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旗滨集团:浮法底部,光伏成本持续下降-20250427
国盛证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price based on expected performance over the next three years [4][6]. Core Views - The company experienced a slight decline in revenue for 2024, with a total of 15.65 billion yuan, down 0.2% year-on-year, and a significant drop in net profit by 78.1% to 380 million yuan [1][4]. - The glass industry is facing challenges due to insufficient demand in the real estate sector, leading to a continuous decline in float glass prices [2][4]. - The photovoltaic glass segment saw a significant increase in revenue by 68.6% to 5.75 billion yuan in 2024, but the profit margin decreased due to falling prices [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 15.65 billion yuan, with a net profit of 380 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 78.1% [1][5]. - The float glass segment sold 107 million heavy boxes, down 6.4% year-on-year, with an average price of 64.3 yuan per heavy box, a decrease of 19.2% [2][4]. - The photovoltaic glass segment achieved a sales volume of 430 million square meters, up 124.0% year-on-year, but the average price fell to 13.2 yuan per square meter, down 24.7% [3][4]. Market Outlook - The float glass prices are expected to remain low until supply and demand are balanced, which may take time due to ongoing production capacity increases [2][4]. - The photovoltaic glass market is showing signs of recovery, but there may be pressure on prices as demand stabilizes and production ramps up [3][4]. Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 15.5%, down 9.5 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to price declines in both float and photovoltaic glass [4][5]. - The net profit margin decreased to 1.7%, reflecting the impact of reduced gross margins and asset impairment losses totaling 257 million yuan [4][5]. Future Projections - The company is projected to recover with net profits of 829 million yuan, 1.1 billion yuan, and 1.65 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 41.4% [4][5].
贝泰妮:公司稳步推进变革优化,期待多品牌贡献增量-20250427
国盛证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 04 26 年 月 日 贝泰妮(300957.SZ) 公司稳步推进变革优化,期待多品牌贡献增量 2024 年营收同比+3.87%,2025Q1 毛利率有所改善。公司 2024 年实现营收 57.36 亿元(yoy+3.87%),实现归母净利润 5.03 亿元(yoy-33.53%),归母扣非 净利润 2.40 亿元(yoy-61.12%);实现销售毛利率约 73.74%,同比保持稳定。费 用 端 , 销 售 / 管 理 / 研 发 费 率 分 别 为 49.97%/8.94%/5.15% ,同比分别 +2.71%/+1.46%/-0.26%。公司利润波动原因主要包括:"双 11"等大促销售未 达预期、营销投入增加、悦江投资业绩承诺未完成因此计提长期资产减值准备金、 长期资产折旧摊销成本、费用增加以及线上获客成本上升等。2025Q1 公司实现营 收 9.49 亿元(yoy-13.51%),归母净利润 0.28 亿元(yoy-83.97%),销售毛利率 同比增加约 5.38pcts 至 77.47%,产品盈利能力有效改善主要系公司坚持渠道稳 价维 ...
神州泰岳:拳头产品流水保持高位,两款新游海外上线-20250427
国盛证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 04 26 年 月 日 神州泰岳(300002.SZ) 拳头产品流水保持高位,两款新游海外上线 业绩概览:公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。2024 年,公司实现营业收入 64.52 亿元,同比增长 8.22%;实现归母净利润 14.28 亿元,同比增长 60.92%; 实现扣非归母净利润 11.47 亿元,同比增长 38.29%。2025Q1,公司实现营业收 入 13.23 亿元,同比下滑 11.07%;实现归母净利润 2.39 亿元,同比下滑 19.09%; 实现扣非归母净利润 2.26 亿元,同比下滑 21.10%。公司 2024 年利润分配预案拟 向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 1 元(含税)。 2024 年销售费用率显著降低,2025Q1 毛利率环比提升。2024 年,公司毛利率 同比降低 1.69pct 至 61.04%;销售费用率同比降低 9.06pct 至 15.60%;管理费 用率同比提升 4.28pct 至 19.66%;财务费用率同比降低 0.50pct 至-1.71%。 2025Q1,公司毛利率环比 ...
