| 上次评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | | 最新收盘价： | 6.02 | 研 袁艺博 yuanyb@bhzq.com 022-23839135 公 公司点评 司 研 究 费用管控良好，加速海外布局盈利能力改善可期 ——奥瑞金(002701)2025 年三季报点评 分析师： 袁艺博 SAC NO： S1150521120002 2025 年 11 月 03 日 轻工制造-------金属包装 事件： 点评 金属包装龙头地位稳固，"包 证券分析师 公司公告 2025 年三季报，实现营收 183.46 亿元，同比增长 68.97%，归母净 利润 10.76 亿元，同比增长 41.40%，基本每股收益 0.42 元。 点评： 公司费用率管控效果较好，存货周转率加快 证 券 研评级究：助理 增持 上次评级： 增持 最近半年股价相对走势 今年前三季度，公司毛利率与净利率分别为 13.52%和 6.02%，同比分别下降 3.78 和 0.93 个百分点。我们认为，公司毛利率下降，一方面与整合中粮包装 规模效应释放仍需时间有关，另一方面与部分产品原材料价格波动有一定相 关性。公司持续推进降本增效，费用率管 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in its infrared business, with significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a revenue of 40.86 billion yuan (up 29.7% year-on-year) and a net profit of 7.07 billion yuan (up 46.2% year-on-year) [1][2]. - The company is focusing on multi-dimensional sensing technologies, primarily in infrared, microwave, and laser sectors, while also investing heavily in research and development [2][3]. - The company has established a complete industrial chain in the infrared sector, from chip design to final product manufacturing, and is expanding its applications in various fields [3]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 51.97%, an increase of 0.84 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 15.15%, up 2.90 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected to reach 54.26 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.7% [9]. - The estimated net profit for 2025 is 8.86 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 55.8% [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating expected strong performance relative to the market [8][7][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 46.47% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 1.161 billion yuan, driven by expansion into new markets such as commercial aerospace, robotics, and consumer electronics [8][4]. - The net profit for the same period surged by 234.83% year-on-year to 156 million yuan, reflecting improved profitability due to a decrease in expense ratios and an increase in gross margin [8][4]. - The company is actively expanding its production capacity and market reach, particularly in high-margin sectors like aerospace, which is expected to sustain rapid revenue growth in the coming years [8][7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a total revenue of 1.827 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 37.8% [7]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 208 million yuan, representing a 99.2% increase compared to the previous year [7]. - The gross margin is expected to remain strong at 43.6% for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) projected to reach 4.2% [7][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with total revenue of 12.601 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 2.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.181 billion yuan, up 6% year-on-year [6] - Q3 2025 revenue was 4.726 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.66%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 627 million yuan, an increase of 1.62% year-on-year [6] - The company anticipates accelerated revenue growth in Q4 2025 due to delayed deliveries from major clients in the consumer electronics sector and the rapid iteration of AI hardware [6] - The company is actively expanding into new business areas such as new consumer packaging and environmentally friendly materials, with injection molding product revenue in H1 2025 reaching 379 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.8% [6] - The company has a leading international and intelligent layout, with over 15 years of overseas operational experience and multiple factories established in various countries [6] - The gross profit margin for Q1-3 2025 was 25%, while Q3 2025 saw a gross profit margin of 28.7%, benefiting from internal smart upgrades and lean production [6] - The company has launched an employee stock ownership plan with performance targets set for the next three years, reflecting confidence in future growth [6] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 to 1.631 billion and 1.903 billion yuan, respectively, while introducing a new forecast for 2027 at 2.251 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 15X, 13X, and 11X [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 18.448 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.5% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 1.631 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.8% [5] - The earnings per share for 2025 is expected to be 1.77 yuan [5] - The gross profit margin is projected to be 25.0% for 2025, increasing to 25.6% by 2027 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 13.4% in 2025 to 16.3% in 2027 [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company has shown a significant acceleration in revenue growth and a substantial improvement in operating profit margins. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.43 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.20%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 301 million yuan, up 10.53% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 289 million yuan, marking an 18.23% increase [2][5][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 640 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.29%. The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same quarter was 79.69 million yuan, up 10.94% year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 76.60 million yuan, reflecting a 12.59% increase [2][5][11] - The company's gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 27.34%, a decrease of 0.69 percentage points year-on-year. The operating profit for the same period was 327 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.50%, resulting in an operating profit margin of 13.48%, which is an increase of 