赛力斯(601127):跟踪报告:1Q25毛利率表现亮眼,启动港股融资开启全球化
EBSCN· 2025-05-02 05:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing strong order performance for the Wanjie M8 model as a key factor for the rating adjustment [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to achieve robust performance in 2024, with a projected revenue growth of 305.0% year-on-year to 145.18 billion yuan and a return to profitability with a net profit of 5.95 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 2.45 billion yuan in 2023 [1][5]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows a decline in sales due to seasonal factors and model transitions, but the gross margin remains strong at 27.6%, benefiting from the increasing sales proportion of high-end models like the Wanjie M9 [2][3]. - The company is initiating a Hong Kong stock listing to support its global expansion, with funds aimed at enhancing R&D, diversifying marketing channels, and improving operational efficiency [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue is expected to reach 145.18 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 305.0%. The net profit is projected at 5.95 billion yuan, recovering from a loss of 2.45 billion yuan in 2023 [1][5]. - For 1Q25, revenue is forecasted to decline by 27.9% year-on-year to 19.15 billion yuan, while net profit is expected to increase by 240.6% year-on-year to 750 million yuan [1]. Sales and Market Position - The company’s vehicle sales in 2024 are projected to grow by 97.0% to 497,000 units, with the Wanjie model sales increasing by 281.3% to 386,000 units [2]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows a significant decline in sales, with a 40.1% year-on-year drop to 68,000 units, attributed to the transition between old and new models [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on production, R&D, and channel development, with plans to enhance smart manufacturing and expand its global footprint through a Hong Kong listing [3]. - The funds raised from the Hong Kong listing will be used for R&D in new models and technologies, as well as for operational expenses and marketing [3].
东方证券(600958):2025年一季报点评:业绩略超预期,各业务多有所提升
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-02 05:14
证 券 研 究 报 告 东方证券(600958)2025 年一季报点评 推荐(维持) 业绩略超预期,各业务多有所提升 目标价:11.87 元 事项: 东方证券发布 2025 年一季报。剔除其他业务收入后营业总收入:39 亿元,同 比+57.3%。归母净利润:14.4 亿元,同比+62%。 点评: 风险提示:市场交易量回落;资本市场创新不及预期;实体经济复苏不及预期。 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入(百万) | 19,190 | 21,109 | 22,205 | 23,593 | | 同比增速(%) | 12% | 10% | 5% | 6% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 3,350 | 3,827 | 4,266 | 4,943 | | 同比增速(%) | 22% | 14% | 11% | 16% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.58 | | 市盈率(倍) | 24.8 | 20.3 | ...
中国核电(601985):2024年年报暨2025年一季度报点评:25Q1业绩稳定增长,装机容量有望持续扩张
EBSCN· 2025-05-02 05:13
要点 2025 年 5 月 2 日 公司研究 25Q1 业绩稳定增长,装机容量有望持续扩张 ——中国核电(601985.SH)2024 年年报暨 2025 年一季度报点评 事件:公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季度报。2024 年,公司实现营收 772.72 亿元,同比+3.09%;归母净利润 87.77 亿元,同比-17.38%。2025 年一季度, 公司实现营收 202.72亿元,同比+12.70%;归母净利润 31.37 亿元,同比+2.55%。 24 年核电发电量同比稍有下降,绿电发电量同比大增。公司 2024 年累计商运 发电量为 2163.49 亿千瓦时,同比+3.09%;上网电量为 2039.23 亿千瓦时,同 比+3.28%。其中,核电发电量 1831.22 亿千瓦时,同比-1.80%;上网电量 1712.60 亿千瓦时,同比-1.83%。主要原因系维修次数增多及受台风影响:秦山大修安 排同比增多,发电量同比-1.52%;海南核电受"摩羯"台风影响,配合电网线 路检修降功率,发电量同比-7.85%;福清 4 号机组小修,发电量同比-6.74%。 由于新能源在运装机规模增加,新能源发 ...