老白干酒:平稳增长,净利率提升-20250427
国盛证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 04 26 年 月 日 老白干酒(600559.SH) 平稳增长,净利率提升 事件:4 月 26 日,公司发布 2024 年报和 2025 年一季报。24 年营收 53.6 亿元、同比 +1.9%(其中酒类收入同比+6%),归母净利润 7.9 亿元、同比+18.2%,扣非净利润 7.4 亿元、同比+20.1%。其中 24Q4 营收同比-10.0%,归母净利润同比-6.8%,扣非 净利润同比-3.8%。25Q1 营收 11.7 亿元、同比+3.4%((其中酒类收入同比+4%),归 母净利润 1.5 亿元、同比+11.9%,扣非净利润 1.4 亿元、同比+13.2%。24 年分红率 约 63.9%,同比提升 2.1pct,2021 年以来分红率持续提升。 25Q1 延续稳增、利润率提升趋势。25Q1 营收 11.7 亿元、同比+3.4%(其中酒类收 入同比+4%),归母净利润 1.5 亿元、同比+11.9%,扣非净利润 1.4 亿元、同比+13.2%。 25Q1 末合同负债 18.8 亿元,蓄水池充足。25Q1 产品结构改善明显,带动毛利率同比 ...
会通股份:2024年年报&2025年一季报点评:盈利能力稳中有升,多元布局新兴领域-20250427
国元证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [5]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated stable growth in profitability, with a 13.81% year-on-year increase in revenue to 6.088 billion yuan and a 32.04% increase in net profit to 194 million yuan for the year 2024. The first quarter of 2025 also showed a 15.07% increase in revenue to 1.468 billion yuan and a 14.67% increase in net profit to 50 million yuan [2][5]. - The company's modified plastic business has seen a revenue increase of 15.39% to 5.936 billion yuan, accounting for 97.51% of total revenue, driven by increased sales volume [3]. - The company is focusing on high-value products such as long-chain nylon materials, PEEK, and PPS, with long-chain nylon revenue growing by 105.39% year-on-year, indicating a strategic shift towards emerging markets [4]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 7.066 billion yuan, 8.335 billion yuan, and 10.081 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.08%, 17.95%, and 20.95% [5]. - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 250 million yuan, 318 million yuan, and 414 million yuan, with growth rates of 28.63%, 27.35%, and 30.13% [5]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 10.69% in 2025 to 14.16% in 2027 [5]. Market Expansion - The company has successfully expanded into international markets, establishing a factory in Thailand and serving over 30 overseas clients, with overseas sales increasing by 178.39% year-on-year [3]. - The diversification into new fields such as consumer electronics and AI data servers is expected to create new growth opportunities [4].
旭升集团:客户销量波动拖累业绩表现,新兴业务维持高增-20250427
国盛证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 4.41 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 8.8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 420 million, down 42% year-on-year [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows a revenue of 1.05 billion, a year-on-year decline of 8.1%, and a net profit of 100 million, down 39% year-on-year [1]. - The company's automotive business is significantly influenced by the sales fluctuations of its largest customer, Tesla, which sold 496,000 and 337,000 vehicles in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, respectively [2]. - Emerging businesses, particularly in energy storage and robotics, are experiencing high growth, with energy storage revenue expected to exceed 234 million in 2024, representing over 200% year-on-year growth [2]. Financial Performance - The gross margin for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 is reported at 17.6% and 20.8%, respectively, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.2 percentage points in Q1 2025 [3]. - The operating expense ratio for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 is 9.5% and 11.2%, respectively, reflecting adjustments in accounting and revenue scale fluctuations [3]. - The company is positioned to leverage its capabilities in die-casting, forging, and extrusion, with plans for new factories in Thailand and Mexico to enhance its global footprint [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 490 million, 562 million, and 654 million, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24.5, 21.4, and 18.4 [4][5].
杰瑞股份:24年度报告点评:海外市场潜力凸显,看好后续稳健增长-20250427
国元证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [5][12]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated resilience in its financial performance, with a slight decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, showcasing its ability to manage costs effectively [1][5]. - The overseas market potential is highlighted, with a focus on improving product structure and maintaining high growth in new orders [2][4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing recovery in the global oil and gas industry, supported by strategic investments in high-end manufacturing capabilities [4][5]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 133.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.00%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 26.27 billion yuan, an increase of 7.03% [1]. - The quarterly performance showed a revenue increase of 2.95% in Q4, with net profit rising by 15.51% [1][2]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 33.70%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.65 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Market and Industry Outlook - The global energy consumption is expected to grow steadily, with fossil fuels remaining the primary supply source, while the domestic clean energy proportion is anticipated to increase marginally [4]. - The company is actively expanding its presence in overseas markets, with significant investments aimed at enhancing its influence in the global oil and gas sector [4]. - The report forecasts revenue growth for the company, projecting revenues of 154.78 billion yuan, 177.97 billion yuan, and 204.00 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5].
