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兴业证券:寻找计算机板块结构性机会 重点关注AI与国产化兑现、前沿创新的突破
智通财经网· 2025-12-10 03:33
智通财经APP获悉,兴业证券发布研报称,本轮计算机板块上行的核心驱动在于产业创新、政策发力、 业绩改善三者共振,影响未来趋势的主要因素是AI创新的兑现能力、业绩改善的持续性与力度、政策 深化发力的空间,寻找结构性机会将是未来一年板块投资的核心工作。该行预计将从过去一年的偏困境 反转型的中小市值风格趋于更为均衡。展望十五五,围绕着科技自立自强、新质生产力等关键词,建议 守正出奇,重点关注AI与国产化的兑现、前沿创新的突破,把握相关的投资机会。 兴业证券主要观点如下: AI应用:从1到N,闭环生态日臻完善 新科技:卡位未来,前沿创新多点开花 1)量子科技:政策扶持,中国具有一定的领先优势,量子计算、量子通信、量子测量应用提速,关注国 盾量子、神州信息。2)脑机接口:进入3.0时代,在临床应用上取得突破,前景可期,关注科大讯飞。3) 空天信息化:商业航天破局,在轨卫星数量大幅增加,"太空算力"成为AI产业新热点,关注中科星图、 航天智装、超图软件。 投资建议与核心标的 建议重点关注AI、国产化、前沿科技创新,重点推荐海光信息、同花顺、金山办公、科大讯飞、神州 数码、合合信息、新大陆、广联达、汉得信息、能科科技。 风 ...
恒银科技跌超8%,金融科技ETF华夏(516100)连续6日获资金小幅净申购
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 06:31
Core Viewpoint - The three major indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component continuing to decline, while the ChiNext Index experienced a pullback after an initial rise. The financial sector faced significant losses, particularly in financial technology stocks [1] Financial Technology ETF Performance - The Huaxia Financial Technology ETF (516100) fell by 1.48%, with most of its holdings declining, including Hengyin Technology which dropped over 8%. Other notable declines were seen in Airong Software, Zhinan Zhen, Yinzhijie, and Yingshisheng [1] - The Huaxia Financial Technology ETF has seen a continuous inflow of funds for six consecutive trading days, totaling 27.63 million yuan. Leveraged funds have been actively investing, with the ETF receiving net purchases of leveraged funds for five days in a row, peaking at a net buy of 2.07 million yuan in a single day. The latest financing balance reached 13.71 million yuan [1] Index Composition - The Huaxia Financial Technology ETF closely tracks the CSI Financial Technology Theme Index. As of November 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include Tonghuashun, Dongfang Caifu, Hengsheng Electronics, Zhinan Zhen, Runhe Software, Donghua Software, Newland, Yinzhijie, Guangdian Yuntong, and Sifang Jichuang, which collectively account for 53.31% of the index [1]
金融科技继续走强,银之杰涨超3%,“旗手2.0”金融科技ETF汇添富(159103)强势涨超1%喜提3连涨!险资风险因子下调,千亿增量资金有望入市
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 09:26
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a rebound on December 8, with the financial technology ETF Huatai (159103) opening higher and achieving a three-day consecutive increase, closing up by 1.03% after rising over 2% at one point [1]. Group 1: Financial Technology ETF Performance - The financial technology ETF Huatai (159103) showed strong performance, with significant gains in its component stocks, including Sifang Jingchuang and Yinzhijie, which rose over 3%, and Hengsheng Electronics, which increased over 2% [6]. - The index of the financial technology ETF covers various sectors, including internet brokerage, financial IT, AI applications, and cross-border payments, highlighting its high elasticity and growth potential in a favorable liquidity environment [7]. Group 2: Regulatory Changes Impacting Insurance Companies - Recent adjustments to the risk factors for insurance companies' stock investments aim to enhance their solvency and encourage long-term capital investment in the equity market. The risk factor for stocks held over three years has been reduced from 0.3 to 0.27, and for stocks held over two years, it has been lowered from 0.4 to 0.36 [4]. - The adjustments are expected to release a minimum of 326 billion yuan in capital, with potential market inflows of 1,086 billion yuan if the insurance funds increase their allocation to the CSI 300 index stocks [5].