开润股份:2024年箱包代工收入增长20%,服装代工并表嘉乐-20250502
Guoxin Securities· 2025-05-02 05:05
证券研究报告 | 2025年04月28日 核心观点 公司研究·财报点评 纺织服饰·服装家纺 | 证券分析师:丁诗洁 | 证券分析师:刘佳琪 | | --- | --- | | 0755-81981391 | 010-88005446 | | dingshijie@guosen.com.cnliujiaqi@guosen.com.cn | | | S0980520040004 | S0980523070003 | | 基础数据 | | | 投资评级 | 优于大市(维持) | | 合理估值 | 22.80 - 23.80 元 | | 收盘价 | 19.69 元 | | 总市值/流通市值 | 4722/2761 百万元 | | 总市值/流通市值 | | 4722/2761 百万元 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高价/最低价 | 30.99/15.20 元 | | 近 3 | 个月日均成交额 | 86.17 百万元 | | 市场走势 | | | 相关研究报告 | 献部分增量》 ——2024-10-31 | | | --- | --- | | 《开润股份(300577.SZ)-第三季度收 ...
方正证券(601901):2025年一季报点评:业绩符合预期,同期低基数下增长明显
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-02 03:25
证 券 研 究 报 告 方正证券(601901)2025 年一季报点评 推荐(维持) 业绩符合预期,同期低基数下增长明显 事项: 方正证券发布 2025 年一季报。剔除其他业务收入后营业总收入:30 亿元,同 比+49.2%。归母净利润:12 亿元,环比+9.5 亿元,同比+52.4%。 点评: 风险提示:市场交易量回落;资本市场创新不及预期;实体经济复苏不及预期。 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入(百万) | 7,718 | 10,606 | 11,102 | 11,821 | | 同比增速(%) | 8% | 37% | 5% | 6% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 2,207 | 2,843 | 3,169 | 3,384 | | 同比增速(%) | 3% | 29% | 11% | 7% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.27 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.41 | | 市盈率(倍) | 27.6 | 21.6 | 19. ...
中国银行:非息支撑营收改善,质量稳健经营-20250502
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-02 03:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a 6-month outlook maintained [7] Core Views - The company's revenue improved due to non-interest income, with Q1 2025 revenue at 164.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.56%. Net interest income was 107.7 billion yuan, down 4.42% year-on-year, while non-interest income rose by 18.91% to 57.2 billion yuan, becoming the main driver of revenue growth [2][3] - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.25% and a provision coverage ratio of 198% [3] - Profitability is expected to marginally improve, with projected net profit growth of 0.03%, 2.37%, and 3.41% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the bank's total interest-earning assets reached 34.92 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%. Loan and financial investment growth was 8.3% and 20.0% respectively [3] - The bank's total liabilities were 31.59 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.8%. Deposits increased by 6.2% compared to the end of 2024 [3] - The bank's earnings per share for 2025 is projected to be 0.81 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.84 [6][12] Shareholder Information - The top ten shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and E Fund Management, with slight changes in their shareholding percentages [4]
中国海油:2025年一季报点评:油气产量稳步增长,继续高质量发展-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 03:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1][6] Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas production continues to grow steadily, contributing to high-quality development [1] - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 106.9 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was RMB 36.6 billion, down 8% year-on-year but up 72% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The report highlights the successful launch of projects leading to increased oil and gas production, with a net production of 189 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, a 5% increase year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for Q1 2025 was RMB 27.71 billion, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, with a total budget of RMB 125-135 billion for the year [6] - The report emphasizes the company's strong cost control, with a barrel of oil cost of USD 27.03, down 2% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC is focused on shareholder returns, with an expected dividend payout of approximately RMB 62.3 billion for 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.2% for A shares and 8.4% for H shares before tax [6] - The report projects net profits of RMB 138.4 billion, RMB 141.8 billion, and RMB 146.7 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios for A shares of 8.6, 8.4, and 8.1 [6] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is RMB 416.609 billion, with a slight decline expected in 2025E to RMB 409.877 billion [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 138.391 billion in 2025E, showing a marginal increase from 2024A [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be RMB 2.91 in 2025E, with a steady increase projected through 2027 [1] - The report indicates a decrease in capital expenditures and a focus on maintaining profitability through effective cost management [6][7]
山东黄金:2025年一季报点评:金价上涨驱动公司业绩上行-20250502
