看好品牌化、差异化发展并具备出海亮点 的龙头 ——黄金珠宝板块投资机会分析 核心观点 ⚫ 2025 年金价持续高涨之下国内黄金首饰消费量明显下降，金条和金币类消费量同比 快速增长。根据中国黄金协会的最新统计，2025 年我国黄金消费量 950.096 吨，同 比下降 3.57%。其中：黄金首饰 363.836 吨，同比下降 31.61%；金条及金币 504.238 吨，同比增长 35.14%。2025 年 12 月底上海黄金交易所 Au9999 黄金收 盘价较年初开盘价上涨 58.78%。在金价的持续高涨之下，国内黄金首饰的消费量明 显受到抑制，而金条和金币类更具投资属性的产品消费量同比快速上升，且在绝对 量上大大超过了黄金首饰。我们认为高金价对黄金珠宝首饰的消费结构影响在 26 年 仍有望延续。 ⚫ 金价大涨之下板块分化显著，少数品牌化、差异化特征明显的龙头仍呈现快速增 投资建议与投资标的 展望 26 年，我们认为高金价的压力依然存在，黄金珠宝板块的内部分化仍将延续， 但板块渠道端整体的出清将逐步接近尾声。投资机会上，我们重点看好品牌化、差异化 显著且积极布局出海的公司，重点看好潮宏基(002345，增持) ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights Meituan's acquisition of Dingdong Maicai for approximately $717 million, aiming to enhance its instant retail supply chain efficiency. Dingdong Maicai has achieved profitability for 12 consecutive quarters and operates over 1,000 front warehouses in China, with a monthly purchasing user base exceeding 7 million [4][24][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of supply chain efficiency and product quality in the competitive landscape of the instant retail industry, suggesting that the focus will shift towards these aspects post-acquisition [27] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Meituan's acquisition of Dingdong Maicai is expected to create synergies in supply chain, regional layout, and warehouse scale, enhancing operational efficiency in the East China region [24][27] - Dingdong Maicai's established direct sourcing and self-operated production capabilities are anticipated to be preserved and amplified within Meituan's platform [27] Investment Themes - Investment Theme 1: Focus on high-end and fashionable gold jewelry brands, recommending companies like Laopuhuangjin and Chaohongji, which are expected to benefit from the emotional consumption trend [6][29] - Investment Theme 2: Emphasize retail companies adapting to trends and AI-enabled cross-border e-commerce leaders, with recommendations for Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [6][29] - Investment Theme 3: Highlight domestic beauty brands that cater to emotional value and innovative safe ingredients, recommending brands like Maogeping and Pola [6][29] - Investment Theme 4: Focus on differentiated medical beauty product manufacturers and leading chain medical beauty institutions, recommending Meilitiantian Medical Health and Aimeike [6][29] Market Performance - The retail and social service indices reported a slight decline of 0.34% and a slight increase of 0.02% respectively during the week of February 2 to February 6, 2026 [14][15] - The brand cosmetics sector showed the highest weekly increase of 4.99%, while the watch and jewelry sector led with a year-to-date increase of 16.56% [16][19] Company Highlights - Laopuhuangjin reported a significant revenue increase of 250.9% in FY2025H1, driven by brand expansion and customer base growth [31][32] - Chaohongji is expected to achieve a net profit growth of 125% to 175% in 2025, supported by differentiated product strength and multi-channel marketing [31][32] - Meilitiantian Medical Health anticipates a net profit increase of at least 34% in 2025, driven by both internal growth and acquisitions [39][40]

Group 1 - The company Zhou Dasheng announced that it will accept investor research from Hai Futong Fund and other investors on February 4, 2026, with representatives Zhou Xiaoda and Rong Huan participating in the reception and answering investor questions [1] Group 2 - The article discusses Kevin Warsh's new policy concept, which involves a dual approach of monetary easing and tightening, aiming to control inflation with the help of AI, while rejecting the role of being a major buyer of U.S. Treasury bonds [1]