计算机周观点第26期:端侧AI商业化进程提速,商业航天天地一体稳步推进-20251208
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the computer industry, with a recommendation to outperform the market for key targets including Hand Enterprise, Wuxi Unicomp Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Newland Digital Technology, and Dawning Information Industry [3][4]. Core Insights - Domestic AI foundational models are making significant breakthroughs, with DeepSeek-V3.2 enhancing reasoning capabilities and ByteDance launching the "Doubao Phone Assistant," indicating rapid penetration of foundational models into terminal applications [3][9]. - Overseas giants like AWS and NVIDIA are leading the next-generation AI infrastructure competition through full-stack capabilities and strategic investments, with AWS announcing a comprehensive AI strategy and NVIDIA investing $2 billion in Synopsys [3][10]. - China's commercial space sector is advancing in satellite internet and rocket technology, with significant developments in ecosystem construction and successful rocket launches, indicating a robust growth trajectory [3][11]. Summary by Sections AI Development - The report highlights the rapid commercialization of edge AI, driven by breakthroughs in foundational models and significant product launches in the domestic market [3][9]. Infrastructure Competition - AWS and NVIDIA are enhancing their control over AI infrastructure through comprehensive strategies and investments, marking a shift from mere computational power competition to a focus on full-stack solutions and ecosystem control [3][10]. Commercial Space Industry - The report details advancements in China's commercial space sector, including partnerships for satellite internet services and successful rocket launches, showcasing a dual focus on application and research development [3][11].
申万宏源 2026 计算机策略:算力筑基 + 应用爆发,核心受益股名单出炉
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-08 07:44
算力:1)超节点趋势明确,国产算力通过超节点实现整体性能提升,工程上具备差异化优势;2)AI Infra 重要性提升,核心关注市场规模、渗透率快速提升的软件层;3)量 wind数据显示,2025 年初至今,计算机板块涨幅为 18%,全行业排名第 12。基本面驱动与主题投资兼 具,主线主要包括 AI 算力、具身智能、AI 应用三大方向。 申万宏源黄忠煌团队发布计算机2026年策略,总体认为,算力聚沙成塔,应用乘风而起。 研报观点称: 行情复盘来看,基本面筑基、AI行催化,随着年初DeepSeek发布,AI产业链催化上涨。DeepSeek 代表 模型平权、性能与成本的平衡, 国内 AI 软硬件景气度高涨。3 月-9 月上旬,AI 应用拐点尚未到来,整 体表现平淡。国内 AI 应用进展低于预期,叠加关税影响,回归基本面估值;5 月后,年报验证行业整 体基本面企稳,部分头部公司业绩稳健、亮眼,估值随大盘上升。9 月后,板块内行情分化,市场更青 睐绩优股,板块整体出现滞涨。 业绩复盘来看,:基本面拐点,净利润率先反弹。2025年前三季度,计算机板块营收、净利润均呈现反 弹趋势,行业基本面拐点确认,其中净利润反弹幅度超过 ...
金融科技ETF指数(563670)涨超2.3%,政策催化金融股持续走强
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 02:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the financial technology sector is experiencing strong growth, with the China Securities Finance Technology Theme Index rising by 2.48% and several constituent stocks showing significant gains [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced on December 6 that it will enhance classified regulation, optimize evaluation indicators for quality institutions, and moderately expand capital space and leverage limits to improve capital utilization efficiency [1] - Non-bank financials are currently undervalued, providing a safety margin, with the insurance sector benefiting from economic recovery and rising interest rates, particularly in health and pension insurance [1] Group 2 - The Financial Technology ETF closely tracks the China Securities Finance Technology Theme Index, which reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the financial technology sector [2] - As of November 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 53.31% of the total, including companies like Tonghuashun and Dongfang Caifu [2]
久远银海收盘上涨1.16%,滚动市盈率75.59倍,总市值74.87亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-06 21:38
最新一期业绩显示,2025年三季报,公司实现营业收入6.87亿元,同比增加2.83%;净利润4278.91万 元,同比增加151.66%,销售毛利率45.63%。 序号股票简称PE(TTM)PE(静)市净率总市值(元)13久远银海75.59102.204.5374.87亿行业平均 74.6780.236.87133.99亿行业中值73.5188.844.5367.20亿1国联股份15.0614.862.44216.16亿2润泽科技 15.7543.835.79784.65亿3科远智慧20.5625.332.6263.79亿4新大陆23.3125.613.60258.54亿5今天国际 23.9619.552.8954.03亿6新华都26.0624.823.2464.57亿7焦点科技26.9130.405.24137.17亿8东方财富 29.0938.334.143683.92亿9网宿科技29.2937.412.49252.34亿10国网信通30.4528.973.17197.73亿11华胜天成 33.57830.034.22200.22亿12电科数字34.7531.763.60174.88亿 交易所数据显示,1 ...