1.20 percentage points year-on-year [11][12] Market Position and Strategy - The company focuses on independent innovation in commercial cold chain equipment and global market expansion. It continues to optimize product research and development and services, consolidating its domestic market position while actively enhancing its overseas supply capabilities. The company has established a mature customer base in the domestic market and is deepening cooperation with leading enterprises in downstream industries [11][12] - The company is also expanding its export business, which has reached six continents, and the establishment of a production base in Indonesia is expected to enhance its global supply capabilities [11][12] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong growth momentum, with projected net profits attributable to the parent company of 390 million yuan, 449 million yuan, and 516 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 14.78, 12.82, and 11.18 times [11][12]

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨同庆楼（605108.SH） [Table_Title] 2025 年三季报点评：扩张期费用先行，期待四 季度宴会旺季 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年第三季度，公司实现营业收入 5.66 亿元，同比下降 4.77%，实现归母净利润-0.42 亿 元，同比转亏。展望后市，公司的三轮驱动战略已初步成形，公司旗下餐饮、酒店、食品业务 相辅相成，依托同庆楼、富茂等餐饮、酒店品牌，主打社交型餐饮住宿消费场景，践行好吃不 贵有面子的核心定位，符合当前追求性价比的消费者心理，中长期，门店扩张，食品业务产品 创新等，将为公司长期发展注入动力。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵刚 杨会强 马健轩 SAC：S0490517020001 SAC：S0490520080013 SFC：BUX176 [Table_scodeMsg2] 同庆楼（605108.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 2025 年三季报点评：扩张期费用先行，期待四 2] 季度宴会旺季 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨会稽山（601579.SH） [Table_Title] 会稽山 2025 年三季报点评：结构升级继续，整 体仍处投入期 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司 2025Q1-Q3 实现营业总收入 12.12 亿元（同比+14.12%）、归母净利润 1.16 亿元（同比 +3.23%）、扣非归母净利润 1.08 亿元（同比+8.28%）。公司 2025Q3 实现营业总收入 3.95 亿 元（同比+21.09%）、归母净利润 2239.08 万元（同比+2.47%）、扣非归母净利润 1863.84 万 元（同比-14.37%）。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 朱梦兰 董思远 徐爽 石智坤 SAC：S0490522050003 SAC：S0490517070016 SAC：S0490520030001 SAC：S0490522090002 SFC：BQK487 SFC：BVF934 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 会稽 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 2.133 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.50%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 192 million yuan, up by 10.59%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 181 million yuan, an increase of 14.27% [2][4]. - In Q3 2025, the total revenue reached 753 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.60%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 75.20 million yuan, up by 15.71%, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was about 69.98 million yuan, increasing by 17.83% [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company's gross profit margin improved by 1.48 percentage points to 33.28%, while the net profit margin increased by 0.01 percentage points to 9.00%. The operating expense ratio rose by 0.42 percentage points to 19.08% [10]. - In Q3 2025, the gross profit margin was 32.55%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.27 percentage points, and the net profit margin improved by 0.10 percentage points to 9.99% [10]. - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders to be 267 million yuan, 304 million yuan, and 341 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.67 yuan, 0.76 yuan, and 0.85 yuan [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [5][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved record high performance in Q3 2025, with revenue of 12.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.5%, and a net profit of 1.23 billion yuan, up 44.57% year-on-year [6]. - The fluorochemical materials platform is driving growth across multiple sectors, with significant improvements in sales and profitability [7][8]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.54 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 22.33% and a net profit of 587 million yuan, reflecting an 84.3% increase year-on-year [6]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 28.0%, up 7.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 14.1%, an increase of 6.4 percentage points year-on-year [8]. Sales Breakdown - The sales volume of fluorocarbon chemicals was 34,000 tons, with an average price of 45,520 yuan per ton, reflecting a 2.5% increase from the previous quarter [7]. - Sales in various segments showed growth: fluorine lithium battery materials (410 million yuan, +10.8% QoQ), fluorine polymers (447 million yuan, +7.1% QoQ), and rubber products (145 million yuan, +23.0% QoQ) [7]. Future Projections - Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.68 billion, 2.51 billion, and 3.32 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 24, 16, and 12 times respectively [9][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a record high revenue in Q3, driven by the AI wave in consumer electronics, which has significantly increased the demand for precision welding [7] - The semiconductor business is making progress, contributing to the domestic substitution process, with notable orders received for silicon carbide and discrete device packaging equipment [7] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1,098 million yuan, 1,338 million yuan, and 1,540 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 273 million yuan, 333 million yuan, and 388 million yuan [7] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.82%, and a net profit of 660 million yuan, up 48.77% year-on-year [7] - The projected revenue growth rates for the years 2024 to 2027 are 19.2%, 16.2%, 21.9%, and 15.1% respectively [6] - The projected net profit growth rates for the same period are 11.1%, 28.6%, 21.9%, and 16.5% respectively [6] Market Performance - The company's stock has shown a performance of -12%, 1%, 13%, 26%, and 39% over the last 12 months compared to the CSI 300 index [4]