[Table_Chart] 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 -40% -20% 0% 20% 4/29 6/29 8/29 10/2912/29 2/28 新凤鸣 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：王强峰 [Table_Author] 分析师：王强峰 [Table_StockNameRptType] 新凤鸣（603225） 公司点评 产销稳步提升，PTA 项目投产一体化程度加深 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-05-05 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | | 10.84 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | | 15.86/9.59 | | 总股本（百万股） | | 1,525 | | 流通股本（百万股） | | 1,512 | | 流通股比例（%） | | 99.15 | | 总市值（亿元） | | 165 | | 流通市值（亿元） | | 164 | 执业证书号：S0010522110002 电话：13621792701 邮箱：wangqf@hazq ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a steady growth in performance, with a net profit of 289 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.58%. For Q1 2025, the net profit was 69 million yuan, up 0.23% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [4][5] - The company achieved a revenue of 1.357 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.03%, and the revenue for Q1 2025 grew by 1.89% year-on-year, indicating ongoing progress in its three-tier business strategy [5][6] Summary by Sections Business Segments 1. **First Tier Business**: This includes core components for turbochargers and various precision parts, which serve as the company's stable foundation. In 2024, the turbocharger business generated 1.058 billion yuan in revenue, with a CAGR of 9.83% from 2022 to 2024, accounting for 77.9% of total revenue. The gross margin for the automotive parts segment reached 33.68%, up 0.31 percentage points year-on-year [5] 2. **Second Tier Business**: Focused on components for electric vehicles, this segment saw significant growth, with sales revenue of 184 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 38.73%. The company has successfully launched its subsidiary for electric vehicle components, enhancing its competitive position [6] 3. **Third Tier Business**: This includes areas such as "industrial mother machines," "humanoid robots," and "smart connected vehicles." The company has achieved successful validation and application of its high-precision rolling screw nuts and linear guide products, with small batch orders being delivered in 2024 [6] Financial Performance - The company's gross margin improved to 34.7% in 2024, up 0.24 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin reached 21.29%, an increase of 0.53 percentage points [7] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 1.531 billion, 1.751 billion, and 2.015 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 333 million, 385 million, and 451 million yuan [8][10] - The diluted EPS for 2025-2027 is expected to be 0.67, 0.77, and 0.90 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 41.7, 36.1, and 30.8 [8][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a steady growth in performance, with a 9.58% year-on-year increase in net profit to 289 million yuan for 2024, and a 0.23% increase in Q1 2025 net profit to 69 million yuan, meeting expectations [4][5] - The company achieved a revenue of 1.357 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 1.03% year-on-year growth, supported by the robust performance of the automotive industry, particularly in the new energy vehicle sector [5][6] Summary by Sections Business Segments 1. **First-tier Business**: This includes core components for turbochargers and various precision parts, which serve as the foundation for stable development. The turbocharger business generated 1.058 billion yuan in revenue, with a CAGR of 9.83% from 2022 to 2024, accounting for 77.9% of total revenue [5] 2. **Second-tier Business**: Focused on new energy vehicle components, this segment saw significant growth with sales revenue of 184 million yuan and a 38.73% increase in sales volume to 9.1077 million units in 2024, benefiting from the overall rise in new energy vehicle production and sales [6] 3. **Third-tier Business**: This includes areas such as "industrial mother machines," "humanoid robots," and "intelligent connected vehicles." The company has successfully validated its high-precision rolling screw nuts and linear guide products with well-known domestic machine tool manufacturers, achieving small batch orders in 2024 [6] Financial Performance - The company's gross margin reached 34.7% in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.24 percentage points, while the net margin was 21.29%, up 0.53 percentage points [7] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 1.531 billion yuan, 1.751 billion yuan, and 2.015 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 333 million yuan, 385 million yuan, and 451 million yuan [8][10] Valuation Metrics - The projected diluted EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.67 yuan, 0.77 yuan, and 0.90 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 41.7, 36.1, and 30.8 [8][10] - The company is positioned as a leading player in precision components, with significant growth potential in the new energy vehicle and industrial sectors, justifying the "Buy" rating [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of approximately 3.39 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of about 6.2%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately -970 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of about 620.3% [5] - The gross margin for 2024 was approximately -9.0%, a decrease of about 25.4 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The revenue growth is attributed to the recovery in industry trends and the further release of 300mm semiconductor silicon wafer capacity, while profit margins are under pressure due to product price declines and high R&D expenditures [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3,388 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2% [11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was -971 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 620.3% year-on-year [11] - The gross margin for 2024 was -9.0%, indicating a decrease of 25.4 percentage points compared to the previous year [11] - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 26 million yuan, 217 million yuan, and 347 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 1871.18, 220.43, and 137.88 [8] Production Capacity and Market Trends - The company’s 300mm silicon wafer shipments reached 5.052 million pieces in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 72.1%, with revenue from this segment at 2.11 billion yuan, up 52.8% year-on-year [7] - The company has achieved full coverage in various application fields for 300mm wafers and expects to double its production capacity to 1.2 million pieces per month following the completion of ongoing capacity upgrade projects [7][8] - The 200mm and below silicon wafer prices are under pressure, with a 3.3% decrease in shipments for this segment in 2024, leading to a revenue drop of 27.9% to 1.05 billion yuan [6][7]

| 华安研究 2025年5月金股组合 | 归母净利润（百万） | 归母净利润增速 | 营业收入（百万） | 营业收入增速 | eps | pe(pb有说明) | 行业 | 金股代码 | 金股 | 核心推荐逻辑 | 风险提示 | 研究员 | 报告依据 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2023A | 2024A/E | 2025E | 2023A | 2024A/E | 2025E | 2023A | 2024A/E | 2025E | 2023A | 2024A/E | 2025E | 2 ...