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-02 03:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shandong Gold is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in Q1 2025 showed significant growth, with total revenue reaching 25.935 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.81% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 67.19%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.026 billion yuan, up 46.62% year-on-year and 15.86% quarter-on-quarter [7] - The increase in gold prices has positively impacted the company's performance, with the average spot price of gold in Q1 2025 being 670 yuan per gram, a 36.72% increase year-on-year [7] - The company has successfully increased its gold resource reserves, with new gold resources amounting to 58.8 tons in 2024, and has made strategic acquisitions to strengthen its resource base [7] - The report anticipates continued strong performance for the company in the context of a bullish gold market, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being 6.327 billion yuan, 7.190 billion yuan, and 7.848 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for Shandong Gold are as follows: 59.275 billion yuan in 2023, 82.518 billion yuan in 2024, 107.364 billion yuan in 2025, 116.452 billion yuan in 2026, and 122.052 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 17.83%, 39.21%, 30.11%, 8.46%, and 4.81% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.328 billion yuan in 2023, 2.952 billion yuan in 2024, 6.327 billion yuan in 2025, 7.190 billion yuan in 2026, and 7.848 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 86.57%, 26.80%, 114.38%, 13.63%, and 9.15% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.52 yuan in 2023, 0.66 yuan in 2024, 1.41 yuan in 2025, 1.61 yuan in 2026, and 1.75 yuan in 2027 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the years 2025-2027 are projected to be 21.53, 18.95, and 17.36 respectively [1][8]
美格智能:全年业绩创历史新高,持续受益AI应用落地-20250502
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-02 02:23
证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 05 01 年 月 日 美格智能(002881.SZ) 全年业绩创历史新高,持续受益 AI 应用落地 事件:公司发布 2024 年财报及 2025 年一季报,24 全年公司实现营收 29 亿 元,同比增长 37%;实现归母净利润 1.4 亿元,同比增长 110%;扣非归母净 利润约 1.3 亿元,同比增长 244%,三项指标均创历史新高。25Q1 公司实现 营收 10 亿元,同比增长 74%;归母净利润 0.5 亿元,同比大幅增长 616%。 24 年业绩创历史新高,三大主要下游应用赛道均实现营收增长。从下游分类 来看,智能网联车领域营收保持高速增长态势,智能网联车业务营收占比持续 提升,主要得益于公司面向车载核心客户的 5G 智能座舱模组和车规级通信模 组,均实现持续稳定大批量出货;IoT 行业受海外客户智能化需求、国内端侧 AI 新应用推动,继续呈现增长态势,营收占比保持相对平稳;FWA 行业整体 营收规模小幅扩大。三大赛道景气度共振推动公司业绩持续增长。 毛利率略有下滑,成本管控能力进一步提升。24 全年公司整体毛利率为 17%, 较去 ...
老凤祥:2024/2025Q1业绩承压,渠道+产品优化力度加大-20250502
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-02 02:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [5] Core Views - The company is facing significant pressure on its performance, with a projected revenue decline of 20.5% in 2024 and a further decline of 31.6% in Q1 2025. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease by 11.9% to 1.95 billion yuan in 2024 and by 23.6% to 610 million yuan in Q1 2025 [1][4] - The company is adjusting its channel strategy and enhancing product innovation to cope with market challenges. This includes closing inefficient stores and increasing online business efforts [2][3] - The company is focusing on producing trendy products and enhancing its smart manufacturing capabilities to meet consumer demands [3] - The company is implementing deep reforms to promote long-term development, with a focus on high-quality growth [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 567.9 billion yuan, down 20.5% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 8.9%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is projected to be 1.95 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.9% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company expects a revenue of 175.2 billion yuan, down 31.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 610 million yuan, down 23.6% [1] Operational Strategy - The company is reducing the number of physical stores while enhancing its online presence, with a total of 5,838 marketing outlets at the end of 2024, a net decrease of 156 stores [2] - The company is also focusing on product innovation by launching series themed around national trends and collaborating with well-known IPs [3] - The company is enhancing its operational capabilities, with inventory decreasing by 4.1% to 11.82 billion yuan by the end of 2024 [3] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a continued decline in performance for 2025, with a projected revenue drop of 24% [4] - The long-term strategy includes optimizing channels and products to lay a foundation for future growth [4] - The company expects net profits for 2025 to be 1.48 billion yuan, a decrease of 24% [9]