润本股份:2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:25Q1增长提速,新产品新渠道贡献增量-20250427
国元证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [5][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved steady revenue and profit growth in 2024, with a revenue of 1.318 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.61%, and a net profit of 300 million yuan, up 32.8% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw accelerated growth, with revenue reaching 240 million yuan, a 44% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 44 million yuan, up 24.6% year-on-year [2][5]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 58.17%, an increase of 1.82 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 22.77%, up 0.89 percentage points year-on-year. The sales expense ratio increased to 28.80%, while the management expense ratio decreased to 2.45% [2][5]. Product Performance - The baby care series generated 690 million yuan in revenue, a 32.42% increase year-on-year, while the mosquito repellent series saw revenue of 439 million yuan, up 35.39% year-on-year. The essential oil series achieved 158 million yuan in revenue, a 7.88% increase year-on-year [3]. Channel Strategy - Online sales accounted for a significant portion of revenue, with direct sales, platform distribution, and platform agency sales generating 774 million yuan, 165 million yuan, and 31 million yuan respectively, all showing year-on-year growth. The company is actively building a comprehensive sales network, maintaining a leading market share on platforms like Tmall, JD, and Douyin [4]. Future Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 394 million yuan, 507 million yuan, and 635 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.97 yuan, 1.25 yuan, and 1.57 yuan [5][7].
正邦科技:产能加速恢复,主业实现盈利-20250427
国盛证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 26 年 月 日 正邦科技(002157.SZ) 产能加速恢复,主业实现盈利 公司公告 2024 年度报告和 2025 年第一季度报告。2024 年公司实现收 入88.7亿元,同比增长26.86%;归母净利润2.16亿元,同比减少97.46%; 扣非归母净利润-3.33 亿元,同比增长 93.19%。2025 年第一季度公司实 现收入 30.02 亿元,同比增长 108.22%;归母净利润 1.71 亿元,同比增 长 449.58%;扣非归母净利润 0.26 亿元,同比增长 108.3%。 产能恢复主业实现盈利,负债清偿费用下降。拆分 2025 年第一季度业绩 来看,公司非经常性损益(主要为债务重组损益)贡献 1.4 亿元、减值及 资产处置影响-1.6 亿元,加回少损影响的 0.6 亿元,公司主营业务实现的 利润在 1.3 亿元,伴随产能恢复,主业已恢复盈利能力,同时公司负债率 持续下降,2025 年一季度资产负债率 44.9%,环比下降 1.5pct;财务费 用率 1.46%,较 2023 年 11.3%水平明显下降。 生猪出栏量稳步提升 ...
陕西煤业:煤电一体稳步推进,股息率6.7%-20250427
国盛证券· 2025-04-27 00:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is steadily advancing its coal-electricity integration strategy, with a dividend yield of 6.7% [9] - The coal business has shown growth in production and sales, with significant cost control measures in place [2] - The acquisition of thermal power assets from Shaanxi Coal Power Group has enhanced performance, supporting the coal-electricity integrated development [3] - The company possesses significant resource reserves, with a total coal reserve of 1.7931 billion tons and a recoverable reserve of 1.0246 billion tons, ensuring over 70 years of mining life [9] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 184.145 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.47%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 22.36 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.21% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 40.162 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 7.30%, and a net profit of 4.805 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1.23% [1] - The company’s coal production in 2024 reached 170.48 million tons, up 4.13% year-on-year, with coal sales increasing by 9.13% to 258.43 million tons [9] - The average selling price of coal in 2024 was 561 yuan/ton, down 8.50% year-on-year [9] Cost Management - The cost of self-produced coal in 2024 was 260 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.2% year-on-year, while the comprehensive cost per ton of coal was 414 yuan, an increase of 2.8% [9] - The company has effectively reduced costs in various areas, including a decrease in material costs and related taxes [9] Future Outlook - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025 to be 18.717 billion yuan, with projected P/E ratios of 10.4X, 9.8X, and 9.3X for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9] - The company plans to accelerate resource acquisition and development, particularly in high-quality coal resources [9]