Investment Rating - The report maintains a target price of RMB 64.00 for Jiangsu Hengli, representing a 33% upside from the previous price of RMB 48.12 [1]. Core Views - Jiangsu Hengli's EBIT grew by 58% year-on-year to RMB 644 million in Q2 2024, driven by a 22% increase in revenue and a 6.3 percentage point expansion in gross profit margin [1]. - The net profit increased by only 5% to RMB 686 million, primarily due to a high base effect from Q2 2023, which included significant foreign exchange gains [1]. - The report highlights three positive trends: (1) Continuous revenue contribution from non-excavator components; (2) Deliveries of electric cylinders and ball screws (key components for robots) starting in July, leading to rapid production increases; (3) The hydraulic component production base in Mexico is expected to commence operations in December, with a designed annual output value of USD 4.5 billion [1]. Financial Summary - For the first half of 2024, non-excavator cylinder sales increased by 21.5% year-on-year to 139,000 units, driven by demand from tunnel boring machines, cranes, and aerial work platforms [1]. - Revenue from non-excavator cylinders grew approximately 20% to RMB 1.3 billion, while revenue from excavator cylinders decreased by 13.5% to RMB 1.1 billion [1]. - The report projects revenue growth for Jiangsu Hengli, with total revenue expected to reach RMB 10,033 million in 2024, representing an 11.7% year-on-year increase [8]. Key Ratios - The gross profit margin for Q2 2024 improved to 43.1%, up 6.3 percentage points year-on-year and 3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The report indicates a projected P/E ratio of 31 times for 2024, aligning with historical averages [1]. - The net profit margin is expected to stabilize, with adjusted net profit forecasted to reach RMB 2,757 million in 2024, reflecting a 10.3% year-on-year growth [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Jiangsu Hengli is maintained at a target price of RMB 64.00, representing a 33.0% upside from the current price of RMB 48.12 [2]. Core Insights - Jiangsu Hengli reported a revenue growth of 22% year-on-year in 2Q24, with EBIT surging 58% year-on-year to RMB 644 million, driven by a surprising gross margin expansion of 6.3 percentage points year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is experiencing positive developments, with increasing contributions from non-excavator components and a fast production ramp-up in key products such as ball screws and electric cylinders [2][3]. - The hydraulic components production base in Mexico is expected to commence operations in December, with a designed annual output value of US$450 million [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for FY24E is projected to reach RMB 10,033 million, reflecting an 11.7% year-on-year growth, while adjusted net profit is expected to be RMB 2,757 million, a 10.3% increase [11][14]. - The gross profit margin is anticipated to improve to 42.2% in FY24E, up from 41.9% in FY23A [14]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to be 27.5% in FY24E, slightly down from 27.8% in FY23A [13][14]. Revenue Breakdown - Non-excavator cylinders sales volume increased by 21.5% year-on-year to 139,000 units in 1H24, driven by demand for tunnel boring machines, cranes, and aerial work platforms [2]. - Revenue from non-excavator cylinders grew approximately 20% to RMB 1.3 billion, while revenue from excavator cylinders decreased by 13.5% year-on-year to RMB 1.1 billion [2]. Key Ratios and Valuation - The P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 25.8 in FY23A to 23.4 in FY24E, indicating a more attractive valuation [11][14]. - The P/B ratio is expected to decline from 4.5 in FY23A to 4.0 in FY24E, reflecting a strengthening balance sheet [11][14]. - The dividend yield is projected to increase from 1.5% in FY23A to 1.6% in FY24E, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [11][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Naura Technology with a target price of RMB405, implying a potential upside of 34.7% from the current price of RMB300.64 [2][3]. Core Insights - Naura Technology reported robust earnings for 1H24, with revenue growing 46.4% YoY to RMB12.3 billion and net profit increasing 54.5% YoY to RMB2.8 billion, aligning with the company's earnings pre-announcement [2]. - The company's gross profit margin (GPM) improved to 45.5% in 1H24, up from 41% in FY23, while net profit margin (NPM) expanded to 22.5% from 17.7% in FY23, indicating strong operational efficiency [2]. - Future growth is expected to be driven by the semiconductor localization trend, product coverage expansion, market share gains, and economies of scale [2]. Financial Performance Summary - 1H24 revenue accounted for 40% of the FY24E forecast, consistent with historical seasonality [2]. - The semiconductor equipment revenue increased by 55.1% YoY, constituting 92% of total revenue in 1H24 [2]. - The report projects total revenue of RMB30.9 billion for FY24E, reflecting a 39.7% YoY growth, and RMB39.0 billion for FY25E, indicating a 26.5% growth [2][3]. Earnings Revision - The report revises up the FY24E net profit forecast by 9% to RMB6.01 billion and maintains revenue projections at RMB30.86 billion for FY24E [6]. - Gross margin estimates for FY24E have been increased by 5.2 percentage points to 45.0% [6]. - The net profit margin is expected to reach 19.5% in FY24E, up from 17.9% in the previous estimates [6]. Valuation Metrics - The target price of RMB405 implies a valuation of 35.77x FY24E P/E, which is justified given Naura's leading position in the domestic semiconductor equipment market [2]. - The report highlights a significant improvement in return on equity (ROE), projected to reach 22.0% in FY24E, up from 17.7% in FY23 [3][9].

