Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the recent VAT adjustment by China's three major telecom operators will have a significant negative impact on their profitability, as the affected services account for 45% to 60% of their projected service revenue for 2025 [1] Group 1: VAT Adjustment Impact - The VAT rate for mobile data, SMS/MMS, and internet broadband services will increase from 6% to 9% starting January 1 of this year [1] - The service revenue of telecom operators is expected to be impacted by approximately 1.5% to 2% due to this VAT adjustment [1] Group 2: Profitability Forecast - Assuming a corporate income tax rate of 25% and not considering other costs or tax deductions, the net profit impact for China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom is estimated to be around 9%, 17.9%, and 18.2% respectively for 2025 [1] Group 3: Strategic Response - The three major telecom operators will continue to enhance operational efficiency, focus on high-quality development, and accelerate their transformation towards emerging fields such as artificial intelligence and cloud services to mitigate the impact of the tax rate increase [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the recent VAT adjustment announced by China's three major telecom operators will have a significant negative impact on their profitability, as the affected services account for 45% to 60% of their projected service revenue for 2025 [1] Group 1: VAT Adjustment Impact - The VAT rate for mobile data, SMS/MMS, and internet broadband services will increase from 6% to 9% starting January 1 of this year [1] - The adjustment is expected to reduce service revenue for telecom operators by approximately 1.5% to 2% [1] Group 2: Profitability Forecast - Assuming a corporate income tax rate of 25% and not considering other costs or tax deductions, the net profit impact for the three major telecom operators by 2025 is estimated to be around 9% for China Mobile, 17.9% for China Telecom, and 18.2% for China Unicom [1] Group 3: Strategic Response - The three major telecom operators plan to enhance operational efficiency, focus on high-quality development, and accelerate transformation into emerging fields such as artificial intelligence and cloud services to mitigate the impact of the tax rate increase [1]

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,775, down 2.23% for the day and up 4.47% year-to-date [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell 3.36% to 5,526, with most tech stocks declining [5] - The A-share market saw significant declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 2.48% to 4,015, marking a new low for over a month [6] Currency and Commodity Trends - The Renminbi Index is at 96.990, down 0.67% over the past month but up 1.34% over six months [2] - Brent crude oil prices increased by 8.99% over the past month, currently priced at $65.880 per barrel [2] - Gold prices rose by 8.43% in the last month, reaching $4,697.45 per ounce, while silver prices surged by 9.75% [2] Key News and Developments - The U.S. non-farm payroll report for January has been delayed due to a government shutdown, impacting market expectations [12] - Elon Musk's SpaceX and xAI are reportedly planning a merger, with a combined valuation of $1.25 trillion [14] - Trump's proposed $12 billion critical mineral reserve plan aims to reduce reliance on Chinese rare earths, leading to a surge in related stocks [15] - China's manufacturing PMI for January dropped to 49.3, indicating a contraction and falling short of expectations [16] Company-Specific Updates - BYD launched a new sub-brand, "Linghui Auto," targeting the B-end market with a range of electric and hybrid models [21] - Xpeng Motors reported new car deliveries of approximately 20,011 units in January, expanding its global presence to 60 countries [22] Sector Performance - The telecommunications sector in mainland China is facing potential price increases due to a rise in VAT rates from 6% to 9% for certain services [18][19] - The semiconductor and automotive sectors are under pressure, with significant declines in related stocks [5][6]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國電信股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月3日 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00728 | 說明 | H股 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 13,877,410,000 | | | 0 | | 13,877,410,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 13,877,410,000 | | | 0 | | 13,877, ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that the Chinese Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration have announced a new VAT classification, increasing the tax rate on mobile data, broadband access, and SMS/MMS from 6% to 9%, which will negatively impact the revenue and profits of major Chinese telecom operators [1] Group 1: Impact on Telecom Operators - The extent of the impact on revenue and profits depends on two factors: (1) the proportion of affected revenue and (2) the net profit margin [1] - China Telecom (00728) and China Unicom (00762) are projected to see their earnings per share (EPS) affected by 14.1% and 15.2% respectively, while China Mobile (00941) is expected to be impacted by 7.8% due to its higher profit margin [1] Group 2: Future Earnings and Dividends - Morgan Stanley notes that the current EPS and dividend forecasts for Chinese telecom stocks do not account for this tax rate adjustment [1] - If the dividend payout ratios (estimated at 77% for China Mobile, 78% for China Telecom, and 65% for China Unicom) are not increased, the three major operators may experience declines in EPS and dividends by 2026 [1] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The tax rate increase is considered a one-time adjustment, with growth rates expected to normalize starting in 2027 [1] - If domestic operators can pass the tax increase onto consumers through price hikes, there may be improvements in growth after 2027, although Morgan Stanley maintains a cautious outlook given the current moderate macro environment [1] Group 4: Industry Rating - Morgan Stanley has downgraded the industry rating for Chinese telecom stocks to "neutral" and adjusted the ratings for the three major telecom H-shares to "in line with the market" in light of the recent outlook for 2026 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Telecom ETF Huatai (560300), which opened with a slight decline of 0.15% at 2.045 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the Telecom ETF include China Mobile, which remained unchanged, China Unicom with a rise of 0.62%, and China Telecom also unchanged. Other notable performers include China Satcom up by 1.97%, Zhongji Xuchuang up by 2.71%, Yinzhijie up by 0.73%, Xinyi Sheng up by 4.10%, ZTE up by 1.08%, Tianfu Communication up by 5.66%, and Zhongtian Technology up by 1.77% [1] - The performance benchmark for the Telecom ETF is the CSI Telecom Theme Index return, managed by Huatai Fund Management Co., Ltd. The fund manager is Wei Lizhu, and since its establishment on December 5, 2023, it has achieved a return of 105.17%, with a monthly return of 0.12% [1]

科技强、产业强、经济强。 省两会上，政府工作报告列举2025年"强化科技创新，建设现代化产业体系"的一项项具体数据，成 为代表委员关注的热点。 对标报告中2026年"提升创新体系效能，引领新质生产力发展"的目标要求，代表委员表示，新的一 年，要策马扬鞭、接续奋斗，将创新成果高效、系统地注入产业升级、产品迭代、工艺革新和模式重塑 全过程，使之转化为实实在在的生产力、竞争力和经济效益。 创新与产业发展深度融合 从日常出行中的新能源汽车、移动支付，到遥探宇宙的火箭、卫星导航，创新已深度融入经济社会 发展的每个角落。 创新必须扎根于坚实的实体产业中——先进的制造能力、完备的供应链体系、精湛的工艺水平。 在环保与资源节约利用方面，锂电池回收再生领域大有可为。 紧扣报告中"推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合"要求，省政协委员、博创宏远新材料有限公司董事 长赵杰表示，要强化核心技术攻关，贯通产学研链条，依托秦创原平台，联合高校组建"锂电循环再生 技术百团"，针对"卡脖子"环节进行协同攻关，以技术深耕驱动循环经济，将政策机遇转化为企业核心 竞争力。 提升创新效能，是实体产业迈向价值链中高端、突破关键核心技术瓶颈、增强核心竞争力的 ...

Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are China Telecom (00728) at 70.97%, Green Power Environmental (01330) at 68.68%, and Haotian International Construction Investment (01341) at 66.96% [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700), Pop Mart (09992), and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) saw the largest increases in holding amounts over the last five trading days, with increases of +2.954 billion, +1.333 billion, and +1.183 billion respectively [1] - Conversely, China Mobile (00941), Zijin Mining (02899), and Alibaba-W (09988) experienced the largest decreases in holding amounts, with reductions of -2.026 billion, -1.856 billion, and -1.609 billion respectively [2] Group 1: Top Holding Ratios - China Telecom (00728) has a holding of 9.851 billion shares, representing 70.97% [1] - Green Power Environmental (01330) has a holding of 0.278 billion shares, representing 68.68% [1] - Haotian International Construction Investment (01341) has a holding of 7.430 billion shares, representing 66.96% [1] Group 2: Recent Increases in Holdings - Tencent Holdings (00700) increased by +2.954 billion, with a change of +4.9354 million shares [1] - Pop Mart (09992) increased by +1.333 billion, with a change of +5.8896 million shares [1] - Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) increased by +1.183 billion, with a change of +13.9887 million shares [1] Group 3: Recent Decreases in Holdings - China Mobile (00941) decreased by -2.026 billion, with a change of -2.5982 million shares [2] - Zijin Mining (02899) decreased by -1.856 billion, with a change of -4.69103 million shares [2] - Alibaba-W (09988) decreased by -1.609 billion, with a change of -0.98507 million shares [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights the performance of various sectors in the A-share market, indicating a mixed trend with certain industries like electric grid and liquor leading the gains while others like precious metals and fertilizers lag behind [3][7][13] - The macroeconomic analysis suggests that while the GDP growth target for 2025 was achieved, structural issues such as weak demand persist, necessitating policy support to sustain growth momentum [10][11] - The telecommunications sector is experiencing significant changes due to tax adjustments, which may impact revenue and profit margins for major players like China Mobile, China Unicom, and China Telecom [3][6] Market Performance - The A-share market has shown volatility with the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index experiencing declines of 2.48% and 2.69% respectively [1] - The telecommunications industry index outperformed the broader market, reflecting a 12.82% increase in December, driven by strong demand for communication equipment [27] - The new materials sector has also shown robust performance, with a 10.54% increase in January, significantly outperforming the broader indices [18] Industry Analysis - The report discusses the upcoming launch of DeepSeek's new AI model, DeepSeek V4, which is expected to surpass existing models in performance and could significantly impact the AI landscape [15][17] - The photovoltaic industry is highlighted for its strong growth, with over 300GW of new installations in 2025, despite facing challenges such as rising costs and regulatory changes [21][22] - The media sector is experiencing a surge in activity, particularly in gaming and film, with the upcoming Spring Festival expected to drive significant box office revenues [24][26] Economic Indicators - The report notes that China's GDP for 2025 reached 1401879 billion, marking a 5.0% increase from the previous year, with consumption playing a more significant role in growth [10] - The fixed asset investment showed a decline of 3.8%, indicating potential weaknesses in the investment landscape [10] - The telecommunications retail sector saw a year-on-year increase of 20.9% in 2025, reflecting strong consumer demand for communication devices [28] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to adopt a balanced strategy, focusing on sectors like AI and high-end manufacturing while also considering cyclical and resource sectors for potential opportunities [3][14] - The report suggests that the media sector, particularly gaming and film, presents high growth potential due to favorable policy environments and technological advancements in AI [26] - In the telecommunications sector, companies involved in optical fiber and AI mobile technologies are recommended for investment due to their growth prospects [31]

Group 1 - China's wetland area ranks first in Asia and fourth in the world [1] - The State Administration for Market Regulation aims to assist over 120,000 small and medium-sized enterprises by 2025 [2] - Nine departments encourage local governments to increase the number of subsidies for replacing old consumer goods during the Spring Festival [3] Group 2 - On the first day of the Spring Festival travel rush, the railway is expected to send 12 million passengers [4] - The State Administration for Market Regulation warns against purchasing fireworks from unlicensed vendors [5] - The number of drug cases concluded by national courts in 2025 is expected to be 23,732, a decrease of 82.93% from peak levels [5] Group 3 - The South Korean stock market experienced a significant drop, triggering a circuit breaker [9] - A bridge construction accident in Jiangsu Province resulted in 2 fatalities and 3 missing persons [12] - A major fire at Beijing Changfeng Hospital led to significant casualties, with 19 individuals sentenced in the first trial [19]