投资者关系活动类别 ☑ 特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 □现场参观 □其他(电话会议) 参与单位名称 及人员姓名 共计 12 位投资者（排名不分先后）： 海富通基金：陈涛 博时基金：王晗 兴业证券：张彬鸿 兴业基金：朱约之 创金合信：胡尧盛 招商基金：胡天翔 万家基金：丁玉杰 鹏扬基金：袁天娇 易方达基金：涂心萌 信达澳银：马绮雯 长城证券：黄佳 华创证券：周星宇 时 间 2026 年 2 月 4 日 地 点 总部会议室 上市公司接待人员 姓名 证券事务代表：周晓达、荣欢 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 一、 问答环节： 投资者主要就行业情况、终端销售情况、品牌矩阵、产品结构及毛 利率情况、分红情况等进行了交流，并参观了公司展厅，可参阅前次活 动记录表之问答和已披露公告。 接待过程中，公司严格按照《信息披露管理制度》等规定，保证信 息披露的真实、准确、完整、及时、公平，没有出现未公开重大信息泄 露等情况。同时，现场调研的投资者已按深交所要求签署承诺函。 代码：002867 证券简称：周大生 编号：2026-008 | 附件清单（如有） | 无 | | --- | ...

大众报业·齐鲁壹点15:34 果然财经|金价"过山车式"涨跌，珠宝企业黄金租赁成标配 为应对金价下跌带来的存货减值风险，黄金租赁已成为部分珠宝企业的"标配"。2月2日，周大生发布公 告称，2026年度开展黄金租赁业务交易最高额度不超过4000千克的议案已获得董事会审议通过。据红星 资本局，自2017年上市以来，周大生每年均开展了黄金租赁业务，交易最高额度从1500千克一度涨至 5000千克。 果然财经|金价"过山车式"涨跌，珠宝企业黄金租赁成标配 移动端评论 暂无评论 鲁ICP备15022957号-13 鲁公网安备 37010202002220号 鲁新网备案号201000101 电信增值业务许可证： 鲁B2-20120085 齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 版权所有(C) All Rights Reserved 联系电话：0531-82625462邮箱： 1790179766@qq.com 热门评论我要评论 微信扫码 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600916 | 中国黄金 | 12.17 | -6.31% | 242.30万 | | 30.23 Z | | 002731 | 幸华珠宝 | 11.05 | -0.90% | 30.77万 | | 3.42 乙 | | 002345 | 潮宏基 | 12.59 | -0.87% | 16.95万 | | 2.12亿 | | 002721 | 金一文化 | 3.49 | 0.00% | 1 75.00万 | | 2.62 亿 | | 300945 | 曼卡龙 | 19.36 | 0.16% | 31.94万 | | 6.25 亿 | | 600612 | 老凤祥 | 44.90 | 0.22% | 3.56万 | | 1.60亿 | | 603900 | 幸细通灵 | 8.57 | 0.23% | 23.65万 | | 2.03亿 | | 002574 | 明牌珠宝 | 6.49 | 0.31% | 14.39万 | | 9267 ...

近日，金银价格经过"史诗级"暴跌，创造了四十余年来的最大跌幅。金价从5626.8美元的历史最高点一 度跌至4423.2美元，跌幅超过20%；银价更是从最高点的121.785美元，最低跌至71.2美元，跌幅超过 40%。2月3日，国际金银价格迎来反弹，截至昨日20时，纽约黄金价格冲破4900美元/盎司，最高报 4975.5美元/盎司，涨幅达6.11%。国内品牌金店金价也随之上调。 昨日，记者走访加州商业广场、宝龙一城等热门商圈的周大福、周生生、六福珠宝、金大福等多家品牌 金店了解到，受国际金价持续走高影响，足金饰品零售价已普遍突破1450元/克大关。其中，周大福、 周大生等品牌足金金饰报价已达1495元/克，周生生、老庙黄金等品牌的足金金饰价格为1498元/克。由 于春节临近，目前各家门店纷纷推出克减50-150元、手工费折扣和商场多倍积分等活动。 消费者正等待金店店员给金饰编绳。海西晨报记者 白若雪 摄 由于金价波动较大，记者在金店看到，不少顾客在试戴后选择了继续观望。"本来觉得金价下跌，可以 买个小金镯给出生不久的小外甥，结果现在价格又涨回来了。"正在柜台前选购的林女士表示，两年前 自己送给小外甥女的手镯， ...