浙江鼎力 (603338 CH) 繁荣升降机和美国市场仍然是关键驱动因素 浙江鼎力（Dingli）在2024年第二季度的息税前利润（EBIT）增长了72%，达 到人民币612百万元，主要由收入增长34%和毛利率扩张2.6个百分点驱动。报 告净利润仅增长2%至522百万元，这主要是由于缺乏外汇收益导致的净财务收 入减少。在财报电话会议上，管理层重申了对美国市场的乐观展望，保持全年 提升式起重机销售目标为2000台不变。此外，管理层预计美国总统选举后可能 增加的关税影响是可以管理的，因为反倾销关税的减少可以减轻这一影响。我 们维持我们的盈利预测不变。保持当前评级。 BUY TP 不变 ， 为 75 元人民币(18 倍 2024E P / E ， 低于 31 倍的历史平均水平 1 SD) 。 . . 第二季度强劲的收入增长和利润率。 收入同比增长 34% ， 达到 2 元人民 币 40 亿。毛利率扩大 2 同比增6个百分点至31.8%。管理费用比率相对稳 定，保持在2.5%。净金融费用同比减少96%，降至1000万元人民币，原因 是未产生外汇收益。 景气提升仍然是增长动力。 在2024年上半年（1H24），直臂式提 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of RMB75, representing a 61.3% upside from the current price of RMB46.50 [4]. Core Insights - Zhejiang Dingli's EBIT in 2Q24 increased by 72% YoY to RMB612 million, driven by a revenue growth of 34% YoY and a gross margin expansion of 2.6 percentage points YoY [2]. - The company reported a net profit growth of only 2% YoY to RMB522 million, primarily due to a reduction in net finance income from the absence of foreign exchange gains [2]. - Management maintains a positive outlook for the US market, with a full-year sales target for boom lifts set at 2,000 units [2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 2Q24 reached RMB2.4 billion, marking a 34% YoY increase, while gross margin expanded to 31.8% [2]. - In 1H24, revenue from boom lifts surged 58% YoY to RMB1.8 billion, accounting for 49% of total revenue from main operations [2]. - Overseas revenue grew by 50% YoY in 1H24, with North America showing the highest growth at 100% [2]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast remains unchanged, with projected revenues of RMB7.569 billion for FY24, RMB8.810 billion for FY25, and RMB10.409 billion for FY26 [3]. - Net profit is expected to grow to RMB2.105 billion in FY24, RMB2.425 billion in FY25, and RMB2.870 billion in FY26 [3]. Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratio for FY24 is 11.2x, decreasing to 9.7x in FY25 and 8.2x in FY26 [3]. - The projected dividend yield is expected to increase from 2.5% in FY24 to 3.4% in FY26 [3]. Market Dynamics - The boom lift segment remains the key growth driver, with significant contributions from both domestic and overseas markets [2]. - Management anticipates that potential tariff increases post-US presidential election will be manageable due to the reduction of anti-dumping duties [2].

28 Aug 2024 Earnings Summary CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Greentown Management (9979 HK) Weakening demand + intensifying competition, what is next? Greentown Mgmt's stock price plunged 32% post-1H24 earnings, partly due to the uncertainty on strategy execution among investors following the resignation of former CEO Mr. Li Jun. More importantly, the pullback was due to revenue/net profit deceleration (8%/6% YoY vs. guidance of 20%/30%), constrained by declining client p ...

28 Aug 2024 CMB 国际全球市场 | 股票研究 | 公司更新 绿城管理(9979 HK) 需求减弱 + 竞争加剧 ， 下一步是什么 ？ 绿地集团的股价在2024年第一季度财报公布后下跌了32%，部分原因是前CE O李先生离职后投资者对战略执行的不确定性。更为重要的是，这次回调主要 源于 收入 / 净利润 收入增速放缓（8%年对年/6%年对年，低于指导预期的20 %年对年/30%年对年），受到客户支付能力下滑和竞争加剧的限制。年对年收 入下降19%。 新合同价值 反映 土地供应减少 销售复苏缓慢 ， 挫伤了客户 的发展信心 ， 以及 由于资金不足无法启动项目。我们短期内看到房产销售快 速恢复的能见度较低，并将2024-26年的收入预期下调17%-27%，至年增长率 5%/9%/7%，利润预测下调20%-38%，至年增长率3%/9%/8%。然而，我们认 为PJM的长期需求仍然稳固，考虑到房产销售的复苏。我们将买入评级保持不 变，目标价下调41%至港币5.56元，相当于2024年市盈率的10倍。风险：应收 账款减值。 1) , 2) 3) 库存数据 Bella LI (852) 3757 6202 b ...

