Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The suspension of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is expected to stabilize cobalt prices, with a projected supply reduction of approximately 25% globally [1][2]. - The market has two misconceptions regarding the company's sales impact due to the DRC's export ban; the company has sufficient in-transit inventory to benefit from rising cobalt prices in the short term, and the long-term potential for price increases is underestimated [2][3]. - The introduction of a quota system post-ban is anticipated to elevate the cobalt price center, significantly enhancing the company's profit margins [3][4]. Summary by Sections Section 1: DRC Export Ban and Cobalt Price Stabilization - The DRC's decision to halt cobalt exports for four months aims to address the oversupply in the global cobalt market, which has seen prices drop to historical lows [1][10]. - The DRC accounts for approximately 76% of global cobalt production, and the export ban is expected to shift the market from oversupply to a potential shortage [1][13]. Section 2: Company Performance and Inventory Management - The company is positioned as a leading player in the cobalt industry, with significant operations in the DRC [16][18]. - Short-term performance is bolstered by in-transit inventory, estimated at around 28,500 tons, which will allow the company to capitalize on price increases [2][34]. - The company’s projected cobalt production for 2024 is 114,000 tons, with a significant portion of this production benefiting from the current price environment [3][48]. Section 3: Long-term Profitability and Quota System - The anticipated implementation of a quota system is expected to raise the cobalt price center, with projections suggesting a potential increase in net profit per ton from 9,200 RMB to 51,300 RMB [3][44]. - The company’s cobalt production is expected to account for 50% of the DRC's total output, positioning it favorably to secure substantial quotas under the new system [3][42]. Section 4: Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts the company's net profit for 2024-2026 to be 133.23 billion, 151.20 billion, and 170.24 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.62, 0.70, and 0.79 RMB [5][48]. - The projected PE ratios for the same period are 13X, 11X, and 10X, indicating a favorable valuation relative to expected earnings growth [5][48].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The suspension of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is expected to stabilize cobalt prices, with a projected supply reduction of approximately 25% globally [1][10]. - The market has two misconceptions regarding the company's sales impact due to the DRC's export ban; the company has sufficient in-transit inventory to benefit from rising cobalt prices in the short term, and the long-term potential for price increases is underestimated [2][14]. - The introduction of a quota system post-ban is anticipated to elevate the cobalt price center, significantly enhancing the company's profit margins [3][42]. Summary by Sections Section 1: DRC Export Ban and Cobalt Price Stabilization - The DRC's decision to halt cobalt exports for four months aims to address the oversupply in the global cobalt market, which could lead to a price floor being established [1][10]. - The DRC accounts for approximately 76% of global cobalt production, and the export ban is expected to shift the market from surplus to a potential deficit [1][13]. Section 2: Company Performance and Inventory Management - The company is positioned as a leading player in the cobalt industry, with significant projects located in the DRC [16]. - In the short term, the company's performance is supported by in-transit inventory, which is estimated at around 28,500 tons, providing a profit increase of approximately 870 million yuan [2][34]. - The company’s cobalt production is projected to reach 114,000 tons in 2024, making it the largest cobalt producer globally [26][48]. Section 3: Long-term Profitability and Quota System - The anticipated implementation of a quota system is expected to raise the cobalt price center, with potential net profit per ton increasing from 9,200 yuan to 51,300 yuan [3][44]. - The company is expected to capture a significant share of the quotas, allowing it to benefit from higher prices while maintaining production levels [3][42]. Section 4: Financial Forecasts - The company’s projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 13.32 billion, 15.12 billion, and 17.02 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.62, 0.70, and 0.79 yuan [5][48].

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in cobalt prices are closely linked to policy adjustments in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), which significantly impact domestic cobalt-related industries and listed companies [3][12]. Group 1: Cobalt Price Trends - As of March 10, the average price of domestic cobalt reached 223,000 yuan per ton, marking a cumulative increase of 40.25% since the low point on February 24 [2]. - The cobalt industry has experienced a continuous decline over the past three years, with prices dropping approximately 80% [9]. - The DRC announced a four-month suspension of cobalt exports on February 24, 2025, to address the oversupply in the global cobalt market, which could lead to a 25% reduction in global cobalt supply [8][13]. Group 2: Impact on Industries - The increase in cobalt prices is expected to raise the cost of ternary power batteries for electric vehicles by approximately 1,000 yuan for every 60% rise in cobalt prices [4]. - The supply-demand gap in the cobalt industry could reach 25%, which is significant enough to drive up commodity prices [7]. - The price of cobalt sulfate, used in ternary materials, surged from 26.55 yuan per kilogram to 42.05 yuan in just ten days, reflecting a 58.4% increase [15]. Group 3: Market Reactions - From February 25 to March 10, the average stock price increase for four listed companies in the cobalt sector reached 21.41%, leading all sub-sectors [21]. - Companies like Luoyang Molybdenum Co., which is the largest cobalt producer globally, reported an 8.6% increase in stock price and are actively communicating with the DRC government regarding policy changes [22]. - The rising cobalt prices have also affected the recycling market for used batteries, with significant price increases reported for scrap batteries [18]. Group 4: Company Performance and Profitability - Companies such as Hanrui Cobalt and Tengyuan Cobalt are expected to benefit from the rising prices, as their profitability is closely tied to the prices of cobalt products [24]. - However, the revenue contribution from cobalt-related businesses is relatively low for many A-share companies, with cobalt products accounting for only 36.08% of Tengyuan Cobalt's revenue [25]. - The varying levels of benefit from the price increases will depend on each company's position in the supply chain and revenue structure [26].

