Group 1 - U.S. stocks experienced a decline, with the Dow Jones index dropping over 350 points on Thursday [1] - Hershey Co reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.71, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.40 [1] - Quarterly sales for Hershey reached $3.09 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase and exceeding the expected $2.98 billion [1] Group 2 - Hershey shares increased by 7.4%, closing at $221.10 on Thursday [2]

Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) is down more than -7% today to a 1.25-year low as negative momentum deepened across cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin is down about 45% from its October record high, and inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs have reversed, with about $2 billion coming out of Bitcoin ETFs over the past month and more than $5 billion pulled out over the past three months, data compiled by Bloomberg show.Fed Governor Lisa Cook said she supported last week’s Fed decision to hold interest rates steady because she now sees ...

"从行业层面看，内存供应紧张和价格上涨，或将直接决定整个手机市场的整体规模上限。" 全球高带宽内存（HBM）短缺正从数据中心迅速向消费电子领域蔓延，智能手机行业已成为首要承压 环节。这场由人工智能基础设施需求激增引发的"内存危机"，正在对全球电子产品供应链形成结构性冲 击。 全球最大智能手机芯片生产商高通与英国半导体设计企业Arm Holdings相继发出预警，指出HBM的持 续短缺将直接限制智能手机产量。作为全球最大的智能手机处理器供应商，高通首席执行官Cristiano Amon在财报电话会上表示： 据Amon透露，部分客户已表示将在今年削减手机生产计划。据报道，多家主流智能手机制造商正着手 下调其2026年出货目标，其中一家的调整幅度据称高达20%。 这场短缺被普遍视为中长期结构性挑战。英特尔首席执行官陈立武直言："据我所知，短缺局面不会缓 解。"市场研究机构TrendForce进一步预测，今年生产的高端内存芯片中预计将有70%被数据中心吸纳， 消费电子领域的分配份额将持续受到挤压。 内存短缺的影响正在整个电子产品供应链持续传导与深化。芯片制造商联发科本周在分析师电话会议上 坦言，供应状况"正在动态演变 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chip stocks Qualcomm Inc and Arm Holdings PLC are experiencing divergent market reactions, with Qualcomm facing a significant decline due to a disappointing outlook despite beating earnings, while Arm is recovering from earlier losses after reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenue, despite missing licensing sales estimates. Both companies are affected by rising memory-chip prices [1]. Qualcomm (QCOM) - Qualcomm's stock is down 9.4%, trading at $134.77, following downgrades to "neutral" from Susquehanna and BofA Global Research [2]. - The stock has experienced at least 10 price-target cuts and is on track for its worst trading day since April, breaking below the $150 support level, with a year-over-year deficit of 21.9% [2]. - Options volume for Qualcomm is running at four times the intraday average, with the most active contract being the February 160 call [4]. Arm Holdings (ARM) - Arm's stock is up 1.1%, trading at $106.07, despite facing at least 11 price-target cuts, including a reduction from HSBC to $90 from $105 [3]. - The stock rebounded from the $100 level after reaching its lowest point since April, but has lost over 38% in the past 12 months [3]. - Options volume for Arm is three times the typical amount, with the most active contract being the weekly 2/6 110-strike call [4].

分组1 - The software stock market is experiencing a significant sell-off, particularly affecting companies like Qualcomm and ARM Holdings, which are facing challenges due to a global memory chip shortage [2][3][4] - Qualcomm's guidance indicates weakness in the smartphone market, with expectations of this dynamic persisting into 2027, suggesting management should have better prepared investors for these challenges [2][4] - ARM Holdings is also struggling with subdued royalty sales as mobile processor sales stall, indicating a need for improved investor communication [3][4] 分组2 - Alphabet's capital expenditure (capex) guidance for the year is projected at $185 billion, significantly higher than the market's expectation of $120 billion, reflecting a strong long-term business outlook [5][6] - Despite concerns over capex, Alphabet's fundamentals remain robust, with YouTube seeing a 75% increase in podcast viewership and the Gemini app achieving 750 million monthly active users [6][7] - Alphabet's strong performance in AI and cloud growth positions it favorably in the tech landscape, contrasting with the struggles of other software companies [10][12][13] 分组3 - E.L.F. Beauty reported a 38% increase in net sales and a 79% rise in adjusted EBITDA, driven by the acquisition of Haley Bieber's cosmetics brand, Road [36][37] - The brand Road has shown exceptional growth, achieving $212 million in net sales in under three years, indicating strong consumer demand and effective marketing strategies [39][40] - E.L.F. Beauty continues to gain market share, with its core business showing healthy growth despite shipment challenges, suggesting a positive long-term outlook [47][49]

You know, Carl, I look at these stocks. Everything's a battleground. It just doesn't matter.Everything's battle. And one of the greatest battlegrounds this very morning is ARM. And I say that because ARM stock was down very 10%.Then it rallies 10%. I got we got to talk to someone from ARM. And that's what's so great.David, we have Renee Hos. Great ARM CEO. And he's going to clear everything up.Renee, welcome back to Squawk on the Street. >> Morning, Jim. >> All right.So Renee, I thought it was a great quart ...

美国1月挑战者企业裁员人数升至10.8万，创2009年以来同期最高；上周初请失业金人数亦超预期上 升。美股开盘，三大指数集体下跌，纳指跌1.31%，标普500指数跌0.9%，道指跌0.6%。 Alphabet跌超7%，今年资本支出指引接近翻倍至1750亿-1850亿美元，远超预期。 高通跌9.3%，第二财季营收及调整后每股收益指引逊于预期，手机芯片业务受制于供应链瓶颈。 Arm跌3.2%，第三财季营收同比增长26%至12.4亿美元，本季营收指引不及最乐观预期。 百度涨2.5%，预计2026年首次派发股息，计划回购至多50亿美元的股票。 (格隆汇) ...