【#黄金租赁成多家珠宝企业标配#，按吨向银行"借金"，对冲金价下跌风险】#多家黄金企业按吨向银 行租赁黄金#为应对金价下跌带来的存货减值风险，黄金租赁已成为部分珠宝企业的"标配"。2月2日， 周大生发布公告称，2026年度开展黄金租赁业务交易最高额度不超过4000千克的议案已获得董事会审议 通过。 分析人士指出，企业普遍在租赁的同时进行套期保值操作，主要是为了应对金价单边上涨带来的亏损风 险，结合国际金价走势，企业要避免黄金租赁带来的亏损，应在风险管理体系和操作纪律上加强建设。 #黄金回购也要限额了#（红星资本局） 据了解，黄金租赁是指企业向银行借入黄金原材料用于生产经营，按照合同约定支付租赁费用，当租借 到期后，通过向上海黄金交易所购入或以自有库存将等质等量的黄金实物归还银行。 红星资本局梳理发现，自2017年上市以来，周大生每年均开展了黄金租赁业务，交易最高额度从1500千 克一度涨至5000千克。除周大生之外，此前潮宏基、中国黄金、湖南黄金等企业也开展过黄金租赁业 务，这些企业均按吨向银行租赁黄金，同时，普遍会进行套期保值操作。 ...

Group 1: US Manufacturing and Trade Developments - The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for January recorded at 52.6%, significantly above the expected 48.5%, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.7 percentage points, the fastest growth since 2022 [2] - Key sub-indices showed strong performance, with the New Orders Index at 57.1%, up nearly 10 points from the previous value of 47.7%, and the Employment Index reaching a one-year high of 48.1% [2] - The US and India reached a trade agreement reducing tariffs, with the US lowering its "reciprocal tariff" on India from 25% to 18%, while India will also reduce its tariffs on US goods, potentially increasing procurement of over $500 billion in US products [3][4] Group 2: Real Estate and Housing Market Initiatives - Shanghai has initiated a program to acquire second-hand housing for affordable rental projects, with financial support from local banks, aiming to stabilize the second-hand housing market [6] - Other cities like Hangzhou and Haikou are also implementing similar policies to support the real estate market, focusing on acquiring existing properties to convert into affordable housing [6] Group 3: Corporate Developments and Market Reactions - SpaceX announced the acquisition of AI startup xAI, with a projected valuation of $1.25 trillion, aiming to address the growing demand for computational power and energy in advanced AI systems [7] - Zhou Dasheng plans to engage in gold leasing business, allowing transactions up to 80% of its gold inventory, which is a common practice in the jewelry industry to mitigate price volatility [8][9] - The Hang Seng Tech Index briefly entered a technical bear market, dropping over 20% from its peak, influenced by market rumors regarding tax rate increases for internet companies [10][11] Group 4: Market Performance and Sentiment - On February 3, the Shanghai Composite Index and other indices saw gains, recovering from previous declines, with significant trading volume and a broad increase in stock prices across various sectors [14][15] - The market experienced volatility due to unfounded rumors affecting investor sentiment, but quickly rebounded as these rumors were debunked [15]

为应对金价下跌带来的存货减值风险，黄金租赁已成为部分珠宝企业的"标配"。2月2日，周大生（002867.SZ）发布公告称，2026年度开展黄金租赁业务 交易最高额度不超过4000千克的议案已获得董事会审议通过。 多家企业按吨向银行"借金" 对冲金价下跌存货减值风险 2月2日，周大生发布公告称，董事会审议通过了《关于2026年度开展黄金租赁业务的议案》，根据目前公司黄金类日常库存及2026年经营计划需求，2026 年度公司开展黄金租赁业务交易最高额度不超过公司黄金类总库存量的80%，且不超过4000千克，交易额度可在授权期间内滚动使用。 红星资本局梳理发现，自2017年上市以来，周大生每年均开展了黄金租赁业务，交易最高额度从1500千克一度涨至5000千克。 分析人士指出，企业普遍在租赁的同时进行套期保值操作，主要是为了应对金价单边上涨带来的亏损风险，结合国际金价走势，企业要避免黄金租赁带来 的亏损，应在风险管理体系和操作纪律上加强建设。 资料图 图据IC photo 图片来源：周大生公告截图 据了解，黄金租赁是指企业向银行借入黄金原材料用于生产经营，按照合同约定支付租赁费用，当租借到期后，通过向上海黄金交易所 ...