稳中求进，静待新品发力 安井食品（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 603345） 公司点评 ——安井食品 24 年报&25Q1 点评 [Table_Rank] 投资评级：买入（维持） 报告日期： 2025-05-05 | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 76.30 | | --- | --- | | 近 个月最高 / 最 低 12 | 107.89/66.13 | | （元） | | | 总股本（百万股） | 293 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 293 | | 流通股比例（%） | 100.00 | | 总市值（亿元） | 224 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 224 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -38% -22% -6% 10% 26% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 安井食品 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：邓欣 执业证书号：S0010524010001 邮箱：dengxin@hazq.com 联系人：郑少轩 执业证书号：S0010124040001 邮箱：zhengshaoxuan@hazq.c ...

安井食品（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 603345） 公司点评 稳中求进，静待新品发力 ——安井食品 24 年报&25Q1 点评 [Table_Rank] 投资评级：买入（维持） 报告日期： 2025-05-05 | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 76.30 | | --- | --- | | 近 个月最高 / 最 低 12 | 107.89/66.13 | | （元） | | | 总股本（百万股） | 293 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 293 | | 流通股比例（%） | 100.00 | | 总市值（亿元） | 224 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 224 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -38% -22% -6% 10% 26% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 安井食品 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：邓欣 执业证书号：S0010524010001 邮箱：dengxin@hazq.com 联系人：郑少轩 执业证书号：S0010124040001 邮箱：zhengshaoxuan@hazq.c ...

| 静待渠道调整见效 | | --- | ——中炬高新 25Q1 点评 中炬高新（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 600872） 主要观点： ⚫ 收入：春节错期+渠道调整拖累 ⚫ 盈利：规模效应+费投力度提升 ➢ Q1 毛利率同比提升 1.8pct 至 38.7%，主因原材料成本下行、供应 链优化带来生产费用及物流成本下降。同期，销售/管理费率分别同 比上升 0.9pct/1.7pct，规模效应走弱，叠加渠道费用投入力度加大 是主因。综上，公司归母净利率同比提升 0.3pct 至 16.4%。 ⚫ 投资建议：维持"买入"评级 -55% -35% -15% 6% 26% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 中炬高新 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：邓欣 执业证书号：S0010524010001 邮箱：dengxin@hazq.com 联系人：郑少轩 执业证书号：S0010124040001 邮箱：zhengshaoxuan@hazq.com [Table_CompanyReport] 相关报告 1.中炬高新 24Q3：盈利改善超预期 2024-10-26 2.静待改善 ...

公司点评 | 盈利弹性超预期 | | --- | ——伊利股份 24 年报及 25Q1 点评 伊利股份（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 600887） 主要观点： ⚫ 收入：液奶降幅收窄明显 ⚫ 盈利：成本红利+产品结构优化 ⚫ 投资建议：维持"买入" ➢ 我们的观点： 经过 24 年渠道库存去化，公司今年经营基础更加稳健，Q1 报表已 有较好反馈，随着 Q2 低基数来临，公司业绩有望逐季修复，全年 [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -33% -18% -4% 11% 26% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 伊利股份 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：邓欣 执业证书号：S0010524010001 邮箱：dengxin@hazq.com 联系人：郑少轩 执业证书号：S0010124040001 邮箱：zhengshaoxuan@hazq.com [Table_CompanyReport] 相关报告 1.伊利股份 24Q3：渠道调整初见成 效 2024-10-31 2.聚焦长期，H2 有望环比改善 2024- 09-01 敬请参阅末页重要 ...

中炬高新（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 600872） | 静待渠道调整见效 | | --- | ——中炬高新 25Q1 点评 主要观点： ⚫ 收入：春节错期+渠道调整拖累 ⚫ 盈利：规模效应+费投力度提升 ➢ Q1 毛利率同比提升 1.8pct 至 38.7%，主因原材料成本下行、供应 链优化带来生产费用及物流成本下降。同期，销售/管理费率分别同 比上升 0.9pct/1.7pct，规模效应走弱，叠加渠道费用投入力度加大 是主因。综上，公司归母净利率同比提升 0.3pct 至 16.4%。 ⚫ 投资建议：维持"买入"评级 ➢ 我们的观点： 我们预计 25 年公司经营节奏前低后高，渠道库存持续去化下，H2 有望迎来环比经营改善。渠道端，聚焦传统渠道下沉+电商扩大曝 光；产品端，新品积极推广，同时通过产业并购补齐品类短板。全 年收入有望实现稳健增长。 盈利预测：考虑到公司渠道库存去化进度，我们更新盈利预测，预 计 2025-2027 年公司实现营业总收入 58.0/62.1/67.3 亿元（25-26 年原值为 59.7/66.6 亿元），同比增长 5.1%/7.0%/8.5%；实现归母 ...