谷歌A跌超7%，今年资本支出指引接近翻倍至1750亿-1850亿美元，远超预期。 来源：格隆汇APP 格隆汇2月5日｜美国1月挑战者企业裁员人数升至10.8万，创2009年以来同期最高；上周初请失业金人 数亦超预期上升。美股开盘，三大指数集体下跌，纳指跌1.31%，标普500指数跌0.9%，道指跌0.6%。 高通跌9.3%，第二财季营收及调整后每股收益指引逊于预期，手机芯片业务受制于供应链瓶颈。 百度涨2.5%，预计2026年首次派发股息，计划回购至多50亿美元的股票。 (格隆汇) Arm跌3.2%，第三财季营收同比增长26%至12.4亿美元，本季营收指引不及最乐观预期。 ...

Market Overview - US stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 0.30%, S&P 500 futures down 0.52%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.68% [1] - European indices also show declines, with Germany's DAX down 0.63%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.40%, France's CAC40 down 0.06%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.41% [2][3] - WTI crude oil prices fell by 2.15% to $63.74 per barrel, while Brent crude oil dropped by 2.06% to $68.03 per barrel [3][4] Software Sector - The software sector is experiencing significant declines, with Goldman Sachs' software index falling for the seventh consecutive day, down 19% year-to-date, contributing to a 1.4% drop in the Nasdaq 100 index [5] - Major software companies like Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce, and Palantir have seen year-to-date declines exceeding 10%, with Adobe's stock plummeting by 20% [5] - The software sector has lost $2 trillion in market value from last year's peak, and hedge fund net positions have dropped to a historical low of 4.2% [5] Trade and Geopolitical Developments - The US is planning to establish a protected trade zone for rare earths, using tariffs to set price floors, as announced by Vice President Pence [6] - A recent Markets Pulse survey indicates that most respondents believe stock returns will outperform bonds due to international policy dynamics, with over half citing trade and geopolitical developments as the main catalysts for market volatility [6] Individual Company Updates - Amazon faces a $70 million fine from German antitrust regulators for price control practices, coinciding with its upcoming earnings report [8] - Barrick Gold reported a 64% increase in Q4 revenue and a 140% increase in dividends, announcing plans for an IPO to spin off its North American gold assets [9] - SiTime's Q4 revenue reached $113.3 million, a 66% year-over-year increase, with a strong performance in its communication and data center business [10][11] - Qualcomm's stock fell over 12% after it provided a weak earnings forecast, raising concerns about smartphone demand due to chip shortages [12] - Arm Holdings' stock dropped over 7% after its revenue forecast fell short of investor expectations, despite a 26% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 [13] - BBVA's net profit grew by 4.1% to €2.53 billion, but increased provisions in emerging markets raised concerns about future growth [14] - Shell's Q4 adjusted profit fell to $3.26 billion, below market expectations, due to low oil prices and poor performance in its chemical business [15] - Vodafone's stock hit a one-year low despite a 6.5% increase in Q3 revenue, as growth in its key German market fell short of expectations [16] - NIO forecasts an operating profit of RMB 700 million to 1.2 billion for Q4 2025, marking its first anticipated quarterly operating profit [17]

Core Insights - ARM's data center revenue is growing significantly faster than other business segments, currently accounting for over 15% and approaching 20% of total revenue, with expectations to surpass smartphone business in the next 2-3 years [1][9] - The company has raised its FY26 revenue guidance from an initial "at least 20%" to a midpoint of 22%, exceeding previous expectations, while maintaining a reasonable growth rate of 20% for FY27 [1][15] - ARM's R&D spending is increasing at a rate higher than revenue growth, with expectations for a slowdown in R&D spending growth after Q1 of next year [1][17] Data Center Business - The shift in data centers is moving from pure "training" to "inference," with a growing need for CPUs due to their efficiency and low latency, which is beneficial for ARM [3] - The demand for computing power is immense, and ARM's role in providing this power is crucial, especially as AI applications evolve [2][18] Market Dynamics - ARM acknowledges the recent volatility in the software industry as a normal occurrence during significant technological changes, emphasizing that AI will not replace chips but rather coexist with them [2][18] - Despite potential risks from supply chain constraints in the smartphone market, ARM expects to prioritize high-end markets, which will mitigate the impact on royalty revenues [4][5] Royalty Revenue Insights - ARM's royalty revenue is expected to be resilient, with a projected decline in smartphone shipments potentially impacting royalty by only 2-4%, and overall group revenue by 1-2% [4][11] - The company anticipates that the growth in cloud AI and infrastructure will offset any declines in mobile and memory sectors, maintaining confidence in the royalty income structure [5] Strategic Partnerships and Contributions - SoftBank's contribution to ARM's revenue has increased from $178 million to approximately $200 million, expected to stabilize at this level moving forward [8] - ARM's Compute Subsystems (CSS) are gaining traction, with a significant increase in royalty contributions, projected to rise from around 15% to over 50% in the next 2-3 years [14] Future Outlook - ARM is exploring new products and services that may impact financial performance in FY28, although specific figures are not yet available [15] - The company is focused on addressing the challenges of power efficiency in AI applications, positioning itself well in the evolving market landscape [19]