证券研究报告·行业动态 库存拐点将至， 铜铝价格坚挺 核心观点 本周工业金属价格表现强势，主因有色金属周度表观消费明显提升，同 时，30 年期国债下行凸显经济预期好转，微观与宏观形成共振。从终端 排产情况看，新能源车、光伏、家电、电网投资均有序推进，地产竣工 下行幅度在预期范围内，预示工业金属下游消费增速或有超预期表现， 折射到微观数据上，下周四有望看到部分金属的去库，这将催化工业金 属价格往上更进一步，积极把握相关标度的布局。 行业动态信息 工业金属：本周 LME 铜、铝、铅、锌、锡价格变化为 0.5%、1.5%、1.0%、2.9%、 3.2%；工业金属价格由"金融属性"及"商品属性"共同决定，从金融属性来看， 美联储已开启降息周期；从商品属性来看，全球铜铝库存均处于相对低位，中国 经济复苏可期，叠加新能源行业的拉动，铜铝需求增长将有所好转。 库存拐点将至，铜铝价格坚挺 （1）铜：金融属性先行，商品属性接力。本周沪铜尝试冲击 78000 关口未果， 一是领头羊黄金在 700 关口遇阻，其次先于消费启动的铜价让下游略微畏高。全 球央行购金及规避特朗普政策不确定性的避险逻辑支撑下，黄金的上涨格局持 续，金铜比垫 ...

证券研究报告·行业动态 国际金价再创新高，国内市场炼 焦煤稳中偏弱运行 核心观点 1）美财政部欲重估黄金储备价值，国际金价再创新高。黄金市场 于上周见顶回调后又再度突破前高，连续两周创下历史新高纪 录，国际经济及政治层面因素的叠加是驱动黄金市场不断走强的 主要原因。而短期黄金市场多头情绪也在价格的持续走高中变得 更加谨慎，高位回调风险正在累积。 物流供应链：国际金价再创新高，国内市场炼焦煤稳中偏弱运行 美财政部欲重估黄金储备价值，国际金价再创新高。黄金市场于 上周见顶回调后又再度突破前高，连续两周创下历史新高纪录， 国际经济及政治层面因素的叠加是驱动黄金市场不断走强的主 要原因。而短期黄金市场多头情绪也在价格的持续走高中变得更 加谨慎，高位回调风险正在累积。由于近期对于美国财政部重估 黄金储备价值以应对持续扩大的赤字规模的讨论增多，这一举动 也被市场理解为特朗普政府为缓解外界对美国黄金储备真实性 产生的质疑。 国内市场炼焦煤稳中偏弱运行。现国内主流煤矿目前已全面复产 且产量递增，个别矿因井下受限暂未恢复正常生产，下月产量会 有明显恢复。随着焦炭连续降价九轮，中间洗煤及贸易企业谨慎 观望，部分焦企利润已有不同程 ...

撰 文 / 周 洲 设 计 / 琚 佳 来 源 / 彭博社，路透社，金融时报，mining.com等 一场10年前的矿业并购案，现在又浮上水面。 2014年，全球最大的大宗商品交易商瑞士嘉能可公司 (Glencore Plc) 提出与全球第二大矿业巨头力 拓集团 (Rio Tinto Group) 合并，但力拓在几天后就拒绝了。 最近的传闻是，2024年下半年，两家公司花了几个月的时间进行谈判。 这表明，在大型并购热潮席卷全球采矿业之际，形势发生了变化。 2014 年，当嘉能可发出要约之后，力拓马上就坚决拒绝了一项原本有望成为全球矿业史上最大的 交易，由此引发了长达数月的公开争执，也暴露了两家公司巨大的文化差异。嘉能可彼时的CEO伊 万·格拉森伯格（Ivan Glasenberg） 指责力拓误判了铁矿石市场，而力拓则批评嘉能可是短视者。 2024年，当嘉能可提出交易时，却遇到了截然不同的反应。 这一次，力拓愿意谈判。 据知情人士透露，这场从去年秋季开始的数月磋商，双方只有少部分高管参与，有力拓首席执行官 石道成 (Jakob Stausholm) 和嘉能可CEO加里·纳格尔 (Gary Nagle) ，一些知 ...

As filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on September 25, 2023. Registration No. 333-272865 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 ________________________ Amendment No. 3 to FORM F-1 REGISTRATION STATEMENT UNDER THE SECURITIES ACT OF 1933 ________________________ Lifezone Metals Limited LJ Fiduciary Commerce House, 1 Bowring Road, Ramsey, Isle of Man, IM8 2LQ Telephone: +44 (0)1624 811 611 (Name, address, including zip code, and telephone number, including area ...