30-40 billion yuan due to the adoption of electric and unmanned machinery [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the computer industry [1] Core Viewpoints - Robot teleoperation is defined as using remote control to map human actions onto machines across physical spaces [6] - The primary applications of robot teleoperation include human-machine task execution, safety assurance, and training data collection [7] - Current technical challenges in teleoperation include communication latency and tactile feedback [8] - Investment in robot teleoperation is seen as a means to accelerate the deployment of robots in various scenarios and to enhance safety measures [11] Summary by Sections 1. Definition of Robot Teleoperation - Robot teleoperation refers to the remote control method that allows human actions to be mirrored onto machines [6] 2. Main Purposes of Robot Teleoperation - Human-machine task execution is necessary as humanoid robots currently lack sufficient intelligence for autonomous task completion, especially in hazardous environments [7] - Safety assurance is critical due to potential hacking risks and algorithmic flaws that could lead to accidents [7] - Training data collection is essential for humanoid robots to learn physical actions through human demonstrations, which require teleoperation [7] 3. Current Technical Challenges in Teleoperation - Communication latency affects the real-time operation of teleoperation, particularly in long-distance tasks [8] - Tactile feedback devices are expensive, and the autonomous reasoning capabilities for tactile intelligence are still under development [8] 4. Main Methods of Teleoperation - Current mainstream teleoperation methods include VR controllers, motion capture devices, master-slave robotic arms, exoskeletons, and Cartesian coordinate controllers [9][10] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that robot teleoperation can facilitate the integration of robots into various applications and is crucial for collecting training data [11] - The market for teleoperation is promising, with a recommendation to focus on companies like Changhong Technology, which is developing remote control solutions for robots [11]

Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic development amidst external uncertainties, suggesting that the core idea of "concentrating efforts to do our own things well" will continue to be reflected in the 15th Five-Year Plan [2] - The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to include around 20 chapters, with potential standalone themes such as "National Unified Market Construction," "Technological Innovation Leading New Quality Productivity Development," "Digital Economy and Artificial Intelligence," and "High-Quality Urban Development" [3] - The report anticipates a shift in urban development focus from rapid growth to quality improvement and efficiency enhancement, indicating that the 15th Five-Year Plan will likely continue this trend [4] National Unified Market Construction - The concept of "anti-involution" in supply-side policies is expected to be further developed in the 15th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on optimizing market competition order and regulating local investment attraction [3] Technological Innovation - The report highlights the significance of "new quality productivity," which aims to break away from traditional economic growth models and focus on high-tech, high-efficiency, and high-quality development [5] Digital Economy and AI - The integration of artificial intelligence with the digital economy is anticipated to be a key theme in the 15th Five-Year Plan, with AI serving as a core engine for driving high-quality economic development [7] Domestic Demand and Consumption - The report notes that domestic demand is becoming increasingly important, with significant potential for consumer spending to be released, particularly in the service sector [8] Investment in Infrastructure - The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to outline significant investments in large-scale infrastructure projects, including major water conservancy, transportation, and energy projects [9][19] Supply Chain Security - The necessity for enhancing supply chain security and addressing technological bottlenecks in critical areas such as semiconductor manufacturing is highlighted as a priority in the upcoming plan [10] Industrial Upgrading and Future Industries - The report suggests that the 15th Five-Year Plan will focus on upgrading traditional industries and fostering emerging industries, with an emphasis on high-end, green, and intelligent development [11][12] Modern Infrastructure Development - The report anticipates that the 15th Five-Year Plan will continue to prioritize modern infrastructure development, particularly in new infrastructure and transportation sectors [13] Cultural Development - The promotion of cultural confidence and the enhancement of national cultural soft power are expected to be included in the 15th Five-Year Plan, aligning with the goal of building a "cultural strong nation" [14] International Relations - The report indicates that the 15th Five-Year Plan will likely address the construction of a community with a shared future for mankind, emphasizing the importance of multilateral diplomatic relations [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the financial products sector [1]. Core Views - The report expresses a viewpoint of "not fearing adjustments, expecting wide fluctuations" in the market [1][17]. Summary by Sections A-share Market Overview (July 28 - August 1, 2025) - The top three broad indices were: - Wind Micro-Pan Daily Equal Weight Index (1.09%) - Sci-Tech Innovation Index (0.65%) - Sci-Tech 100 (0.52%) - The bottom three broad indices were: - North Certificate 50 (-2.70%) - Dividend Index (-2.67%) - China Securities Dividend (-2.65%) [10][11]. A-share Market Outlook (August 4 - August 8, 2025) - The monthly macro model score for August is 0, with a historical probability of 75% for an increase, indicating a high likelihood of continued upward movement in the A-share market [24]. - The technical timing model shows that the Wind All A Index has a risk level of 103.88, indicating an overheated market, which may lead to increased volatility [17][21]. - The report suggests that the market may experience wide fluctuations, but structural opportunities will continue to emerge [20]. Fund Allocation Recommendations - The report recommends a balanced ETF allocation strategy, considering the current market conditions and potential for future recovery [5][20]. Risk Trend Model Results - As of August 1, 2025, the top three broad indices in the risk trend model were: - Wind Micro-Pan Daily Equal Weight Index (26.99) - China Securities Dividend (26.91) - North Certificate 50 (26.68) - The bottom three were: - ChiNext Index (14.51) - CSI 300 (15.78) - Shenzhen Component Index (16.69) [32][36]. Style Index Model Results - As of August 1, 2025, the top three style indices were: - Large Cap Value (24.87) - Mid Cap Growth (23.18) - Mid Cap Value (21.32) - The bottom three were: - Financial (7.69) - Stability (13.16) - Cycle (15.14) [42][46]. Industry Index Model Results - As of August 1, 2025, the top three industry indices were: - Food and Beverage (58.54) - Banking (40.70) - Beauty and Personal Care (39.96) - The bottom three were: - Non-ferrous Metals (13.27) - Composite (13.71) - Electric Power Equipment (15.80) [53][57].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the next 6 months [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that coal prices are on the rise due to inventory depletion and increased demand driven by high temperatures, suggesting a potential for further price increases [1]. - The average daily coal inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim decreased by 14.26% week-on-week, while the average daily outflow increased by 4.88%, indicating a tightening supply situation [1][25]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring insurance capital inflows and suggests that resource stocks, particularly in the coal sector, are likely to be favored due to ongoing solid premium income growth [2][33]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.06% during the week, while the coal sector index decreased by 2.13% [10]. - The average daily coal price at Qinhuangdao port rose by 10 CNY/ton to 663 CNY/ton [1][16]. 2. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Daily coal inflow to the Bohai Rim ports was 1.5396 million tons, down 25.61 tons week-on-week, while daily outflow was 1.8531 million tons, up 8.61 tons [25][28]. - The total coal inventory at the Bohai Rim ports decreased by 8.22% to 24.727 million tons [28]. 3. Price Trends - The report notes that the price of 5500 kcal thermal coal in Datong increased by 32 CNY/ton to 572 CNY/ton, while the price of 6000 kcal coal in Yanzhou rose by 20 CNY/ton to 950 CNY/ton [16]. - The coal price index for the Bohai Rim region increased by 1 CNY/ton to 665 CNY/ton [18]. 4. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on elastic coal stocks, particularly Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy, which are considered undervalued [2][33].