Anta Sports (2020 HK) A moderate outlook and buybacks announced We are satisfied by the 1H24 results, where the one-off gains and dividends have more than offset the slow core profit growth. Going forward, even though the growth outlook has kind of moderated, we do think the impressive share buyback programme should more than compensate for that. Maintain BUY but trim TP to HK$ 97.05, based on 18x FY25E P/E (rolled over from 20x FY24E P/E). It is trading at 14x FY25E P/E. Anta brand's FY24E guidance reitera ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a target price of HK$1.36 for SenseTime, reflecting a 15.3% upside from the current price of HK$1.18 [4]. Core Insights - SenseTime's total revenue for 1H24 grew by 21% YoY to RMB1.74 billion, with an adjusted net loss narrowing by 3% YoY to RMB2.33 billion, indicating improved net loss margin [2][3]. - The generative AI (Gen AI) business is identified as the key growth driver, with revenue increasing by 256% YoY to RMB1.05 billion, accounting for 60% of total revenue in 1H24 [2][3]. - The report anticipates total revenue growth to accelerate to 33% YoY in 2H24, driven by robust demand in the Gen AI sector [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for FY24E, FY25E, and FY26E are RMB4.36 billion, RMB5.48 billion, and RMB6.60 billion respectively, with adjusted net losses expected to be RMB3.51 billion, RMB2.52 billion, and RMB1.72 billion [3][5]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) for 1H24 was 44.1%, with expectations of a gradual decline to 38% by FY26E due to increased operational costs [2][5]. - The adjusted net margin improved by 33 percentage points YoY to -134% in 1H24, reflecting operational leverage and cost control [2][5]. Market Position and Competitive Edge - SenseTime has become the third largest AIDC service provider in China with a market share of 15.4% as of 2H23 [2]. - The company has a strong AI infrastructure with operational computing power exceeding 20,000 PetaFLOPS, expected to surpass 25,000 PetaFLOPS by the end of FY24 [2][3]. - The report highlights SenseTime's independence from direct competition with suppliers and clients, enhancing its competitive edge in the Gen AI market [2].

Investment Rating - The report reiterates a "BUY" rating for Trip.com Group (TCOM) with a target price of US$65.80, indicating a potential upside of 55.4% from the current price of US$42.34 [2][10]. Core Insights - Trip.com Group reported a net revenue of RMB12.8 billion for 2Q24, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 13.6%, which aligns with Bloomberg consensus estimates. The non-GAAP operating income was RMB4.2 billion, exceeding consensus forecasts by 6% due to effective cost control in R&D [2][3]. - The company is expected to experience resilient revenue growth driven by strong travel demand from its high-end customer base during the summer peak season, despite facing macroeconomic challenges and tougher comparisons in 3Q24 [2][3]. - The management anticipates a reacceleration in year-over-year revenue growth in 4Q24 as the impact of business adjustments diminishes and comparisons become easier [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY24E, Trip.com is projected to achieve revenue of RMB52.8 billion, representing an 18.5% year-over-year growth. The adjusted net profit is expected to reach RMB16.4 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 25.8% [3][8]. - The non-GAAP operating profit margin (OPM) for 2Q24 was reported at 33.1%, which is 1.9 percentage points higher than consensus estimates, driven by better-than-expected R&D expense ratios [2][3]. - The company achieved a gross profit margin of 81.8% for FY24E, with an operating margin of 27.5% and a non-GAAP net margin of 31.2% [8][9]. Revenue Breakdown - Domestic hotel reservations grew approximately 20% year-over-year in 2Q24, with double-digit growth continuing in 3Q24. Outbound air and hotel reservations have recovered to 110%-120% of 2019 levels, outperforming the market by 20-30% [2][3]. - Revenue from inbound travel accounted for 25% of total revenue in 2Q24, up from 20% in 1Q24, contributing approximately 2.6% to the total group-level revenue [2][3]. Future Projections - For 3Q24E, Trip.com is estimated to record revenue of RMB15.6 billion, reflecting a 13% year-over-year increase, consistent with Bloomberg consensus [2][3]. - The company expects to maintain a non-GAAP OPM of 33.1% for 3Q24E, with projections for FY25E showing continued growth in revenue and profitability [2][3].