支付机构业绩分化加剧,海外布局抢滩新增长
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-12-05 16:08
上市支付机构或其母公司近期先后晒出三季度成绩单。 从已披露的业绩看,微信支付等头部钱包类机构伴随着三季度国内非银支付行业网络支付业务增长,利 润恢复较高增长;而主营范围在国内的收单机构,相较自身过往周期,业绩表现难言乐观,其中拉卡 拉、嘉联支付母公司新国都前三季度营收和净利润同比双降。 在国内支付市场费率"内卷"、竞争愈发激烈的背景下,跨境支付业务成为多数支付机构的业绩增长引 擎,业务增速和营业收入贡献度持续提升。在港股上市的移卡三季度海外支付交易量(GPV)超越去年 全年,拉卡拉前三季度跨境支付商户规模和交易金额同比分别增长71.91%和77.56%,义支付(义乌跨 境支付系统)跨境支付业务交易额同比增长超35%…… "支付机构加码海外布局,是国内业务增长乏力下的必然选择,且已有明确的高增长数据印证其战略价 值,不过也需直面多重现实挑战。"在受访行业专家看来,虽然增长数据很高,但由于基数太低,很多 机构实际上已经错过了最佳市场扩展的机会,新兴市场体量不足以支撑这类机构像以前一样规模化扩 展,而且扩张的难度和成本也比之前大很多。 业绩分化显著 三季度,支付机构业绩延续了分化态势,头部钱包类机构利润恢复较高增长 ...
支付机构业绩分化加剧 海外布局抢滩新增长
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-12-05 16:08
上市支付机构或其母公司近期先后晒出三季度成绩单。 从已披露的业绩看,微信支付等头部钱包类机构伴随着三季度国内非银支付行业网络支付业务增长,利 润恢复较高增长;而主营范围在国内的收单机构,相较自身过往周期,业绩表现难言乐观,其中拉卡 拉、嘉联支付母公司新国都前三季度营收和净利润同比双降。 在国内支付市场费率"内卷"、竞争愈发激烈的背景下,跨境支付业务成为多数支付机构的业绩增长引 擎,业务增速和营业收入贡献度持续提升。在港股上市的移卡三季度海外支付交易量(GPV)超越去年 全年,拉卡拉前三季度跨境支付商户规模和交易金额同比分别增长71.91%和77.56%,义支付(义乌跨 境支付系统)跨境支付业务交易额同比增长超35%…… 博通咨询金融行业首席分析师王蓬博对记者分析指出,收单类机构业绩下降主要原因在于传统业务收 缩、费率内卷及业务结构单一。首先是银行卡收单业务的实质性下滑,这是行业业绩承压的核心导火 索;其次是国内市场费率竞争加剧导致盈利空间收窄,部分机构的传统收单业务已面临"以价换量"的困 境,数字支付业务的收入和利润同步承压;最后是业务结构单一的短板暴露,多数机构仍依赖传统收单 业务,新的科技类服务和跨境支付 ...
第三方支付交易回暖
此外,三季度非银行支付机构处理网络支付业务3380.19亿笔,金额85.28万亿元。对比往期数据,2025 年二季度,交易笔数、金额分别为3338.45亿笔、82.11万亿元;2024年三季度分别为3448.77亿笔、81.87 万亿元。 "在笔数规模不变甚至同比略有下滑的基础上,交易规模环比和同比比例均大幅上涨,说明第三方支付 交易回暖,特别是线上的大额网络支付交易规模在持续增加,也从侧面反映出网络支付的场景渗透和边 际效用仍然存在,不再局限于小额高频的场景之中。"王蓬博说道。 新智派新质生产力会客厅联合创始发起人袁帅同样认为,单笔支付的额度在显著提升,反映出消费者在 进行网络支付时,更倾向于进行大额消费,或高频次的小额累积消费达到了更高总额,这可能意味着消 费结构在升级,消费者对于高品质商品和服务的需求在增加。而笔数规模未随金额同步增长,暗示支付 市场正从"量增"向"质升"转变,支付机构或更注重提升每笔交易的价值,而非单纯追求交易笔数的扩 张。 转自:北京日报客户端 12月4日,记者注意到,人民银行官网发布三季度支付体系运行总体情况。多项数据变化尤其体现在数 字支付方式产生的交易金额提升,这不仅释放出消费 ...